Investing in Connectivity:
             Proposed DGH Support for MP3EI




April 2012
Connectivity in the Road Sector
Faces Strategic Challenges

Low competitiveness of road infrastructure v. SEA
region
Current policies are not creating a sustainable modern
highway system
Development of high-capacity expressway network is
lagging demand

Rising funding allocation needs to expand even further

Road program delivery needs more efficiency and
accountability

Change in business model needed
                                                         2
Proposed Support for DGH and BPJT


Road Network Planning (Bipran, BPJT)

• - Long-term Masterplan for Road Infrastructure
• - Investment pipeline to improve connectivity in MP3EI
  corridors

Improved delivery of national road programs
(Bintek, Wilayah-Balai)
• - Longer road life, whole life costing
• Asset management devolved to balai
                                                           3
MP3EI Economic Corridors
                  – 12,000 km National Arterial Roads


                  1                                                 4
                                           3
                                                                                                     6

                                       2
      Economic Corridor
      Mega Hub
                                                   5
      Hub
      Potential Area for Development




The Recommended Six (6) Economic Corridors :                               Logistics is part of the supply
                                                                           chain (supply chain):
  1     Eastern Sumatera-North West Java       4       Western Sulawesi    1. procurement activities
                                                                           2. storage
  2     Northern Java                          5       East Java-Bali-NT   3. delivery / transportation
                                                                               and service
  3     Kalimantan                             6       Papua

                                                                                Source: Coord. Ministry of Economic 4   4
Road Connectivity
              – Estimated Current and Target Service Levels

           Normalized Trip Times on Economic Corridor
                      Arterial Roads- 2011
                                       Trip time hr/100 km*
                    0,0      1,0      2,0      3,0       4,0   5,0    6,0

    Trans-Sumatra
1




                                                     Target Service level
       Trans-Java                                     1-1.5 hr/100 km
2




      Kalimantan
3




         Sulawesi
4




         Bali-NTT
5




    Papua-Maluku
6




                          Road Trip Time    Nautical Add-on    * Corridor distance
                                                               shorter than Arterial
                                                                                       5
                                                               road distance
DGH Masterplan for Road Infrastructure 2010-14
     Incremental Widening to Minimum Width Standard

                          Road Length, km             • Budget IDR 7 trillion/yr
               -     2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000
                                                      • Covers 47% of network in 5 yr
     Sumatra               3.690                      • Increments to 4.5, 6 or 7 m width
        Java       1.430                              But comes at high cost:

  Kalimantan                                          • No distance saving, little speed
                     2.780
                                                        improvement
    Sulawesi             3.160
                                       Total Length   • Investment repeated in 5-10 yrs
        NTT        987                 Improved       • High cost = 40-60% of full
                                       length           construction for 20-yr life
Maluku-Papua       1.905
                                                      • Defers achieving modern asset
                                                      • Compounds land issues
                                                                                           6
DGH Support on Road Network Planning
Proposed outputs:

• Long-term 50-yr strategy to plan optimal road infrastructure
  for sustaining development

• 20-yr pipeline of investment projects in each economic
  corridor, staged to optimise benefits and spread funding
  requirements

• Journey time used to define connectivity and infrastructure
  plan outcomes

• Expressway network defined as backbone of trans-regional
  connectivity, with staged implementation

• Modernise arterial road network gradually through full
  renewal of roadway and alignment
                                                                 7
TRANS KALIMANTAN NATIONAL ROAD PROGRAM
       Improving connectivity:
       Kalimantan Economic Corridor                                                                        Simanggaris
                                                                                                                        Nunukan



                                                                                                      Malinau

      Corridor plan evaluates options when
                                                                                                            Tj. Selor
      generating project pipeline and
      investment profile for Economic
                              Aruk

      Corridor:                             Enttikong
                                                        Ng Badau
                                                                         Putusibau
      staged over 5, 10,
      15 & 20 year periods
                            Pontianak       Tayan
                                                                                                                        Samarinda



                                                                                                                 Balikpapan
                                                                                     Palangkaraya




Strategic Options
                                                                              Banjarmasin
(1) Widen existing road
                          Jalan yang belum terbangun digambarkan dengan garis putus-putus
                                                                                                    Road standard
(2) Realign and rebuild – “road renewal”;                                                                 Expressway
                                                                                                          >= 7 m
(3) Highway on future expressway location                                                                 6m
                                                                                                          4.5 – 6 m
                                                                                                          Not Connected
(4) Expressway in new location                                                                            Sea Port
Improving Connectivity:
  Trans-Sumatra - Corridor Plan for Staged Development of
        Capacity in Parallel Facilities over long-term 20-yr period
ARTERIAL NATIONAL ROAD WIDTH
Width m 14                                                                                                        2019
    Road Width
                 10                      2024
                                                                                                                                                            2014
                  7
                  6
                  5                                                                                                                                              2010
                      101          102            103      104    105      106         107         108     109         110         111         112         113

                 B Aceh
                   B Aceh                                Medan
                                                          Medan                                      Pekanbaru
                                                                                                       Pekanba                                         Lampung
                                                                                                                                               Palembg Lampung

Length km      644                                         694                                             754                                 443                       0
Total distance 2536                                        1892                                            1198                                443



                      EXPRESSWAY
                      Dual C'way


                                                                                                                                                                 Renstra period color code
                                                                                                                                                                 Baseline
                                                                                                                                                                 2010-2014
                                                                                                                                                                 2015-2019
                                                                                                                                                                 2020-2024
                                                                                                                                                                 2025-2029
                                         101       102     103    104     105    106         107     108   109        110    111         112         113
                                         B Aceh                   Medan                                     Pekanba                      Palembg Lampung

                                                  2029                           2019                                 2024                     2019
                      Length km   460                             564                                      610                           380                0
                      Distance km 2014                            1554                                     990                           380




                                                                                                                                                                               9
Corridor Plan Output - Trans-Sumatra Example:
                               Linkage of Development Outcomes and Financing Plan
                                              – Long-term 20-yr Period


                          Connectivity:                                                        80          Financing Plan




                                                            5-Year Spending estimate (IDR T)
                   Travel Time from South to                                                   70
                                                                                                                                          1,5
                             North                                                             60
                                                                                                                             7
                                                                                               50
                   70
                   60                                                                          40
                                                                                                                                   58,6
TRAVEL TIME (hr)




                   50                                                                          30                     47,9
                                                                                                                                                           0
                   40                                                                          20
                                                                                                                                                    20,2
                   30                              B Aceh                                      10
                                                                                                          2,6              1,7 3          3,6
                                                                                                                3 3                             3          0
                   20                              Medan                                       0    1,8
                                                   Pekanb
                   10                                                                                     R1          R2           R3               R4
                                                   Palem                                                              RENSTRA PERIOD
                    0                              Boukh
                        2010 2015 2020 2025 2030                                       Rd Presv           Rd Widening        Exwy GOI     Exwy PrivSec




                                                                                                                                                               10
Accelerating Expressway Development
• Development expected                               3500

                                                     3000
  to accelerate – but land                           2500




                                  Total length, km
  and private finance risks                          2000

  will dictate                                       1500

• Need broader financing                             1000

                                                      500
  modality, better use of                               0
  available public funds                                 1980   1990   2000   2010    2020   2030
                                                        Operational    Implementing      Planned


IndII Support:
• Assist delivery of Trans-Sumatra & East Java expressways
• Define “expressway” classification in Road Law
• Update long-term plan for expressway network
• Advice on viability gap funding & PPP modalities
• Support project preparation with VGF
• Management: Strengthen BPJT, consider expressway authority
                                                                                               11
Funding Forecasts to Achieve Connectivity Goals
                                          and Modernisation of Road Network
• Long range forecasts of                                                                        Total Highway Expenditure to Meet Connectivity
  funding requirements built                                                                              Goals - Long-term Plan to 2029
  from the investment pipeline                                                               90
                                                                                             80
• Supports scenario planning




                                                                  Annual Expenditure IDR t
                                                                                             70
                                                                                                                                                 Plan forecast
                                                                                                                                                                             Exw-PS
                                                                                             60
  - pace of development                                                                                                                                                      Exw-GOI
                                                                                             50
  - public-private share                                                                     40
                                                                                                                                                                             Devel-DGH
                                                                                             30
• Modernising whole network                                                                  20                                                                              Presvn - DGH
  in 15 yr requires allocations                                                              10
                                                                                              0                                                                              Mgt - DGH
  to double                                                                                    2005                               2010        2015    2020     2025


                                     Expanding Level of Service                                                                         Economic Corridor avg trip time
                                 30000                                                                                            4,0
                                                                                                      Avg Trip Time (hr/100 km)
    Network length at LoS (km)




                                                                                                                                  3,0
                                 20000
                                         Exway                                                                                    2,0
                                 10000   LOS-A                                                                                    1,0
                                                                                                                                  0,0
                                    0                                                                                                2000      2010     2020    2030      2040
                                     2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

                                                                                                                                                                                         12
IndII Support for DGH - 1

Enhance Planning of National Road Development:
- Expedite national connectivity and mobility
- Reform road development planning process
- Efficient deployment of expanded private and public funds
- Accelerate development of expressway network


• Build comprehensive process for planning road network
  development with expenditure forecasts and pipeline of projects
• Prepare long-range capacity expansion profiles for six economic
  corridors, include pipeline of projects and financing plan
• Develop an optimal 20-yr strategy for financing development of the
  expressway and arterial road networks
• Assist BPJT to build capacity for processing the enlarged expressway
  development program, and transactions with viability gap funding
DGH Support for Network Planning:
 Activity packaging

Package 1: Connectivity in Eastern Indonesia
   • Preparation of 20-yr investment plans for 4 MP3EI
     corridors (Kalimantan, Sulawesi, NTT, Maluku-Papua)
   • Prepare 5-year pipeline of capacity expansion projects on
     arterial road network & budget estimates
   • Planning procedures upgraded to include strategy on
     capacity expansion and road renewal

Package 2: Connectivity in Sumatra and Java
   • Advisory support on expressway package preparation for E
     Java and Sumatra corridors, including financing
   • Classification and updating of expressway plan
   • Capacity & policy support to Bipran and BPJT
   • Preparation of 20-yr investment plans for MP3EI corridors
                                                             14
IndII Support for DGH - 2

Improve efficiency national road program delivery:
- Reduced life-cycle costs, improved performance and life of road assets
- Improved design and delivery of projects;
- Improved management of road and bridge assets; and
- Improved transparency and accountablity for performance


• Implement new design guide – longer life pavements
• Prepare road renewal project pipeline for heavily trafficked
  corridors in East Sumatra and Java (Balais 3, 4 and 5)
• Build balai capacity for managing national road network - devolved
  road management process, new system and.
• Assist 1-3 Balais with preparation of 3-year programs 2013-15 using
  new system;
• Apply new project design methods, contract preparation and
  supervision in selected heavy traffic corridors.
Approach for Support to DGH and MPW

• Facilitate delivery of DGH program:
   • Working with Directorates to design and implement program
   • Demonstrating applications and reforms through outputs
   • Supporting MTEF budget preparations in 2012, 2013 & 2014
• Progressive engagement:
   • Hold-points for review after initial stage and annual stages
• Governance:
   •   Building reliable data & information database for shared use
   •   Deploy strategic KPI for travel time, asset age and activity costs
   •   Launch public disclosure – possibly under CoST Initiative
   •   Support MPW administrative reform measures
Terima kasih




               17

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Presentation on dgh program to ind ii board 2012 04

  • 1. Investing in Connectivity: Proposed DGH Support for MP3EI April 2012
  • 2. Connectivity in the Road Sector Faces Strategic Challenges Low competitiveness of road infrastructure v. SEA region Current policies are not creating a sustainable modern highway system Development of high-capacity expressway network is lagging demand Rising funding allocation needs to expand even further Road program delivery needs more efficiency and accountability Change in business model needed 2
  • 3. Proposed Support for DGH and BPJT Road Network Planning (Bipran, BPJT) • - Long-term Masterplan for Road Infrastructure • - Investment pipeline to improve connectivity in MP3EI corridors Improved delivery of national road programs (Bintek, Wilayah-Balai) • - Longer road life, whole life costing • Asset management devolved to balai 3
  • 4. MP3EI Economic Corridors – 12,000 km National Arterial Roads 1 4 3 6 2 Economic Corridor Mega Hub 5 Hub Potential Area for Development The Recommended Six (6) Economic Corridors : Logistics is part of the supply chain (supply chain): 1 Eastern Sumatera-North West Java 4 Western Sulawesi 1. procurement activities 2. storage 2 Northern Java 5 East Java-Bali-NT 3. delivery / transportation and service 3 Kalimantan 6 Papua Source: Coord. Ministry of Economic 4 4
  • 5. Road Connectivity – Estimated Current and Target Service Levels Normalized Trip Times on Economic Corridor Arterial Roads- 2011 Trip time hr/100 km* 0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 Trans-Sumatra 1 Target Service level Trans-Java 1-1.5 hr/100 km 2 Kalimantan 3 Sulawesi 4 Bali-NTT 5 Papua-Maluku 6 Road Trip Time Nautical Add-on * Corridor distance shorter than Arterial 5 road distance
  • 6. DGH Masterplan for Road Infrastructure 2010-14 Incremental Widening to Minimum Width Standard Road Length, km • Budget IDR 7 trillion/yr - 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 • Covers 47% of network in 5 yr Sumatra 3.690 • Increments to 4.5, 6 or 7 m width Java 1.430 But comes at high cost: Kalimantan • No distance saving, little speed 2.780 improvement Sulawesi 3.160 Total Length • Investment repeated in 5-10 yrs NTT 987 Improved • High cost = 40-60% of full length construction for 20-yr life Maluku-Papua 1.905 • Defers achieving modern asset • Compounds land issues 6
  • 7. DGH Support on Road Network Planning Proposed outputs: • Long-term 50-yr strategy to plan optimal road infrastructure for sustaining development • 20-yr pipeline of investment projects in each economic corridor, staged to optimise benefits and spread funding requirements • Journey time used to define connectivity and infrastructure plan outcomes • Expressway network defined as backbone of trans-regional connectivity, with staged implementation • Modernise arterial road network gradually through full renewal of roadway and alignment 7
  • 8. TRANS KALIMANTAN NATIONAL ROAD PROGRAM Improving connectivity: Kalimantan Economic Corridor Simanggaris Nunukan Malinau Corridor plan evaluates options when Tj. Selor generating project pipeline and investment profile for Economic Aruk Corridor: Enttikong Ng Badau Putusibau staged over 5, 10, 15 & 20 year periods Pontianak Tayan Samarinda Balikpapan Palangkaraya Strategic Options Banjarmasin (1) Widen existing road Jalan yang belum terbangun digambarkan dengan garis putus-putus Road standard (2) Realign and rebuild – “road renewal”; Expressway >= 7 m (3) Highway on future expressway location 6m 4.5 – 6 m Not Connected (4) Expressway in new location Sea Port
  • 9. Improving Connectivity: Trans-Sumatra - Corridor Plan for Staged Development of Capacity in Parallel Facilities over long-term 20-yr period ARTERIAL NATIONAL ROAD WIDTH Width m 14 2019 Road Width 10 2024 2014 7 6 5 2010 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 B Aceh B Aceh Medan Medan Pekanbaru Pekanba Lampung Palembg Lampung Length km 644 694 754 443 0 Total distance 2536 1892 1198 443 EXPRESSWAY Dual C'way Renstra period color code Baseline 2010-2014 2015-2019 2020-2024 2025-2029 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 B Aceh Medan Pekanba Palembg Lampung 2029 2019 2024 2019 Length km 460 564 610 380 0 Distance km 2014 1554 990 380 9
  • 10. Corridor Plan Output - Trans-Sumatra Example: Linkage of Development Outcomes and Financing Plan – Long-term 20-yr Period Connectivity: 80 Financing Plan 5-Year Spending estimate (IDR T) Travel Time from South to 70 1,5 North 60 7 50 70 60 40 58,6 TRAVEL TIME (hr) 50 30 47,9 0 40 20 20,2 30 B Aceh 10 2,6 1,7 3 3,6 3 3 3 0 20 Medan 0 1,8 Pekanb 10 R1 R2 R3 R4 Palem RENSTRA PERIOD 0 Boukh 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Rd Presv Rd Widening Exwy GOI Exwy PrivSec 10
  • 11. Accelerating Expressway Development • Development expected 3500 3000 to accelerate – but land 2500 Total length, km and private finance risks 2000 will dictate 1500 • Need broader financing 1000 500 modality, better use of 0 available public funds 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Operational Implementing Planned IndII Support: • Assist delivery of Trans-Sumatra & East Java expressways • Define “expressway” classification in Road Law • Update long-term plan for expressway network • Advice on viability gap funding & PPP modalities • Support project preparation with VGF • Management: Strengthen BPJT, consider expressway authority 11
  • 12. Funding Forecasts to Achieve Connectivity Goals and Modernisation of Road Network • Long range forecasts of Total Highway Expenditure to Meet Connectivity funding requirements built Goals - Long-term Plan to 2029 from the investment pipeline 90 80 • Supports scenario planning Annual Expenditure IDR t 70 Plan forecast Exw-PS 60 - pace of development Exw-GOI 50 - public-private share 40 Devel-DGH 30 • Modernising whole network 20 Presvn - DGH in 15 yr requires allocations 10 0 Mgt - DGH to double 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Expanding Level of Service Economic Corridor avg trip time 30000 4,0 Avg Trip Time (hr/100 km) Network length at LoS (km) 3,0 20000 Exway 2,0 10000 LOS-A 1,0 0,0 0 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 12
  • 13. IndII Support for DGH - 1 Enhance Planning of National Road Development: - Expedite national connectivity and mobility - Reform road development planning process - Efficient deployment of expanded private and public funds - Accelerate development of expressway network • Build comprehensive process for planning road network development with expenditure forecasts and pipeline of projects • Prepare long-range capacity expansion profiles for six economic corridors, include pipeline of projects and financing plan • Develop an optimal 20-yr strategy for financing development of the expressway and arterial road networks • Assist BPJT to build capacity for processing the enlarged expressway development program, and transactions with viability gap funding
  • 14. DGH Support for Network Planning: Activity packaging Package 1: Connectivity in Eastern Indonesia • Preparation of 20-yr investment plans for 4 MP3EI corridors (Kalimantan, Sulawesi, NTT, Maluku-Papua) • Prepare 5-year pipeline of capacity expansion projects on arterial road network & budget estimates • Planning procedures upgraded to include strategy on capacity expansion and road renewal Package 2: Connectivity in Sumatra and Java • Advisory support on expressway package preparation for E Java and Sumatra corridors, including financing • Classification and updating of expressway plan • Capacity & policy support to Bipran and BPJT • Preparation of 20-yr investment plans for MP3EI corridors 14
  • 15. IndII Support for DGH - 2 Improve efficiency national road program delivery: - Reduced life-cycle costs, improved performance and life of road assets - Improved design and delivery of projects; - Improved management of road and bridge assets; and - Improved transparency and accountablity for performance • Implement new design guide – longer life pavements • Prepare road renewal project pipeline for heavily trafficked corridors in East Sumatra and Java (Balais 3, 4 and 5) • Build balai capacity for managing national road network - devolved road management process, new system and. • Assist 1-3 Balais with preparation of 3-year programs 2013-15 using new system; • Apply new project design methods, contract preparation and supervision in selected heavy traffic corridors.
  • 16. Approach for Support to DGH and MPW • Facilitate delivery of DGH program: • Working with Directorates to design and implement program • Demonstrating applications and reforms through outputs • Supporting MTEF budget preparations in 2012, 2013 & 2014 • Progressive engagement: • Hold-points for review after initial stage and annual stages • Governance: • Building reliable data & information database for shared use • Deploy strategic KPI for travel time, asset age and activity costs • Launch public disclosure – possibly under CoST Initiative • Support MPW administrative reform measures