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session#4 Divényi János @divenyi.janos
b.socrative.com
Student login
into room BMEADAT
How to find answers
to relevant questions
using data
QUESTION
DATA
ANALYSIS
PRESENTATION
QUESTION
DATA
QUESTION
DATA
ANALYSIS
How does
a new piece of
information
affects
what we know
about the world?
www.bigstockphoto.com
P(A|B)
conditional probability
probability that A occurs
given than B has occurred
Slide4 bme adat_2015
RANDOMNESS
http://dilbert.com/strip/2001-10-25
RANDOMNESS
http://dilbert.com/strip/2001-10-25
RANDOMNESS
YOU CAN NEVER BE SURE
http://dilbert.com/strip/2001-10-25
Slide4 bme adat_2015
Slide4 bme adat_2015
Statistical Hypothesis
Testing
Jake VanderPlas
Statistics for Hackers
Slide4 bme adat_2015
http://xkcd.com/882/
Slide4 bme adat_2015
Slide4 bme adat_2015
Statistical Hypothesis
Inference Testing
Charles Lambdin
Statistical Hypothesis
Inference Testing
Charles Lambdin
Mr. Allen, the candidate for political
Party A will run against Mr. Baker of
Party B for office. Past races between
these parties for this office were
always close, and it seems that this
one will be no exception – Party A
candidates always have gotten
between 40% and 60% of the vote and
have won about half of the elections.
Carl Morris (1987)
QUESTION
Mr. Allen needs to know whether he is
going to win the election, so he orders
a poll. Which of three outcomes would
be the most encouraging for him?
(a) Y = 15, n = 20
(b) Y = 115, n = 200
(c) Y = 1046, n = 2000
Carl Morris (1987)

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