19.02, Mulder — From forecasting to backcasting

This document discusses forecasting and backcasting approaches for developing sustainable futures. [1] Forecasting has limitations due to non-linearities and uncertainties. [2] Backcasting begins with envisioning a desirable future and then determining the steps needed to achieve it. [3] The document outlines a 5-step backcasting process including problem analysis, visioning, determining required changes, elaboration, and planning for implementation.