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#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
#GreentoScale
Scaling up existing
climate solutions
in Estonia
OrasTynkkynen LauriTammiste
Finnish Innovation SEITallinnCentre
Fund Sitra
@orastynkkynen @LauriTammiste
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
Green to Scale:
how far can we go with
what we already have?
#GreentoScale
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
Exciting results in two studies
― Global Green to Scale in 2015 covered 17 solutions from both the
global North and the South
― 12 Gt emission reduction potential – equal to about 1/4 of current
global emissions
― Annual net costs at most $94 billion – less than 1/5 of current direct
fossil fuel subsidies
― Nordic Green to Scale in 2016 analysed the potential of 15 Nordic
solutions
― 4 Gt emission reduction potential – equal to total EU emissions
today
― Annual net costs $13 billion – equal to 9 days of
current direct fossil fuel subsidies
3
4
2 regions x 10 solutions
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
Who is behind
Nordic Green to Scale
― Project co-ordinated by the Finnish Innovation Fund Sitra
(FI)
― Nordic partners include CICERO (NO), CONCITO (DK) and
University of Iceland (IS)
― Analysis carried out by Stockholm Environment Institute
(SEI)Tallinn Centre with the support of local experts
― Funding kindly provided by the Nordic Council of
Ministers (NCM)
― Nordic Green to Scale included in the Nordic Prime
Ministers’ Initiative Nordic Solutions to Global Challenges
5
6
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
Key results: large potential
in scaling up existing
climate solutions
7
#GreentoScale
Significant reduction potential in 2030
8
Additional emission reduction potential of scaling up the solutions to the five target countries when overlap is not accounted for
Efficiency and renewables very promising
9
Additional emission reduction potential of scaling up the solutions to the five target countries when overlap is not accounted for
Rough estimates of scale-up costs
10
Net costs of implementing solutions in the five target countries in 2030, taking into account both costs and savings over time
Rough estimates of scale-up costs
11
Net costs of implementing solutions in the five target countries in 2030, taking into account both costs and savings over time
net savings
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
Solutions provide benefits to
people and the environment
Solutions provide a range of other benefits to people
and the environment (co-benefits), such as:
― cutting air pollution and related health impacts;
― reducing energy imports and improving energy
security;
― creating or retaining jobs;
― increasing or maintaining ecosystem services;
― providing new income streams and tax revenue
12
Methodology in short
13
Estonia
14
Additional emission reduction potential of scaling up the solutions when overlap is not accounted for
Estonia
15
Additional emission reduction potential of scaling up the solutions when overlap is not accounted for
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
From analysis to action:
how to use the results
16
#GreentoScale
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
Policies needed to seize the
scale-up potential
― Scaling up existing climate solutions is feasible,
affordable and attractive
― Implementation is held back by various barriers
― Learning from the countries that have already
deployed the solutions helps in removing barriers
― Green to Scale includes policy recommendations on
how to deploy the solutions in the target countries
― General recommendations include e.g. setting
ambitious targets, strengthening carbon pricing,
removing harmful subsidies, introducing targeted
support measures and enforcing existing regulations
17
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
Key policy decisions for
Estonia
― Clear goals and incentive framework for wind, solar
and combined heat and power production to keep
investment conditions stable
― Guidance, training activities and financial incentives
for energy efficiency in housing and industry
― Clear goals, financial incentives and regulatory
framework for electric cars and biofuels
― Instruments to tackle emissions from agriculture and
forestry
18
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
What next
― Results released at national events
• Tallinn 30 April
• Vilnius 29 May
• Riga 30 May
• Warsaw 6 June (tentative)
• KievTBD
― Presentations at the Clean Energy and Mission
Innovation Ministerial in Copenhagen and Malmö in
May 2018
― Results for Kenya and Ethiopia released in May
― Interested?We are open for co-operation!
19
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
#nordicsolutions
to global challenges
Thank you
#GreentoScale
greentoscale.net

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Scaling up existing climate solutions in Estonia

  • 1. #nordicsolutions to global challenges #GreentoScale Scaling up existing climate solutions in Estonia OrasTynkkynen LauriTammiste Finnish Innovation SEITallinnCentre Fund Sitra @orastynkkynen @LauriTammiste
  • 2. #nordicsolutions to global challenges Green to Scale: how far can we go with what we already have? #GreentoScale
  • 3. #nordicsolutions to global challenges Exciting results in two studies ― Global Green to Scale in 2015 covered 17 solutions from both the global North and the South ― 12 Gt emission reduction potential – equal to about 1/4 of current global emissions ― Annual net costs at most $94 billion – less than 1/5 of current direct fossil fuel subsidies ― Nordic Green to Scale in 2016 analysed the potential of 15 Nordic solutions ― 4 Gt emission reduction potential – equal to total EU emissions today ― Annual net costs $13 billion – equal to 9 days of current direct fossil fuel subsidies 3
  • 4. 4 2 regions x 10 solutions
  • 5. #nordicsolutions to global challenges Who is behind Nordic Green to Scale ― Project co-ordinated by the Finnish Innovation Fund Sitra (FI) ― Nordic partners include CICERO (NO), CONCITO (DK) and University of Iceland (IS) ― Analysis carried out by Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI)Tallinn Centre with the support of local experts ― Funding kindly provided by the Nordic Council of Ministers (NCM) ― Nordic Green to Scale included in the Nordic Prime Ministers’ Initiative Nordic Solutions to Global Challenges 5
  • 6. 6
  • 7. #nordicsolutions to global challenges #nordicsolutions to global challenges Key results: large potential in scaling up existing climate solutions 7 #GreentoScale
  • 8. Significant reduction potential in 2030 8 Additional emission reduction potential of scaling up the solutions to the five target countries when overlap is not accounted for
  • 9. Efficiency and renewables very promising 9 Additional emission reduction potential of scaling up the solutions to the five target countries when overlap is not accounted for
  • 10. Rough estimates of scale-up costs 10 Net costs of implementing solutions in the five target countries in 2030, taking into account both costs and savings over time
  • 11. Rough estimates of scale-up costs 11 Net costs of implementing solutions in the five target countries in 2030, taking into account both costs and savings over time net savings
  • 12. #nordicsolutions to global challenges Solutions provide benefits to people and the environment Solutions provide a range of other benefits to people and the environment (co-benefits), such as: ― cutting air pollution and related health impacts; ― reducing energy imports and improving energy security; ― creating or retaining jobs; ― increasing or maintaining ecosystem services; ― providing new income streams and tax revenue 12
  • 14. Estonia 14 Additional emission reduction potential of scaling up the solutions when overlap is not accounted for
  • 15. Estonia 15 Additional emission reduction potential of scaling up the solutions when overlap is not accounted for
  • 16. #nordicsolutions to global challenges #nordicsolutions to global challenges From analysis to action: how to use the results 16 #GreentoScale
  • 17. #nordicsolutions to global challenges Policies needed to seize the scale-up potential ― Scaling up existing climate solutions is feasible, affordable and attractive ― Implementation is held back by various barriers ― Learning from the countries that have already deployed the solutions helps in removing barriers ― Green to Scale includes policy recommendations on how to deploy the solutions in the target countries ― General recommendations include e.g. setting ambitious targets, strengthening carbon pricing, removing harmful subsidies, introducing targeted support measures and enforcing existing regulations 17
  • 18. #nordicsolutions to global challenges Key policy decisions for Estonia ― Clear goals and incentive framework for wind, solar and combined heat and power production to keep investment conditions stable ― Guidance, training activities and financial incentives for energy efficiency in housing and industry ― Clear goals, financial incentives and regulatory framework for electric cars and biofuels ― Instruments to tackle emissions from agriculture and forestry 18
  • 19. #nordicsolutions to global challenges What next ― Results released at national events • Tallinn 30 April • Vilnius 29 May • Riga 30 May • Warsaw 6 June (tentative) • KievTBD ― Presentations at the Clean Energy and Mission Innovation Ministerial in Copenhagen and Malmö in May 2018 ― Results for Kenya and Ethiopia released in May ― Interested?We are open for co-operation! 19
  • 20. #nordicsolutions to global challenges #nordicsolutions to global challenges Thank you #GreentoScale greentoscale.net