Evaluation of the Intervention!\orRealisticEvaluationafteryourtakingaction in the problemsituation
TwoperspectivesonrealityPoliticianPrisonsWork!EvaluatorWhat is it in the infinite complex social system of prisonsthatmakepeoplechangetheirbehaviour
Fallacies of Experimental EvaluationWhatcausessomething to happen has nothing to do with the number of timesit happens (Sayer, 1992, p.165)Sayer, A.R., ‘Method in social science, a realist approach’, Routledge, London, 1992
PrisonsWork!Succesionisticregularity, butwhatworks?
Trivial?ICIS, December 2007MISQ, December 2004
Why Realist EvaluationDeparture: Social problems are embedded in a stratified realityRationale: Not repeating programs as a craft, but evaluating program theories as epistemic devicesGenerative causality: Knowing what works for whom in what circumstances (resources and reasoning)Realistic: Don’t study the program, study the inner workings
Theory-drivenEvaluationCMxyRGenerativeRegularityPawson, R. and Tilley, N., ‘RealisticEvaluation’, Sage, ThousandOaks, California, 1997
PrisonWorkings!CM	Prison education (x) leads a reduction in recidivism (y)	Reasoning or Resources	  M1: self-realization •	  M2: last chance	  M3: second chance	  M4: social acceptability •	  M5: moral or civic responsibility	  M6: cognitive change	‘Certain type of prisoner’	  C1: Disadvantaged •	  C2: The crime committed (pedophilia, pyromania)	  C3: First Offenders	  C4: Youth prisons, Isolation Cells, Federal Prisons, Death sentenced• mediocre hypothesisxyRPawson, R. and Tilley, N., ‘RealisticEvaluation’, Sage, ThousandOaks, California, 1997
Another Wicked Problem: Multiple ExplanationsMaking sense of it:Theory adjudication	weeding out rival explanations, with focus on improvementConfigurational	application in practiceMiddle-range	transferability; patterns of repeat victimizationProvisional	tested but not proven; soft system and wicked problemsPawson, R. and Tilley, N., ‘Realist Evaluation’, in S Mathison (ed.), Encyclopedia of  Evaluation, Sage, Thousand Oaks, California, 2004
Fitness for MIWThe upside of Realistic EvaluationDealing with real or wicked problems
Design needs EvaluationDid the intended outcome actually materialize?The downsideNo clear-cut recipe
Difficult language and conceptsCamera-surveillance in Car ParksA form of situational crime preventionVisual surveillance technology monitoring variety of environments/activitiesGrowth estimated at 15-20% per year (Davies, 1996)In car parks CCTV is used to prevent and reduce crime
OpdrachtExperimenteleEvaluatieCamera’s werken!RealistischeEvaluatie (opdracht):	Wat is het in cameratoezichtwaardoormensenhungedragaanpassenBedenk de mechanismesBedenk de contexten
Realistische AnalyseContextCriminal clustering

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