Lib 004630823

Indigenous Peoples
and
Climate Change
Jan Salick and Anja Byg
University of Oxford and
Missouri Botanical Garden
May 2007

2
Indigenous Peoples
and
Climate Change
Edited by Jan Salick and Anja Byg
A Tyndall Centre Publication
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Oxford
May 2007

3
Indigenous Peoples and Climate Change
Jan Salick, PhD Anja Byg, PhD
Curator of Ethnobotany Post-doctoral Fellow
Missouri Botanical Garden Missouri Botanical Garden
jan.salick@mobot.org
- and -
Darrell Posey Fellow of Ethnoecology Visiting Researcher
University of Oxford University of Oxford
jan.salick@ouce.ox.ac.uk anja.byg@ouce.ox.ac.uk
Contributors: Pam Berry, PhD Environmental Change Institute, Oxford
Pam.Berry@eci.ox.ac.uk; Prof. John Birks, Department of Biology, University of
Bergen, Norway and Jesus College, Oxford John.Birks@bio.uib.no; Anja Christanell &
Christian Vogl, PhD Department of Sustainable Agricultural Systems, University for
Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences Vienna, Austria
anja.christanell@boku.ac.at , Christian.vogl@boku.ac.at ; Pablo Eyzaguirre, PhD
Bioversity International, Rome P.Eyzaguirre@cgiar.org ; Dave Frame, PhD
Environmental Change Institute, Oxford Dframe@ouce.ox.ac.uk ; Prof. Georg
Grabherr, Inst. Ecology and Conservation Biology, University of Vienna,
Georg.Grabherr@univie.ac.at ; Anna Lawrence, PhD, Environmental Change Institute,
Oxford Anna.Lawrence@eci.ox.ac.uk ; Prof. Diana Liverman, Director, Environmental
Change Institute, Oxford Diana.Liverman@eci.ox.ac.uk ; Yadvinder Malhi, PhD,
Environmental Change Institute, Oxford Ymalhi@ouce.ox.ac.uk ; Prof. Will
McClatchey, Department of Botany, University of Hawaii at Manoa,
Mcclatch@hawaii.edu ; Prof. Paul Minnis, Department of Anthropology, University of
Oklahoma, Minnis@ou.edu ; Lars Otto Naess, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change
Research, University of East Anglia, l.naess@uea.ac.uk ; Miguel Pinedo, PhD, Center
for Environmental Research and Conservation, Columbia University, New York
Map57@columbia.edu ; Rajindra Puri, PhD, Department of Anthropology, Kent
University, R.K.Puri@kent.ac.uk ; Laura Rival, PhD, Department of International
Development, Oxford Laura.Rival@qeh.ox.ac.uk ; Prof. Nancy Turner, School of
Environmental Studies, University of Victoria Nturner@uvic.ca; Richard Washington,
PhD & Susannah Sallu, Oxford University Centre for the Environment
Richard.Washington@ouce.ox.ac.uk; susannah.sallu@geog.ox.ac.uk; Prof. Robert
Whittaker, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford Robert.Whittaker@ouce.ox.ac.uk
Report of Symposium 12-13 April 2007, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford
Supported by James Martin 21st Century School and
Darrell Posey Fellowship of the International Society for Ethnobiology and the William
L. Brown Center for Plant Genetic Resources, Missouri Botanical Garden

4
Indigenous Peoples and Climate Change
1. Introduction
Indigenous and other traditional peoples are only rarely considered in academic,
policy and public discourses on climate change, despite the fact that they will be greatly
impacted by impending changes. Their livelihoods depend on natural resources that are
directly affected by climate change, and they often inhabit economically and politically
marginal areas in diverse, but fragile ecosystems. Symptomatic of the neglect of
indigenous peoples, the recently released IPCC II report summary on climate change
impacts [http://www.ipcc.ch/SPM13apr07.pdf] makes only scarce mention of indigenous
peoples, and then only in polar regions and merely as helpless victims of changes beyond
their control. The IPCC III report [http://www.ipcc.ch/SPM040507.pdf] on mitigation of
climate change does not consider the role of indigenous peoples. This view of
indigenous peoples as passive and helpless at best, and as obstructionist and destructive at
worst is not new, with roots going back to colonial periods and reoccurring in
contemporary discussion of development, conservation, indigenous rights, and
indigenous knowledge. Our aim is to shift the focus to indigenous people as primary
actors in terms of global climate change monitoring, adaptation and innovation. We
believe theirs should be a voice in policy formation and action.
Indigenous and other local peoples are vital and active parts of many ecosystems
and may help to enhance the resilience of these ecosystems. In addition, they interpret
and react to climate change impacts in creative ways, drawing on traditional knowledge
as well as new technologies to find solutions, which may help society at large to cope
with the impending changes. We contrast the IPCC summaries with the recent Kauai
Declaration “Ethnobotany: The Science of Survival”:
“Such vital environmental resources as the air we breathe, the quality of
the water we drink, the topsoil upon which our agriculture depends, the relatively
stable global climate we have enjoyed until recently, and the global stock of
biodiversity are all being degraded rapidly. Concurrently, human cultural
diversity is being eroded rapidly everywhere. For example, one of the remaining
7,000 languages is being lost every week, yet each one represents a distinct
philosophical and pragmatic approach to the organization of our lives. We are
losing our cultural heritage at a rate that will seriously diminish our opportunities
to achieve sustainability in the future.”
Kauai Declaration 2007
Economic Botany 61: 1-2
At the same time however, indigenous peoples will also need the support of the
international community to continue their role as traditional caretakers of marginal and
fragile ecosystems. Projected climate changes will exceed any previously experienced
changes and traditional coping mechanisms may therefore not in themselves be sufficient
to deal with impacts of climate change.

5
At a recent two-day symposium (April 12-13, 2007) at the Environmental Change
Institute of Oxford, researchers from different disciplinary backgrounds from the
humanities and social sciences to the natural and physical sciences, as well as
representatives of academic, research, and non-profit organisations gathered to discuss
how indigenous and other local peoples are affected by global climate change, and how
they perceive and react to these changes. The focus was not only on the plight of
indigenous peoples, but also on their resourcefulness and active responses to climatic
variation. We discussed how to promote indigenous peoples’ voices and actions within
climate change policy, research and actions. Here, we synthesize these presentations,
findings and discussions of the symposium.
2. Indigenous People and Climate Change
a. Looking back at climate change
People have faced climate change and adapted to it since our species
evolved. The great majority of that time1 is obscure and can only be
reconstructed through archaeological or proxy2 analyses, which have much to
contribute to our understanding of past human adaptation to and mitigation of
climate change.
From archaeology, we know that food shortage is common and food
storage and sharing are central to survival during disasters and climate change.
The invention of agriculture was almost
certainly a major adaptation to climate
change. However, much of what people have
developed in response to disaster has also
been lost: domesticated crops have been lost,
water harvesting techniques have been lost,
and dry land management has been lost.
Now we must rely on archaeology to
reconstruct these processes, as well as
prehistoric farming techniques, plant use,
and especially environmental management.
What were prehistorically common seasonal
foods have now become famine foods, with
the danger that knowledge of them and their
management will be lost forever. We know
that above all, in times of disaster and
climate change that people depended on
1 96.3% of human history is archaeological in the New World and much, much more in the Old World.
2Proxy analysis: analysis of data not directly related to the primary factor (here, people and/or climate
change) but possibly indicative of that factor (e.g., pollen analyses indicate climate change and human
activities).

6
diversity – diversity of crops and their varieties, of wild plants, and of
environments. We know that environmental and social stress resulted in
conflict and in massive death. Extinction of ancient cultures is more common
than survival. These are fierce and powerful lessons to contemplate as we
consider what indigenous people can teach us about climate change.
Around the world, agriculture was developed at the end of the last ice age,
at the beginning of the Holocene dating back approximately 11,500 years.
What do we know about climate
change during this period?
There have been major changes
in hydrological events and also
in extreme weather events, as
well as temperature changes
during the Holocene. All
indications are that conditions
were wetter during the first half
of the Holocene, followed by
varying degrees of desiccation.
The 'Anthropocene' hypothesis
(Ruddiman 2003) proposes that
human activities – largely
deforestation and agriculture –
resulted in CO2 increases over
the last 8000y and in CH4 increases over the last 5000y. If this theory is
correct, there are major implications for human-induced climate change long
predating our present focus on industrial, fossil fuel driven climate change.
Nonetheless, the climate change, driven by recent (200 y) fossil-fuel and
deforestation carbon emissions, predicted for this century (see IPCC I
http://www.ipcc.ch/WG1_SPM_17Apr07.pdf ) is far greater than anything
previously known in the Holocene or indeed in human history and prehistory.
Only during the mid-Cretaceous (~ 100 Ma when the dinosaurs roamed the
planet), the late-Paleocene (~ 55 Ma when tropical plants and cold-blooded
animals ranged within the Arctic Circle), and the mid- Pliocene (~ 4 Ma) were
temperatures higher – all long predating humans. So, people have never
adapted to climate change on the scale that we now face.
b. Contemporary Climate Change problems
Climate change is projected on a global scale and is a global phenomenon.
However, different areas and different environments are affected very
differently. People too will face different aspects of climate change
depending on where they live. We divide the world into broad environmental
categories within which there are some climate change commonalities but also
much local and regional variation.

7
i. Polar regions
The one region for which the IPCC II summary acknowledges
Climate Change impacts on indigenous peoples is the polar region of
which they say, “Detrimental impacts would include those on
infrastructure and traditional indigenous ways of life.” Fortunately, we
need not depend on this fleeting mention for information. After polar
bears, the Inuit are the best known victims of climate change. Traditional
livelihoods of all peoples of the arctic are threatened by melting ice shields
and permafrost. For arctic peoples, hunting and fishing strategies depend
on stable ice; homes are built on ice or permanently frozen ground; and
travel depends on solid ice. Temperatures in the arctic are rising
disproportionately – predicted to increase by as much as 8oC in the 21st
century under present conditions – affecting the livelihood strategies and
knowledge of arctic peoples more quickly than elsewhere.
ii. Alpine areas
Alpine ecosystems around the world, too, are warming at a
disproportionate rates (predicted to increase by as much as 5-6oC in the
21st century under present conditions). Glacial retreat was one of the first
phenomena to draw our attention to global warming. Iconic peaks such as
Kilimanjaro will have snows no more. Detailed studies track the upward
movement on mountains of treeline and alpine plants (www.gloria.ac.at).
Plants at the highest elevations are being pushed off the top of mountain
peaks (or more accurately stated, out competed by plants normally found
at lower elevations). Palynological studies have mapped floral retreats
and advances on mountains in the past but nothing compared to the speed
of change today. Alpine warming and aforestation will further threaten
endangered animals like Snow Leopards and mountain sheep. However,
what receives very little attention is the importance of these floras and
faunas to Indigenous Peoples. For example, Tibetan and Andean
highlanders depend on Alpine floras for medicines, food, grazing and
hunting. In the future, when trees cover the high mountains, these people
will be deprived of important traditional resources central to their
livelihoods. Where will Tibetans be without Tibetan medicines and
Alpine meadows to graze their Yaks? Can high Andean tuber-crops and
animals, such as llama and vicuña, survive the warming?

8
iii. Deserts
What will happen to the deserts of the world is more difficult to
predict. It is not just a mater of increasing temperatures but also changing
rainfall, ocean currents, monsoon circulations, river systems, winds, and
human behaviour – all difficult to model. Variability, which is notoriously
difficult to predict, is also significant. Nonetheless, some very
sophisticated models have been developed with startling results (for
example, see BBC report on the Kalahari of southern Africa:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/cbbcnews/hi/newsid_4480000/newsid_4481400/4481402.stm).
What will happen to Kalahari dunefields in the 21 st century? There are
2.5 million km2 of dunes in southern Africa, deposited by wind during the
Quaternary. Currently, most dunes are vegetated and used for grazing.
However, predictions are for 2.5-4.3oC temperature rise this century with
dune expansion and transport unequalled in the Holocene. The Kalahari
Desert is expected to double in size and wind speeds will increase
dramatically. Thousands of people, who inhabit this area presently, will
struggle to survive, with cattle and goat farming becoming increasingly
less feasible and their traditional resource base for hunting and gathering
restricted or absent. Even today, indigenous groups, which have been
forced to become sedentary, huddle around government drilled boreholes
for water, many dependent on government handouts for survival. Without
doubt, indigenous peoples of the deserts are on the frontline of global
climate change.

9
iv. Tropical Rainforests
In the tropical rainforests of the world there is predicted to be a 2-
8oC temperature rise in this century. However, even more important than
temperature rise are other factors such as rainfall and seasonality, which
depend on sea-surface temperatures, which are themselves difficult to
model and the sea-rainforest interactions even more so. For instance,
Asian, Pacific and even Amazonian tropical forests are already profoundly
impacted by existing climatic variation caused by the ENSO, and these are
predicted to be more frequent and of greater intensity in the future,
bringing extended droughts, crop failures and even larger forest fires then
are presently experienced in these regions. There is a quite high
concurrence of models predicting a 20% or more overall decrease in
rainfall in the Amazon. Additionally, the reduction in precipitation is
larger during the dry season when plants and people are most stressed.
These effects of climate change on the Amazon forest are exacerbated by
deforestation and forest fragmentation which in turn release more carbon
into the atmosphere creating yet more climate change, forming a positive
feedback loop. There was a preview of what is to come during the severe
drought of 2005 when much of the western Amazon burned. Models
suggest that in this century much of the Amazon rainforest will first be
replaced by savannas and then even possibly by bare soils. What sort of
future is this for the indigenous peoples of the Amazon rainforest?
Is there hope in this ‘doom and gloom’ scenario? If so, it lies with
the indigenous peoples themselves, who are very successful at preventing
deforestation and managing natural rainforests. A global carbon market in

10
avoided deforestation is likely to emerge in the next few years, which
represents a huge financial opportunity for indigenous people to be paid
for preserving their forest lands. However, will governments recognize
tenure-rights, local priorities and the cultural contributions of indigenous
peoples and will they address the challenges in implementation, such as
equitable benefit sharing?
v. Islands
Climate changes common to many islands are rising sea levels and
temperatures, ocean current oscillation changes (such as the ENSO), and
increasingly violent storms. Other climate changes – temperature, winds,
rainfall, and so forth – differ with island location. Other environmental
changes are important everywhere in the world and often interact with
climate change (see below), but these others factors are particularly
prominent on islands. Islands are dynamic, ephemeral platforms:
volcanoes build and erode; coral atolls submerge and reappear. Island
endemism is extraordinarily high and the majority of extinctions on earth
are on islands although they represent only 3% of land area. Thus, island
biodiversity is already precarious. Diverse indigenous peoples on islands
live on the margins between sea and land and between survival and
failure. Natural disasters they face include island subsidence, drought,
loss of fresh water; rapid anthropogenic disasters include disease,
invasion, and nuclear testing; slow anthropogenic problems include
deteriorating public health, social reorganization, economic globalization,
and invasive species. Nonetheless, island peoples have extensive
indigenous knowledge of environmental management that will be
necessary for their survival in the face of climate change: land
stabilization and fisheries management, to name but two.

11
vi. Temperate ecosystems
Climate change affects temperate ecosystems quite differently
depending on geography, with inundation at sea level and either more or
less rainfall. However, temperatures are rising. Plant and animal
distributions, ranges, phenologies, symbioses, and community structures
are changing. Deterioration of ecosystem services is just one
anthropocentric concern. Indigenous peoples depend on seasonal
abundances of resources which are changing. They rely on predictable
levels of rainfall, winter snowpack and glaciers to feed the lakes, creeks
and rivers that are critical habitat for fish and other resources. On-shore
and off-shore marine resources are weather dependent and yet weather is
becoming increasingly unpredictable. Dry periods, which can no longer
be depended upon, are needed for preserving fish, seaweed, and other
resources; people are now trying to dry indoor or freeze foods. Indigenous
people have stories, taboos, and knowledge about great changes in the
past, but these are inadequate in the face of present climate changes. “They
don’t even know what to do with this weather!” says a woman elder of the
Gitga’at Nation, British Columbia. And yet the future is predicted to bring
even greater climate changes.
Winter
Fall Summer
3. Biodiversity and Climate Change
Spring
Indigenous peoples universally use biodiversity as a buffer against variation,
change, and catastrophe. In the face of plague, if one crop fails, another will survive,
with biodiversity additionally staving off attack of susceptible crops. Indigenous
peoples use biodiversity over space and time, among species and varieties, in forests

12
and agriculture, from landscape to genetic levels. Biodiversity is central to
indigenous environmental management and livelihoods. Biodiversity is especially
important among indigenous societies living on the margins of fragile and changing
ecological, economic, and political systems. Nonetheless, biodiversity itself is
threatened by climate change. Again and again, we heard this recurring theme of
biodiversity and climate change.
Prehistorically, biodiversity of the earth has been devastated during periods of
drastic climate change. During human history, climate change, societal change and
biodiversity have been closely linked. We focus on the development of agriculture as
a major human advance, but setbacks – such as loss of crop biodiversity, both
domesticated species and landraces – are equally salient features in human history.
Today, we see many links between global warming and biodiversity. Climate change
is greatest at high elevations and simultaneously biodiversity is among the highest on
earth. For example in Europe, 25% of the flora is alpine on less than 3% of the land
surface. In alpine areas, upward movement of plants is measurable with the highest
floras predicted to be displaced off the top of mountains, off their “sky islands.”
Global warming is causing the loss of alpine biodiversity. On islands, many factors
interact resulting in the greatest rates of extinction on earth: island ephemerality,
habitat destruction, violent storms, salinization of ground water, over-exploitation,
invasive species – as well as climate change. In deserts, both people and biodiversity
cling to existence in small, dynamic, non-equilibrium patches which may be decimate
by climate change. Tropical rainforests of the world are havens of outstanding
biodiversity, as well as indigenous cultural diversity; as tropical rainforests burn
(outside of indigenous territories), this heritage of biodiversity is threatened. Changes
of distributions, phenologies, and extinctions of individual species are being traced

13
and modelled by scientists but also by indigenous peoples and through “citizen
science.”
Indigenous peoples are fighting loss of biodiversity and adapting to climate
change through migration, irrigation, water conservation techniques, land
reclamation, changing where and at what elevation plants are cultivated, livelihood
adaptation and myriads of other techniques. Nonetheless, as climate change threatens
biodiversity, it simultaneously removes the major defence that indigenous people
have against variation and change. Their primary tool for adaptation is at risk.
4. Indigenous Peoples observe climate change
While climate models can paint the bigger picture of climate change and provide
estimates for the likely consequences of different future scenarios of human
development, they are not very good at providing information about changes at the
local level. In recent years, there has been an increasing realisation that indigenous
groups are a valuable source of this information. Most published reports on
indigenous observations of climate changes have come from Arctic regions where the
co-operation between scientists and indigenous peoples is strongest. However, as the
symposium amply demonstrated, it is not only in the Arctic where indigenous peoples
are observing climate changes. From the British Columbian coast to the Kalahari
Desert to the English countryside and to the Himalayan mountains, local people are
noticing changes in climatic conditions. These changes include:
a. Temperature changes: there is the greatest agreement among peoples
concerning temperature increase. The degree of temperature increase
varies (see above) and, in some cases, the increase in temperature is
mainly manifest in certain seasons.
b. Changes in rain and snow: Models and records of precipitation mainly
focus on changing amounts of precipitation with climate change (and are
less accurate than temperature models). In contrast, indigenous peoples
also emphasize changes in the regularity, length, intensity, and timing of
precipitation. Where precipitation used to occur in clearly delimited
seasons of rain or snow, nowadays seasons are less distinct or occur at
different times. In other areas, where precipitation used to be regular, now
there may be distinct dry periods and more intense rainfall in shorter
periods of time.
c. Changes in seasons and phenology: most indigenous peoples have
prominent phenological markers that signal the change of the seasons.
These can be the appearance of certain birds, the mating of certain
animals, or the flowering of certain plants. With climate change, many of
these phenological events are occurring earlier or may be decoupled from
the season or weather that they used to indicate.

14
d. Changes in wind, waves, and violent storms: in many areas people report
that winds are stronger nowadays and that there are more thunderstorms
and lightning. Increases in the number and violence of hurricanes and
typhoons are being recorded around the world. Accompanying storm
surges (often with the same effects as Tsunamis) are devastating to island
and coastal peoples.
e. Variation among years: in addition to specific changes, more variation in
year-to-year weather patterns is reported from many areas, with some
years being unusually dry, some rainy, some much hotter and some colder
than usual. Stormy years are also variable and unpredictable. Variation
today is often more extreme than in the past.
f. Changes in glaciers, snow cover, ice, rivers and lakes: in most areas
glacial retreat is very obvious while snow and ice cover is decreasing and
may occur later than before. Impacts on rivers and lakes are variable
depending on local changes in glacial melt, precipitation and temperature.
g. Species variation: in many areas people have noticed the disappearance or
decline in abundance of species (especially noted are valuable resources).
At the same time, new, hitherto unknown species arrive. These may
constitute new resources, while others may be pests.

15
5. Indigenous Peoples adapt to climate change
Indigenous peoples are not only keen observers of climate changes but are also
actively trying to adapt to the changing conditions. In some instances, people can
draw on already existing mechanisms for coping with short-term adverse climatic
conditions such as droughts or flooding. Some of these responses may be traditionally
included in their normal subsistence activities, while others may be acute responses,
used only in case of critical weather conditions. In general, there appears to be a
hierarchy of responses, whereby as conditions worsen additional physical and
biological responses are added, and social and political relations become more
important for providing resources for basic survival. The following are some of the
traditional as well as innovative responses that have been reported from various
locations around the world:
a. Diversified resource base: a commonly employed strategy to minimize
the risk due to harvest failure, traditional people often grow many different
crops and varieties (e.g., with different susceptibility to droughts and
floods) and supplement these by hunting, fishing and gathering wild food
plants. Diversity of crops and food resources are often matched by a
similar diversity in field location, some which are more prone to flooding,
others more prone to drought, so that in extreme weather some fields are
likely to produce harvestable crops. In areas with market access people
may also supplement their subsistence base by selling surplus crops,
handicrafts, wage labour, forest products, and so forth.

16
b. Change in varieties and species: While indigenous agricultural techniques
commonly include many crop varieties and species even in non-crisis
times, a crisis may trigger a shift in which new crop varieties or species
are planted, and unusual resources are harvested. In the Kalahari, for
example, recent changes in precipitation have encouraged a shift from
rain-fed agriculture to manually watered homestead gardening and have
exacerbated a shift from cattle to goats.
c. Change in the timing of activities: crop harvests, wild plant gathering,
hunting and fishing are being adjusted to changes in growing seasons and
times of animal migrations and reproduction. Adjusting the time when
different resources are exploited may, however, not be easy if timing
conflicts with other activities, or if people depend on specific climatic
conditions. High water levels are needed for boats and sunny weather is
needed to dry harvested plants and meat; if weather conditions do not
occur when needed, people suffer or must adapt.
d. Change of techniques: where changing climatic conditions are making the
use of traditional techniques such as sun-drying foods impossible, people
may resort to novel techniques, such as the British Columbian Gitga’at
who recently have been unable to sun-dry their food reliably because of
unseasonable wet spells and are having to freeze their food until they get
sunny weather, or dry it indoors. Changes may also take place in the
agricultural techniques, such as irrigation replacing rain-fed agriculture.
e. Change of location: Acute climatic crises as well as more long-term
climate changes may cause people to shift their agricultural activities
and/or their settlements to new locations, which are less susceptible to
adverse climatic conditions. The Makushi of Guyana thus move from their
savannah homes to forest areas during droughts and plant cassava, their
main staple crop, on moist floodplains normally too wet for the crop.
With temperature rises, mountain peoples begin cultivating crops at higher

17
elevations. The Kenyah in Borneo plant new crops such as maize in the
drying river beds during droughts cause by El Nino events.
f. Changes in resources and/or life style: many agricultural peoples resort
more to wild foods in the case of emergency situations such as droughts
and floods. For example, the Kenyah of Borneo, who normally rely on
agriculture, sometimes switch to extracting starch from wild Sago palms
during El Niño droughts. Similarly, many traditional peoples in the
Amazon basin switched to a reliance on fish during the drought of 2005.
g. Exchange: In addition to using locally available wild resources in times of
crisis, many peoples
also obtain food and
other necessities from
external sources in
times of crises. Such
resources may be
obtained through
exchange, reciprocity,
barter, or markets.
People may also grow
to depend on
emergency aid from the
state or NGOs.
h. Resource management: Scarce and climate-sensitive resources may be
enhanced by traditional management techniques. In the Marshall Islands,
people have traditionally secured their freshwater supplies on which their
survival depends by placing coral blocks around them to build up land
around the freshwater lenses and protect them from salt-water intrusion.
Similarly, in many rain-forest locations, traditional peoples enhance
biodiversity by planting, transplanting, and weeding around useful species.
Irrigation technologies create whole agroecosystems in the desert oases of
North Africa. Often these resource enhancing techniques are subtle and go
unrecognised by outsiders. However, traditional management may
become apparent once it is removed (e.g., if traditional peoples are
removed from an area or are no longer active due to political, economic,
or demographic restrictions).
6. Indigenous Peoples interpret climate change
While scientific explanations of climatic changes have mainly concentrated on
anthropogenic, greenhouse gas emissions, local interpretations of observed climate
changes are often much more varied and encompassing. Whether or not scientific
models are incorporated into local explanations depends on the status and
accessibility of science within a culture and on the influence of media. In some

18
places, media and their coverage of climate change issues dominate people’s
understandings of climate changes. Nonetheless, people’s own observations are local
and tangible. Seldom do the media report on climate changes that impact the timing
and outcome of agricultural activities, hunting, fishing and resource gathering. These
personal observations and experiences evoke deeply felt emotions, as familiar signs
of seasonal changes become decoupled and traditional knowledge of the weather
becomes invalidated. Scientific causal explanations of climate changes may be seen
as removed and abstract: invisible things are being put out into the atmosphere by
anonymous corporations and states. As a consequence, people may feel powerless
and/or not responsible for combating climate changes, despite their own vivid
experiences of climate change impacts. This was seen to be the case with farmers in
western Austria, who had many detailed observations of climate changes, ranging
from increased wind-felled trees, increased drought, and decreased snow cover, but
whose information on climate change causes were largely based on the media and
who did not see themselves as connected to the causes or their solutions.
In contrast, where media play a limited role, interpretations are more closely
dependent on people’s own observations and local cultural framework. Many local
interpretations contain strong ethical elements, often framed in terms of a
cosmological or spiritual balance, which has been upset. These interpretations are not
created ad hoc to explain present-day climate changes, but have in many instances
their roots in traditional ways of interpreting climatic and weather phenomena as
signs of something more than mere biophysical processes. In many parts of the world
and within the context of many different belief systems local people have traditionally
interpreted adverse weather conditions as well as more catastrophic events as
punishments for human
wrongdoings. Examples are
thunder storms and hail, which
express the wrath of local deities
in Tibet or forest spirits in
Borneo, and volcanic eruptions
in British Columbia, which were
interpreted as retributions for
cruelty. The adverse climatic
conditions or catastrophic events
are thought to be caused by the
breach of taboos, such as
hunting at certain times or
places, picking specific plants,
or eating certain foods. General
mores against human cruelty, selfishness, greed, or lack of spirituality, if
transgressed, are also thought to precipitate catastrophe. These moral or spiritual
explanations of climate change contrast with scientific explanations. However, other
traditional peoples integrate scientific and local explanations. For example, there is a
view that climate change is caused by people’s greed and selfishness in over-consumption
that leads to greenhouse gas emissions. Local views of climate changes

19
are characteristically interwoven with other environmental and societal problems.
One example is proposed oil and gas drilling and tanker traffic along the north coast
of British Columbia that the Gitga’at and other local communities resist because of
concerns over both pollution and climate change.
While many traditional peoples see climate change as having spiritual and
social causes, there are also inverse examples of climate changes being perceived as a
threat to local deities and spiritual powers. In Tibet, local deities are physically
manifest in snow capped mountains. Hence, some Tibetans are worried about the fate
and power of these mountain deities melting away with the snow. Such
interpretations cause great anxiety and distress. While certain climatic phenomena,
such as droughts, have long established traditional interpretations, others, such as
snow-melt and glacial retreat, have no precedent, so that local explanations may vary.
Joseph Rock 1923 Robert Moseley 2003
In general, local interpretations of climate change may help people better
make sense of observed climate changes, but do not necessarily empower them to act.
This is especially the case where climate change threatens landscape features of
spiritual value, or where the culprits of climate change are perceived to be outsiders.
These ‘others’ can be other parts of society, the state, companies or western cultures,
which are generally seen as being outside the sphere of local influence.
7. Interacting factors affecting perception, interpretation and adaptation
Local peoples’ experiences and interpretations, as well as scientific
research, indicate that climate change seldom acts in isolation, but interacts with
other environmental and social factors. Interactions tremendously affect peoples’
perceptions, interpretations, and adaptations to climate change.
Many of the climate change factors previously discussed are
interconnected. Peoples’ interpretation of climate change is affected by both

20
media and cosmology. Peoples’ perception of climate change may be influenced
by normal inter-annual variations such as El Niño-related droughts in Borneo and
multi-year rain-drought-patterns in southern Africa. Such irregular patterns make
it harder to detect any long-term climate change. Difficulties in detection of
climate changes will influence people’s ability to adapt. On the other hand,
people who normally respond to recurring climatic variation (e.g., droughts or
floods) may be better prepared to adapt to long- term climatic changes. They may
adjust their existing strategies for coping with short-term crises to create long-term
adaptive strategies. Other factors that may influence adaptation of human
societies include insurance schemes, government benefit schemes, policies, social
relationships with other groups, access to information, NGO projects, land rights,
and access to resources and ecosystems. While insurance and government help
may provide crucial assistance to disaster-struck people, it may also remove the
incentive for adaptation and preventative measures. This is the case in diverse
settings such as farmers in the Austrian Alps, Pacific Islanders, and desert peoples
of the Kalahari. Government policies and development initiatives (whether
government of NGO) may promote or hinder adaptation, depending whether these
only aim at short-term economic development or also take into account
impending climate changes. There are ample examples of projects that have
promoted agricultural or economic enterprises, which will be unsustainable under
changing climatic conditions. For example, with decreasing access to water,
dependence on irrigated agriculture will increase people’s vulnerability. However,
where NGOs and state agencies help to disseminate information and promote
crops and management methods suitable under changed climatic conditions,
agricultural assistance can support people’s own efforts at adaptation. One
problem with such directed efforts is that some future predictions are still
uncertain especially local precipitation patterns, which are of crucial importance
in agricultural systems.

21
Social and economic ties between different groups of peoples may be
beneficial in times of crisis. Groups hit by adverse climate conditions can acquire
resources from other groups not experiencing the same problems (e.g., due to
reliance on different agricultural techniques, use of different resources and
ecosystems, or local variation in climatic conditions). This is the case among the
Penan Benalui foragers and Kenyah Badeng farmers in Borneo (see above).
However, with impending climate change some of these reciprocal systems may
break down, as certain groups may become more permanently disadvantaged. The
breakdown of such systems is evidenced in the archaeological record of Mimbres
Valley in New Mexico. The Mimbres culture predominantly inhabited moist
valley bottoms, which buffered them against droughts. Nonetheless, in a period of
above average rainfall, satellite settlements were established in higher and drier
areas, which probably received support from the more humid main settlement
areas in dry years. However, when conditions became permanently dry, there was
not only the dissolution of upland settlements but of the whole Mimbres culture.
Thus, interacting factors can have positive or negative effects.

22
Migration between environments in times of stress
Many risk aversion
strategies depend on different
crop species and varieties, as
well as on access to wild
resources and ecosystems (see
above). Hence, agricultural
policies, such as permanent
settlements, can hinder
indigenous coping mechanisms.
In Guyana, for example, the
Makushi have traditionally
responded to drought by leaving
their main settlements in the
savannah and migrating to rain
forest areas in times of drought.
Government settlement policies
prohibited the Makushi from
traditional temporary migration.
So even though the government
provided food aid during the
drought, the Makushi had no
seeds (or clonal stakes) to re-establish
agriculture after the
end of the drought.
Markets may undermine traditional coping strategies if traditional crop
species and varieties are replaced by high-input, high-yielding commercial seed
varieties susceptible to pests, diseases and climate variation. However, in some
cases, markets may also help people cope with climate change if there is food and
other resources to buy in times of crisis.
Benefits of newly created opportunities (e.g., markets) are determined, not
surprisingly, by factors such as power relationships within and among groups.
Powerful individuals, households and groups may appropriate new opportunities
presented by climate change and monopolize resources threatened by climate
change. Many indigenous and traditional peoples not only inhabit marginal areas,
but also are politically and economically marginalized. They are extremely
vulnerable and yet are forced into new situations, such as markets, where their
traditional knowledge and skills are not applicable.
8. Policy
Significant changes have occurred in the climate change discussion within the last
year. This is partly related to the release of reports such as the Stern review and the
Fourth Assessment Report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

23
(IPCC). The Stern review, released in autumn 2006 was commissioned by the UK
Treasury (rather than the environmental ministry) to assess the economic impacts of
climate change as well as the cost of mitigating climate change. The Stern review was
partly an attempt to counter claims that it would be too costly to try to mitigate
climate change compared to any damages that might arise from climate change. Main
findings of the Stern review were that mitigation costs are relatively moderate, while
climate change related losses are likely to be much larger than previously thought.
Although criticised by many economists for its underlying assumptions (especially
about discount rates) and methods, it has informed policy discussions in the UK and
elsewhere, including climate-sceptic countries like Australia.
During the first months of 2007, two of the working groups under IPCC have
released policy maker summaries of new assessment reports, summarising current
knowledge about climate change. In February 2007 IPCC working group I released a
summary for policy makers of its report on the Physical Science Basis. This report
contained stronger scientific evidence of observed global warming and its human
causes and a new set of projections about how climate might change into the future.
In April 2007, this was followed by the policy maker summary of the assessment of
IPCC working group II on “Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability”. As in the first
report, more and stronger evidence was presented for the impacts of climate change
on natural systems as well as on human activities in many parts of the world. Impacts
are predicted to be especially large for poor countries as well as for many of the
ecosystems that indigenous peoples inhabit (see above). The report also notes that
some human adaptation is already taking place, but that adaptation efforts need to be
increased. In May 2007, IPCC working group III released “Mitigation of Climate
Change” that holds realistic hope for stabilization and reversal of climate change.
Emphasis is, however, on large-scale projects and initiatives such as infrastructure

24
projects and government responses to acute crises, while the adaptive responses and
mitigations of indigenous and other local peoples receive far less attention.
In addition to these reports, several national, regional and international
regulatory frameworks are currently being considered and negotiated. Notably, the
ending of the current Kyoto commitment period in 2012 has sparked debates about
the form and content of any follow-up agreement. While the Kyoto agreement (and
similar regional agreements such as the European Trading Scheme) started a
flourishing trade in carbon credits, only modest emission reductions have been
achieved. It is therefore being debated whether carbon-emission permits for the future
should be allocated in different ways (e.g., on the basis of population, or by auction).
Another point of debate is the efficiency of carbon off-set projects for reforestation or
lower carbon fuels and the possible inclusion of standing forests and prevented
deforestation (which are currently not considered off-sets under Kyoto). Others argue
that the focus should shift completely away from carbon credits to other mechanisms
of curbing emissions such as taxes and technology transfer. This could partly be
achieved by the development and transfer of cleaner technologies, but there remain
questions such as how to pay for technology development and transfer. Similarly,
there are still heated debates on costs of adaptation, which will be very unevenly
distributed around the world with poor nations predicted to bear the brunt of climate
change related damages and costs. Indigenous Peoples and their plight are seldom
mentioned in these discussions.
In addition to global agreements and negotiations, there are also recent
regional developments. In March 2007, the EU agreed on new climate commitments
including 20% cuts in greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 (30% if other countries
participate). Similarly, many nation states such as the UK are currently drafting new
national climate change policies and legislation. In addition to commitments by
nation states and international bodies there are also growing commitments from non-nation
state actors, such as corporations, states, NGOs and individuals. How much
these voluntary commitments will be able to contribute to the emission reductions
remains to be seen.
9. Methods available for Climate Change research and participation
Notably, scientists are studying Indigenous Peoples and Climate Change
employing a huge array of methods. Deliberating and deciding on diverse
methodologies will strengthen not only our data and results but will also broaden our
perspectives and hopefully our analyses of potential solutions to Climate Change.
Combining disparate methods can help to build transdisciplinary bridges. Pairing
quantitative and qualitative methods helps overcomes inherent weaknesses, as well as
optimizing strengths. Participatory methods “decolonize methodologies” and
integrate indigenous peoples into all stages of research: setting the agenda,
developing methods, carrying out the research, and analyzing the data, as well as
disseminating research results and returning them to local people. In this spirit of
inclusiveness and integration, we briefly outline the methods used and promoted by

25
our conference participants; each of the following methodologies is really a grouping
of diverse and complimentary techniques described elsewhere:
a. Climatology and climate modelling
b. Ice-core analyses
c. Paleobiology and geology
d. Palynology, peat stratigraphy, megafossils, and macrofossils
e. Palaeolimnology and limnology
f. Archaeology and palaeoethnobotany
g. Vegetation science
h. Population ecology
i. Conservation science
j. Geographic information systems
k. Soil science
l. Repeat photography, repeat inventories, and time sequence sampling
m. Interviews, questionnaires, open discussions
n. Cultural domain analysis
o. Participatory techniques and “citizen science”
p. Participant observation
q. Policy and economic analyses
10. A Proposal with Indigenous Peoples and Climate Change
From the data and perspectives on Indigenous Peoples and Climate
Change, it becomes evident that indigenous knowledge and perceptions must be
incorporated into the Climate Change forum. Indigenous Peoples offer local
observations and techniques for adapting to and mitigating climate change.
Indigenous Peoples must exercise self-determination and be empowered to deal
with climate change which threatens their traditional livelihoods, indeed their
very existence. Integration and feedback loops between climate change science
and indigenous peoples must be established and employed. Both parties can gain
knowledge from the other and support each other in action.
We propose conjoined research and action with indigenous peoples to
afford them more prominence in international climate change discussion and
action. Researchers and indigenous peoples around the world call for networks.
Coordinated and concerted efforts may include:
1. Self-representation of Indigenous Peoples in Climate Change forum
a. Building and supporting social capital:
i. Network of indigenous peoples to discuss climate
change experiences, responses, and actions
ii. Virtual “Culture and Climate Change Center”:
knowledge bank of TEK
b. Documenting knowledge (TEK) and insights on Climate
Change

26
i. weather patterns and indigenous climatology
ii. changes in abundance, distribution, seasonal
development and interactions of plant and animal
species
iii. ecosystem changes
iv. agricultural and livelihood changes
v. health and welfare changes
vi. cultural changes
vii. recommended and instituted adaptations, mitigations,
and policies
2. Ethnoecological Research on Climate Change
a. Baseline data and monitoring of climate change and vegetation
patterns that will be affected by climate change and will in turn
effect livelihoods
b. Ethnometereology and ethnoclimatology: classifications and
explanations of weather and climate; how weather and climate
fit into cosmologies and activity schedules.
c. Perceptions, effects, adaptations, and mitigations of climate
variation and change
d. Disaster responses: vulnerability, resilience, change
e. Policy and carbon credit benefit sharing potentials
f. Network of ethnecologists studying climate change
3. Joint actions
a. Joint network of climate change researchers, ethnoecologists,
and indigenous peoples
b. Participatory agenda and responses to climate change
c. Exploring carbon offset strategies that Indigenous Peoples
practice and for which they should receive benefits
d. Indigenous Peoples’ and Ethnoecology Forum in World
Conservation Congress in 2008 (or other major Climate
Change Forum)
Around the world, Indigenous People have developed sustainable carbon
neutral and carbon negative livelihoods that would behove us to learn from and to
emulate. At the same time Indigenous People around the world are on the front-line
of climate change, experiencing the brunt: temperature rises, sea-level rises,
both droughts and floods, ice sheet and snow melt, glacial retreat, increasingly
violent storms and unpredictable weather, and more. Their voices must be heard
and their insights abided. A Tibetan villager warns, “If the snow disappears
[from our sacred mountains], people will disappear from the earth.”

27
11. Relevant Literature
Alley R.B. 2000. The two-mile time machine – Ice Cores, Abrupt Climate Change,
and Our Future. Princeton University Press.
Alverson K., Bradley R., and Pedersen T. (Eds.). 2002. Paleoclimate, Global Change
and the Future. Springer.
Araga L.E.O.C., Malhi Y., Roman-Cuesta R.M., Saatchi S., Anderson L.O., and
Shimabukuro Y.E. 2007. Spatial patterns and fire response of recent Amazonian
droughts. Geophysical Research Letters 34 (7): Art. No. L07701.
Araújo M. B., and Rahbek C. 2006. How does climate change affect biodiversity.
Science 313: 1396-1397.
Barnett T. P., Adam J. C., Lettenmaier, D. P. 2005. Potential impacts of a warming
climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions. Nature 438: 303-309.
Berglund B.E. 2003. Human impact and climate changes—synchronous events and a
causal link? Quarternary International 105 (1): 7-12.
Berkes F., Colding J., and Folke C. 2000. Rediscovery of traditional ecological
knowledge as adaptive management. Ecological Applications 10 (5): 1251-1262.
Berkes F. and Jolly D. 2001. Adapting to climate change: socio-ecological resilience
in a Canadian Western Arctic Community. Conservation Ecology 5(2): 18.
Bollig M., and Schulte A. 1999. Environmental change and pastoral perceptions:
Degradation and Indigenous knowledge in two African pastoral communities. Human
Ecology 27(3): 493–514.

28
Cook K.H., and Vizy E.K. 2006. Coupled model simulations of the west African
monsoon system: Twentieth- and Twenty-First-century simulations. Journal of
Climate 19 (15): 3681-3703.
Couzin J. 2007. Opening doors to native knowledge. Science 315: 1518-1519.
Cramer W., Bondeau A., Schaphoff S., Lucht W., Smith B., and Sitch S. 2004.
Tropical forests and the global carbon cycle: impacts of atmospheric carbon dioxide,
climate change and rate of deforestation. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal
Society, Series B 359 (1443): 331-343.
Davis B.A.S., Brewer S., Stevenson A.C., and Guiot J. 2003. The temperature of
Europe during the Holocene reconstructed from pollen data. Quaternary Science
Reviews 22: 1701-1716.
De Wit M., and Stankiewicz J. 2006. Changes in surface water supply across Africa
with predicted climate change. Science 311 (5769): 1917-1921.
Ellen R. (Ed.). 2006. Ethnobiology and the Science of Humankind. Blackwell
Publishing.
Fagan B. 1999. Floods, famines and emperors: El Niño and the fate of civilizations.
Basic Books.
Fagan B. 2001. The little ice age. Basic Books.
Fagan B. 2005. The long summer. Basic Books.
Garibaldi A., and Turner N. 2004. Cultural keystone species: implications for
ecological conservation and restoration. Ecology and Society 9(3): 1.
Gunderson L.H., and Holling C.S. (Eds.). 2002. Panarchy: understanding
transformations in human and natural systems. Island Press, Washington, DC.
Henning A. 2005. Climate change and energy use. Anthropology Today 21:8-12.
Hoerling M., Hurrell J., Eischeid J, Phillips A. 2006. Detection and attribution of
twentieth-century northern and southern African rainfall change. Journal of Climate
19 (16): 3989-4008.
Howell P. 2003. Indigenous Early Warning Indicators of Cyclones: Potential
Application in Coastal Bangladesh, in: Disaster Studies Working Paper 6: Benfield
Hazard Research Centre: 1-10.
Huber T., and Pedersen P. 1997. Meteorological knowledge and environmental ideas
in traditional and modern societies: the case of Tibet. Journal of the Royal
Anthropological Institute (N.S.) 3: 577-598.

29
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Working Group I. 2007. 4th Assessment
Report: The Physical Science Basis – Summary for Policy Makers. URL:
http://www.ipcc.ch/WG1_SPM_17Apr07.pdf
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Working Group II. 2007. 4th
Assessment Report: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability – Summary for Policy
Makers. URL: http://www.ipcc.ch/SPM13apr07.pdf
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Working Group III. 2007. 4th
Assessment Report: Mitigation of Climate Change – Summary for Policy Makers.
URL: http://www.ipcc.ch/SPM040507.pdf
Kapralov D.S., Shiyatov S.G., Moiseev P.A., Fomin V.V. 2006. Changes in the
composition, structure, and altitudinal distribution of low forests at the upper limit of
their growth in the Northern Ural Mountains. Russian Journal of Ecology 37 (6): 367-
372.
Krupnik I. & Jolly D. (Eds.). 2002. The Earth is Faster Now – Indigenous
Observations of Arctic Environmental Change. Arctic Research Consortium of the
United States, Fairbanks, Alaska.
Laidler G. J. 2006. Inuit and scientific perspectives on the relationship between sea
ice and climate change: the ideal complement? Climatic Change 78: 407-444.
Lantz T.C., and Turner N.J. 2003. Traditional phenological knowledge of Aboriginal
Peoples in British Columbia. Journal of Ethnobiology 23 (2): 263-286.
Lawrence A. 2006. “No personal motive?” Volunteers, biodiversity and the false
dichotomies of participation. Ethics, Place and Environment 9(3): 279-298.
Lykke A.M. 2000. Local perception of vegetation change and priorities for
conservation of woody-savanna vegetation in Senegal. Journal of Environmental
Management 59: 107-120.
Malhi Y., and Wright J. 2004. Spatial patterns and recent trends in the climate of
tropical rainforest regions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, Series B
359 (1443): 311-329.
Mendelsohn R., Dinar A., and Williams L. 2006. The distributional impact of climate
change on rich and poor countries. Environment and Development Economics 11:
159-178.
Meir P., Cox P., and Grace J. 2006. The influence of terrestrial ecosystems on
climate. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 21 (5): 254-260.

30
Millar D., Kendie S.B., Apusigah A.A., and Heverkort, B. (Eds.). 2005. African
knowledges and sciences – understanding and supporting the ways of knowing in
Sub-Saharan Africa. Papers and proceedings of an International Conference on
Africa. October 23 to 29 2005, Bolgatanga U/R Region Ghana. URL:
http://www.compasnet.org/english/dloadz/africanknowledge/African%20Knowledges
%20and%20Sciences%20final.pdf.
Millenium Ecosystem Assessment. 2005. URL:http://www.maweb.org/en/index.aspx
Milton K. 2002. Loving Nature – Towards an Ecology of Emotion. Routledge.
Minnis P.E. 1985. Social Adaptation to Food Stress: A prehistoric Southwestern
example. University of Chicago Press.
Nepstad D, Schwartzman S, Bamberger B, Santilli M., Ray D., Schlesinger P.,
Lefebvre P., Alencar A., Prinz E., Fiske G., and Rolla A. 2006. Inhibition of Amazon
deforestation and fire by parks and indigenous lands. Conservation Biology 20 (1):
65-73.
Oldfield F. 2005. Environmental Change: Key issues and alternative perspectives.
Cambridge University Press.
Olsson P., Folke C, and Berkes F. 2004. Adaptive comanagement for building
resilience in social-ecological systems. Environmental Management 34(1): 75-60.
Opdam P., and Wascher D. 2004. Climate change meets habitat fragmentation:
linking landscape and biogeographical scale levels in research and conservation.
Biological Conservation 117: 285–297.
Orlove B.S., Chiang J.C.H., and Cane M.A. 2000. Forecasting Andean rainfall and
crop yield from the influence of El Niño on Pleiades visibility. Nature 403: 68-71.
Oyama M.D., and Nobre C.A. 2003. A new climate-vegetation equilibrium state for
tropical South America. Geophysical Research Letters 30 (23): Art. No. 2199.
Parmesan C., and Yohe G. 2003. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change
impacts across natural systems. Nature 421: 37-42.
Parmesan C. 2006. Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change.
Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 37: 637-669.
Pauli H., Gottfried M., Reiter K., Klettner C., and Grabherr G. 2007. Signals of range
expansions and contractions of vascular plants in the high Alps: observations (1994-
2004) at the GLORIA master site Schrankogel, Tyrol, Austria. Global Change
Biology 13, 147-156.

31
Perry A.L., Low P.J., Ellis J.R., and Reynolds J.D. 2005. Climate change and
distribution shifts in marine fishes. Science 308: 1912-1915.
Puri R.K. 2007. Responses to Medium-term Stability in Climate: El Niño, Droughts
and Coping Mechanisms of Foragers and Farmers in Borneo. In: Ellen R. (Ed.).
Modern Crises and Traditional Strategies: Local Ecological Knowledge in Island
Southeast Asia. Pp. 46-83. Berghahn Books, Oxford.
Rahmstorf S. 2007. A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise.
Science 315: 368-370.
Ruddiman W.F. 2005. Plows, plagues, and petroleum: How humans took control of
climate. Princeton University Press.
Sala O.E., Chapin III F.S. Armesto J.J., Berlow E., Bloomfield J., Dirzo R., Huber-
Sanwald E., Huenneke L.F., Jackson R.B., Kinzig A., Leemans R., Lodge D.M.,
Mooney H.A., Oesterheld M., Poff N.L.R., Sykes M.T., Walker B.H., Walker M., and
Wall D.H. 2000. Global biodiversity scenarios for the year 2100. Science 287: 1770–
1774.
Sallu S.M. In prep. Biodiversity dynamics, knowledges and livelihoods in Kalahari
dryland biomes. Unpublished D.Phil. Thesis. Oxford University.
Salmón E. 2000. Kincentric ecology: indigenous perceptions of the human-nature
relationship. Ecological Applications 10(5): 1327-1332.
Scholze M., Knorr W., Arnell N.W., and Prentice I.C. 2006. A climate-change risk
analysis for world ecosystems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
103(35): 13116-12120.
Sheil D., Puri R.K., Wan M., Basuki I., van Heist M., Liswanti N., Rukmiyati,
Rachmatika I., and Samsoedin I. 2006. Recognizing local people's priorities for
tropical forest biodiversity. Ambio 35(1): 17-24.
Sperling F.N., Washington R., and Whittaker R.J. 2004. Future climate change of the
subtropical North Atlantic: Implications for the cloud forests of Tenerife. Climatic
Change 65 (1-2): 103-123.
Stepp J.R., Wyndham F.S., and Zarger R.K. (Eds.) 2002. Ethnobiology and
Biocultural Diversity – Proceedings of the seventh international Congress of
Ethnobiology. International Society of Ethnobiology.
Stern N. (Ed.). 2006. Stern Review. URL: http://www.hm-treasury.
gov.uk/independent_reviews/stern_review_economics_climate_change/stern
_review_report.cfm

32
Stott P.A., and Kettleborough J.A. 2002. Origins and estimates of uncertainty in
predictions of twenty-first century temperature rise. Nature 416: 723-726.
Thomas C.D., Cameron A., Green R.E., Bakkenes M., Beaumont L.J., Collingham
Y.C., Erasmus B.F.N., Ferreira de Siqueira M., Grainger A., Hannah L., Hughes L.,
Huntley B., van Jaarsveld A.S., Midgley G.F., Miles L., Ortega-Huerta M.A.,
Townsend Peterson A., Phillips O.L., and Williams S.E. 2004. Extinction risk from
climate change. Nature 427: 145–148.
Thomas D.S.G., Knight M., and Wiggs G.F.S. 2005. Remobilization of southern
African desert dune systems by twenty-first century global warming. Nature 435:
1218-1221.
van Vuuren D.P., Sala O.E., and Pereira H.M. 2006. The future of vascular plant
diversity under four global scenarios. Ecology and Society 11(2): 25.
Vedwan N., and Rhoades R.E. 2001. Climate change in the Western Himalayas of
India: a study of local perception and response. Climate Research 19:109-117.
Walther G.-R., Post E., Convey P., Menzel A., Parmesan C., Beebee T.J.C.,
Fromentin J.-M., Hoegh-Guldberg O., and Bairlein F. 2002. Ecological responses to
recent climate change. Nature 416: 389-395.
Walther G.-R. 2003. Plants in a warmer world. Perspectives in Plant Ecology,
Evolution and Systematics 6(3): 169-185.
Walther G.-R., Beissner S., and Burga C.A. 2005. Trends in the upward shift of
alpine plants. Journal of Vegetation Science 16: 541-548.
Whittaker R.J., and Fernández-Palacios J.M. 2007. Island Biogeography – Ecology,
Evolution, and Conservation. Second Edition. Oxford University Press.
Wright Jr. H.E., Kutzbach J.E., Webb III T., Ruddiman W.F., Street-Perrott F.A., and
Bartlein P.J. (Eds.). 1993. Global Climates since the Last Glacial Maximum.
University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis.

Lib 004630823

More Related Content

What's hot (20)

Viewers also liked (17)

Similar to Lib 004630823 (20)

Lib 004630823