SIM4NEXUS Presentation
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SIM4NEXUS is a 4-year, €7.9M EU Horizon 2020 project that aims to improve decision-making around the water-land-food-energy-climate nexus through an integrated modeling approach. The project involves 25 partners across 15 European countries and will develop nexus models by combining existing thematic models from different domains using complexity science methods. These models will be applied in 10 case studies at regional to global scales to assess policy initiatives and trade-offs. The project will also create a serious game to educate stakeholders and decision-makers about sustainable resource management.
SIM4NEXUS Presentation
- 1. SIM4NEXUS: A novel approach towards improving decision-making for resource efficiency, based on the water-land-food-energy-climate Nexus WssTP Water-Energy-Food- Biodiversity Working Group Chrysi Laspidou Associate Professor Civil Engineering Dept. University of Thessaly 24/11/2016
- 2. SIM4NEXUS project • H2020 project SIM4NEXUS • Sustainable Integrated Management FOR the NEXUS of water-land-food-energy-climate for a resource-efficient Europe • Grant of € 7.9M • 4 year project (2016-2020) • Started June 2016 • 25 partners from 15 European countries • Co-ordination: Wageningen University & Research • Core team: University of Exeter, University of Thessaly
- 3. Project Objectives SIM4NEXUS has four objectives: 1. To adopt existing knowledge and develop new expertise on the Nexus, 2. To reduce uncertainties of how policies, governance and institutions affect complex changing environmental systems, 3. To showcase the implementation by a network of regional and national case studies in Europe 4. To valorise the project outputs by suitable business models.
- 4. The Nexus for resource efficiency Target: Resource efficiency Five Nexus components • Water • Energy • Food • Land use • Climate under Climate Change
- 5. The Nexus for resource efficiency Target: Resource efficiency Instruments: • Technology • Economic development • Social cohesion • Social innovation • Governance • Policy under Climate Change
- 6. Previous related research: Thematic models Several well-established and developed “thematic” models” do exist: • Simulating some (but not all five) Nexus components • At some scales (e.g. Global) • Not necessarily targeting resource efficiency • Some targeting GHG • Or biodiversity • Or the economy • But not all…
- 7. Thematic models in SIM4NEXUS
- 8. The main idea(s) • Using the “thematic models” to identify the links and the gaps in the Nexus • With diverse Data Sources and Climate change scenarios • Running the thematic models • Combining outputs from the thematic models using Complexity Science methodologies: • System Dynamics mainly (previous expertise) • Cellular Automata • Fuzzy Pattern Recognition • Material Flow Analysis • To develop “Nexus” models for specific Case Studies and scenarios • To develop a Serious Game for education and decision makers
- 9. Concept before integration partial integration Nexus with SIM4NEXUS Common prac ce with silo-thinking, fragmented policy and decision making and R&D support Decision making par ally integra ng Nexus components with high uncertainty about results SIM4NEXUS approach: NEXUS- compliant R&D and policy-making thema c models knowledge policy & decision making complexity science producing integrated knowledge water energy food land climate with high uncertainty All Nexus components interac ng with reduced uncertainty
- 10. Structure
- 11. The Serious Game SIM4NEXUS to develop a Serious Game • With an Innovative Knowledge Elicitation Engine (KEE) • Based on Aqua Republica (an existing serious game focusing on water developed by DHI) • http://www.dhigroup.com/upload/publications/scribd/172 629015-Exploring-the-World-of-Aqua-Republica-DHI-Case- Story.pdf
- 12. Different Case Studies • To achieve a detailed understanding of the scientific interrelations between the components of the Nexus. • To represent different spatial scales (regional, national, continental and global) • To assess the benefits of synergies in policies when decision makers address the Nexus concerns. • To assess relevant near-term policy initiatives This assessment will be accompanied by sensitivity analysis in all the case studies, in order to reduce uncertainties and increase the reliability of each proposed scenario. • To propose the potential for transferability of the case study to other regions and countries. • As test beds of the models and the Serious Game
- 13. Case Studies With Local stakeholders • 3 at regional level • 5 at national level • 2 transboundary At higher level (educational) • 1 at European level • 1 at Global level
- 14. Progress • This 4-year Project started in June 2016 • Nexus interlinkages are being defined • Case Studies detailed descriptions available • Questionnaires/Interviews with stakeholders underway • First Case Study (fast track-exploratory) started (Sardinia), based on previous work ongoing… • Emphasis on data exchange chain • First results expected by the end of 2016
- 15. Conceptual model
- 16. System Dynamics Model Snapshot
- 17. For further information please consult www.sim4nexus.eu, follow us at @SIM4NEXUS Thanks for your attention! sim4nexus@wur.nl floor.brouwer@wur.nl laspidou@uth.gr L.S.Vamvakeridou-Lyroudia@exeter.ac.uk This is an ict4water cluster project www.ict4water.eu