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Strategic Delivery of Change
PM-654
Ilyas Mahmood Ahmad
October’ 13
School of Professional Advancement, UMT
SESSION 1
INTRODUCTION TO
CHANGE MANAGEMENT
“THERE IS NOTHING
PERMANENT EXCEPT
CHANGE”
Pain of Change
“I am all for progress; it’s change I don’t like”
»Mark Twain
• Neatly sums up dilemma facing organizations.
How they handle these changes and move
forward will determine either their continued
success or their likely demise

4
5
• Select one word that symbolizes the world we
live in – CHANGE
• Change was always there but it used to be
incremental
• Today we are faced with change that is
exponential – change heaped upon change
• Change flows and endures

6
SOME NOTABLE CHANGES
• Globalization of Markets
– Companies competing in International Markets
– Local Companies exposed to foreign competition

• Technological Changes
– Computer and size
– CAD / CAM
– Optical fibers
– Transportation
– Internet
SOME NOTABLE CHANGES
Cont’d
• Political Realignment
– Free Trade Cooperation (WTO)
– Emergence of China
– War on terror

• Changing Demographics
– Decline in work ethics
– More women joining workforce
SOME NOTABLE CHANGES
Cont’d
• Organizational Restructuring
– Downsized , Resized and Flattened
– Alliance are formed and Mergers are on the rise

• Changing Customer Preferences
– More choosy, more demanding and better
informed
– Media explosion
CATEGORIES OF CHANGE
• HR Magazine suggests change can fall into the following broad
categories:
– Strategic change – Comes about when ..alterations are made to an
organization's functional parts, for example, through mergers, acquisitions
or consolidations;
– Leadership change – Relates to ..reconfiguring the organization's
leadership. This can be through any number of reasons including
retirement, ill-health or death, sacking, a leadership coup, or plain old
natural transition;
– Cultural change – Relating to the human ..aspects such as the relationship
between managers and employees, or staff and customers. This can be the
trickiest and most unpredictable area of all;
– Cost-cutting – When certain activities ..and operations are eliminated; and
– Process change – Which focuses on..how things get done and how they can
be improved.

• Others break it down to the four change categories of process,
system, structural and organizational
A change - on time - on budget on target
• Completing a change on time, on budget, and on target
actually begins with an educated, constructive perspective
regarding the concept of organizational change.
• To begin to understand this concept, you need only take a look
at some of its more or less recent history
– Production history
• Post WW-II, US- the only manufacturers, era of mass production, emergence of
Japanese quality products-“Who are these guys?”, globalization-technology
explosion, communication-e-mail, faxes, videoconferencing, media

• Welcome to the new economy, where firms you never heard
of, from places you aren’t familiar with, can suddenly appear
on your radar screens one day and steal your competitive
advantage the next.
THE CHANGING
ORGANIZATIONAL LANDSCAPE
• What is a better metaphor for today’s
organizations—machines or living
organisms?
– Not long ago, we tended to depict organizations
in engineering terms such as fine-tuned
machines.
– Lately, we have begun to study and portray
organizations as living, breathing organisms.
– The physical state is constrained, even static.
The biological state is one of continuous
movement and change.
The Changing World & We
• Changes in Pakistan – were we prepared? – are we prepared?
– Creation of Pak-no infrastructure to handle the changed scenario
• As a result-corrupt politicians, no land reforms, martial law, no rules &
regulations, same old colonial systems, ……

• After creation - talbanization, law & order situation, 18th
amendment -autonomy to provinces-revenue generation &
collection, education system, law & order, population planning,
flood & crises control, more provinces-smaller manageable units,
urbanization,
– Reactionary rather than pro-active behavior

• Bi-polar world to uni-polar world, new world order, geo-political
changes, post 9/11 scenario
– World environment changed, global warming, global village, IT
revolutionized, ICT-mobile, electronic media, WTO

• & …….
• In a progressive country, change is constant;
. . . change . . . is inevitable.
— Benjamin Disraeli
• In his Origin of Species, it is not necessarily
the biggest or most powerful that survive, but
those who are able to adapt.

Adapt or die!
— Darwin
WHY CHANGE ?
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

Change for Better !
Change for Breakthrough!
Change for continual improvement !
Change to eliminate further errors!
Change to reenergize!
Change is a Journey of Excellence !
Change because YOU want to CHANGE !
CHANGE TO SURVIVE !
Change management
is:


The process, tools and techniques to
manage the people-side of change
to
achieve the required business
outcome(s)
Barriers to Change
Why do people resist change?
• The status quo provides a certain comfort
zone
– Need for stability
– Need for predictability
– Fear of the unknown
– Others???
Strategic Delivery of Change Management
“FUTURE SHOCK”
• Pace of change is accelerating
• Type of changes and the speed of their
introduction over powers the individual’s ability
to adapt to them with the result that one can no
longer absorb change without displaying
dysfunctional behavior
• Society is in state of flux
• Change is so frequent that there is no long term
stability
Alvin Toffler (1984)
• Scores of definition of Organizational Change
• Simplistic – purpose is to address the
following questions:
– Why do we need to change?
– Who is or should be involved?
– What needs to change, and what does it need to
change to?
– How are we going to change?
20
What is Organizational Change?
• Organizational change: the process
by which organizations move from
their present state to some desired
future state to increase their
effectiveness

21
Targets of Change in Organizations
• Four different levels
–
–
–
–

Human resources
Functional resources
Technological capabilities
Organizational capabilities

22
The Change Process
1. Change is both toxic and tonic.
You are:
•
•
•
•
•

thrilled by possibilities
excited by newness
stimulated by prospects
fearful and uncertain
anxious and worried
23
2. Change requires exchange/expanded thinking
You must:
• give up something to get something
• unlearn and relearn
• exchange a secondary role for increased power and
leadership
• exchange old values for new values
• give up your cushion of comfort for greater personal
visibility and accountability

24
3. Change is stressful
You realize:
•
•
•
•

the unknown is part of the change
there exists uncertainty and ambiguity about results
the demands have increased
there are different pressures

• you must learn to cope

25
The Change Cycle
Three discrete stages:
• ENDINGS stage: letting go of something stable, known and dependable
• NEUTRAL ZONE: forced to hang in mid-air, without orientation to the
past or the future

• BEGINNINGS: stage, where we plunge headlong into something
unknown and unknowable--our own future
The Chinese
word for change
is two characters:

26

Danger
And
Opportunity
Reactions to Change
People react differently to change.
These types are:
•

The Innovators

•

The Early Adopters

•

The Early Majority

•

The Late Majority

•

The Late Adopters

•

The Diehards
27
Movement
In organizational change three things must occur:
Unfreezing requires that there be a change in the
status quo before there can be a change to a new
condition
• This is the second step in the process and is called
transformation. It is the movement that must occur
for the organism to change
• Finally, the change is made permanent through the
process of refreezing. This becomes the new
equilibrium point
28
THE PATHWAY TO CHANGE
Adaptation to Change
• Successful adaptation to change is as
crucial within an organization as it is in the
natural world
• Just like plants and animals, organizations
and the individuals in them inevitably
encounter changing conditions that they
are powerless to control
• The more effectively you deal with change,
the more likely you are to thrive

30
Forces for and Resistance to
Change

31
Create Quantum Change
Incrementally
• Many organizations are looking for ways of
restructuring and reshaping their activities to deliver
quantum change in a quantum way
• The reality - most quantum change occurs
incrementally
• Experiment with frogs ….

32
Create Quantum Change
Incrementally
• If the temperature of the water is suddenly
increased, the frog realizes it and jumps out of
the water
• If the temperature is very slowly increased,
one degree at a time, the frog does not realize
it till it boils to death

33
Introducing Change Systematically
1. Assessment
– Critical analysis of magnitude and difficulty of
change plus the risks involved
– Consider these two factors:
•

The number of stakeholders involved
– Smaller is easier

•

The complexity of the Process/Task/Operation to be
altered
– Simple is easier

34
Introducing Change Systematically
2. Description
– Describe the future you want to see as a result
of the change
– List the stakeholder groups likely to be impacted

35
Introducing Change Systematically
3. Current factors influencing the possible change
Your change effort will succeed or fail depending
on these elements:
–

Dissatisfaction with the current state
•
•
•

–
–

Benefits from the “New Order” - Stakeholders
Individualized benefits
•

–

Perception of stakeholders about their risks and benefits

Sound strategies/Action steps
•

–
–

Successful change requires enough “pain” by the stakeholders in status
quo
Greater the “pain” greater the “gain”
Clarify the pain to stakeholders

Stakeholders should perceive the strategies/actions to be viable

Gathering resources – Money, human, equipment
Time frame – Change takes time – Not automatic
•

36

Remember it takes time to work with stakeholders
Introducing Change Systematically
4. Actions to improve conditions to inaugurate change
Accepting change may not be easy for stakeholders
What should you do?
Elevating dissatisfaction – Collect data and prove
–
–
–
–
–

Enhancing the future – Demo stakeholders
Publicizing potential gains
Pursue the correct steps – Consider alternatives
Evaluate required resources – Justify new costs
Appraise time involved – Educate stakeholders

37
Introducing Change Systematically
5. Appraising your readiness
–
–
–
–
–
–

Dissatisfaction with the status quo
Perception of the future state
Benefits from the change
Perceptions regarding actions steps
Available resources
Available time
38
Introducing Change Systematically
6. Act
– Work closely with the stakeholders with the
possible new future
– “Liberate” them from the less-than-satisfactory
status quo
– Dissatisfaction with the status quo
– Allow them to participate fully in the change
effort
39
Communicate Change
• Share information with employees as soon as
possible – public sector dilemma
• Keep in mind that quantity is fine, but quality
and consistency are crucial. You can
communicate too much insignificant or
insensitive information

40
Resistance to Change
Organizational Arthritis
• Resistance to change may be traced to individual,
group, or organizational characteristics
• The organizational culture and power structure help
to maintain stable behavior patterns in organizations
– They are self-reinforcing and potentially significant barriers
to change
– The very nature of change may put them in jeopardy
– It is therefore likely that the change efforts will not work
unless they are compatible with the organizational culture
and the power structure
– This is a very well-documented reason why many change
efforts fail
41
Resistance to Change
Individual
• The key to managing resistance is sincere
selling. This approach addresses all the
issues we have raised about resistance:
– It recognizes the inevitability of resistance, so it
addresses resistance honestly and consistently
– It acknowledges that resistance will be
experienced differently based on positive or
negative reactions to change
42
Resistance to Change
Individual
– It reflects how resistance can be expressed
overtly or covertly and advocates that overt
resistance be encouraged, to get problems out
in the open
– It warns that people may not be comfortable
expressing their true reasons for resistance and
encourages creating an atmosphere that allows
honest communication

43
Lewin’s Theory

44
“It is not that people resist change. It is the
fear of the transition that space between the
old and the new”

45
Philosophy of Change
• Change Happens
• Anticipate Change
– Noticing small changes early help you adapt to the
bigger changes that are to come

• Monitor Change
• Adapt to Change Quickly

46
Philosophy of Change
•
•
•
•

Enjoy Change !
Be Ready to Change Quickly
If You Do Not Change, You Can Become Extinct
Develop Change Philosophy in Everything You
Do

47
Brain Teasers
“Don’t change with the times – change before the
times”
“It is not the strongest of the species that survives,
nor the most intelligent, but rather the one most
responsive to change”
- Charles Darwin
“Every organization must prepare for the
abandonment of everything it does”
-Peter Drucker
48
Brain Teasers
•
•
•
•

Framework: an essential supporting structure;
Model: a simplified description of a system;
Tool: a thing used in an occupation or pursuit;
Technique: a means of achieving one’s purpose.
Concise Oxford Dictionary

• When a subject becomes obsolete, we
make it a required course!
—peter drucker
Concludes…

50

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Strategic Delivery of Change Management

  • 1. Strategic Delivery of Change PM-654 Ilyas Mahmood Ahmad October’ 13 School of Professional Advancement, UMT
  • 3. “THERE IS NOTHING PERMANENT EXCEPT CHANGE”
  • 4. Pain of Change “I am all for progress; it’s change I don’t like” »Mark Twain • Neatly sums up dilemma facing organizations. How they handle these changes and move forward will determine either their continued success or their likely demise 4
  • 5. 5
  • 6. • Select one word that symbolizes the world we live in – CHANGE • Change was always there but it used to be incremental • Today we are faced with change that is exponential – change heaped upon change • Change flows and endures 6
  • 7. SOME NOTABLE CHANGES • Globalization of Markets – Companies competing in International Markets – Local Companies exposed to foreign competition • Technological Changes – Computer and size – CAD / CAM – Optical fibers – Transportation – Internet
  • 8. SOME NOTABLE CHANGES Cont’d • Political Realignment – Free Trade Cooperation (WTO) – Emergence of China – War on terror • Changing Demographics – Decline in work ethics – More women joining workforce
  • 9. SOME NOTABLE CHANGES Cont’d • Organizational Restructuring – Downsized , Resized and Flattened – Alliance are formed and Mergers are on the rise • Changing Customer Preferences – More choosy, more demanding and better informed – Media explosion
  • 10. CATEGORIES OF CHANGE • HR Magazine suggests change can fall into the following broad categories: – Strategic change – Comes about when ..alterations are made to an organization's functional parts, for example, through mergers, acquisitions or consolidations; – Leadership change – Relates to ..reconfiguring the organization's leadership. This can be through any number of reasons including retirement, ill-health or death, sacking, a leadership coup, or plain old natural transition; – Cultural change – Relating to the human ..aspects such as the relationship between managers and employees, or staff and customers. This can be the trickiest and most unpredictable area of all; – Cost-cutting – When certain activities ..and operations are eliminated; and – Process change – Which focuses on..how things get done and how they can be improved. • Others break it down to the four change categories of process, system, structural and organizational
  • 11. A change - on time - on budget on target • Completing a change on time, on budget, and on target actually begins with an educated, constructive perspective regarding the concept of organizational change. • To begin to understand this concept, you need only take a look at some of its more or less recent history – Production history • Post WW-II, US- the only manufacturers, era of mass production, emergence of Japanese quality products-“Who are these guys?”, globalization-technology explosion, communication-e-mail, faxes, videoconferencing, media • Welcome to the new economy, where firms you never heard of, from places you aren’t familiar with, can suddenly appear on your radar screens one day and steal your competitive advantage the next.
  • 12. THE CHANGING ORGANIZATIONAL LANDSCAPE • What is a better metaphor for today’s organizations—machines or living organisms? – Not long ago, we tended to depict organizations in engineering terms such as fine-tuned machines. – Lately, we have begun to study and portray organizations as living, breathing organisms. – The physical state is constrained, even static. The biological state is one of continuous movement and change.
  • 13. The Changing World & We • Changes in Pakistan – were we prepared? – are we prepared? – Creation of Pak-no infrastructure to handle the changed scenario • As a result-corrupt politicians, no land reforms, martial law, no rules & regulations, same old colonial systems, …… • After creation - talbanization, law & order situation, 18th amendment -autonomy to provinces-revenue generation & collection, education system, law & order, population planning, flood & crises control, more provinces-smaller manageable units, urbanization, – Reactionary rather than pro-active behavior • Bi-polar world to uni-polar world, new world order, geo-political changes, post 9/11 scenario – World environment changed, global warming, global village, IT revolutionized, ICT-mobile, electronic media, WTO • & …….
  • 14. • In a progressive country, change is constant; . . . change . . . is inevitable. — Benjamin Disraeli • In his Origin of Species, it is not necessarily the biggest or most powerful that survive, but those who are able to adapt. Adapt or die! — Darwin
  • 15. WHY CHANGE ? • • • • • • • • Change for Better ! Change for Breakthrough! Change for continual improvement ! Change to eliminate further errors! Change to reenergize! Change is a Journey of Excellence ! Change because YOU want to CHANGE ! CHANGE TO SURVIVE !
  • 16. Change management is:  The process, tools and techniques to manage the people-side of change to achieve the required business outcome(s)
  • 17. Barriers to Change Why do people resist change? • The status quo provides a certain comfort zone – Need for stability – Need for predictability – Fear of the unknown – Others???
  • 19. “FUTURE SHOCK” • Pace of change is accelerating • Type of changes and the speed of their introduction over powers the individual’s ability to adapt to them with the result that one can no longer absorb change without displaying dysfunctional behavior • Society is in state of flux • Change is so frequent that there is no long term stability Alvin Toffler (1984)
  • 20. • Scores of definition of Organizational Change • Simplistic – purpose is to address the following questions: – Why do we need to change? – Who is or should be involved? – What needs to change, and what does it need to change to? – How are we going to change? 20
  • 21. What is Organizational Change? • Organizational change: the process by which organizations move from their present state to some desired future state to increase their effectiveness 21
  • 22. Targets of Change in Organizations • Four different levels – – – – Human resources Functional resources Technological capabilities Organizational capabilities 22
  • 23. The Change Process 1. Change is both toxic and tonic. You are: • • • • • thrilled by possibilities excited by newness stimulated by prospects fearful and uncertain anxious and worried 23
  • 24. 2. Change requires exchange/expanded thinking You must: • give up something to get something • unlearn and relearn • exchange a secondary role for increased power and leadership • exchange old values for new values • give up your cushion of comfort for greater personal visibility and accountability 24
  • 25. 3. Change is stressful You realize: • • • • the unknown is part of the change there exists uncertainty and ambiguity about results the demands have increased there are different pressures • you must learn to cope 25
  • 26. The Change Cycle Three discrete stages: • ENDINGS stage: letting go of something stable, known and dependable • NEUTRAL ZONE: forced to hang in mid-air, without orientation to the past or the future • BEGINNINGS: stage, where we plunge headlong into something unknown and unknowable--our own future The Chinese word for change is two characters: 26 Danger And Opportunity
  • 27. Reactions to Change People react differently to change. These types are: • The Innovators • The Early Adopters • The Early Majority • The Late Majority • The Late Adopters • The Diehards 27
  • 28. Movement In organizational change three things must occur: Unfreezing requires that there be a change in the status quo before there can be a change to a new condition • This is the second step in the process and is called transformation. It is the movement that must occur for the organism to change • Finally, the change is made permanent through the process of refreezing. This becomes the new equilibrium point 28
  • 29. THE PATHWAY TO CHANGE
  • 30. Adaptation to Change • Successful adaptation to change is as crucial within an organization as it is in the natural world • Just like plants and animals, organizations and the individuals in them inevitably encounter changing conditions that they are powerless to control • The more effectively you deal with change, the more likely you are to thrive 30
  • 31. Forces for and Resistance to Change 31
  • 32. Create Quantum Change Incrementally • Many organizations are looking for ways of restructuring and reshaping their activities to deliver quantum change in a quantum way • The reality - most quantum change occurs incrementally • Experiment with frogs …. 32
  • 33. Create Quantum Change Incrementally • If the temperature of the water is suddenly increased, the frog realizes it and jumps out of the water • If the temperature is very slowly increased, one degree at a time, the frog does not realize it till it boils to death 33
  • 34. Introducing Change Systematically 1. Assessment – Critical analysis of magnitude and difficulty of change plus the risks involved – Consider these two factors: • The number of stakeholders involved – Smaller is easier • The complexity of the Process/Task/Operation to be altered – Simple is easier 34
  • 35. Introducing Change Systematically 2. Description – Describe the future you want to see as a result of the change – List the stakeholder groups likely to be impacted 35
  • 36. Introducing Change Systematically 3. Current factors influencing the possible change Your change effort will succeed or fail depending on these elements: – Dissatisfaction with the current state • • • – – Benefits from the “New Order” - Stakeholders Individualized benefits • – Perception of stakeholders about their risks and benefits Sound strategies/Action steps • – – Successful change requires enough “pain” by the stakeholders in status quo Greater the “pain” greater the “gain” Clarify the pain to stakeholders Stakeholders should perceive the strategies/actions to be viable Gathering resources – Money, human, equipment Time frame – Change takes time – Not automatic • 36 Remember it takes time to work with stakeholders
  • 37. Introducing Change Systematically 4. Actions to improve conditions to inaugurate change Accepting change may not be easy for stakeholders What should you do? Elevating dissatisfaction – Collect data and prove – – – – – Enhancing the future – Demo stakeholders Publicizing potential gains Pursue the correct steps – Consider alternatives Evaluate required resources – Justify new costs Appraise time involved – Educate stakeholders 37
  • 38. Introducing Change Systematically 5. Appraising your readiness – – – – – – Dissatisfaction with the status quo Perception of the future state Benefits from the change Perceptions regarding actions steps Available resources Available time 38
  • 39. Introducing Change Systematically 6. Act – Work closely with the stakeholders with the possible new future – “Liberate” them from the less-than-satisfactory status quo – Dissatisfaction with the status quo – Allow them to participate fully in the change effort 39
  • 40. Communicate Change • Share information with employees as soon as possible – public sector dilemma • Keep in mind that quantity is fine, but quality and consistency are crucial. You can communicate too much insignificant or insensitive information 40
  • 41. Resistance to Change Organizational Arthritis • Resistance to change may be traced to individual, group, or organizational characteristics • The organizational culture and power structure help to maintain stable behavior patterns in organizations – They are self-reinforcing and potentially significant barriers to change – The very nature of change may put them in jeopardy – It is therefore likely that the change efforts will not work unless they are compatible with the organizational culture and the power structure – This is a very well-documented reason why many change efforts fail 41
  • 42. Resistance to Change Individual • The key to managing resistance is sincere selling. This approach addresses all the issues we have raised about resistance: – It recognizes the inevitability of resistance, so it addresses resistance honestly and consistently – It acknowledges that resistance will be experienced differently based on positive or negative reactions to change 42
  • 43. Resistance to Change Individual – It reflects how resistance can be expressed overtly or covertly and advocates that overt resistance be encouraged, to get problems out in the open – It warns that people may not be comfortable expressing their true reasons for resistance and encourages creating an atmosphere that allows honest communication 43
  • 45. “It is not that people resist change. It is the fear of the transition that space between the old and the new” 45
  • 46. Philosophy of Change • Change Happens • Anticipate Change – Noticing small changes early help you adapt to the bigger changes that are to come • Monitor Change • Adapt to Change Quickly 46
  • 47. Philosophy of Change • • • • Enjoy Change ! Be Ready to Change Quickly If You Do Not Change, You Can Become Extinct Develop Change Philosophy in Everything You Do 47
  • 48. Brain Teasers “Don’t change with the times – change before the times” “It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent, but rather the one most responsive to change” - Charles Darwin “Every organization must prepare for the abandonment of everything it does” -Peter Drucker 48
  • 49. Brain Teasers • • • • Framework: an essential supporting structure; Model: a simplified description of a system; Tool: a thing used in an occupation or pursuit; Technique: a means of achieving one’s purpose. Concise Oxford Dictionary • When a subject becomes obsolete, we make it a required course! —peter drucker

Editor's Notes

  • #14: Islamic change model
  • #20: CAUTION: WHITE WATER AHEAD!In his groundbreaking book Future Shock, Alvin Toffler suggested that thepace of change was accelerating. Reality has confirmed his assertion. Intoday’s truly global economy, to use Peter Vaill’sanalogy, the organizational world is one of “permanentwhite water.” The way to stay afloat nowis to go into a “heads-up, sensing, searching, sorting,anticipating, adjusting, survival mode.” Payattention! Scan the environment. Gather informationquickly and process it even faster. Yourlife depends on it. As external changes accelerate and competitive advantagesshift, successfully leading change becomes an organizational imperative.3g. Toy industry of china,
  • #30: Figure I.1(above) depicts a small group of people, the team of change agents, beginninga trek from the lower left corner. They are in a storm. Visions of a sunnyparadise (upper right corner) feel like fantasy but still capture their imaginationas something they want to achieve, something much better than their current reality.Not quite revealed to them yet is the complex journey they face. Each stepalong the twisted path is a chapter in this book.Since the mission is to implement a project office as a vehicle for organizationalchange, the first step on the journey is to discover the processes necessaryto lead an organization to change. Following the process outlined in Chapter One,the team identifies many clear dangers. Some of these dangers may lead to sidetracksor discontinuing the journey. To go onward the change agents need to createor identify a sense of urgency for the change among other members of theorganization as well as determine how their efforts will add value to the organization.Once they figure this out, the team realizes it has little chance of successwithout developing some clout to deal with powerful political forces. The change agents understand that few people will listen to them just because they have a goodidea. So the next step on the journey is to develop political acumen, a powerfulsponsor, and a coalition of organization members that help guide them on theirjourney. With backing from that group, they proceed to focus on what functionsthe project office will perform, how those functions will add value to the organization,and how they expect those functions to expand and grow. This vision andstrategy is put into a succinct plan and a language that others in the organizationunderstand so that the team of change agents can tell their tale—harness internalsupport—to enlist the help of the entire organization.This period spent creating the conditions that will enable change is critical tothe success of the entire endeavor. Project managers recognize this time as akinto the preparation of a project plan, which indeed it is. It is also the honeymoonperiod for the project team, for during this time—while the project office is beingdiscussed—it will not yet affect people’s lives. That being the case, the project teamcan expect that serious opposition will not yet be formed. This is analogous to the“hundred days” that new U.S. presidents typically have before serious oppositionmounts to their policies and programs. The change agent team can expect seriousopposition to arise after this part of the journey is completed. Not known yetis what awaits them in the middle section of Figure I.1. Implementation usuallyrequires invading new territories or jungles—other functional areas or businesses.Sensing invaders, the lions, tigers, and bears emerge from hiding places in the forest,ready to attack. For the change agent team to be ready for this opposition,they need to develop political acumen while time is available.Since the first part of the journey is a planning period, the team can expectthe usual problems associated with project planning. Some will say the planningis a waste of time. Some may press for quick results and eschew the entire idea ofplanning. Others may agitate to quicken the process and get into action sooner.But project and program managers know better. They know that planning is essentialfor success and can easily take 40 percent of the entire time allotted to aproject. For those who insist on skipping this first phase and taking a shortcut, weoffer two cautionary tales.Cautionary TalesLands beyond the bounds of the known world tantalized the imaginations of ancientscholars, inspiring visions of a lush empire far to the south. Maps, drawnfrom supposition and mysticism, identified this area as Terra Incognita, the unknownland, newly discovered but not yet fully known. Only centuries later when bravesailors traveled south did they discover the world was much different. As we now know, the maps were incorrect, and their assumptions were false. However, whatlies beyond boundaries is always mysterious and awaits discovery. The emptinesstantalizes us to explore and conquer this space.Organizational change agents exploring the future of project managementface similar challenges as the earlier explorers. Misconceptions abound about whatis possible. Newly discovered fads drive managers to launch ill-conceived projectsor initiatives. Modern explorers also face unknowns, resistance, and chaos.More recently, in the spring of 1846, a group of immigrants set out from Illinoisto make the two-thousand-mile journey to California. They planned to usethe well-known Oregon Trail. One part of this group, the Donner party, was determinedto reach California quickly and so decided to take a shortcut. They traveledwith a larger group until reaching the Little Sandy River. At this point thelarger party turned north, taking the longer route up through Oregon and thento California. The Donner party headed south, taking an untried route known asHasting’s Cutoff. Since no one, including Hastings himself, had ever tried this cutoff,they had little idea of what to expect. Their first barrier was the Great SaltLake Desert, where they encountered conditions that they never imagined—searingheat by day and frigid winds at night. A more formidable barrier was encounteredin the Sierras. After a severe snowstorm on October 31 blocked thetrail, the party was forced to camp in makeshift cabins or tents just to the east ofthe pass that today bears their name. The majority of these unfortunates spent astarving, frozen winter—the worst ever recorded in the Sierras—trapped in themountains. The few survivors of that camp, who wound up resorting to cannibalismto make it through the winter, reached California long after the other membersof the original Illinois group—and in far worse spirits.The first conclusion that can be drawn for the project office team is that manyhave gone before you with a journey of organizational change. Their collectiveexperience forms the equivalent of the Oregon Trail, a process showing a knownway to reach the desired goal. Although this path may seem long, ignore it at yourown peril. Second, although the Oregon Trail was well known and well traveled,it was not necessarily easy. There were many difficulties along that trail and nodoubt some people died even though they were on the known route. So taking theOregon Trail is no guarantee of success—but it seems to greatly increase thechances. Finally, taking a shortcut leads into unknown territory like the Great SaltLake Desert or Terra Incognita—the unknown land—as illustrated in Figure I.1.The route may look good on the map, but the map is not the territory. The bestadvice we give those considering a shortcut is from Virginia Reed, a Donnerparty survivor, who said, “Remember, never take no cutoffs and hurry along asfast as you can.”