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KTH ROYAL INSTITUTE
OF TECHNOLOGY
Vedran S.	Peric,	Xavier	Bombois,	and	Luigi	Vanfretti
https://www.kth.se/profile/luigiv/
Associate	Professor	&	Docent
Department of	Electric	Power	&	Energy	Systems	(EPE)
KTH	Royal	Institute of Technology
Stockholm,	Sweden
Optimal	Multisine Probing	Signal	Design	for	
Power	System	Electromechanical	Mode	Estimation
Electrical Energy Systems Track - Monitoring Control and Protection Minitrack
Large Scale Dynamics and Control Session
Outline
1
• Low	frequency	electromechanical	oscillations
2
• Electromechanical	mode	estimation
3
• Optimal	probing	design
6
• Conclusions
Oscillations
• General	phenomenon
• Excitation	types
• Omnipresent	random	
excitation	(ambient)
• Intrinsic	property	of	
the	system	(modes)
Frequency Damping
49.85
49.9
49.95
50
50.05
50.1
50.15
08:00:00 08:05:00 08:10:00 08:15:00
f[Hz]
20110219_0755-0825
Freq. Mettlen Freq. Brindisi Freq. Kassoe
Why	do	we	care	?
PMU	Data
Oscillations	if	lightly	damped	can	lead	to	a	system	black-out
Occupy	transmission	capacities,	increase	losses,	wear	and	tear
February	19th	2011	– North-South	Inter-Area	Oscillation
Continuous	monitoring	of	frequency	and	damping	=	indicators!
How	to	continuously	monitor?
Estimate	modes	(freq.	and	damping)
350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800
1100
1200
1300
1400
Time	(sec.)
Power	Transfer	(MW)
Alarm
System
Unstable
0.27 Hz
7% Damping
(Ambient)
0.264 Hz
3.46%
Damping
(Transient)
0.252 Hz
1.2% Damping
(Ambient)
15:42:03 – K-A Line Trip 15:47:36 – R-L Line Trip
McNary Generation Trip
15:48:51
Out-of-step
Separation
Outline
1
• Low	frequency	electromechanical	oscillations
2
• Electromechanical	mode	estimation
3
• Optimal	probing	design
6
• Conclusions
Application	Objectives
Avoid	black-outs
Real-time	monitoring
Decision	support					
tools
Control	actions
Mode	Estimator	at	a	Control	Center
M. S. Almas, M. Baudette, L. Vanfretti, S. L⊘vlund and J. O. Gjerde, "Synchrophasor network, laboratory and software
applications developed in the STRONg2rid project," 2014 IEEE PES General Meeting | Conference & Exposition,
National Harbor, MD, 2014, pp. 1-5. doi: 10.1109/PESGM.2014.6938835
Ø Power system or real-time simulator
Ø Phasor measurement units (PMUs).
Ø Phasor data concentrator (PDC)
S3DK
PMU	1
PMU	2
PMU	n
PDC
Comm.
Network
IEEE	C37.118	Protocol
KTH	SmarTS Lab
Test-Bed	and	Application	Prototyping
Real	
system
Real	time	
simulator
User	
application
Source Measurements Comm.	Infrastructure Decoder
Ø Communication Network
Ø Software Development Kit (SDK)
Ø User applications
Sample	Mode	Estimator	Prototype
GUI Communication Configuration
L. Vanfretti, V. H. Aarstrand, M. S. Almas, V. S. Perić and J. O.
Gjerde, "A software development toolkit for real-time
synchrophasor applications," PowerTech (POWERTECH), 2013
IEEE Grenoble, Grenoble, 2013, pp. 1-6.
doi: 10.1109/PTC.2013.6652191
V.	S.	Perić,	M.	Baudette,	L.	Vanfretti,	J.	O.	Gjerde and	S.	Løvlund,	"Implementation	and	testing	of	a	real-time	mode	estimation	algorithm	using	ambient	PMU	data,"Power Systems	
Conference	(PSC),	2014	Clemson	University,	Clemson,	SC,	2014,	pp.	1-5.	doi:	10.1109/PSC.2014.6808116
Mode	
Estimator
https://github.com/SmarTS-
Lab-Parapluie/S3DK/releases
S3DK:	Real-time	mediator	+	LabView Library
Available as
Open Source
Software:
Ambient	data-based	mode	estimation
• Assumptions:
– The	system	operates	in	quasi	steady	state	period
– Behavior	of	the	system	is	modeled	by	a	linear	model
– System	is	excited	only	by	small	load	changes	modeled	as	white	noise	
Power	System
H(jω)
Load	Changes Measurements
• The	model	of	measured	stochastic	signal	is	determined	by	a	model	set	and	
set	of	parameters.	
• Most	common	model	set	is:	 𝑯 𝒛 =
𝑩 𝒛
𝑨 𝒛
=
∑ 𝒃 𝒌 𝒛)𝒌𝒒
𝒌+𝟎
𝟏 + ∑ 𝒂 𝒌 𝒛)𝒌𝒑
𝒌+𝟎
Probing-based	mode	estimation
Power system
dx/dt=Ax+Bu
y=Cx+Du
Inputs	
(load	noise)
Outputs
(PMUs)
Deterministic
signal
Exactly	known	excitation	brings	new	information	
that	can	be	used	for	improved	mode	identification
Probing	signals
FACTS	devices
AVR
Turbine	governors
H(θ,z)
G(θ,z)
e(t) y(t)
u(t)	- designed	input	signal
Aggregated	
load	noise
Single	output	model
Chief Joseph Dynamic Breaker – “The Toaster”
PDCI Modulation (HVDC) Probing Test @ WECC
Ref. BPA, WECC, John Pierre (UW), PNNL
WOW!
I want one
of those!
[BPA]	“It	can	consume	1,440	MW	- more	than	the	
output	of	Bonneville	Dam.	It's	only	capable	of	staying	on	
for	3	seconds	- beyond	that,	it	would	destroy	itself.”
Outline
1
• Low	frequency	electromechanical	oscillations
2
• Electromechanical	mode	estimation
3
• Optimal	probing	design
6
• Conclusions
Ø Model	structure	of	the	power	system
o ARMAX
Mathematical	formulation	and	sketch
Ø Optimization	problem:
Solution:	model	representing	
the	power	system
( , ) ( , )
( ) ( ) ( )
( , ) ( , )
B z C z
y t u t e t
A z D z
q q
q q
= + Contain	information	about	
the	critical	modes/poles
Model
(parameters)
Measurements
Minimization
Error
-
Parameter variation
Model
response
Measured
response
min
5
1
𝑁
8 𝜀 𝑡, 𝜃 =
>
?+@
𝜀(𝑡, 𝜃) = 𝑦(𝑡) − 𝑦
⌢
(𝑡|𝑡 − 1G
X. Bombois, G. Scorletti, M. Gevers, P.M.J. Van den Hof and R. Hildebrand, “Least costly identification
experiment for control”, Automatica, vol.42, no.10, pp.1651-1662, Oct. 2006.
p p
q
p p
w q w q w w q w q w
p p
w
s
-
- -
æ ö æ ö
= +ç ÷ ç ÷ç ÷ ç ÷
è ø è
F
ø
ò ò
6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 7 4 4 4 4 4 4 48 6 4 4 4 4 4 7 4 4 4 4 48
1 * *
0 0 0 02
1
( , ) ( , ) ( , ) ( , )
2
(
2
)u u eu e
N N
P F F d F F
Probing Ambien
d
t
Optimal	probing:	problem	formulation
Ø Objective:	Identify	the	
critical	damping	ratio	of	G(z)	
H(θ,z)
G(θ,z)
e(t) y(t)
u(t)	- input	signal
load measurement
How	should	the	probing	signal	look	like	?
Spectrum	influences	accuracy
q
-1
P Good estimate
q
-1
P Bad estimate
wF ( )u
wF ( )u
There	is	a	limit	how	strong	probing	can	be	
Stronger	probing	provides	better	accuracy
Probing Ambient
y(t) H(z) Poles ζ
ARMA
Pθ Pζ
• Important:
• Covariance matrix depends directly on the estimated model
Addendum	Note:
Covariance	Matrix	Computation
V. S. Perić, X. Bombois and L. Vanfretti, "Optimal Signal Selection for Power System Ambient Mode Estimation Using a
Prediction Error Criterion," in IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 31, no. 4, pp. 2621-2633, July 2016.doi:
10.1109/TPWRS.2015.2477490
Spectrum	calculation	of	the	probing	signal
1)	Control	effort							2)	System	disturbance	 3)	Accuracy
Objective	function
p p
p p
w w w w
p p- -
æ ö æ ö
= F + Fç ÷ ç ÷ç ÷ ç ÷
è ø è ø
ò ò
2
1 2
(t)
min ( ) (s) ( )
2 2u uu
k k
J d G d
Constraint: var( ) T
i i i
e P e rq
z = < r	- tolerance	
Input	power Output	power
(frequency	deviation)
Ø Requirements	:	
Optimization	problem	in	a	form	of	LMI
The	solution	is	the	power	spectrum	of	the	probing	signal
Accuracy	
constraints
Accuracy:	damping	ration	estimation	variance!
Time	domain	probing	signal	realization
Ø Spectrum calculation	(solved)
Ø Time	domain	signal	realization
LMI
Signal realization
max var(ζ)
Multisine
ACF (rd)
min(upeak
2
/urms
2
)
FIR filter
min(║ r-rd║2
)
white noise - e(t)
u(t)
u(t)
u(t)
Probing Φu(ω) calculation
White noise
Minimized function
var{u(t)} var{y(t)} var{uy(t)}
var{u(t)} 10410 1179.8 101850 1441.6
var{y(t)} 1.6761 2.0915 1.2425 1.5980
var{uy(t)} 6881.1 7981.4 52167 2318.8
Optimal	probing	signal	design	results
The	same	accuracy	obtained	with	the	5-7	times	weaker	
excitation
The	same	input	power	provides	4-5	times	better	accuracy	
(0.25*10-5)
Damping	variance	<	10-5
Benefits	of	
the	proposed	
method
KTH	Nordic	32
Minimized	
input	power
Minimized	
disturbance
2	critical	modes	
0.5Hz	&	0.76Hz
Reactive	power	
probing
Conclusions
• A	comprehensive	way	of	dealing	with	mode	estimation	
uncertainty
• Estimation	variance	is	the	measure	of	accuracy
• Probing	signals	improve	mode	estimation	accuracy
• Multisine	probing	signal	parameterization
• The	spectrum	and	not	time	domain	probing	signal	determines	
accuracy	of	the	mode	estimation	procedure
• Optimal	spectrum	determined	as	a	solution	of	an	LMI	
optimization	problem
Response	to	Comments	(1/2)
Response	to	Comments	(2/2)

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Optimal Multisine Probing Signal Design for Power System Electromechanical Mode Estimation