Ipsos MORI Issues Index - August 2016
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In August 2016, Ipsos Mori conducted a survey of 983 British adults, revealing that the top concerns facing Britain are immigration (34%), the European Union (31%), and the NHS/healthcare (31%). Since July, the most notable changes in public concern include a slight increase in the importance of the economy and housing, while other issues such as crime and education have decreased in significance. The document discusses various long-term trends and historical data related to public concerns in Britain.
Ipsos MORI Issues Index - August 2016
- 1. August 2016 ECONOMIST/IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com 020 7347 3000
- 2. 2 Issues Facing Britain: August Base: 983 British adults 18+, 1st and 11th August 2016 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 34% 31% 31% 30% 22% 19% 15% 14% 14% 14% Immigration/immigrants European Union/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Economy Housing Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Unemployment Poverty/inequality Education/Schools Crime/law and order/ASB -4 -9 -4 -7 +6 +9 -2 -1 -4 -5 % Change since July: Position Top mentions % -1 +3 -4 +1 +2 -1
- 3. 3 Issues Facing Britain: August What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 34% 31% 31% 30% 22% 19% 15% 14% 14% 14% 17% 21% 7% 10% 5% 7% 4% 3% 2% 3% Immigration/immigrants European Union/EU NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Economy Housing Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Unemployment Poverty/Inequality Education/Schools Crime/Law and Order/ASB Top mentions % MOST/OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Base: 983 British adults 18+, 1st-11th August 2016
- 4. 4 Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 NHS UNEMPLOYMENT CRIME/LAW & ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION* *Up until September 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants HOUSING
- 5. 5 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Immigration / Immigrants Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU Countries (Poland, etc.) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Border controls relaxed for Romanians and Bulgarians Highest concern ever recorded (56%)
- 6. 6 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour Lowest score since December 1985 (12%) Highest score since April 2006 (47%) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
- 7. 7 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / Euro / EU What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Treaty of Accession: 10 new EU Member States France and Holland reject ratification of EU constitution Lowest score recorded (1%) UKIP come first in European Parliament elections Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Highest score since April 1997 (40%)
- 8. 8 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Global Recession and Russian Financial crisis Highest score since 1992; Most important issue for the first time Sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US End of recession announced Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Lowest score since March 2008 (22%) Northern Rock nationalised
- 9. 9 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years Minimum wage introduced Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5% Lowest ever score (5%) Youth unemployment reaches 1 million Lowest score since October 2008 (14%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
- 10. 10 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resignsCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May day riots Riots in England 9/11 Lowest score since March 1991 (8%)
- 11. 11 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Introduction of means-tested tuition fees. Education most important issue. First City Academies introduced Lowest score since Dec 1985 (9%) Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools April 2011 – Pupil Premium introduced Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
- 12. 12 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 9/11 London Bombs Invasion of Iraq – protests across Europe Failed terror attacks in London and Glasgow UK withdraws from Iraq War in Kosovo Parliamentary vote against action in Syria NATO bombing in Libya Rise of IS Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Paris attacks and Parliamentary vote for action against IS in Syria
- 13. 13 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three” living in poverty July 2014: highest score recorded (18%) January 2005: Make Poverty History campaign launched on New Year’s Day Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
- 14. 14 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%) Inflation rate hits 16 year peak Inflation rises to 3.4% Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
- 15. 15 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 “A8” Countries join the EU Highest score since October 1974 (22%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
- 16. 16 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Social Security/Benefits What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Equitable Life sells its non-profit pension annuities Blair and Harriet Harman propose ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well- off from state benefits Gordon Brown unveils pension credits Pensions commission report – “more than 12 million working people are not saving enough for their retirement” Lowest ever score (3%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
- 17. 17 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Wettest Autumn since records began – widespread flooding across the UK EC proposes carbon emission cuts of 20% by 2020 Winter flooding and storms Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
- 18. 18 Vote for Brexit; Cameron resigns Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Highest recorded score (15%)
- 19. 19 Top issues – concern by party support Base: 260 Conservative and 251 Labour supporters aged 18+, 1st -11th August 2016 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 45% 44% 43% 32% 25% 21% 17% 14% 11% 8% 24% 27% 29% 34% 14% 31% 15% 16% 23% 25% Immigration/immigrants European Union/Europe Economy NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Housing Crime/Law and order/ASB Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality Unemployment Top mentions % CONSERVATIVE SUPPORTERS LABOUR SUPPORTERS
- 20. 20 Age and social grade – different top issues amongst ABC1s What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: 983 British adults 18+, 1st -11th August 2016 46% 40% 37% EU Immigration Economy 47% 36% 30% 30% Economy EU Immigration NHS 42% 31% 29% EU NHS Economy 50% 34% 19% 19% Immigration NHS EU Defence 31% 31% 23% Immigration NHS EU 28% 27% 27% Housing Economy Immigration 18-3435-5455+ ABC1 C2DE Social grade Agebracket
- 21. 21 Concern about housing by subgroups Base: 983 British adults 18+, 1st -11th August 2016 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe Ipsos MORI Issues Index 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Concern about housing by age group: 6% 14% 17% 29% Concern by region: 22% 25% 11% 21% 31% 22% 23% 22% 19% Overall Urban Rural CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE Social GradeLocale Party support Concern about housing by key demographic groups: 44% 28% 24% 21% 24% 21% 15%