The future-of-personal-computing
- 1. Where we have been and where we are going Vic Laurie http://vlaurie.com
- 3. Making predictions is hard - especially about the future Attributed to many sources including Niels Bohr and Yogi Berra
- 4. A lot of discussion goes on about “what is a PC?” A PC is a computing device used by normal, average people Not a mainframe or a server or a business machine Personal computing is what you do with a PC Computing devices are inextricably intertwined in modern life
- 5. Central role of hardware PCs became possible only with the invention of solid state components and integrated circuits Ever cheaper, smaller, and faster components Internet Fast, world-wide connections Information revolution Cloud computing Software - less of a driver Word 95 compared to Word 2013 Sound and graphics Bloatware The rise of the app
- 10. One guess is 2.5 petabytes (2500 GB)
- 11. Point and click Mouse Keyboard Graphical User Interface (GUI) Douglas Englebart at Stanford Research Institute (1963) In 1968, Englebart demonstrated text editing, video conferencing, hypertext and windowing Not until the late 1980’s did the GUI and mouse become common
- 12. The new construct of mobility Anytime-anywhere-computing Breaking away from the iron grip of Windows Simpler consumer devices Replacement of the point-and-click paradigm New interfaces The conversion of the Internet into a social place – a worldwide community “Big data” –an emergent phenomenon Loss of privacy Surprising new kinds of information
- 15. Apple iPhone and iPad A watershed event The consumer unchained from Wintel Google Android systems Flexible and versatile operating system Open source Widespread availability of broadband Internet Spread of high-speed cellular networks Rise of cloud computing
- 19. End of boxed software Subscription model Software as a service (SaaS) Proprietary stores Aggregators Rise of the “app”
- 20. Some overlap with the idea of a “program” Typically smaller with limited purpose Frequently use the Internet for some function Skip the browser Run full-screen without conventional menus
- 21. Future Way to Read News?
- 22. Touch Voice Siri Gesture Eye tracking Thought
- 23. Leap Motion
- 24. What is new in Windows 8.1? More emphasis on the cloud – SkyDrive embedded Some interface changes More frequent upgrades What will Windows 9 be like? More mobile More cloud Desktop gone?
- 25. New materials Miniaturization and low power devices Wearable computing Smart watches Google glass Internet of things 75 billion devices connected by 2020 - Cisco Medical devices
- 29. Line between personal computing and life activities is blurred and disappearing Computing devices present in a multitude of everyday activities Smart appliances Automobile software Future cars will be networked, personalized, and connected to the cloud … and collecting personal data about our preferences and our whereabouts —Dan Tynan at PCWorld
- 31. Users choose a recipe and the appliance will know how to make it
- 32. New security devices Fingerprint, retinal, face recognition Merging of PC and TV Interactive shopping Personal assistants Inexpensive basic computer kits Raspberry Pi
- 34. 3-D printing Foldable displays OLED (organic light-emitting diode) Parallel processing Graphical processors (GPU) Semantic search Neural networks and AI Biological materials for PC components 3-D displays Robots
- 35. Instead of bits, use “quantum states” (qubits) Very difficult technical problems but technology is advancing rapidly Would increase computing power enormously Small commercial device already exists (D- Wave)
- 39. The Microsoft model of one operating system everywhere and for everything is broken Different devices for different purposes Consumers and home PC users no longer have to use the same kind of computers suitable to business and big organizations
- 40. Light-weight and portable Long battery life Most applications and files in the cloud Updates automatic and silent Security managed in the background Automatic backups Touch, voice, and gesture interface On-screen keypad with external keyboard optional
- 41. Will security get better? Is there any privacy? Is the cloud secure enough? Is the cloud reliable?
- 42. Social Economic Political Societal attitudes, politics, and vested economic interests often slow or even block the application of new ideas and discoveries.
- 43. Some basic facts about how to use computers taught to all schoolchildren Security Some basic facts about how technology works as part of school curriculum Teach how to evaluate information
- 44. We can say for sure - Things we never thought of will come along There will be no end of surprises But this presentation is at The End