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The document discusses how internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles can help meet CO2 emissions reduction targets by 2050. It notes that global energy demand is expected to double by 2050 even as emissions must be cut 50%. ICE vehicle efficiency can be significantly improved through existing and emerging drivetrain technologies, and conventional and advanced biofuels will make a growing contribution to decarbonizing ICE fuels. A diverse mix of fuel and drivetrain types, more efficient lubricants, and interventions to reduce demand will all be needed for the transport sector to help achieve emissions targets.
Rt1 gunsel.s shell sl
- 1. How Will Internal Combustion Engine Vehicles Contribute to Meeting CO2 Emissions Targets? Bibendum Challenge 2010 Rio de Janeiro Selda Gunsel Vice President, Fuels and B2B Technology Copyright of Shell Global Solutions May 2010 1
- 2. A New Energy Future By 2050 global CO2 emissions must fall by at least 50%, yet energy demand is predicted to double. Securing new sources of energy and squeezing more from existing resources are vital to meet soaring long-term demand. More efficient energy use can help save resources and cut greenhouse gases. Satisfying the world’s demand for energy will take multiple resources - from fossil fuels to renewables - developed into smarter products in tandem with improved use within a more efficient infrastructure. Copyright of Shell Global Solutions May 2010 2
- 3. Transport Energy Demand Will Increase Rapidly Global population is growing and demand for mobility is increasing Number of road vehicles is expected to double to more than two billion by 2050 Energy-related CO2 emissions – approx 62% of the global total Transport accounts for about 23% of energy-related CO2 emissions - road transport accounts for 17% Energy Related CO2 Emissions* Estimate of worldwide vehicle demand Industry & Manufacturing: 76.5% Power Generation Buildings & Commerce Road Transport: 17% Commercial Heavy Duty and Passenger Light Duty Vehicles Other Transport: 6.5% Rail, Aviation, Marine Source: International Energy Agency Source: World Business Council for Sustainable Development * 62% of global CO2 emissions 2007 Copyright of Shell Global Solutions May 2010 3
- 4. Options for Reducing Carbon From Transport Alternative combustion modes Lighter materials Turbo charging & Engine downsizing Reduced friction Efficiency Hybridization Improvement Clean diesel Improved Energy efficient Transmissions lubricants Eco-Driving H2 Fuel Cell Vehicle Downsizing Advanced Biofuels Intelligent traffic E-Mobility Conventional Biofuels Demand Decarbonisation Interventions CNG Low carbon manufacturing Modal shift Speed Limits LNG Road pricing Carbon Capture & Storage Copyright of Shell Global Solutions May 2010 4
- 5. Fuel & Lubricant Options for Sustainable Transport Conventional fuels – improved efficiency Conventional biofuels – ethanol and biodiesel Advanced biofuels – novel feedstocks and processes Advanced lubricants – for improved efficiency Copyright of Shell Global Solutions May 2010 5
- 6. Summary Transport is a significant contributor to GHG emissions globally Major growth in demand for mobility is expected Significant improvements will occur in ICE vehicle efficiency from the application of existing and emerging drivetrain technology Conventional biofuels will make a significant and growing contribution to decarbonisation of ICE fuels Advanced biofuels from novel feedstocks offer further long term potential for CO2 reduction Increased diversity of fuel and drivetrain types is expected (electric, gas, hydrogen….) Energy efficient lubricants will improve vehicle efficiency Interventions to reduce overall demand will be required Collaboration is needed to deliver smarter and more sustainable mobility Copyright of Shell Global Solutions May 2010 6
- 7. Q&A 7