Nile_Climate_Variability_Food_Security_Cascao_Nile_Basin_Development_Forum_3
Download as PPT, PDF1 like436 views
The document discusses current and future challenges related to climate variability, food security, and agriculture in the Nile Basin region. It notes that agriculture is the main source of livelihoods but that the region faces generalized food insecurity. Climate variability has led to uneven rainfall patterns and drought-prone areas. Future climate change may lead to more rainfall variability and less water availability, negatively impacting rainfed agriculture and livestock. However, there are also opportunities to improve food production and trade through regional cooperation on agriculture. The role of the future Nile Basin Commission in institutionalizing agriculture at the regional level is debated.
![[Future] climate change and its impacts on agriculture More rainfall variability?/ Less water availability? IMPACTS? Rainfed agriculture and livestock – at risk! Irrigated agriculture – underdeveloped potential Solution: improved rainfed + supplementary irrigation + livestock management? Solutions: - produce less... - produce differently... - trade more... Regional division of labour;? Cash-crops for food-crops? Ethiopia](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/cascaonbdfclimatefoodsecurity-111027101729-phpapp01/85/Nile_Climate_Variability_Food_Security_Cascao_Nile_Basin_Development_Forum_3-4-320.jpg)
![Thanks for your attention! [email_address] Tanzania](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/cascaonbdfclimatefoodsecurity-111027101729-phpapp01/85/Nile_Climate_Variability_Food_Security_Cascao_Nile_Basin_Development_Forum_3-8-320.jpg)
Nile_Climate_Variability_Food_Security_Cascao_Nile_Basin_Development_Forum_3
- 1. Climate variability and food security in the Nile Basin region: challenges and opportunities 3rd Nile Basin Basin Development Forum (NBDF) Kigali – Rwanda 27 October 2011 Ana Elisa Cascão Stockholm International Water Institute Rwanda
- 2. Current agriculture-related challenges Agriculture: backbone of Nile political economy Agriculture: main source of livelihoods and employment (and often GDP) Generalised food insecurity Dependence on food aid/agriculture exports Low level of inter-basin agricultural trade National-based agricultural agendas Agriculture at regional level: extremely politicised issue! Sudan
- 3. Current climate-related challenges Existing climate variability: Uneven rainfall patterns Drought-prone regions Inefficient agriculture practices Weak infrastructure (reservoirs, irrigation systems,...) Blue water: enough for all? Green water: great potential, but how to quantify and manage? Kenya
- 4. [Future] climate change and its impacts on agriculture More rainfall variability?/ Less water availability? IMPACTS? Rainfed agriculture and livestock – at risk! Irrigated agriculture – underdeveloped potential Solution: improved rainfed + supplementary irrigation + livestock management? Solutions: - produce less... - produce differently... - trade more... Regional division of labour;? Cash-crops for food-crops? Ethiopia
- 5. Huge agricultural opportunities: production + trade Regional/Global ‘breadbasket’ potential Fertile land and water resources availability Attractive for cash-crop investors Increasing foreign land acquisitions (pros and cons) Potential for regional agricultural market Regional ‘virtual water’ market Division of labour: where and when to produce and buy/sell? South Sudan
- 6. Regional cooperation on agriculture:what future? Past: relevance of agriculture in the NBI agenda and projects on-the-ground (SAPs)? Present: agriculture development is still a politically sensitive issue Short-term future: what will be the agricultural functions of the future Nile Basin Commission? Long-term future: how to incorporate growing climate variability in the Nile Basin region? Uganda
- 7. ‘ Institutionalising’ agriculture at the regional level Role and functions of the future Nile Basin Commission? (based on the CFA) Role: Providing guidelines? Regulator? Watchdog? Developmental? Functions (what priority?): Policy Formulation and Cooperation Knowledge Management Basin Planning Market Development Egypt Should it be the NBC or a REC performing these functions?
- 8. Thanks for your attention! [email_address] Tanzania