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Ar re lic INS IG HT S
w w w . a r r e l i c . c o m
I N T R O D U C T I O N
So m e b a sic p r i n c i p l e s a b o u t r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s. Th e f i r st , f o r t h e m o s t
p a r t , t h i n g s h a p p e n f o r a r ea so n , a n d w e c a l l t h o s e r ea so n s c a us es . Th e
se c o n d , i s t h a t n o t a l l c a us es a r e e q u a l ly i m p o r t a n t . So m e a r e m u c h m o r e
i m p o r t a n t t h a n o t h e r s. A n d f i n a l ly , i f w e c a n u n d e r st a n d r o o t c a us es a n d
c o n t r ol t h e m t h e n w e c a n g e t t h e r es u l t s t h a t w e l i k e o u t of o u r p r o c e s s .
O n e of t h e c o m m o n l y us e d r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s t o o l s , i s w h a t w e c a l l t h e
t w o - y ea r - o l d a p p r o a c h . Yo u k n o w , i f yo u ' ve ev er h a d t h e p l e a su r e of
h a v i n g a t w o - y ea r - o l d i n yo u r l i f e, yo u k n o w t h e y a sk, " W h y ? " a l o t . So, t h e
p o i n t of t h e ex er cis es i s t o a sk w h y a t le a st f i v e t i m e s . H e r e' s a n ex a m p l e
t h a t so m e t i m e s i s us e d . H e y , t h e r e' s o il o n t h e f l o o r . Th e f i r st i m m e d i a t e r
ea c t i o n i s, w e l l , l e t ' s c l e a n i t u p so w e h a ve a c l e a n w o r k p l a c e . B u t , i t ' s
b e t t e r t o a s k, w h y i s t h e r e o il o n t h e f l o o r ? W e l l , t h e r e' s o il o n t h e f l o o r
b e c a us e t h e m a c h i n e ov er h e a d i s le a k i n g . O h , w h y i s t h e m a c h i n e
ov er h e a d le a ky ? W e l l , t h e m a c h i n e ov er h e a d i s le a k i n g b e c a us e i t ' s g o t a b a
d g a sk e t . W h y d o e s i t h a ve a b a d g a sk e t ? B e c a us e w e h a ve a p o l i c y a n d
w e g o t s u c h a g o o d d e a l o n a la r g e b a t c h of t h e s e l o w q u a l i ty g a sk e t s
Th e r e' s a n o t h e r t o o l , t h a t si m i l a r i n sp i r i t , t o t h e Fi ve - W h y a p p r o a c h a n d
t h a t so m e t i m e s i s c a l l e d V a r ia t i o n B r ea k d o w n or i t ' s so m e t i m e s c a l l e d t h e
Th o u g h t M a p . A l l i t d o e s i s, l i k e Fi v e W h y s, k e e p s a sk i n g w h a t i n f l u e n c e s
t h i s or w h y d o e s t h i s h a p p e n . B u t i t d o e s n o t m a k e t h e a s s u m p t i o n t h a t
i t ' s a l w a ys jus t o n e c a us e. So o n e q u e s t i o n i s, w h a t m i g h t a f f e c t t h e
a m o u n t of t i m e t h a t i t t a k es m e t o g e t t o w o r k i n t h e m o r n i n g ? W e l l , o f f -
h a n d I c a n t h i n k of s o m e d i f f e r e n t t h i n g s w e m i g h t c h o o s e d i f f e r e n t
r o u t e s . For ex a m p l e , w e m i g h t h a ve t h e sc e n i c r o u t e , or t h e f r e e w a y r o u t e ,
or w e m i g h t p r e f e r t h e r o u t e p a s t t h e c o f f e e s h o p . C er t a i n l y t h e lev el of
tr a f f ic o n t h e r o a d i s g o i n g t o m a k e a d i f f e r e n c e . H o w ea r ly w e le a ve i s
g o i n g t o m a k e a d i f f e r e n c e a n d w e m i g h t c h o o s e d i f f e r e n t m o d e s of
tr a ns p o r t a t i o n . Th a t ' l l a f f e c t h o w l o n g i t t a k es m e t o g e t t o w o r k
T h e n , f o r s o m e of t h e s e, o n e lev el i s a l l y o u n e e d t o g o t o . F or ex a m p l e ,
w e m a y o n l y h a ve t h r e e r o u t e s t o c h o o s e f r o m a n d so t h i s tr e e e n d s r i g h t
h e r e b u t f o r t h e a m o u n t of tr a f f ic o n t h e r o a d , w e l l , t h a t m i g h t b e c a us e d
b y t h e n u m b e r of a c c i d e n t s , b y t h e r o a d c o n d i t i o n s , b y t h e a m o u n t of
r o a d w o r k t h a t ' s g o i n g o n , or b y t h e t i m e of d a y. I f w e c a n a vo i d r us h
h o u r , so m u c h t h e b e t t e r . Th e n yo u a sk, w h a t a f f e c t s r o a d c o n d i t i o n s a n d
t h e r o a d c o n d i t i o n s a r e m o s t ly a f f e c t e d . W e t h i n k b y t h e w e a t h e r , a n d i t
c a n b e sn o w y , or i t c a n b e r a i n i e r , i t c a n b e c l e a r . So, b a si c a l ly yo u g o
t h r o u g h a n d m a k e t h i s l i t t l e c h a r t t h a t l e t s t h e c a us es f l o w d o w n , a n d t h e
l o w e s t lev el i t e m s o n t h e c h a r t a r e. Th e n w h a t yo u w o u l d c o n s i d e r yo u r
r o o t c a us es . N o w , i n so m e c a ses yo u ' r e g o i n g t o c o m e u p a g a ins t o n e of
t h e s e w h e r e yo u sa y w e d o n ' t k n o w , a n d t h a t ' s a g o o d p l a c e t o st a r t a n
in v es t i g a t i o n .
A n o t h e r t o o l t h a t ' s ver y us e f u l i s t h e P a r e t o C h a r t . This n e s t e d P a r e t o
C h a r t i s o u r p a t e n t e d in v e n t i o n , a n d i t ' s v er y h a n d y f o r f i n d i n g w h e r e, a n d
w h e n , a n d b y w h o m , d e f e c t s w e r e m a d e . T h a t ' s a r ea l ly g o o d s i m p l e r o o t
c a us e a n a ly si s t o o l . For a ver y t h o r o u g h r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s, w e us e a tr io of
t o o l s i n c o n c e r t a n d t h a t st a r ts w i t h t h e p r o c e s s m a p . O f c o u r se, i n t h e p r
o c e s s m a p o n e of t h e i m p o r t a n t t h i n g s t h a t y o u ' r e d o i n g i s l o o k i n g a t
yo u r k n o b va r ia b l e s . Th e i n p u t va r ia b l e s t h a t m a k e t h i n g s w h a t t h e y a r e
a n d c a t a l o g i n g a l l of t h o s e. Th e n w e n e x t m o v e t o t h e c a us e - a n d - e f f e c t
m a tr ix b e c a us e ea r l ier w e sa i d n o t a l l va r ia b l e s w e r e i m p o r t a n t , n o t a l l
c a us es a r e e q u a l ly i m p o r t a n t , a n d i n t h e c a us e - a n d - e f f e c t m a tr ix , w e
p r io r i t iz e a n d b r i n g t o t h e su r fa c e t h o s e v a r ia b l e s t h a t a r e l i k e l y t o b e
m o s t i n f l u e n t i a l . Fi n a l ly , w e g o t o t h e FM E A a n d d r i l l d o w n t o t a k e a g o o d
l o o k a t t h e va r ia b l e s t h a t t h e c a us e - a n d - e f f e c t m a tr ix i n d i c a t e d w e r e
l i k e l y t o b e m o s t i m p o r t a n t , a n d t h a t ' s a ver y n i c e r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s.
For a r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s t o o l w i t h a l i t t l e b i t m o r e m a t h e m a t i c a l r i g o r , w e
c a n t u r n t o a p r o c e s s b e h a vio r c h a r t or a s so m e p e o p l e c a l l t h e m c o n t r ol
c h a r ts . A l l t h a t d o e s i s p u t yo u r d a t a i n t h e or d e r t h a t t h e y h a p p e n e d . I t
p r ov i d e s a c e n t e r l i n e , w h i c h i s t h e a v er a g e or s o m e t i m e s t h e m e d i a n,
a n d i t p r ov i d e s so m e l i m i t s h e r e t h a t d e f i n e w h a t c o n s t i t u t e s a n u n u s u a l
ev e n t . I f w e g e t s o m e t h i n g l i k e t h i s , w h e r e w e h a v e g o t a p o i n t o u t of
l i m i t or i f I ' ve g o t sh i f t s i n m y p r o c e s s, t h e r u l e s of t h e p r o c e s s b e h a vio r
c h a r t w i l l d e t e c t t h o s e. Th e n w e h a v e a v er y g o o d b a si s f o r g o i n g a n d
a sk i n g , w h a t w a s g o i n g o n r i g h t h e r e.
Su m m a ry
To su m m a riz e , in t he 5- W hy an alysis, t he appr o ach wo u ld alwa ys be
W ha t ha ppe n e d tha t ca u se d t hi s t o ha ppe n . Thi s o t he r t hi n g isn ' t
ve ry in t e re stin g be ca u se st at ist ica l ly it ' s al l t he same . W e re ally
ca n ' t t e l l o n e o f t he se po in t s fro m an o the r, bu t thi s o n e is
di ffe re n t . W ha t ma ke s it in t e re stin g is it is so rt o f t he an ce st o r o f
t he ro o t ca u se an al ysis t o o ls is wha t we ca l l da ta mi n in g , o r
so me t ime s e xpl o rat o ry da t a an al ysis, an d t ha t' s ju st a wa y o f
fin di n g t he hi dde n re l at io n shi ps in yo u r da t a. No w, t hi s ma y l o o k a
lit tl e fo rbi d d i n g , bu t be lie ve me , it ' s n o t . It ' s e xt re me ly sim p l e t o
u se .
W ha t we ha ve do wn he re is so me da t a t ha t we ha ve t ake n we ha ve
ke pt t rack o f ho w ma n y po u n ds o f o n io n s we g o t an d as in pu t
variabl e s o r ca u se s, the te m p e rat u re , an d the wa t e r, an d the type
o f so il t ha t we pl an t e d in , an d whe the r o r n o t we u se d t o pe stici de .
W ha t t he co m p u te r t he n do e s is it bu il ds u s a m o de l tha t we ca n
pl ay wi th an d we ca n slide t hi s ba ck an d fo rt h. He re ' s o u r averag e
ha rve st we i g ht rig ht he re , 2386, an d if we g e t wa rme r we at he r,
wha t ha ppe n s if it g o e s u p t o 2528. If I pl an t in san dy so il, I g e t
o n l y 240 po u n ds . So , t hi s g i ve s me a we al t h o f in fo rma t io n abo u t
t he re l at io n shi p be t we e n t he ro o t ca u se s an d t he o u t co me s t ha t
we g e t . Tha t sho u l d g ive yo u so me g o o d ide as abo u t ro o t ca u se
an alysis t o o l s an d ho w t o u se t he m .
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no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate
in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough
examination of the particular situation. In this regard, Arrelic has no responsibility for the consequences hereof
and no liability.
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expertise in Reliability Engineering, Predictive Maintenance, Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) Sensors, Machine
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Root Cause Analysis | Arrelic Insights

  • 1. R O O T C A U S E F A I L U R E A N A L Y S I S Ar re lic INS IG HT S w w w . a r r e l i c . c o m
  • 2. I N T R O D U C T I O N So m e b a sic p r i n c i p l e s a b o u t r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s. Th e f i r st , f o r t h e m o s t p a r t , t h i n g s h a p p e n f o r a r ea so n , a n d w e c a l l t h o s e r ea so n s c a us es . Th e se c o n d , i s t h a t n o t a l l c a us es a r e e q u a l ly i m p o r t a n t . So m e a r e m u c h m o r e i m p o r t a n t t h a n o t h e r s. A n d f i n a l ly , i f w e c a n u n d e r st a n d r o o t c a us es a n d c o n t r ol t h e m t h e n w e c a n g e t t h e r es u l t s t h a t w e l i k e o u t of o u r p r o c e s s . O n e of t h e c o m m o n l y us e d r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s t o o l s , i s w h a t w e c a l l t h e t w o - y ea r - o l d a p p r o a c h . Yo u k n o w , i f yo u ' ve ev er h a d t h e p l e a su r e of h a v i n g a t w o - y ea r - o l d i n yo u r l i f e, yo u k n o w t h e y a sk, " W h y ? " a l o t . So, t h e p o i n t of t h e ex er cis es i s t o a sk w h y a t le a st f i v e t i m e s . H e r e' s a n ex a m p l e t h a t so m e t i m e s i s us e d . H e y , t h e r e' s o il o n t h e f l o o r . Th e f i r st i m m e d i a t e r ea c t i o n i s, w e l l , l e t ' s c l e a n i t u p so w e h a ve a c l e a n w o r k p l a c e . B u t , i t ' s b e t t e r t o a s k, w h y i s t h e r e o il o n t h e f l o o r ? W e l l , t h e r e' s o il o n t h e f l o o r b e c a us e t h e m a c h i n e ov er h e a d i s le a k i n g . O h , w h y i s t h e m a c h i n e ov er h e a d le a ky ? W e l l , t h e m a c h i n e ov er h e a d i s le a k i n g b e c a us e i t ' s g o t a b a d g a sk e t . W h y d o e s i t h a ve a b a d g a sk e t ? B e c a us e w e h a ve a p o l i c y a n d w e g o t s u c h a g o o d d e a l o n a la r g e b a t c h of t h e s e l o w q u a l i ty g a sk e t s Th e r e' s a n o t h e r t o o l , t h a t si m i l a r i n sp i r i t , t o t h e Fi ve - W h y a p p r o a c h a n d t h a t so m e t i m e s i s c a l l e d V a r ia t i o n B r ea k d o w n or i t ' s so m e t i m e s c a l l e d t h e Th o u g h t M a p . A l l i t d o e s i s, l i k e Fi v e W h y s, k e e p s a sk i n g w h a t i n f l u e n c e s t h i s or w h y d o e s t h i s h a p p e n . B u t i t d o e s n o t m a k e t h e a s s u m p t i o n t h a t i t ' s a l w a ys jus t o n e c a us e. So o n e q u e s t i o n i s, w h a t m i g h t a f f e c t t h e a m o u n t of t i m e t h a t i t t a k es m e t o g e t t o w o r k i n t h e m o r n i n g ? W e l l , o f f - h a n d I c a n t h i n k of s o m e d i f f e r e n t t h i n g s w e m i g h t c h o o s e d i f f e r e n t r o u t e s . For ex a m p l e , w e m i g h t h a ve t h e sc e n i c r o u t e , or t h e f r e e w a y r o u t e , or w e m i g h t p r e f e r t h e r o u t e p a s t t h e c o f f e e s h o p . C er t a i n l y t h e lev el of tr a f f ic o n t h e r o a d i s g o i n g t o m a k e a d i f f e r e n c e . H o w ea r ly w e le a ve i s g o i n g t o m a k e a d i f f e r e n c e a n d w e m i g h t c h o o s e d i f f e r e n t m o d e s of tr a ns p o r t a t i o n . Th a t ' l l a f f e c t h o w l o n g i t t a k es m e t o g e t t o w o r k T h e n , f o r s o m e of t h e s e, o n e lev el i s a l l y o u n e e d t o g o t o . F or ex a m p l e , w e m a y o n l y h a ve t h r e e r o u t e s t o c h o o s e f r o m a n d so t h i s tr e e e n d s r i g h t h e r e b u t f o r t h e a m o u n t of tr a f f ic o n t h e r o a d , w e l l , t h a t m i g h t b e c a us e d b y t h e n u m b e r of a c c i d e n t s , b y t h e r o a d c o n d i t i o n s , b y t h e a m o u n t of r o a d w o r k t h a t ' s g o i n g o n , or b y t h e t i m e of d a y. I f w e c a n a vo i d r us h h o u r , so m u c h t h e b e t t e r . Th e n yo u a sk, w h a t a f f e c t s r o a d c o n d i t i o n s a n d t h e r o a d c o n d i t i o n s a r e m o s t ly a f f e c t e d . W e t h i n k b y t h e w e a t h e r , a n d i t c a n b e sn o w y , or i t c a n b e r a i n i e r , i t c a n b e c l e a r . So, b a si c a l ly yo u g o t h r o u g h a n d m a k e t h i s l i t t l e c h a r t t h a t l e t s t h e c a us es f l o w d o w n , a n d t h e l o w e s t lev el i t e m s o n t h e c h a r t a r e. Th e n w h a t yo u w o u l d c o n s i d e r yo u r r o o t c a us es . N o w , i n so m e c a ses yo u ' r e g o i n g t o c o m e u p a g a ins t o n e of t h e s e w h e r e yo u sa y w e d o n ' t k n o w , a n d t h a t ' s a g o o d p l a c e t o st a r t a n in v es t i g a t i o n .
  • 3. A n o t h e r t o o l t h a t ' s ver y us e f u l i s t h e P a r e t o C h a r t . This n e s t e d P a r e t o C h a r t i s o u r p a t e n t e d in v e n t i o n , a n d i t ' s v er y h a n d y f o r f i n d i n g w h e r e, a n d w h e n , a n d b y w h o m , d e f e c t s w e r e m a d e . T h a t ' s a r ea l ly g o o d s i m p l e r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s t o o l . For a ver y t h o r o u g h r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s, w e us e a tr io of t o o l s i n c o n c e r t a n d t h a t st a r ts w i t h t h e p r o c e s s m a p . O f c o u r se, i n t h e p r o c e s s m a p o n e of t h e i m p o r t a n t t h i n g s t h a t y o u ' r e d o i n g i s l o o k i n g a t yo u r k n o b va r ia b l e s . Th e i n p u t va r ia b l e s t h a t m a k e t h i n g s w h a t t h e y a r e a n d c a t a l o g i n g a l l of t h o s e. Th e n w e n e x t m o v e t o t h e c a us e - a n d - e f f e c t m a tr ix b e c a us e ea r l ier w e sa i d n o t a l l va r ia b l e s w e r e i m p o r t a n t , n o t a l l c a us es a r e e q u a l ly i m p o r t a n t , a n d i n t h e c a us e - a n d - e f f e c t m a tr ix , w e p r io r i t iz e a n d b r i n g t o t h e su r fa c e t h o s e v a r ia b l e s t h a t a r e l i k e l y t o b e m o s t i n f l u e n t i a l . Fi n a l ly , w e g o t o t h e FM E A a n d d r i l l d o w n t o t a k e a g o o d l o o k a t t h e va r ia b l e s t h a t t h e c a us e - a n d - e f f e c t m a tr ix i n d i c a t e d w e r e l i k e l y t o b e m o s t i m p o r t a n t , a n d t h a t ' s a ver y n i c e r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s. For a r o o t c a us e a n a ly si s t o o l w i t h a l i t t l e b i t m o r e m a t h e m a t i c a l r i g o r , w e c a n t u r n t o a p r o c e s s b e h a vio r c h a r t or a s so m e p e o p l e c a l l t h e m c o n t r ol c h a r ts . A l l t h a t d o e s i s p u t yo u r d a t a i n t h e or d e r t h a t t h e y h a p p e n e d . I t p r ov i d e s a c e n t e r l i n e , w h i c h i s t h e a v er a g e or s o m e t i m e s t h e m e d i a n, a n d i t p r ov i d e s so m e l i m i t s h e r e t h a t d e f i n e w h a t c o n s t i t u t e s a n u n u s u a l ev e n t . I f w e g e t s o m e t h i n g l i k e t h i s , w h e r e w e h a v e g o t a p o i n t o u t of l i m i t or i f I ' ve g o t sh i f t s i n m y p r o c e s s, t h e r u l e s of t h e p r o c e s s b e h a vio r c h a r t w i l l d e t e c t t h o s e. Th e n w e h a v e a v er y g o o d b a si s f o r g o i n g a n d a sk i n g , w h a t w a s g o i n g o n r i g h t h e r e.
  • 4. Su m m a ry To su m m a riz e , in t he 5- W hy an alysis, t he appr o ach wo u ld alwa ys be W ha t ha ppe n e d tha t ca u se d t hi s t o ha ppe n . Thi s o t he r t hi n g isn ' t ve ry in t e re stin g be ca u se st at ist ica l ly it ' s al l t he same . W e re ally ca n ' t t e l l o n e o f t he se po in t s fro m an o the r, bu t thi s o n e is di ffe re n t . W ha t ma ke s it in t e re stin g is it is so rt o f t he an ce st o r o f t he ro o t ca u se an al ysis t o o ls is wha t we ca l l da ta mi n in g , o r so me t ime s e xpl o rat o ry da t a an al ysis, an d t ha t' s ju st a wa y o f fin di n g t he hi dde n re l at io n shi ps in yo u r da t a. No w, t hi s ma y l o o k a lit tl e fo rbi d d i n g , bu t be lie ve me , it ' s n o t . It ' s e xt re me ly sim p l e t o u se . W ha t we ha ve do wn he re is so me da t a t ha t we ha ve t ake n we ha ve ke pt t rack o f ho w ma n y po u n ds o f o n io n s we g o t an d as in pu t variabl e s o r ca u se s, the te m p e rat u re , an d the wa t e r, an d the type o f so il t ha t we pl an t e d in , an d whe the r o r n o t we u se d t o pe stici de . W ha t t he co m p u te r t he n do e s is it bu il ds u s a m o de l tha t we ca n pl ay wi th an d we ca n slide t hi s ba ck an d fo rt h. He re ' s o u r averag e ha rve st we i g ht rig ht he re , 2386, an d if we g e t wa rme r we at he r, wha t ha ppe n s if it g o e s u p t o 2528. If I pl an t in san dy so il, I g e t o n l y 240 po u n ds . So , t hi s g i ve s me a we al t h o f in fo rma t io n abo u t t he re l at io n shi p be t we e n t he ro o t ca u se s an d t he o u t co me s t ha t we g e t . Tha t sho u l d g ive yo u so me g o o d ide as abo u t ro o t ca u se an alysis t o o l s an d ho w t o u se t he m .
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