Robotics Overview 2016
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This document provides an overview of robotics technologies and the robotics industry. It discusses the growing robotics market size, defines robotics as embodied intelligence with mobility, and gives examples of industrial and consumer robotics applications. It also covers opportunities and challenges in robotics, including technological unemployment, and predicts an exponential increase in robotics and automation.
Robotics Overview 2016
- 1. London Exponential Technologies Robotics Technologies - 30 June, 2016 Peter Morgan
- 2. A Brief Overview of Robotics ©Peter Morgan 230 June 2016
- 3. Eight Great Technologies (UK Govt) • Big Data • Space • Robotics and Autonomous Systems • Synthetic biology • Regenerative Medicine • Agri-science • Advanced Materials • Energy • https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/eight-great-technologies ©Peter Morgan 3
- 4. Robotics Market Size ©Peter Morgan 4 • Worldwide spending on robotics and related services will hit $135 billion in 2019 – IDC Report • http://fortune.com/2016/02/24/robotics-market-multi-billion-boom/
- 5. What is Robotics? • Intelligence = Agents that learn from and adapt to their environments while setting and achieving goals • Robotics = Embodied intelligence with mobility • Similar to biological systems • Multimodal (5 senses) is goal (AGI) • Basically everything we can do • Software/algorithms • Neural networks • Deep learning • Vision, Language (NLP), Navigation (SLAM) • Hardware • CPU, GPU, FPGA, ASIC • Neuromorphic chips • Actuators • Cloud Enabled • Intelligence in the cloud • Cloud Robotics ©Peter Morgan 5
- 6. Example: Learning and doing from watching videos • Researchers at the University of Maryland, funded by DARPA • System that enables robots to process visual data from a series of “how to” cooking videos on YouTube - and then cook a meal ©Peter Morgan 6
- 7. Industrial Robotics • Manufacturing (Baxter) • Warehousing (Amazon) • Police/Security • Military • Surgery • Drones (UAV’s) • Self-driving cars • Trains • Ships • Planes • Underwater ©Peter Morgan 7
- 8. Consumer Robotics ©Peter Morgan 8 • Robots with friendly user interface that can understand user’s needs and emotions • Visual; facial emotions • Tone of voice • Caretaking (Carebots) • Elderly • Young • EmoSpark, Echo • Education • Home security • Housekeeping • Companionship • Artificial limbs • Exoskeletons
- 9. Consumer Robot Market Drivers • Barriers to entry have never been lower • Cheaper and improved sensors • Connected cloud robotics • Silicon Valley becoming hotbed for consumer robot companies • Aging population feeds into demand for Personal Assistant Robots • Nearly 100 Million Consumer Robots Will be Sold During the Next 5 Years – Tractica, Nov 2015 http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20151123005875/en/100-Million- Consumer-Robots-Sold-5-Years ©Peter Morgan 9
- 10. Robots & Robotics Companies • Industrial/Business • Sawyer (ReThink) • Asimo (Honda) • Atlas (Boston Dynamics) • Kiva (Amazon) • Many (KUKA, ABB, Midea) • Valkyrie (NASA) • DURUS (SRI) • Social/Consumer • iCub (EU) • Nao (Aldebaran) • Pepper (Softbank) • Roomba (iRobot) • Jibo (MIT) • Milo (Robokind) • Oshbot (Fellows) ©Peter Morgan 10
- 11. Robotics Websites • Jobs, News, Trade • Robotics Business Review • AI Hub • AZoRobotics • Robohub • Robotics News ©Peter Morgan 11
- 12. Robotics Organisations & Events • BARA = British Automation and Robot Association • EU Robotics • RIA = Robotic Industries Association • IFR = International Federation of Robotics • ISO – Robotics • UK Robotics Week (this week) ©Peter Morgan 12
- 13. Opportunities • Free humans of menial work to pursue arts and sciences • The Venus Project • Solve deep challenges (political, economic, scientific, social) • Creation of new types of jobs • Increased efficiencies in every market space • Industry 4.0 (steam, electricity, digital, intelligence) • Human-Robot collaboration • Space colonization (Mars) ©Peter Morgan 13
- 14. Threats, Challenges, Issues • Technological Unemployment • Replace some jobs but create new ones? • What will these be? • Widen the inequality gap • New economic paradigm needed • Basic Income Guarantee? • Safety • Existential risk? • Organisations • Legal + Ethical issues • New laws • Machine rights • Personhood ©Peter Morgan 14
- 15. Predictions • More robots (exponential increase) • More automation (everywhere) • Endgame is to automate all work • > 50% will be automated by 2035 • Loosely autonomous agents (2015) • Semi-automomous agents (2020) • Fully autonomous agents (2025) • Above Human Level General Intelligence (2029?) • Cyborgs (has started – biohackers, implants) • Self-aware? (personhood) • Ethics (more debate) • Regulation (safety issues) ©Peter Morgan 15
- 16. References • Barrat, James, Our Final Invention, St. Martin's Griffin, 2014 • Brynjolfsson, Erik and Andrew McAfee, The Second Machine Age, W.W. Norton & Co., 2014 • Ford, Martin, Rise of the Robots: Technology and the Threat of a Jobless Future, Basic Books, 2015 • Kaplan, Jerry – Humans Need Not Apply, Yale University Press, 2015 • Kurzweil, Ray, The Singularity is Near, Penguin Books, 2006 • Markoff, John – Machines of Loving Grace, Ecco Press, 2015 • Nowak, Peter, Humans 3.0: The Upgrading of the Species, Lyons Press, 2015 • Shanahan, Murray – The Technological Singularity, MIT Press, 2015 ©Peter Morgan 16
- 17. Big Thanks to our Sponsors • Innovation Warehouse • Venue + Refreshments • O’Reilly • Giveaways – Books & Swag Peter Morgan 30 June 2016
- 18. Thanks for listening! ©Peter Morgan30 Nov 2015 45