Final year project proposal
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This document outlines a proposal to analyze the shortcomings of Pakistan's flood early warning system. The authors, Dawood Jan, Ismail Khan, and Kiramat Ullah, supervised by Dr. Khurram Shehzad from the Department of Civil Engineering at Gandhara Institute of Science and Technology Peshawar, plan to investigate weaknesses in flood forecasting, warning communication, and disaster preparedness. Their methodology will evaluate the current early warning conditions, recognize weak areas, examine responsible agencies' roles, and compare to international standards. Recommendations will be made to enhance Pakistan's flood early warning effectiveness.
Final year project proposal
- 1. Analyzing the shortcomings of Flood Early warning system in Pakistan Proposed By: Dawood Jan Ismail Khan Kiramat Ullah Supervised By: Dr. Khurram Shehzad Department of Civil Engineering Gandhara Institute of Science and Technology Peshawar Peshawar 03/17/13 1
- 2. Introduction Literature Review Problem Statement Objective Methodology Work Plan References 03/17/13 2
- 3. Overflow or inundation that comes from water body may cause or threatens damage. It may be caused due to: ▪ High rainfall ▪ Snow melting ▪ Breaching of embankments of a canal ▪ Failure of Dam/reservoir ▪ Deforestation (anthropogenic cause) Floods without proper warning and forecast may cause the loss of: ▪ Human Lives ▪ Infrastructure ▪ Livestock ▪ crops Pakistan has been struck by 150 major disasters in the last 65 years in which most are floods. Floods in July 2010, affected about 20 million Pakistanis and inundated an area of 100,000 sq-km of the country, and 2000 casualties has been recorded. Overall loss of US $ 10.05 Billions. 03/17/13 3
- 4. To prevent this situation, efforts be made urgently to acquire the best early warning system in order to save lives and protect livelihoods. Radio, Television, Newspaper and social media should be utilized for conveying early warnings to population at risk. The agencies responsible for warnings propagation and flood forecasting in Pakistan. Pakistan Metrological Department Federal Flood Commission National Disaster Management Authority WAPDA Irrigation Department Local Authorities 03/17/13 4
- 5. UNESCO worked for the early warning systems over the world. Program started in Pakistan, funded with a $3.5-million grant from Tokyo, will install a flood-forecasting system using satellite-based rainfall data at government agencies, including the Pakistan Meteorological Department. It will also carry out risk mapping of flood plains along the Indus River. 1 Use of Weather radars in flood forecasting, remote area can be monitored through these radars which are not physically accessible. Hydrological information development system may created by using GIS and hydrological watershed parameters such as.3 Design storm Soil hydrology Time of concentration Runoff coefficient 03/17/13 5
- 6. Early warning system for flood in Pakistan is not covering the upper Indus above Tarbela and Kabul river above Nowshehra.4 Pakistan warning system for flood has poor mapping. Poor early warning system for floods may increase the damages of the livelihoods and also infrastructures. Poor flood forecasting is the cause of disastrous affects on the people at risk. Poor warnings may increase the post flood cost in case of urban floods. 03/17/13 6
- 7. To investigate the shortcomings of flood forecasting To investigate the shortcomings of communication of flood warning To investigate the shortcomings of mechanism of flood preparedness Recommends the set of actions and corresponding resource requirements that need to be undertaken in order to enhance the effectiveness of Flood early warning system in Pakistan. 03/17/13 7
- 8. Finding the Current conditions of early warning system of floods in Pakistan that are: Density of gauge stations Forecasting model in place Efficiency of flood forecasting model ▪ Accuracy ▪ Authenticity of forecasting ▪ Conveying Timing of warnings ▪ Reliability Recognition of weak zones (if any) in early warning system for floods in Pakistan. Role of responsible agencies in early warning system Comparison with international standards of early warning system for hydrological disasters Suggest the initiatives for improvement of early warning system for flood. Writing the final report. 03/17/13 8
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- 10. 1. http://www.trust.org/alertnet/news/forecasting-system-to-help-pakistan-manage-floods/ 2. Awan, S. A. (2010) Flood forecasting and management in Pakistan, use of Weather radars, page 92- 94. 3. Olivera et al., (1995). Olivera and Maidment (1998, 1999) and U.S Army used GIS technique. 4. Annual flood report (2010), Federal flood commission, Ministry of Water & Power, “Future mitigation strategies” P-44 5. Annual flood report (2010), Federal flood commission, Ministry of Water & Power, P-42 03/17/13 10