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Surveys that work
An introduction to
the Survey Octopus
and Total Survey Error
Caroline Jarrett
@cjforms
#surveysthatwork2022
What would you do for a dollar?
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 2
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 3
$1 in the envelope beats $10 guaranteed later
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 3
People will only respond if they trust
you. After that, it's a balance between
the perceived reward from filling in the
survey compared to the perceived
effort that's required. Strangely
enough, if a reward seems 'too good to
be true' that can also reduce the
response.
Response
Diagram inspired by Dillman, D.A. (2000)
“Internet, Mail and Mixed Mode Surveys: The Tailored Design Method” 4
Would you
answer this
survey?
5
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 6
I’m the forms specialist
Image credit: Flickr, taxrebate.org.uk 6
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 7
Why do people answer questions?
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 7
I wrote a book
It seemed easier than
continuing to answer
lots of survey questions
https://rosenfeldmedia.com/books/surveys-that-work/
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 8
Let’s think about these topics today
“Please have a look at this survey”
“Tell me whether this is a good question”
“Is this statistically significant?”
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 9
The survey is a
systematic method
for gathering information from
(a sample of) entities
for the purpose of
constructing quantitative descriptors
of the attributes of the larger population
of which the entities are members.
Groves, Robert M.; Fowler, Floyd J.; Couper, Mick P.; Lepkowski, James M.; Singer, Eleanor &
Tourangeau, Roger (2004).Survey methodology. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
I change the definition a bit
systematic method becomes process
gathering information becomes ask questions
entities become people
quantitative descriptors become numbers
attributes of the
larger population become make decisions
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
The survey is a process
for getting answers to questions
from (a sample of) people
for the purpose of
getting numbers
that you can use to
make decisions
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 13
Let’s rearrange that somewhat
The survey is a
process for getting
answers to questions
To make decisions From people
getting numbers
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 14
Start with why and who; end with the number
The survey is a
process for getting
answers to questions
Why you want to ask Who you want to ask
The number
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 15
A survey is a quantitative method
Key Point A survey is
a quantitative method
The result of a survey
is a number
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
Christian Rohrer
mapped many
more methods
https://www.nngroup.com/articles/which-ux-research-methods/
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 18
Survey methodologists interview first
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 19
Establish your goals for the survey
What do you want to know?
Why do you want to know?
What decision will you make
based on these answers?
What number do you
need for the decision?
Key Point The aim of a survey is
to get a number that will
help with a decision
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 21
Let’s have a good look at that process
The survey is a
process for getting
answers to questions
Why you want to ask Who you want to ask
The number
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 22
The Survey Octopus has things to think about
Why you want to ask Who you want to ask
The number
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 23
The topics are all somewhat connected
23
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 24
I made a process from the things to think about
Goals
Questions
Questionnaire
Response
Sample
Fieldwork
Response
Reports
24
Here are the 7 steps as a linear process
Establish
your goals for
the survey
Decide who
to ask and
how many
Build the
questionnaire
Run the
survey from
invitation to
follow-up
Clean and
analyse the
data
Present the
results
Questions
you need
answers to
People you
will invite to
answer
Goals Sample Questionnaire Fieldwork
People who
actually
answer
Responses Reports
Answers Decisions
Test the
questions
Questions
Questions
people can
answer
Questions
people can
interact with
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
People ask me about surveys
“Please have a look at this survey”
“Tell me whether this is a good question”
“Is this statistically significant?”
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 26
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 27
Is this a good question?
Would you recommend us to
a friend or family member?
27
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 28
“Recommend to friend/family” can be OK
A shop selling clothes
What do you want
to know?
Whether they will recommend
Why do you want to
know?
To compare numbers
over time
What number do
you need to make a
decision?
Some good reasons
(investigate and fix problems)
Some bad ones (punish staff)
28
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 29
“Recommend to friend/family” can be very weird
A shop selling clothes A hospital ward
What do you want
to know?
Whether they will recommend ????
Why do you want to
know?
To compare numbers
over time
Because someone
said they had to ask
What number do
you need to make a
decision?
Some good reasons
(investigate and fix problems)
Some bad ones (punish staff)
????
What decision?
Questions can go
wrong in other ways
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 31
Make sure that you test your questionnaire
Key Point To find out whether a
question is a good one,
test it with
people who will answer it
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
People ask me about surveys
“Please have a look at this survey”
“Tell me whether this is a good question”
“Is it statistically significant?”
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 33
What type of significance do you need?
• A result that is statistically significant is one that is
mathematically unlikely to be the result of chance
• A result that is significant in practice is one that is
meaningful in the real world
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 34
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 35
If you ask the wrong questions, you’ll fail at validity
(Lack of)
validity
Sampling
error
35
Key Point Asking one person
the right question
gets better results
than asking 10,000 people
the wrong question
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
Many statisticians aren’t keen, either
Scientists rise up against
statistical significance
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00857-9
37
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 38
Let’s look at another crucial error
Non-response
error
38
Non-response error happens when
the people who do not respond are different
to the people who do respond
in a way that affects your decision
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 39
Jane Matthews told me a story
• 20 people attend a workshop; they all seem to enjoy it
• Only get 3 or 4 back from a web survey
“If we rely on those responses,
we might be at risk of making bad decisions”
• Now changing to phoning half the people
Credit: https://janematthews.com/
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 41
There are errors all around the Survey Octopus
(Lack of)
validity
Measurement
error
Processing
error
Coverage
error
Sampling error
Non-response
error
Adjustment
error
41
Key Point Significance in practice
comes from
making good decisions
throughout the survey
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 43
The aim is to get the best number you can,
within the resources you have
What you want to ask about
The reason you’re doing it
The questions you ask
The answers you get
The answers you use
Who you want to ask
The list that you sample from
The sample you ask
The ones who respond
The ones whose responses
you can use
The number
(Lack of)
validity
Measurement
error
Processing
error
Coverage error
Sampling error
Non-response
error
Adjustment
error
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 44
This version uses terms from survey methodology
Construct
Measurement
Response
Edited response
Sampling frame
Survey statistic
Representation
Sample
Respondents
Post-survey adjustments
(Lack of)
validity
Measurement
error
Processing
error
Coverage error
Sampling error
Non-response
error
Adjustment
error
44
Total Survey Error diagram as presented in
Groves, R. M., F. J. Fowler, M. P. Couper, J. M.
Lepkowski, E. Singer and R. Tourangeau (2009).
Survey methodology. Hoboken, N.J., Wiley.
45
Caroline Jarrett
Twitter @cjforms
http://www.effortmark.co.uk/blog
carolinej@effortmark.co.uk
Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 46

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Surveys that work: an introduction to the Survey Octopus and Total Survey Error

  • 1. Surveys that work An introduction to the Survey Octopus and Total Survey Error Caroline Jarrett @cjforms #surveysthatwork2022
  • 2. What would you do for a dollar? Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 2
  • 3. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 3 $1 in the envelope beats $10 guaranteed later Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 3
  • 4. People will only respond if they trust you. After that, it's a balance between the perceived reward from filling in the survey compared to the perceived effort that's required. Strangely enough, if a reward seems 'too good to be true' that can also reduce the response. Response Diagram inspired by Dillman, D.A. (2000) “Internet, Mail and Mixed Mode Surveys: The Tailored Design Method” 4
  • 5. Would you answer this survey? 5 Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 6. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 6 I’m the forms specialist Image credit: Flickr, taxrebate.org.uk 6
  • 7. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 7 Why do people answer questions? Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 7
  • 8. I wrote a book It seemed easier than continuing to answer lots of survey questions https://rosenfeldmedia.com/books/surveys-that-work/ Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 8
  • 9. Let’s think about these topics today “Please have a look at this survey” “Tell me whether this is a good question” “Is this statistically significant?” Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 9
  • 10. The survey is a systematic method for gathering information from (a sample of) entities for the purpose of constructing quantitative descriptors of the attributes of the larger population of which the entities are members. Groves, Robert M.; Fowler, Floyd J.; Couper, Mick P.; Lepkowski, James M.; Singer, Eleanor & Tourangeau, Roger (2004).Survey methodology. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 11. I change the definition a bit systematic method becomes process gathering information becomes ask questions entities become people quantitative descriptors become numbers attributes of the larger population become make decisions Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 12. The survey is a process for getting answers to questions from (a sample of) people for the purpose of getting numbers that you can use to make decisions Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 13. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 13 Let’s rearrange that somewhat The survey is a process for getting answers to questions To make decisions From people getting numbers
  • 14. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 14 Start with why and who; end with the number The survey is a process for getting answers to questions Why you want to ask Who you want to ask The number
  • 15. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 15 A survey is a quantitative method
  • 16. Key Point A survey is a quantitative method The result of a survey is a number Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 17. Christian Rohrer mapped many more methods https://www.nngroup.com/articles/which-ux-research-methods/
  • 18. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 18 Survey methodologists interview first
  • 19. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 19 Establish your goals for the survey What do you want to know? Why do you want to know? What decision will you make based on these answers? What number do you need for the decision?
  • 20. Key Point The aim of a survey is to get a number that will help with a decision Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 21. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 21 Let’s have a good look at that process The survey is a process for getting answers to questions Why you want to ask Who you want to ask The number
  • 22. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 22 The Survey Octopus has things to think about Why you want to ask Who you want to ask The number
  • 23. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 23 The topics are all somewhat connected 23
  • 24. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 24 I made a process from the things to think about Goals Questions Questionnaire Response Sample Fieldwork Response Reports 24
  • 25. Here are the 7 steps as a linear process Establish your goals for the survey Decide who to ask and how many Build the questionnaire Run the survey from invitation to follow-up Clean and analyse the data Present the results Questions you need answers to People you will invite to answer Goals Sample Questionnaire Fieldwork People who actually answer Responses Reports Answers Decisions Test the questions Questions Questions people can answer Questions people can interact with Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 26. People ask me about surveys “Please have a look at this survey” “Tell me whether this is a good question” “Is this statistically significant?” Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 26
  • 27. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 27 Is this a good question? Would you recommend us to a friend or family member? 27
  • 28. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 28 “Recommend to friend/family” can be OK A shop selling clothes What do you want to know? Whether they will recommend Why do you want to know? To compare numbers over time What number do you need to make a decision? Some good reasons (investigate and fix problems) Some bad ones (punish staff) 28
  • 29. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 29 “Recommend to friend/family” can be very weird A shop selling clothes A hospital ward What do you want to know? Whether they will recommend ???? Why do you want to know? To compare numbers over time Because someone said they had to ask What number do you need to make a decision? Some good reasons (investigate and fix problems) Some bad ones (punish staff) ???? What decision?
  • 30. Questions can go wrong in other ways Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 31. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 31 Make sure that you test your questionnaire
  • 32. Key Point To find out whether a question is a good one, test it with people who will answer it Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 33. People ask me about surveys “Please have a look at this survey” “Tell me whether this is a good question” “Is it statistically significant?” Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 33
  • 34. What type of significance do you need? • A result that is statistically significant is one that is mathematically unlikely to be the result of chance • A result that is significant in practice is one that is meaningful in the real world Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 34
  • 35. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 35 If you ask the wrong questions, you’ll fail at validity (Lack of) validity Sampling error 35
  • 36. Key Point Asking one person the right question gets better results than asking 10,000 people the wrong question Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 37. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 Many statisticians aren’t keen, either Scientists rise up against statistical significance https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00857-9 37
  • 38. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 38 Let’s look at another crucial error Non-response error 38
  • 39. Non-response error happens when the people who do not respond are different to the people who do respond in a way that affects your decision Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 39
  • 40. Jane Matthews told me a story • 20 people attend a workshop; they all seem to enjoy it • Only get 3 or 4 back from a web survey “If we rely on those responses, we might be at risk of making bad decisions” • Now changing to phoning half the people Credit: https://janematthews.com/
  • 41. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 41 There are errors all around the Survey Octopus (Lack of) validity Measurement error Processing error Coverage error Sampling error Non-response error Adjustment error 41
  • 42. Key Point Significance in practice comes from making good decisions throughout the survey Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0
  • 43. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 43 The aim is to get the best number you can, within the resources you have What you want to ask about The reason you’re doing it The questions you ask The answers you get The answers you use Who you want to ask The list that you sample from The sample you ask The ones who respond The ones whose responses you can use The number (Lack of) validity Measurement error Processing error Coverage error Sampling error Non-response error Adjustment error
  • 44. Caroline Jarrett @cjforms (CC) BY SA-4.0 44 This version uses terms from survey methodology Construct Measurement Response Edited response Sampling frame Survey statistic Representation Sample Respondents Post-survey adjustments (Lack of) validity Measurement error Processing error Coverage error Sampling error Non-response error Adjustment error 44
  • 45. Total Survey Error diagram as presented in Groves, R. M., F. J. Fowler, M. P. Couper, J. M. Lepkowski, E. Singer and R. Tourangeau (2009). Survey methodology. Hoboken, N.J., Wiley. 45

Editor's Notes

  • #5: People will only respond if they trust you. After that, it's a balance between the perceived reward from filling in the survey compared to the perceived effort that's required. Strangely enough, if a reward seems 'too good to be true' that can also reduce the response.
  • #6: This is a genuine invitation from local government, but the layout and images in the invitation make it look as if it's an approach from some sort of spammer or scammer.
  • #24: The octopus again; we've looked at 6 of the 8 tentacles.
  • #25: The octopus again; we've looked at 6 of the 8 tentacles.
  • #28: If you're buying a baby carriage, then the 'recommend to a friend' question would probably be obvious, interesting and appropriate. If you're in hospital having a miscarriage, it would be cruelly inappropriate.
  • #36: The octopus again; we've looked at 6 of the 8 tentacles.
  • #39: The octopus again; we've looked at 6 of the 8 tentacles.
  • #42: The octopus again; we've looked at 6 of the 8 tentacles.
  • #44: This is a more conventional way of looking at the octopus tentacles
  • #45: This slide translates the issues into the technical terms used by survey methodologists