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The State of Adblocking
Q1 2016
April 2016
Augustine Fou, PhD.
acfou [at] mktsci.com
212. 203 .7239
April 2016 / Page 1marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Humans use adblock, fraud bots don’t block ads
Publisher 1
Challenge all assumptions
• Ad blocking on mobile is not necessarily
lower than desktop; lower numbers may
be due to incomplete detection
• Ad blocking ranges observed are from
single digit percentages to over 50%
• It is critical to disclose the portion of the
data that is not measurable (see the row
that has no value; “1” means ad block)
• Younger audiences do not always have
higher ad blocking
• Tech savvy gamers appear to have the
highest rates of ad blocking
“We have long used ad block detection
as a signal for human users because
humans use adblock. Bots used to
commit ad fraud don’t because they
want the ad impressions to load.”
1 = adblock positively detected
0 = adblock positively detected to be
not present
(blank) = no detection, unmeasurable
April 2016 / Page 2marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
UPDATED: Full Year Digital Ad Spend – $50B
Impressions
(CPM/CPV)
Clicks
(CPC)
Leads
(CPL)
Sales
(CPA)
Search 38%
$18.8B
Video 7%
$3.5B
Lead Gen 4%
$2.0B
10% Other
$5.0B
Source: IAB, FY 2014 Internet Advertising Report, May 2015
$42.5B
Display 16%
$7.9B
Mobile 25%
$6.2B$6.2B
CPM Performance
• classifieds
• sponsorship
• rich media
$7.0B
April 2016 / Page 3marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Ad blocking impacts up to 86% of digital spend
Everyone knows ad blocking removes display, video, and
mobile ads, but did you know it also blocks search ads?
$42.5B of $50B may be impacted by ad blocking
April 2016 / Page 4marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Bot and Ad Block Detection Toolset
April 2016 / Page 5marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Detection Toolset – Javascript “tag”
• Uses standard javascript APIs
which are set and maintained
by W3C
• The javascript “tag” collects
details about the browser like
the version, the operating
system, screen resolution,
plugins, etc.
• No personally identifiable
information is collected
• Users don’t interact with it in
any way – does not log in,
enter any data
• The collected data points are
combined together to generate
anonymous “fingerprint”
• Cookies can be turned on and
off as necessary.
• Not all parameters are
collected for every visit
April 2016 / Page 6marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Where we deploy our tag
In-ad (display ads served)On-site (clients’ websites)
• To detect and characterize
each visitor to the website
• Installed just like Google
Analytics via 2 lines of code
• Served in the ad creative in
order to characterize the user
that caused the ad to load
April 2016 / Page 7marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Examples of common parameters collected
'time'
'window'
'appVersion'
'video'
'product'
'sessionStorage'
'localStorage'
'vendor'
'productSub'
'appCodeName'
'inner'
'cookieEnabled'
'appName'
'platform'
'timezone'
'cookies'
'language'
'doNotTrack'
'frame'
'hidden'
'outer'
'vendorSub'
'url'
'userAgent'
'fontrender'
'referrer'
'clock'
'sort'
'globals'
'TIMESTAMP'
'cookie'
'HTTP_USER_AGENT'
'HTTP_CONNECTION'
'HTTP_X_FORWARDED_FOR'
'HTTP_ACCEPT'
'HTTP_ACCEPT_LANGUAGE'
'GEO_LAT_0'
'GEO_LNG_0'
'GEO_CITY_0'
'GEO_REGION_0'
'GEO_COUNTRY_0'
'GEO_IP_0'
'GEO_AS_0'
'HTTP_ACCEPT_ENCODING'
'devicelight'
'document'
'framerate'
'plugins'
'HTTP_REFERER'
'orientation'
'HTTP_COOKIE'
'motion'
'mousemove'
'HTTP_DNT'
'scroll'
'custom_site'
'custom_campaign'
'custom_advertiser'
'custom_IO'
'custom_placement'
'custom_creative'
'custom_adunit'
'custom_section'
'HTTP_CACHE_CONTROL'
'mousedown'
'mouseup'
'click'
'touchstart'
'HTTP_UA_CPU'
'touchend'
'touchmove'
'HTTP_VIA'
'HTTP_X_WAP_PROFILE'
'HTTP_X_REQUESTED_WITH'
'HTTP_ACCEPT_CHARSET'
'HTTP_X_UIDH'
'keydown'
'keyup'
'touchcancel'
'GEO_LNG_1'
'GEO_IP_1'
'GEO_AS_1'
'GEO_COUNTRY_1'
'GEO_REGION_1'
'GEO_CITY_1'
'GEO_LAT_1'
'HTTP_X_ATT_DEVICEID'
'HTTP_X_BLUECOAT_VIA'
'keypress'
'HTTP_PRAGMA'
'HTTP_DEVICE_STOCK_UA’
'clicktype'
'HTTP_X_IMFORWARDS'
'HTTP_FORWARDED'
'HTTP_CLIENT_IP'
'HTTP_X_GETZIP'
'HTTP_X_OPERAMINI_PHONE_UA'
'HTTP_X_OPERAMINI_PHONE'
'HTTP_X_OPERAMINI_FEATURES'
'GEO_AS_2'
'HTTP_SCHEME'
'GEO_IP_2'
'GEO_COUNTRY_2'
'GEO_REGION_2'
'GEO_CITY_2'
'GEO_LNG_2'
'GEO_LAT_2'
'"frame'
'HTTP_X_P2P_PEERDIST'
'"clock'
'"document'
'HTTP_XROXY_CONNECTION'
'HTTP_PREFER'
'"devicelight'
'"scroll'
'HTTP_PROXY_CONNECTION'
'select'
'HTTP_CONTENT_SUPORT'
'HTTP_X_REAL_IP'
'HTTP_X_NETWORK_TYPE'
'"framerate'
'"mousemove'
'HTTP_X_BROWSER_TYPE'
'HTTP_X_NOKIA_DEVICE_TYPE'
'HTTP_X_MOBILE_GATEWAY'
'HTTP_X_COUNTRY_CODE'
'"globals'
'HTTP_CLIENTIP'
'HTTP_VERSION'
'"plugins'
'"touchend'
'noscript'
April 2016 / Page 8marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Highlights of Findings
April 2016 / Page 9marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Non-profits
Non-profit 1
Non-profit 3
Non-profit 2 Adblocking
3% 12%
Mobile
4% 12%
Unmeasurable
8% 19%
8%
10%
6% 19%
Desktop
Mobile
Desktop
• Non-profit sites that carry no advertising show
relatively modest ad blocking rates
• The rate of unmeasurable visits are very
similar comparing desktop versus mobile
April 2016 / Page 10marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
University websites
University 1
University 3
University 2 Adblocking
7% 19%
Mobile
7% 16%
Unmeasurable
5% 10%
15%
14%
10% 18%
Desktop
Mobile
Desktop
• Desktop and mobile adblocking is similar
• Unmeasurable rate is higher in mobile
• Younger audiences don’t necessarily have
higher ad blocking than general population
• A third of visitors to websites are using mobile
April 2016 / Page 11marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Publishers – ad supported
Publisher 1
Publisher 3
Publisher 2
Adblocking
12% 27%
Mobile
12% 33%
Unmeasurable
5% 8%
20%
28%
6% 14%
Desktop
Mobile
Desktop
• Visitors to publishers that are ad supported
show higher ad blocking rates (than university
and non-profit sites that are not ad supported)
• Mobile users appear to have higher ad
blocking rates
• Mobile is also more unmeasurable
April 2016 / Page 12marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Tech and Gaming
Site 1
Site 3
Site 2 Adblocking
9% 33%
Mobile
3% 42%
Unmeasurable
3% 16%
27%
35%
7% 18%
Desktop
Mobile
Desktop
• Tech savvy visitors to these sites have the
highest measured ad blocking rates
• Unmeasurable rate is similar between desktop
and mobile
April 2016 / Page 13marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
How ad block measurement tools may undercount true rate
Javascript measurement tags
NOT LOADED
high
22%17%
21%
DIRECTLY MEASURED Ad Blocking Rate
low
average
Javascript measurement tags
loaded
8% 17%
True rate of the use of ad blocking
39%
Some ad tags and javascript measurement tags are now being blocked -- i.e. unmeasurable
unmeasurable
April 2016 / Page 14marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
About the Author
April 2016 / Page 15marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Dr. Augustine Fou – Recognized Expert on Ad Fraud
2013
2014
2015
SPEAKING ENGAGEMENTS / PANELS
4A’s Webinar on Ad Fraud – October
Digital Ad Fraud Podcast – January
Programmatic Ad Fraud Webinar – March
AdCouncil Webinar on Ad Fraud - April
TelX Marketplace Live – June
ARF Audience Measurement – June
IAB Webinar on Ad Fraud / Botnets - September
April 2016 / Page 16marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc.
linkedin.com/in/augustinefou
Harvard Business Review – October 2015
Excerpt:
Hunting the Bots
Fou, a prodigy who earned a Ph.D. from MIT at 23,
belongs to the generation that witnessed the rise of
digital marketers, having crafted his trade at American
Express, one of the most successful American
consumer brands, and at Omnicom, one of the largest
global advertising agencies. Eventually stepping away
from corporate life, Fou started his own practice,
focusing on digital marketing fraud investigation.
Fou’s experiment proved that fake traffic is
unproductive traffic. The fake visitors inflated the
traffic statistics but contributed nothing to
conversions, which stayed steady even after the traffic
plummeted (bottom chart). Fake traffic is generated by
“bad-guy bots.” A bot is computer code that runs
automated tasks.

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State of Adblocking Update Q1 2016

  • 1. The State of Adblocking Q1 2016 April 2016 Augustine Fou, PhD. acfou [at] mktsci.com 212. 203 .7239
  • 2. April 2016 / Page 1marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Humans use adblock, fraud bots don’t block ads Publisher 1 Challenge all assumptions • Ad blocking on mobile is not necessarily lower than desktop; lower numbers may be due to incomplete detection • Ad blocking ranges observed are from single digit percentages to over 50% • It is critical to disclose the portion of the data that is not measurable (see the row that has no value; “1” means ad block) • Younger audiences do not always have higher ad blocking • Tech savvy gamers appear to have the highest rates of ad blocking “We have long used ad block detection as a signal for human users because humans use adblock. Bots used to commit ad fraud don’t because they want the ad impressions to load.” 1 = adblock positively detected 0 = adblock positively detected to be not present (blank) = no detection, unmeasurable
  • 3. April 2016 / Page 2marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou UPDATED: Full Year Digital Ad Spend – $50B Impressions (CPM/CPV) Clicks (CPC) Leads (CPL) Sales (CPA) Search 38% $18.8B Video 7% $3.5B Lead Gen 4% $2.0B 10% Other $5.0B Source: IAB, FY 2014 Internet Advertising Report, May 2015 $42.5B Display 16% $7.9B Mobile 25% $6.2B$6.2B CPM Performance • classifieds • sponsorship • rich media $7.0B
  • 4. April 2016 / Page 3marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Ad blocking impacts up to 86% of digital spend Everyone knows ad blocking removes display, video, and mobile ads, but did you know it also blocks search ads? $42.5B of $50B may be impacted by ad blocking
  • 5. April 2016 / Page 4marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Bot and Ad Block Detection Toolset
  • 6. April 2016 / Page 5marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Detection Toolset – Javascript “tag” • Uses standard javascript APIs which are set and maintained by W3C • The javascript “tag” collects details about the browser like the version, the operating system, screen resolution, plugins, etc. • No personally identifiable information is collected • Users don’t interact with it in any way – does not log in, enter any data • The collected data points are combined together to generate anonymous “fingerprint” • Cookies can be turned on and off as necessary. • Not all parameters are collected for every visit
  • 7. April 2016 / Page 6marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Where we deploy our tag In-ad (display ads served)On-site (clients’ websites) • To detect and characterize each visitor to the website • Installed just like Google Analytics via 2 lines of code • Served in the ad creative in order to characterize the user that caused the ad to load
  • 8. April 2016 / Page 7marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Examples of common parameters collected 'time' 'window' 'appVersion' 'video' 'product' 'sessionStorage' 'localStorage' 'vendor' 'productSub' 'appCodeName' 'inner' 'cookieEnabled' 'appName' 'platform' 'timezone' 'cookies' 'language' 'doNotTrack' 'frame' 'hidden' 'outer' 'vendorSub' 'url' 'userAgent' 'fontrender' 'referrer' 'clock' 'sort' 'globals' 'TIMESTAMP' 'cookie' 'HTTP_USER_AGENT' 'HTTP_CONNECTION' 'HTTP_X_FORWARDED_FOR' 'HTTP_ACCEPT' 'HTTP_ACCEPT_LANGUAGE' 'GEO_LAT_0' 'GEO_LNG_0' 'GEO_CITY_0' 'GEO_REGION_0' 'GEO_COUNTRY_0' 'GEO_IP_0' 'GEO_AS_0' 'HTTP_ACCEPT_ENCODING' 'devicelight' 'document' 'framerate' 'plugins' 'HTTP_REFERER' 'orientation' 'HTTP_COOKIE' 'motion' 'mousemove' 'HTTP_DNT' 'scroll' 'custom_site' 'custom_campaign' 'custom_advertiser' 'custom_IO' 'custom_placement' 'custom_creative' 'custom_adunit' 'custom_section' 'HTTP_CACHE_CONTROL' 'mousedown' 'mouseup' 'click' 'touchstart' 'HTTP_UA_CPU' 'touchend' 'touchmove' 'HTTP_VIA' 'HTTP_X_WAP_PROFILE' 'HTTP_X_REQUESTED_WITH' 'HTTP_ACCEPT_CHARSET' 'HTTP_X_UIDH' 'keydown' 'keyup' 'touchcancel' 'GEO_LNG_1' 'GEO_IP_1' 'GEO_AS_1' 'GEO_COUNTRY_1' 'GEO_REGION_1' 'GEO_CITY_1' 'GEO_LAT_1' 'HTTP_X_ATT_DEVICEID' 'HTTP_X_BLUECOAT_VIA' 'keypress' 'HTTP_PRAGMA' 'HTTP_DEVICE_STOCK_UA’ 'clicktype' 'HTTP_X_IMFORWARDS' 'HTTP_FORWARDED' 'HTTP_CLIENT_IP' 'HTTP_X_GETZIP' 'HTTP_X_OPERAMINI_PHONE_UA' 'HTTP_X_OPERAMINI_PHONE' 'HTTP_X_OPERAMINI_FEATURES' 'GEO_AS_2' 'HTTP_SCHEME' 'GEO_IP_2' 'GEO_COUNTRY_2' 'GEO_REGION_2' 'GEO_CITY_2' 'GEO_LNG_2' 'GEO_LAT_2' '"frame' 'HTTP_X_P2P_PEERDIST' '"clock' '"document' 'HTTP_XROXY_CONNECTION' 'HTTP_PREFER' '"devicelight' '"scroll' 'HTTP_PROXY_CONNECTION' 'select' 'HTTP_CONTENT_SUPORT' 'HTTP_X_REAL_IP' 'HTTP_X_NETWORK_TYPE' '"framerate' '"mousemove' 'HTTP_X_BROWSER_TYPE' 'HTTP_X_NOKIA_DEVICE_TYPE' 'HTTP_X_MOBILE_GATEWAY' 'HTTP_X_COUNTRY_CODE' '"globals' 'HTTP_CLIENTIP' 'HTTP_VERSION' '"plugins' '"touchend' 'noscript'
  • 9. April 2016 / Page 8marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Highlights of Findings
  • 10. April 2016 / Page 9marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Non-profits Non-profit 1 Non-profit 3 Non-profit 2 Adblocking 3% 12% Mobile 4% 12% Unmeasurable 8% 19% 8% 10% 6% 19% Desktop Mobile Desktop • Non-profit sites that carry no advertising show relatively modest ad blocking rates • The rate of unmeasurable visits are very similar comparing desktop versus mobile
  • 11. April 2016 / Page 10marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou University websites University 1 University 3 University 2 Adblocking 7% 19% Mobile 7% 16% Unmeasurable 5% 10% 15% 14% 10% 18% Desktop Mobile Desktop • Desktop and mobile adblocking is similar • Unmeasurable rate is higher in mobile • Younger audiences don’t necessarily have higher ad blocking than general population • A third of visitors to websites are using mobile
  • 12. April 2016 / Page 11marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Publishers – ad supported Publisher 1 Publisher 3 Publisher 2 Adblocking 12% 27% Mobile 12% 33% Unmeasurable 5% 8% 20% 28% 6% 14% Desktop Mobile Desktop • Visitors to publishers that are ad supported show higher ad blocking rates (than university and non-profit sites that are not ad supported) • Mobile users appear to have higher ad blocking rates • Mobile is also more unmeasurable
  • 13. April 2016 / Page 12marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Tech and Gaming Site 1 Site 3 Site 2 Adblocking 9% 33% Mobile 3% 42% Unmeasurable 3% 16% 27% 35% 7% 18% Desktop Mobile Desktop • Tech savvy visitors to these sites have the highest measured ad blocking rates • Unmeasurable rate is similar between desktop and mobile
  • 14. April 2016 / Page 13marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou How ad block measurement tools may undercount true rate Javascript measurement tags NOT LOADED high 22%17% 21% DIRECTLY MEASURED Ad Blocking Rate low average Javascript measurement tags loaded 8% 17% True rate of the use of ad blocking 39% Some ad tags and javascript measurement tags are now being blocked -- i.e. unmeasurable unmeasurable
  • 15. April 2016 / Page 14marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou About the Author
  • 16. April 2016 / Page 15marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Dr. Augustine Fou – Recognized Expert on Ad Fraud 2013 2014 2015 SPEAKING ENGAGEMENTS / PANELS 4A’s Webinar on Ad Fraud – October Digital Ad Fraud Podcast – January Programmatic Ad Fraud Webinar – March AdCouncil Webinar on Ad Fraud - April TelX Marketplace Live – June ARF Audience Measurement – June IAB Webinar on Ad Fraud / Botnets - September
  • 17. April 2016 / Page 16marketing.scienceconsulting group, inc. linkedin.com/in/augustinefou Harvard Business Review – October 2015 Excerpt: Hunting the Bots Fou, a prodigy who earned a Ph.D. from MIT at 23, belongs to the generation that witnessed the rise of digital marketers, having crafted his trade at American Express, one of the most successful American consumer brands, and at Omnicom, one of the largest global advertising agencies. Eventually stepping away from corporate life, Fou started his own practice, focusing on digital marketing fraud investigation. Fou’s experiment proved that fake traffic is unproductive traffic. The fake visitors inflated the traffic statistics but contributed nothing to conversions, which stayed steady even after the traffic plummeted (bottom chart). Fake traffic is generated by “bad-guy bots.” A bot is computer code that runs automated tasks.