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Uncertainty propagation in
structural dynamics

                Professor Sondipon Adhikari
        College of Engineering, Swansea University



Uncertainty Quantification and Management in Aircraft Design
8th-9th November 2012
Advanced Simulation Research Centre, Bristol
Outline of the Talk

•  Background & Motivation
•  Uncertainty Quantification
•  Uncertainty propagation in complex dynamical systems
   –  Parametric uncertainty propagation
   –  Nonparametric uncertainty propagation
   –  Unified representation
•  Computational method and validation
   –  Representative experimental results
   –  Software integration

•  Conclusions
Actual Performance of Engineering Designs




                             On-target
        Off-target           High variability
        Low variability




        Off-target           On-target
        High variability     Low variability
Overview of Computational Modeling




                                    Challenge 3: Model
                                    calibration under
Challenge 1:                        uncertainty
Uncertainty Modeling




                                    Challenge 2: Fast
                                    Uncertainty
                                    Propagation Methods
Why Uncertainty: The Sources
         Experimental error                               Parametric Uncertainty


        uncertain and unknown                                uncertainty in the geometric
        error percolate into the                             parameters, boundary
        model when they are                                  conditions, forces, strength
        calibrated against                                   of the materials involved
        experimental results



   Computational uncertainty                                 Model Uncertainty


       machine precession, error                             arising from the lack of
       tolerance and the so called                           scientific knowledge about
       ‘h’ and ‘p’ refinements in                            the model which is a-priori
       finite element analysis                               unknown (damping,
                                                             nonlinearity, joints)




A low-fidelity answer with known uncertainty bounds is more valuable than a high-fidelity
answer with unknown uncertainty bounds (NASA White Paper, 2002).
Uncertainty Modeling

                 •  Random variables
Parametric       •  Random fields
Uncertainty
                 	



                   •  Probabilistic Approach
                       Ø  Random matrix theory
Non-parametric
Uncertainty        •  Possibilistic Approaches
                       Ø  Fuzzy variable
                       Ø  Interval algebra
                       Ø  Convex modeling
Equation of Motion of Dynamical Systems
Uncertainty modeling in structural dynamics

                                Uncertainty
                                 modeling




                                               Nonparametric uncertainty:
    Parametric uncertainty:
                                                 mean matrices + a single
   mean matrices + random
                                              dispersion parameter for each
   field/variable information
                                                         matrices




      Random variables                           Random matrix model
Parametric uncertainty propagation
Title of
presentation
Click to edit subtitle style
Frequency domain analysis
Frequency domain analysis
General mathematical representation
What should be the form of the response?
Classical Modal Analysis?
Projection in the Modal Basis




Adhikari, S., "A reduced spectral function approach for the stochastic finite element analysis", Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and
Engineering, 200[21-22] (2011), pp. 1804-1821.
Outline of the derivation
Projection in the Modal Basis
Projection in the Modal Basis
Projection in the Modal Basis
Projection in the Modal Basis
Spectral functions
Spectral functions
Model reduction by a reduced basis
Summary of the spectral functions

•  Not polynomials in random variables, but ratio of polynomials
•  Independent of the nature of the random variables (i.e.
   applicable to Gaussian, non-Gaussian or even mixed random
   variables
•  Not general, but specific to a problem as it utilizes the
   eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the system matrices.
•  The truncation error depends on the off-diagonal terms of the
   random part of the modal system matrix
•  Show ‘peaks’ when the frequency is close to the system natural
   frequencies
Numerical illustration
                                 •  An Euler-Bernoulli cantilever
                                    beam with stochastic bending
                                    modulus (nominal properties
                                    L=1m, A=39 x 5.93mm2, E=2 x
                                    1011 Pa)
                                 •  We use n=200, M=2
•  We study the deflection of the beam under the action of a point
   load on the free end.
•  The bending modulus of the cantilever beam is taken to be a
   homogeneous stationary Gaussian random field with
   exponential autocorrelation function (correlation length L/2)
•  Constant modal damping is taken with 1% damping factor for
   all modes.
•  The standard deviation of the random field σa is varied up to 0.2
   times the mean.
Spectral functions

                              2                                                                                           2
                         10                                               (4)                                        10                                             (4)
                                                                     E[      (   , ( )]                                                                        E[   1
                                                                                                                                                                       (   , ( )]
                                                                          1
                                                                          (4)                                                                                       (4)
                                                                     E[      (   , ( )]                                                                        E[   2
                                                                                                                                                                       (   , ( )]
                              3                                           2                                               3
                         10                                               (4)                                        10                                             (4)
                                                                     E[      (   , ( )]                                                                        E[   3
                                                                                                                                                                       (   , ( )]
                                                                          3




                                                                                            Mean spectral function
Mean spectral function




                                                                          (4)                                                                                       (4)
                                                                     E[      (   , ( )]                                                                        E[   4
                                                                                                                                                                       (   , ( )]
                              4                                           4                                               4
                         10                                               (4)                                        10                                             (4)
                                                                     E[      (   , ( )]                                                                        E[   5
                                                                                                                                                                       (   , ( )]
                                                                          5
                                                                          (4)                                                                                       (4)
                                                                     E[   6
                                                                             (   , ( )]                                                                        E[   6
                                                                                                                                                                       (   , ( )]
                              5                                                                                           5
                         10                                          E[   (4)
                                                                             (   , ( )]                              10                                        E[
                                                                                                                                                                    (4)
                                                                                                                                                                       (   , ( )]
                                                                          7                                                                                         7


                              6                                                                                           6
                         10                                                                                          10


                              7                                                                                           7
                         10                                                                                          10
                              0     100   200        300       400        500         600                                 0   100   200        300       400        500         600
                                                Frequency (Hz)                                                                            Frequency (Hz)


                                            σa = 0.05                                                                               σa = 0.2

                                  Mean of the spectral functions (4th order)
Galerkin Approach
Galerkin approach
Galerkin approach
Summary of the Proposed Method
Frequency domain response of the beam
                          2                                                                                         1
                     10                                                                                        10
                                                                   MCS                                                                                      MCS
                                                                   2nd order Galerkin                                                                       2nd order Galerkin
                                                                   3rd order Galerkin                               2                                       3rd order Galerkin
                          3                                        4th order Galerkin                          10                                           4th order Galerkin
                     10
                                                                   deterministic                                                                            deterministic
                                                                   4th order PC                                                                             4th order PC
: 0.1




                                                                                          : 0.2
                                                                                                                    3
                                                                                                               10
           f




                                                                                                     f
                          4
                     10
damped deflection,




                                                                                          damped deflection,
                                                                                                                    4
                                                                                                               10
                          5
                     10
                                                                                                                    5
                                                                                                               10

                          6
                     10                                                                                             6
                                                                                                               10


                          7                                                                                         7
                     10                                                                                        10
                          0     100   200        300         400        500         600                             0   100    200        300         400        500         600
                                            Frequency (Hz)                                                                           Frequency (Hz)



                               σa = 0.1                                                                                       σa = 0.2


                              Mean of the dynamic response (m)
Frequency domain response of the beam
                                    2                                                                                                   1
                               10                                                                                                  10
                                                                             MCS                                                                                                MCS
                                                                             2nd order Galerkin                                                                                 2nd order Galerkin
                                                                             3rd order Galerkin                                                                                 3rd order Galerkin
                                    3                                        4th order Galerkin                                         2                                       4th order Galerkin
                               10                                                                                                  10
: 0.1




                                                                                                    : 0.2
                                                                             4th order PC                                                                                       4th order PC
                  f




                                                                                                                      f
Standard Deviation (damped),




                                                                                                    Standard Deviation (damped),
                                    4
                               10                                                                                                  10
                                                                                                                                        3




                                    5
                               10                                                                                                       4
                                                                                                                                   10


                                    6
                               10                                                                                                       5
                                                                                                                                   10


                                    7
                               10                                                                                                       6
                                    0     100   200        300         400        500         600                                  10
                                                      Frequency (Hz)                                                                    0   100    200        300         400        500         600
                                                                                                                                                         Frequency (Hz)


                                                                                                                                                  σa = 0.2
                                         σa = 0.1


                                        Standard deviation of the dynamic response (m)
PDF of the Response Amplitude
                                            5                                                                                                    5
                                     x 10                                                                                                 x 10
                                2                                                                                                    2
                                                                            direct MCS                                                                                      direct MCS
                                                                            1st order spectral                                                                              1st order spectral
                                                                            2nd order spectral                                                                              2nd order spectral
                                                                            3rd order spectral                                                                              3rd order spectral
Probability density function




                                                                                                     Probability density function
                               1.5                                                                                                  1.5
                                                                            4th order spectral                                                                              4th order spectral
                                                                            4th order PC                                                                                    4th order PC

                                1                                                                                                    1



                               0.5
                                                                                                                                    0.5


                                0
                                 0                 0.5           1            1.5                2                                   0
                                                           Deflection (m)                        5                                    0              0.5         1            1.5                2
                                                                                        x 10
                                                                                                                                                           Deflection (m)                        5
                                                                                                                                                                                        x 10
                                                σa = 0.1                                                                                              σa = 0.2


                                        Standard deviation of the dynamic response (m)
Plate with Stochastic Properties
                                      •  An Euler-Bernoulli
                                         cantilever beam with
                                         stochastic bending
                                         modulus (nominal
                                         properties 1m x 0.6m,
                                         t=03mm, E=2 x 1011 Pa)
                                      •  We use n=1881, M=16


•  We study the deflection of the beam under the action of a point
   load on the free end.
•  The bending modulus is taken to be a homogeneous stationary
   Gaussian random field with exponential autocorrelation function
   (correlation lengths L/5)
•  Constant modal damping is taken with 1% damping factor for
   all modes.
Response Statistics
                                                                                                                              3
                         10
                              3                                                                                          10
                                                           deterministic                                                                                 direct MCS
                                                           direct MCS                                                                                    2nd order spectral




                                                                                  Standard deviation of deflection (m)
                              4                            2nd order spectral                                                 4                          3rd order spectral
                         10                                                                                              10                              4th order spectral
                                                           3rd order spectral
Mean of deflection (m)




                                                           4th order spectral
                              5                                                                                               5
                         10                                                                                              10


                              6                                                                                               6
                         10                                                                                              10


                              7                                                                                               7
                         10                                                                                              10

                              8
                         10                                                                                              10
                                                                                                                              8
                              0     100   200        300       400          500                                               0   100   200        300       400          500
                                          Frequency (Hz)                                                                                Frequency (Hz)



                                   Mean with σa = 0.1                                                 Standard deviation with σa = 0.1


                                  Proposed approach: 150 x 150 equations
                                  4th order Polynomial Chaos: 9113445 x 9113445 equations
Non-parametric uncertainty propagation
Title of
presentation
Click to edit subtitle style
Wishart random matrix model

Distribution of the systems matrices should be such that
they are
•  Symmetric, and
•  Positive definite

Using these as constraints, it can be shown that the mass,
stiffness and damping matrices can be represented by
Wishart random matrices such that



[1] Adhikari, S., Pastur, L., Lytova, A. and Du Bois, J. L., "Eigenvalue-density of linear stochastic dynamical systems: A random matrix approach",
Journal of Sound and Vibration, 331[5] (2012), pp. 1042-1058.
[2] Adhikari, S. and Chowdhury, R., "A reduced-order random matrix approach for stochastic structural dynamics", Computers and Structures,
88[21-22] (2010), pp. 1230-1238.
[3] Adhikari, S., "Generalized Wishart distribution for probabilistic structural dynamics", Computational Mechanics, 45[5] (2010), pp. 495-511.
[4 Adhikari, S., and Sarkar, A., "Uncertainty in structural dynamics: experimental validation of a Wishart random matrix model", Journal of Sound
and Vibration, 323[3-5] (2009), pp. 802-825.
[5] Adhikari, S., "Matrix variate distributions for probabilistic structural mechanics", AIAA Journal, 45[7] (2007), pp. 1748-1762.
[6] Adhikari, S., "Wishart random matrices in probabilistic structural mechanics", ASCE Journal of Engineering Mechanics, 134[12] (2008), pp.
1029-1044.
How to obtain the dispersion parameters?

Suppose a random system matrix is expressed as



It can be shown that the dispersion parameter is given by




 Therefore, it can be calculated using sensitivity matrices
 within a finite element formulation
Dynamic Response
•  Taking the Fourier transform of the equation of motion


•  Transforming into a reduced modal coordinate we have


•  Solving a random eigenvalue problem for the random matrix
   Ω2, the uncertainty propagation can be expressed




•  The matrix Ω2 is a Wishart matrix (called as a reduced
   diagonal Wishart matrix) who's parameters can be obtained
   explicitly from the dispersions parameters of the mass and
   stiffness matrices.
An example: A vibrating plate
     1                                      Input



    0.5

                                                             5
     0                                              3                            6
                                        1                                   4
                                                        2
    0.5            Fix
                      ed
    0.8                     edg
                               e
                                                            Outputs
            0.6                                                                              1
                                                                                       0.8
                    0.4                                                         0.6
                                  0.2                                 0.4
                                                            0.2
      Y direction (width)                    0      0
                                                                      X direction (length)

A thin cantilever plate with random properties and 0.7% fixed
   modal damping.
Physical properties




The data presented here are available from:
  http://engweb.swan.ac.uk/~adhikaris/uq
Uncertainty type 1
The Young's modulus, Poissons ratio, mass density and
thickness are random fields of the form
Uncertainty type 2
•  Here we consider that the baseline plate is `perturbed' by
   attaching 10 oscillators with random spring stiffnesses at random
   locations
•  This is aimed at modeling non-parametric uncertainty only.
•  This case will be investigated experimentally also.
Mean of a cross-FRF: Utype 1
                          80

                                            M and K are fully correlated Wishart
                          90
                                            Generalized Wishart
                                            Reduced diagonal Wishart
                                            Direct simulation
                         100
Mean of amplitude (dB)




                         110


                         120


                         130


                         140


                         150
                            0   100   200   300     400    500    600      700     800   900   1000
                                                      Frequency (Hz)
Mean of the driving-point-FRF: Utype 1
                          80


                          90            M and K are fully correlated Wishart
                                        Generalized Wishart
                                        Reduced diagonal Wishart
                         100            Direct simulation
Mean of amplitude (dB)




                         110


                         120


                         130


                         140


                         150
                            0   100   200    300    400    500    600          700   800   900   1000
                                                      Frequency (Hz)
Standard deviation of a cross-FRF: Utype 1
                           80


                           90            M and K are fully correlated Wishart
                                         Generalized Wishart
                                         Reduced diagonal Wishart
                          100            Direct simulation
Standard deviation (dB)




                          110


                          120


                          130


                          140


                          150
                             0   100   200    300    400    500    600          700   800   900   1000
                                                       Frequency (Hz)
Standard deviation of the driving-point-FRF:
Utype 1
                            80


                            90            M and K are fully correlated Wishart
                                          Generalized Wishart
                                          Reduced diagonal Wishart
                           100            Direct simulation
 Standard deviation (dB)




                           110


                           120


                           130


                           140


                           150
                              0   100   200    300    400    500    600          700   800   900   1000
                                                        Frequency (Hz)
Computational method and validation
Title of
presentation experimental results
  •  Representative
    •  Plate with randomly placed oscillator
Click to edit subtitle style



    •  Software integration
    •  Integration with ANSYS
Plate with randomly placed oscillators




10 oscillators with random stiffness values are attached at
  random locations in the plate by magnet
Mean of a cross-FRF

                         60

                         50

                         40

                         30
Mean of amplitude (dB)




                         20

                         10

                          0

                         10

                         20

                         30                 Reduced diagonal Wishart
                                            Experiment
                         40
                           0   500   1000      1500     2000     2500   3000   3500   4000
                                                   Frequency (Hz)
Mean of the driving-point-FRF
                         60

                         50

                         40

                         30
Mean of amplitude (dB)




                         20

                         10

                          0

                         10

                         20

                         30                 Reduced diagonal Wishart
                                            Experiment
                         40
                           0   500   1000      1500     2000     2500   3000   3500   4000
                                                   Frequency (Hz)
Standard deviation of a cross-FRF
                               1
                              10

                                                    Reduced diagonal Wishart
                                                    Experiment
Relative standard deviation




                               0
                              10




                                   1
                              10




                                   2
                              10
                                   0   500   1000      1500     2000     2500   3000   3500   4000
                                                           Frequency (Hz)
Standard deviation of the driving-point-FRF
                               1
                              10

                                                    Reduced diagonal Wishart
                                                    Experiment
Relative standard deviation




                               0
                              10




                                   1
                              10




                                   2
                              10
                                   0   500   1000      1500     2000     2500   3000   3500   4000
                                                           Frequency (Hz)
Integration with ANSYS
                      Input




                      The Finite Element (FE) model of an
                      aircraft wing (5907 degrees-of-freedom).
                      The width is 1.5m, length is 20.0m and the
                      height of the aerofoil section is 0.3m. The
Output                material properties are: Young's modulus
                      262Mpa, Poisson's ratio 0.3 and mass
                      density 888.10kg/m3. Input node number:
                      407 and the output node number 96. A
                      2% modal damping factor is assumed for
                      all modes.
Vibration modes
Mean of a cross-FRF
                                    60


                                    70
                                                                                Deterministic
                                                                                  =0.10, M=0.10
Amplitude (dB) of FRF at point 2




                                    80                                           k
                                                                                  =0.20, M=0.20
                                                                                 k
                                                                                  =0.30, M=0.30
                                                                                 k
                                    90                                           =0.40, M=0.40
                                                                                 k



                                   100


                                   110


                                   120


                                   130


                                   140
                                      0   100   200   300   400    500    600    700      800     900   1000
                                                              Frequency (Hz)
Standard deviation of a cross-FRF
                                    60
                                                                                              =0.10, M=0.10
                                                                                            k
                                                                                              =0.20, M=0.20
                                                                                            k
                                    70                                                        =0.30, M=0.30
                                                                                            k
                                                                                              =0.40, M=0.40
                                                                                            k
Amplitude (dB) of FRF at point 2




                                    80


                                    90


                                   100


                                   110


                                   120


                                   130


                                   140
                                      0   100   200   300   400    500    600   700   800       900      1000
                                                              Frequency (Hz)
Summary and Conclusions
Title of
presentation
Click to edit subtitle style
Dynamic Response

•  For parametric uncertainty propagation:




•  For nonparametric uncertainty propagation




•  Unified mathematical representation
•  Can be useful for hybrid experimental-simulation approach for
   uncertainty quantification
Summary
•  Response of stochastic dynamical systems is projected in to the
   basis of undamped modes
•  The coefficient functions, called as the spectral functions, are
   expressed in terms of the spectral properties of the system
   matrices in the frequency domain.
•  The proposed method takes advantage of the fact that for a
   given maximum frequency only a small number of modes are
   necessary to represent the dynamic response. This modal
   reduction leads to a significantly smaller basis.
•  Wishart random matrix model can used to represent non-
   parametric uncertainty directly at the system matrix level.
•  Reduced computational approach can be implemented within the
   conventional finite element environment
Summary
•  Dispersion parameters necessary for the Wishart model can be
   obtained, for example, using sensitivity matrices
•  Both parametric and nonparametric uncertainty can be
   propagated via an unified mathematical framework.
•  Future work will exploit this novel representation for model
   validation and updating in conjunction with measured data.

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Uncertainty propagation in structural dynamics

  • 1. Uncertainty propagation in structural dynamics Professor Sondipon Adhikari College of Engineering, Swansea University Uncertainty Quantification and Management in Aircraft Design 8th-9th November 2012 Advanced Simulation Research Centre, Bristol
  • 2. Outline of the Talk •  Background & Motivation •  Uncertainty Quantification •  Uncertainty propagation in complex dynamical systems –  Parametric uncertainty propagation –  Nonparametric uncertainty propagation –  Unified representation •  Computational method and validation –  Representative experimental results –  Software integration •  Conclusions
  • 3. Actual Performance of Engineering Designs On-target Off-target High variability Low variability Off-target On-target High variability Low variability
  • 4. Overview of Computational Modeling Challenge 3: Model calibration under Challenge 1: uncertainty Uncertainty Modeling Challenge 2: Fast Uncertainty Propagation Methods
  • 5. Why Uncertainty: The Sources Experimental error Parametric Uncertainty uncertain and unknown uncertainty in the geometric error percolate into the parameters, boundary model when they are conditions, forces, strength calibrated against of the materials involved experimental results Computational uncertainty Model Uncertainty machine precession, error arising from the lack of tolerance and the so called scientific knowledge about ‘h’ and ‘p’ refinements in the model which is a-priori finite element analysis unknown (damping, nonlinearity, joints) A low-fidelity answer with known uncertainty bounds is more valuable than a high-fidelity answer with unknown uncertainty bounds (NASA White Paper, 2002).
  • 6. Uncertainty Modeling •  Random variables Parametric •  Random fields Uncertainty •  Probabilistic Approach Ø  Random matrix theory Non-parametric Uncertainty •  Possibilistic Approaches Ø  Fuzzy variable Ø  Interval algebra Ø  Convex modeling
  • 7. Equation of Motion of Dynamical Systems
  • 8. Uncertainty modeling in structural dynamics Uncertainty modeling Nonparametric uncertainty: Parametric uncertainty: mean matrices + a single mean matrices + random dispersion parameter for each field/variable information matrices Random variables Random matrix model
  • 9. Parametric uncertainty propagation Title of presentation Click to edit subtitle style
  • 13. What should be the form of the response?
  • 15. Projection in the Modal Basis Adhikari, S., "A reduced spectral function approach for the stochastic finite element analysis", Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering, 200[21-22] (2011), pp. 1804-1821.
  • 16. Outline of the derivation
  • 17. Projection in the Modal Basis
  • 18. Projection in the Modal Basis
  • 19. Projection in the Modal Basis
  • 20. Projection in the Modal Basis
  • 23. Model reduction by a reduced basis
  • 24. Summary of the spectral functions •  Not polynomials in random variables, but ratio of polynomials •  Independent of the nature of the random variables (i.e. applicable to Gaussian, non-Gaussian or even mixed random variables •  Not general, but specific to a problem as it utilizes the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the system matrices. •  The truncation error depends on the off-diagonal terms of the random part of the modal system matrix •  Show ‘peaks’ when the frequency is close to the system natural frequencies
  • 25. Numerical illustration •  An Euler-Bernoulli cantilever beam with stochastic bending modulus (nominal properties L=1m, A=39 x 5.93mm2, E=2 x 1011 Pa) •  We use n=200, M=2 •  We study the deflection of the beam under the action of a point load on the free end. •  The bending modulus of the cantilever beam is taken to be a homogeneous stationary Gaussian random field with exponential autocorrelation function (correlation length L/2) •  Constant modal damping is taken with 1% damping factor for all modes. •  The standard deviation of the random field σa is varied up to 0.2 times the mean.
  • 26. Spectral functions 2 2 10 (4) 10 (4) E[ ( , ( )] E[ 1 ( , ( )] 1 (4) (4) E[ ( , ( )] E[ 2 ( , ( )] 3 2 3 10 (4) 10 (4) E[ ( , ( )] E[ 3 ( , ( )] 3 Mean spectral function Mean spectral function (4) (4) E[ ( , ( )] E[ 4 ( , ( )] 4 4 4 10 (4) 10 (4) E[ ( , ( )] E[ 5 ( , ( )] 5 (4) (4) E[ 6 ( , ( )] E[ 6 ( , ( )] 5 5 10 E[ (4) ( , ( )] 10 E[ (4) ( , ( )] 7 7 6 6 10 10 7 7 10 10 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Frequency (Hz) Frequency (Hz) σa = 0.05 σa = 0.2 Mean of the spectral functions (4th order)
  • 30. Summary of the Proposed Method
  • 31. Frequency domain response of the beam 2 1 10 10 MCS MCS 2nd order Galerkin 2nd order Galerkin 3rd order Galerkin 2 3rd order Galerkin 3 4th order Galerkin 10 4th order Galerkin 10 deterministic deterministic 4th order PC 4th order PC : 0.1 : 0.2 3 10 f f 4 10 damped deflection, damped deflection, 4 10 5 10 5 10 6 10 6 10 7 7 10 10 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Frequency (Hz) Frequency (Hz) σa = 0.1 σa = 0.2 Mean of the dynamic response (m)
  • 32. Frequency domain response of the beam 2 1 10 10 MCS MCS 2nd order Galerkin 2nd order Galerkin 3rd order Galerkin 3rd order Galerkin 3 4th order Galerkin 2 4th order Galerkin 10 10 : 0.1 : 0.2 4th order PC 4th order PC f f Standard Deviation (damped), Standard Deviation (damped), 4 10 10 3 5 10 4 10 6 10 5 10 7 10 6 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 10 Frequency (Hz) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Frequency (Hz) σa = 0.2 σa = 0.1 Standard deviation of the dynamic response (m)
  • 33. PDF of the Response Amplitude 5 5 x 10 x 10 2 2 direct MCS direct MCS 1st order spectral 1st order spectral 2nd order spectral 2nd order spectral 3rd order spectral 3rd order spectral Probability density function Probability density function 1.5 1.5 4th order spectral 4th order spectral 4th order PC 4th order PC 1 1 0.5 0.5 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 0 Deflection (m) 5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 x 10 Deflection (m) 5 x 10 σa = 0.1 σa = 0.2 Standard deviation of the dynamic response (m)
  • 34. Plate with Stochastic Properties •  An Euler-Bernoulli cantilever beam with stochastic bending modulus (nominal properties 1m x 0.6m, t=03mm, E=2 x 1011 Pa) •  We use n=1881, M=16 •  We study the deflection of the beam under the action of a point load on the free end. •  The bending modulus is taken to be a homogeneous stationary Gaussian random field with exponential autocorrelation function (correlation lengths L/5) •  Constant modal damping is taken with 1% damping factor for all modes.
  • 35. Response Statistics 3 10 3 10 deterministic direct MCS direct MCS 2nd order spectral Standard deviation of deflection (m) 4 2nd order spectral 4 3rd order spectral 10 10 4th order spectral 3rd order spectral Mean of deflection (m) 4th order spectral 5 5 10 10 6 6 10 10 7 7 10 10 8 10 10 8 0 100 200 300 400 500 0 100 200 300 400 500 Frequency (Hz) Frequency (Hz) Mean with σa = 0.1 Standard deviation with σa = 0.1 Proposed approach: 150 x 150 equations 4th order Polynomial Chaos: 9113445 x 9113445 equations
  • 36. Non-parametric uncertainty propagation Title of presentation Click to edit subtitle style
  • 37. Wishart random matrix model Distribution of the systems matrices should be such that they are •  Symmetric, and •  Positive definite Using these as constraints, it can be shown that the mass, stiffness and damping matrices can be represented by Wishart random matrices such that [1] Adhikari, S., Pastur, L., Lytova, A. and Du Bois, J. L., "Eigenvalue-density of linear stochastic dynamical systems: A random matrix approach", Journal of Sound and Vibration, 331[5] (2012), pp. 1042-1058. [2] Adhikari, S. and Chowdhury, R., "A reduced-order random matrix approach for stochastic structural dynamics", Computers and Structures, 88[21-22] (2010), pp. 1230-1238. [3] Adhikari, S., "Generalized Wishart distribution for probabilistic structural dynamics", Computational Mechanics, 45[5] (2010), pp. 495-511. [4 Adhikari, S., and Sarkar, A., "Uncertainty in structural dynamics: experimental validation of a Wishart random matrix model", Journal of Sound and Vibration, 323[3-5] (2009), pp. 802-825. [5] Adhikari, S., "Matrix variate distributions for probabilistic structural mechanics", AIAA Journal, 45[7] (2007), pp. 1748-1762. [6] Adhikari, S., "Wishart random matrices in probabilistic structural mechanics", ASCE Journal of Engineering Mechanics, 134[12] (2008), pp. 1029-1044.
  • 38. How to obtain the dispersion parameters? Suppose a random system matrix is expressed as It can be shown that the dispersion parameter is given by Therefore, it can be calculated using sensitivity matrices within a finite element formulation
  • 39. Dynamic Response •  Taking the Fourier transform of the equation of motion •  Transforming into a reduced modal coordinate we have •  Solving a random eigenvalue problem for the random matrix Ω2, the uncertainty propagation can be expressed •  The matrix Ω2 is a Wishart matrix (called as a reduced diagonal Wishart matrix) who's parameters can be obtained explicitly from the dispersions parameters of the mass and stiffness matrices.
  • 40. An example: A vibrating plate 1 Input 0.5 5 0 3 6 1 4 2 0.5 Fix ed 0.8 edg e Outputs 0.6 1 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 Y direction (width) 0 0 X direction (length) A thin cantilever plate with random properties and 0.7% fixed modal damping.
  • 41. Physical properties The data presented here are available from: http://engweb.swan.ac.uk/~adhikaris/uq
  • 42. Uncertainty type 1 The Young's modulus, Poissons ratio, mass density and thickness are random fields of the form
  • 43. Uncertainty type 2 •  Here we consider that the baseline plate is `perturbed' by attaching 10 oscillators with random spring stiffnesses at random locations •  This is aimed at modeling non-parametric uncertainty only. •  This case will be investigated experimentally also.
  • 44. Mean of a cross-FRF: Utype 1 80 M and K are fully correlated Wishart 90 Generalized Wishart Reduced diagonal Wishart Direct simulation 100 Mean of amplitude (dB) 110 120 130 140 150 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Frequency (Hz)
  • 45. Mean of the driving-point-FRF: Utype 1 80 90 M and K are fully correlated Wishart Generalized Wishart Reduced diagonal Wishart 100 Direct simulation Mean of amplitude (dB) 110 120 130 140 150 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Frequency (Hz)
  • 46. Standard deviation of a cross-FRF: Utype 1 80 90 M and K are fully correlated Wishart Generalized Wishart Reduced diagonal Wishart 100 Direct simulation Standard deviation (dB) 110 120 130 140 150 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Frequency (Hz)
  • 47. Standard deviation of the driving-point-FRF: Utype 1 80 90 M and K are fully correlated Wishart Generalized Wishart Reduced diagonal Wishart 100 Direct simulation Standard deviation (dB) 110 120 130 140 150 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Frequency (Hz)
  • 48. Computational method and validation Title of presentation experimental results •  Representative •  Plate with randomly placed oscillator Click to edit subtitle style •  Software integration •  Integration with ANSYS
  • 49. Plate with randomly placed oscillators 10 oscillators with random stiffness values are attached at random locations in the plate by magnet
  • 50. Mean of a cross-FRF 60 50 40 30 Mean of amplitude (dB) 20 10 0 10 20 30 Reduced diagonal Wishart Experiment 40 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 Frequency (Hz)
  • 51. Mean of the driving-point-FRF 60 50 40 30 Mean of amplitude (dB) 20 10 0 10 20 30 Reduced diagonal Wishart Experiment 40 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 Frequency (Hz)
  • 52. Standard deviation of a cross-FRF 1 10 Reduced diagonal Wishart Experiment Relative standard deviation 0 10 1 10 2 10 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 Frequency (Hz)
  • 53. Standard deviation of the driving-point-FRF 1 10 Reduced diagonal Wishart Experiment Relative standard deviation 0 10 1 10 2 10 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 Frequency (Hz)
  • 54. Integration with ANSYS Input The Finite Element (FE) model of an aircraft wing (5907 degrees-of-freedom). The width is 1.5m, length is 20.0m and the height of the aerofoil section is 0.3m. The Output material properties are: Young's modulus 262Mpa, Poisson's ratio 0.3 and mass density 888.10kg/m3. Input node number: 407 and the output node number 96. A 2% modal damping factor is assumed for all modes.
  • 56. Mean of a cross-FRF 60 70 Deterministic =0.10, M=0.10 Amplitude (dB) of FRF at point 2 80 k =0.20, M=0.20 k =0.30, M=0.30 k 90 =0.40, M=0.40 k 100 110 120 130 140 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Frequency (Hz)
  • 57. Standard deviation of a cross-FRF 60 =0.10, M=0.10 k =0.20, M=0.20 k 70 =0.30, M=0.30 k =0.40, M=0.40 k Amplitude (dB) of FRF at point 2 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Frequency (Hz)
  • 58. Summary and Conclusions Title of presentation Click to edit subtitle style
  • 59. Dynamic Response •  For parametric uncertainty propagation: •  For nonparametric uncertainty propagation •  Unified mathematical representation •  Can be useful for hybrid experimental-simulation approach for uncertainty quantification
  • 60. Summary •  Response of stochastic dynamical systems is projected in to the basis of undamped modes •  The coefficient functions, called as the spectral functions, are expressed in terms of the spectral properties of the system matrices in the frequency domain. •  The proposed method takes advantage of the fact that for a given maximum frequency only a small number of modes are necessary to represent the dynamic response. This modal reduction leads to a significantly smaller basis. •  Wishart random matrix model can used to represent non- parametric uncertainty directly at the system matrix level. •  Reduced computational approach can be implemented within the conventional finite element environment
  • 61. Summary •  Dispersion parameters necessary for the Wishart model can be obtained, for example, using sensitivity matrices •  Both parametric and nonparametric uncertainty can be propagated via an unified mathematical framework. •  Future work will exploit this novel representation for model validation and updating in conjunction with measured data.