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Changing Patterns of Global Terrorism                                        Faheem Ul Hasan
AimTo Provide an Overview of the TacticalChanges and Emerging Trends in Trans-National TerrorismTo Offer Some Perspective on the Way Ahead
Global TrendsDemographicsUrbanizationEducationMigrationSecular vs. Religious Values
Area  Of ConcernGlobalThe Diaspora ConnectionSelf-RadicalizationTactical DevolutionPakistanAfghanistanSouth Asia Emerging as the Global Epicentre of Terrorism
Strategic TrendsAl – Qaeda in a Strategic Cul de Sac yet Posing a Credible Threat to Global Security• An Incomplete Ideological Battle Compounding the Problem• Lack of Effective Trans-National Cooperation Creating an Advantageous Situation for the Terrorist Organizations.• The Deepening Problem in the Global South:  Need to Address Core Issues
Changes In TacticsBomb Blasts Increasingly Being Replaced by Operations involving Small Arms e.g. Mumbai CST Attack 26/11/2009• New Innovations in Training and Organization
Changes In Tactics (Cont’d)Small Groups and Sleeper Cells Increasingly    Gaining Prominence.The Lone Wolf Making a Comeback?Decentralized Organizational Structure – The Case of JMBNew Innovations in Training: The Use of Char areas for trainingTraining Terrorists to Earn an Alternative Livelihood!An Evolving Crime – Terror Nexus
The Emerging Threat ScenariosThe Looming Threat to Critical Infrastructure:Rawalpindi Water SupplyThe Threat from Internet Radicalization: The Case of South East AsiaFighting the Flow of Money: The Challenge from Terrorist FinancingJMB Financing – Bona Fide InvestmentsThe Question of Nuclear SecurityTerrorist or Insurgent – Where to Draw the Line?
The Emerging Threat Scenarios The Deepening Threat of Radicalization Across SocietiesThe Increasing Threat from Extremist Groups in the Context of South Asia The Problem of Integration in an Increasingly Globalizing WorldThe Rise of The Radical Elements Across Different Societies: The Mainstream Becoming Smaller
Getting The Message Across: Strategic CommunicationTerrorist Organizations Globally Adopting a    Multi-Platform StrategyUse of Leaflets and other Print MethodsIncreased Presence on the InternetUse of Chat GroupsUsing Social Networking Sites and the Use of    New MediaThe Terrorist TV Network – The Example of As    Sahab
What Lies Ahead?Need to Address Radicalization andExtremism at a National and International    LevelNot Adequate to Fight Terrorism the TacticThe Need to Fashion an Adequate Strategy to    Fight the Ideological BattleUnderstanding What Makes a Terrorist Group    Tick
What Lies Ahead? (Cont’d)CT is not a the Task of the Governments    AloneNeed to Engage Different StakeholdersThe Role of the TheologiansMedia Playing a More Proactive RoleImportance of Building Social Resilience    Against TerrorismA Carefully Calibrated Multi Pronged Strategy
Questions and Comments

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Changing Patterns Of Global Terrorism

  • 1. Changing Patterns of Global Terrorism Faheem Ul Hasan
  • 2. AimTo Provide an Overview of the TacticalChanges and Emerging Trends in Trans-National TerrorismTo Offer Some Perspective on the Way Ahead
  • 4. Area Of ConcernGlobalThe Diaspora ConnectionSelf-RadicalizationTactical DevolutionPakistanAfghanistanSouth Asia Emerging as the Global Epicentre of Terrorism
  • 5. Strategic TrendsAl – Qaeda in a Strategic Cul de Sac yet Posing a Credible Threat to Global Security• An Incomplete Ideological Battle Compounding the Problem• Lack of Effective Trans-National Cooperation Creating an Advantageous Situation for the Terrorist Organizations.• The Deepening Problem in the Global South: Need to Address Core Issues
  • 6. Changes In TacticsBomb Blasts Increasingly Being Replaced by Operations involving Small Arms e.g. Mumbai CST Attack 26/11/2009• New Innovations in Training and Organization
  • 7. Changes In Tactics (Cont’d)Small Groups and Sleeper Cells Increasingly Gaining Prominence.The Lone Wolf Making a Comeback?Decentralized Organizational Structure – The Case of JMBNew Innovations in Training: The Use of Char areas for trainingTraining Terrorists to Earn an Alternative Livelihood!An Evolving Crime – Terror Nexus
  • 8. The Emerging Threat ScenariosThe Looming Threat to Critical Infrastructure:Rawalpindi Water SupplyThe Threat from Internet Radicalization: The Case of South East AsiaFighting the Flow of Money: The Challenge from Terrorist FinancingJMB Financing – Bona Fide InvestmentsThe Question of Nuclear SecurityTerrorist or Insurgent – Where to Draw the Line?
  • 9. The Emerging Threat Scenarios The Deepening Threat of Radicalization Across SocietiesThe Increasing Threat from Extremist Groups in the Context of South Asia The Problem of Integration in an Increasingly Globalizing WorldThe Rise of The Radical Elements Across Different Societies: The Mainstream Becoming Smaller
  • 10. Getting The Message Across: Strategic CommunicationTerrorist Organizations Globally Adopting a Multi-Platform StrategyUse of Leaflets and other Print MethodsIncreased Presence on the InternetUse of Chat GroupsUsing Social Networking Sites and the Use of New MediaThe Terrorist TV Network – The Example of As Sahab
  • 11. What Lies Ahead?Need to Address Radicalization andExtremism at a National and International LevelNot Adequate to Fight Terrorism the TacticThe Need to Fashion an Adequate Strategy to Fight the Ideological BattleUnderstanding What Makes a Terrorist Group Tick
  • 12. What Lies Ahead? (Cont’d)CT is not a the Task of the Governments AloneNeed to Engage Different StakeholdersThe Role of the TheologiansMedia Playing a More Proactive RoleImportance of Building Social Resilience Against TerrorismA Carefully Calibrated Multi Pronged Strategy