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Finance Theory II
(Corporate Finance)
Katharina Lewellen
February 5, 2003
1
Today
Preliminaries
Introduction to the course
Corporate finance
Types of questions
Course outline
Course requirements
Case of Unidentified Industries
2
Preliminaries
Texts
− Brealey & Myers, Principles of Corporate Finance,
7th edition
− Higgins, Analysis for Financial Management, 7th
edition
− Case and Readings Packet
Professor
− Katharina Lewellen
3
Introduction
Corporate finance
Investment policy
How the firm spends its money (real and financial assets)
Financing and payout policy
How the firm obtains funds (debt, equity) and disposes of
excess cash
4
Balance sheet view of the firm
Assets Liabilities
Current
Assets
Current Liabilities
Long-term debt
Fixed Assets
1. Tangible
2. Intangible
Shareholders’
Equity
5
Introduction, cont.
But we also need to understand…
Capital markets
Types of securities (stocks, bonds, options…)
Trade-off between risk and return
Pricing
Taxes and government regulation
6
Financial markets
Financial
MarketsFirms
Individuals
Financial
Intermediaries
Curr
assets
Fixed
assets
Debt
Equity
Government
7
Introduction, cont.
Finance is really about value
Firms
Projects and real investments
Securities
Common characteristic
Invest cash today in exchange for cash (hopefully) in the
future
Central question
How do we create value through investment and financing
decisions?
8
Types of questions
Investment and financing decisions
At the end of 1999, GM had $11.4 billion in cash.
Should it invest in new projects or return the cash to
shareholders?
If it decides to return the cash, should it declare a dividend or
repurchase stock?
If it decides to invest, what is the most valuable investment?
What are the risks?
9
General Dynamic
Major contractor in the defense industry
Doing well during 1980s (cold war)
Growth in sales
Reasonable profitability
R&D and capital investment
Beginning of 1990s
The end of cold war
Likely decline in defense spending
Strategy???
10
General Dynamics
-$600
-$400
-$200
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990
R&D + Cap Exp
Net Inc
11
Value of $100 invested in Jan. ‘80
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991
Market
GD
12
General Dynamics
Investment, 1980 – 1990
R&D + Capital expenditures: $3.7 billion
If invested at 10%: $5.5 billion
Ending market value: $1.0 billion
Value destroyed: $4.5 billion
Sales grew from $4.7 billion to $10.2 billion
Earnings in 1990 = -578 million
13
New strategy in 1991
William A. Anders (new CEO):
Cuts capital expenditure and R&D
Cap. Exp. drops from $321 million in 1990 to $81 million in 1991
Sells off divisions and subsidiaries
Cuts workforce
Distributes cash to shareholders
From 1991 through 1993, GD returns $3.4 billion to shareholders
and debtholders
14
General Dynamics: 1987 – 1997
-$600
-$400
-$200
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
Net Inc
CapEx + R&D
15
Value of $100 invested Jan. ‘91
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994
Market
GD
16
Types of questions
Investment and financing decisions
Your firm needs to raise capital to finance growth.
Should you issue debt or equity or obtain a bank loan?
How will the stock market react to your decision?
If you choose debt, should the bonds be convertible? callable?
Long or short maturity?
If you choose equity, what are the trade-offs between common
and preferred stock?
17
Types of questions, cont.
Investment and financing decisions
IBM recently announced that it would repurchase $2.5 billion in stock.
Its price jumped 7% after the announcement. Why? How would the
market have reacted if IBM increased dividends instead? Suppose
Intel made the same announcement. Would we expect the same price
response?
Motorola wants to build a new chip factory in Ireland. How will
fluctuations in the foreign exchange rate affect the value of the project?
What are the risks? What actions can Motorola take to hedge the
risks? More importantly, should it hedge the risks? What are the costs
and benefits?
18
Our Approach
What we will do
Acquire a set of general tools
that are crucial to sound
business decision
Financial managers
General managers
Apply and confront them to
a number of real business
cases
Usefulness
Limitations
What we won’t do
Pretend to be experts in any
industry, financial or other
Discuss many institutional
aspects in detail
Discuss in detail stuff you
could learn just as well
reading a book or an article
(see “readings”)
19
Outline: Theory + Applications
Part I: Financing
− Capital structure
− Payout policy
Part II: Valuation
− Project valuation (FCF, PV, Real Options)
− Company valuation (M&A, Start-ups)
Part III: Selected topics in corporate finance
− Corporate governance
− Hedging/Risk management
20
The tools of finance (15.401)
Time Value of Money
Portfolio Theory
Asset Pricing Theory
Efficient Markets Hypothesis
Option Pricing Theory
The Concept of No-Arbitrage
Agency Theory (Micro-economics, Incentives and
Contracts)
21
Course Requirements
Class Participation (10%)
Case Memoranda (30%)
Teams up to four people
Hand in all write-ups except two write-ups of your choice
A professional memo to the decision maker
Midterm (30%)
Final (30%)
22
The Case of the Unidentified
Industries
23
Advertising Agency Airline Commercial Bank
Computer Software Developer Department Store Chain Electric & Gas Utility
Health Maintenance Org. Meat Packer Pharmaceutical Manufacturer
Retail Drug Chain Retail Grocery Chain
A B C D E F G H I J K
Line Balance Sheet Percentages
#1 Cash and marketable securities 5 12 2 1 4 4 3 77 9 67 19
2 Account receivables 85 55 4 15 7 6 4 7 28 9 13
3 Inventories 0 0 1 24 43 0 22 0 13 2 12
4 Other current assets 1 4 2 2 4 6 2 3 3 2 6
5 Plant and equipment (net) 2 7 77 55 37 71 41 9 35 17 48
6 Other assets 7 23 15 3 5 13 29 4 13 2 1
7 Total assets 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
8 Notes payable 62 3 0 2 0 4 2 0 0 0 7
9 Accounts payable 18 63 3 17 18 5 13 32 15 6 5
10 Accrued taxes 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 3 6 6 2
11 Other current liabilities 0 0 4 9 17 17 12 2 13 5 8
12 Long-term debt 7 6 29 38 0 40 29 0 19 0 15
13 Preferred stock 4 8 21 5 10 17 14 1 6 0 1
14 Other liabilities 2 0 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Capital stock and capital surplus 2 10 11 1 3 12 5 11 24 28 16
16 Retained earnings 4 7 28 23 51 5 24 51 18 55 46
17 Total liabilities and stockholder equity 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Selected Financial Data
18 Current assets/current liabilities 1.11 1.03 1.31 1.46 1.59 0.63 1.1 2.35 1.58 4.72 2.31
19 Cash, marketable securities and accounts
receivable/current liabilities 1.1 0.97 0.98 1.4 1.49 0.4 1.04 2.28 1.5 4.59 2.03
20 Inventory turnover (X) NA NA 16.7 5.6 5.2 NA 8.6 NA 47.6 7.5 2
21 Receivables collection period 3,278 381 30 31 8 27 6 13 16 37 74
22 Total debt/total assets 0.69 0.10 0.29 0.40 0.00 0.44 0.31 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.22
23 Long-term debt/capitalization 0.09 0.24 0.40 0.57 0.00 0.66 0.48 0.00 0.32 0.00 0.18
24 Net sales/total assets 0.10 0.52 0.46 1.82 3.18 0.83 2.61 2.03 6.47 0.87 0.64
25 Net profit/net sales 0.14 0.05 0.12 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.25 0.11
26 Net profit/total assets 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.10 0.01 0.05 0.27 0.10 0.21 0.07
27 Total assets/net worth 14.10 5.84 2.31 3.61 1.85 5.77 3.43 1.62 2.39 1.21 1.61
28 Net profit/net worth 0.19 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.18 0.07 0.17 0.43 0.23 0.26 0.11
24
Industry Groups
Zero inventories
A, B, F, H
Service providers
Advertising agency
Airline
Commercial bank
HMO
25
A B F H
Line Balance Sheet Percentages
#1 Cash and marketable securities 5 12 4 77
2 Account receivables 85 55 6 7
3 Inventories 0 0 0 0
4 Other current assets 1 4 6 3
5 Plant and equipment (net) 2 7 71 9
6 Other assets 7 23 13 4
7 Total assets 100 100 100 100
8 Notes payable 62 3 4 0
9 Accounts payable 18 63 5 32
10 Accrued taxes 2 2 0 3
11 Other current liabilities 0 0 17 2
12 Long-term debt 7 6 40 0
13 Preferred stock 4 8 17 1
14 Other liabilities 2 0 0 0
15 Capital stock and capital surplus 2 10 12 11
16 Retained earnings 4 7 5 51
17 Total liabilities and stockholder equity 100 100 100 100
Selected Financial Data
18 Current assets/current liabilities 1.11 1.03 0.63 2.35
19 Cash, marketable securities and accounts
receivable/current liabilities 1.1 0.97 0.4 2.28
20 Inventory turnover (X) NA NA NA NA
21 Receivables collection period 3,278 381 27 13
22 Total debt/total assets 0.69 0.10 0.44 0.00
23 Long-term debt/capitalization 0.09 0.24 0.66 0.00
24 Net sales/total assets 0.10 0.52 0.83 2.03
25 Net profit/net sales 0.14 0.05 0.01 0.13
26 Net profit/total assets 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.27
27 Total assets/net worth 14.10 5.84 5.77 1.62
Group 1:
Advertising
Agency
Airline
Commercial
Bank
HMO
26
Identified Industries in Group 1
A Commercial Bank
B Advertising Agency
F Airline
H Health Maintenance Organization (H.M.O.)
27
Group 2
Computer
software dev.
Dept. store
Electric & gas
utility
Meat packer
Pharmaceutical
manufacturer
Retail drug
Retail grocery
C D E G I J
Line Balance Sheet Percentages
#1 Cash and marketable securities 2 1 4 3 9 67
2 Account receivables 4 15 7 4 28 9
3 Inventories 1 24 43 22 13 2
4 Other current assets 2 2 4 2 3 2
5 Plant and equipment (net) 77 55 37 41 35 17
6 Other assets 15 3 5 29 13 2
7 Total assets 100 100 100 100 100 100
8 Notes payable 0 2 0 2 0 0
9 Accounts payable 3 17 18 13 15 6
10 Accrued taxes 0 1 1 1 6 6
11 Other current liabilities 4 9 17 12 13 5
12 Long-term debt 29 38 0 29 19 0
13 Preferred stock 21 5 10 14 6 0
14 Other liabilities 5 3 0 0 0 0
15 Capital stock and capital surplus 11 1 3 5 24 28
16 Retained earnings 28 23 51 24 18 55
17 Total liabilities and stockholder equity 100 100 100 100 100 100
Selected Financial Data
18 Current assets/current liabilities 1.31 1.46 1.59 1.1 1.58 4.72
19 Cash, marketable securities and accounts
receivable/current liabilities 0.98 1.4 1.49 1.04 1.5 4.59
20 Inventory turnover (X) 16.7 5.6 5.2 8.6 47.6 7.5
21 Receivables collection period 30 31 8 6 16 37
22 Total debt/total assets 0.29 0.40 0.00 0.31 0.19 0.00
23 Long-term debt/capitalization 0.40 0.57 0.00 0.48 0.32 0.00
24 Net sales/total assets 0.46 1.82 3.18 2.61 6.47 0.87
25 Net profit/net sales 0.12 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.25
26 Net profit/total assets 0.05 0.04 0.10 0.05 0.10 0.21
27 Total assets/net worth 2.31 3.61 1.85 3.43 2.39 1.21
28 Net profit/net worth 0.12 0.13 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.26
28
Group 2: Inventory turnover
Computer
software dev.
Dept. store
Electric & gas
utility
Meat packer
Pharmaceutical
manufacturer
Retail drug
Retail grocery
Industry Inventory
turnover
I 47.6
C 16.7
G 8.6
J 7.5
D 5.6
E 5.2
K 2.0
29
Group 2: Receivables collection period
Computer
software dev.
Dept. store
Pharmaceutical
manufacturer
Retail drug
Retail grocery
Industry Collection
period
K 74
J 37
D 31
E 8
G 6
30
Group 2: Inventory & PPE
Industry INV (%) PPE (%)
D 24 55
K 12 48
J 2 17
Computer
software dev.
Dept. store
Pharmaceutical
manufacturer
31
The Identified Industries
A Commercial Bank Citicorp
B Advertising Agency Interpublic
C Electric & Gas Utility Consolidated Edison
D Department Store Chain Dayton-Hudson
E Retail Drug Chain Walgreen
F Airline AMR Corp.
G Retail Grocery Chain American Stores
H H.M.O. U.S. Healthcare
I Meat Packers IBP, Inc.
J Software Developer Microsoft
K Pharmaceutical Manuf. Novo Nordisk
32
Any Comments?
Bank Advertising
Agency
E & G
Utility
Dpt Store
Chain
Drug
Chain
Airline Grocery
Chain
HMO Meat
Packers
Software
Developer
Phama.
Manuf.
Line Balance Sheet Percentages
#1 Cash and marketable securities 5 12 2 1 4 4 3 77 9 67 19
2 Account receivables 85 55 4 15 7 6 4 7 28 9 13
3 Inventories 0 0 1 24 43 0 22 0 13 2 12
4 Other current assets 1 4 2 2 4 6 2 3 3 2 6
5 Plant and equipment (net) 2 7 77 55 37 71 41 9 35 17 48
6 Other assets 7 23 15 3 5 13 29 4 13 2 1
7 Total assets 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
8 Notes payable 62 3 0 2 0 4 2 0 0 0 7
9 Accounts payable 18 63 3 17 18 5 13 32 15 6 5
10 Accrued taxes 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 3 6 6 2
11 Other current liabilities 0 0 4 9 17 17 12 2 13 5 8
12 Long-term debt 7 6 29 38 0 40 29 0 19 0 15
13 Preferred stock 4 8 21 5 10 17 14 1 6 0 1
14 Other liabilities 2 0 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Capital stock and capital surplus 2 10 11 1 3 12 5 11 24 28 16
16 Retained earnings 4 7 28 23 51 5 24 51 18 55 46
17 Total liabilities and stockholder 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Selected Financial Data
18 Current assets/current liabilities 1.11 1.03 1.31 1.46 1.59 0.63 1.1 2.35 1.58 4.72 2.31
19 Cash, marketable securities and
accounts
receivable/current liabilities 1.1 0.97 0.98 1.4 1.49 0.4 1.04 2.28 1.5
4.59 2.03
20 Inventory turnover (X) NA NA 16.7 5.6 5.2 NA 8.6 NA 47.6 7.5 2
21 Receivables collection period 3278 381 30 31 8 27 6 13 16 37 74
22 Total debt/total assets 0.69 0.1 0.29 0.4 0 0.44 0.31 0 0.19 0 0.22
23 Long-term debt/capitalization 0.09 0.24 0.4 0.57 0 0.66 0.48 0 0.32 0 0.18
24 Net sales/total assets 0.095 0.523 0.464 1.822 3.175 0.828 2.61 2.032 6.473 0.867 0.643
33
Leverage
Industry Firm
Industry
Mean
Industry
Std Dev
Industry
Median
American Airlines Airlines 0.44 0.32 0.20 0.31
Dayton Hudson Department Stores 0.40 0.29 0.17 0.30
American Stores Grocery Stores 0.31 0.35 0.20 0.32
Consolidated Edison Combination Utility Services 0.29 0.35 0.05 0.35
Novo Nordisk Pharmaceuticals 0.22 0.24 0.92 0.08
IBP Meat Products 0.19 0.31 0.24 0.30
Interpublic Advertising Agencies 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.09
Walgreens Drug Stores 0.00 0.24 0.18 0.27
Microsoft Prepackaged Software 0.00 0.07 0.19 0.01
US Healthcare HMOs 0.00 0.09 0.11 0.04
Total Debt/Total Asset
34
Firm A Firm B
Balance Sheet % %
Cash and marketable securities 58 2
Accounts receivable 0 3
Inventories 5 52
Other current assets 3 3
Plant and equipment (net) 5 28
Other assets 30 12
Total assets 100 100
Notes payable 0 0
Accounts payable 17 28
Accrued taxes 0 2
Other current liabilities 7 15
Long-term debt 54 14
Other liabilities 0 4
Preferred stock 0 0
Capital stock and capital surplus 47 29
Retained earnings (25) 9
Total liabilities and stockholder equity 100 100
35

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Lec1bintroduction

  • 1. Finance Theory II (Corporate Finance) Katharina Lewellen February 5, 2003 1
  • 2. Today Preliminaries Introduction to the course Corporate finance Types of questions Course outline Course requirements Case of Unidentified Industries 2
  • 3. Preliminaries Texts − Brealey & Myers, Principles of Corporate Finance, 7th edition − Higgins, Analysis for Financial Management, 7th edition − Case and Readings Packet Professor − Katharina Lewellen 3
  • 4. Introduction Corporate finance Investment policy How the firm spends its money (real and financial assets) Financing and payout policy How the firm obtains funds (debt, equity) and disposes of excess cash 4
  • 5. Balance sheet view of the firm Assets Liabilities Current Assets Current Liabilities Long-term debt Fixed Assets 1. Tangible 2. Intangible Shareholders’ Equity 5
  • 6. Introduction, cont. But we also need to understand… Capital markets Types of securities (stocks, bonds, options…) Trade-off between risk and return Pricing Taxes and government regulation 6
  • 8. Introduction, cont. Finance is really about value Firms Projects and real investments Securities Common characteristic Invest cash today in exchange for cash (hopefully) in the future Central question How do we create value through investment and financing decisions? 8
  • 9. Types of questions Investment and financing decisions At the end of 1999, GM had $11.4 billion in cash. Should it invest in new projects or return the cash to shareholders? If it decides to return the cash, should it declare a dividend or repurchase stock? If it decides to invest, what is the most valuable investment? What are the risks? 9
  • 10. General Dynamic Major contractor in the defense industry Doing well during 1980s (cold war) Growth in sales Reasonable profitability R&D and capital investment Beginning of 1990s The end of cold war Likely decline in defense spending Strategy??? 10
  • 11. General Dynamics -$600 -$400 -$200 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 R&D + Cap Exp Net Inc 11
  • 12. Value of $100 invested in Jan. ‘80 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 Market GD 12
  • 13. General Dynamics Investment, 1980 – 1990 R&D + Capital expenditures: $3.7 billion If invested at 10%: $5.5 billion Ending market value: $1.0 billion Value destroyed: $4.5 billion Sales grew from $4.7 billion to $10.2 billion Earnings in 1990 = -578 million 13
  • 14. New strategy in 1991 William A. Anders (new CEO): Cuts capital expenditure and R&D Cap. Exp. drops from $321 million in 1990 to $81 million in 1991 Sells off divisions and subsidiaries Cuts workforce Distributes cash to shareholders From 1991 through 1993, GD returns $3.4 billion to shareholders and debtholders 14
  • 15. General Dynamics: 1987 – 1997 -$600 -$400 -$200 $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Net Inc CapEx + R&D 15
  • 16. Value of $100 invested Jan. ‘91 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Market GD 16
  • 17. Types of questions Investment and financing decisions Your firm needs to raise capital to finance growth. Should you issue debt or equity or obtain a bank loan? How will the stock market react to your decision? If you choose debt, should the bonds be convertible? callable? Long or short maturity? If you choose equity, what are the trade-offs between common and preferred stock? 17
  • 18. Types of questions, cont. Investment and financing decisions IBM recently announced that it would repurchase $2.5 billion in stock. Its price jumped 7% after the announcement. Why? How would the market have reacted if IBM increased dividends instead? Suppose Intel made the same announcement. Would we expect the same price response? Motorola wants to build a new chip factory in Ireland. How will fluctuations in the foreign exchange rate affect the value of the project? What are the risks? What actions can Motorola take to hedge the risks? More importantly, should it hedge the risks? What are the costs and benefits? 18
  • 19. Our Approach What we will do Acquire a set of general tools that are crucial to sound business decision Financial managers General managers Apply and confront them to a number of real business cases Usefulness Limitations What we won’t do Pretend to be experts in any industry, financial or other Discuss many institutional aspects in detail Discuss in detail stuff you could learn just as well reading a book or an article (see “readings”) 19
  • 20. Outline: Theory + Applications Part I: Financing − Capital structure − Payout policy Part II: Valuation − Project valuation (FCF, PV, Real Options) − Company valuation (M&A, Start-ups) Part III: Selected topics in corporate finance − Corporate governance − Hedging/Risk management 20
  • 21. The tools of finance (15.401) Time Value of Money Portfolio Theory Asset Pricing Theory Efficient Markets Hypothesis Option Pricing Theory The Concept of No-Arbitrage Agency Theory (Micro-economics, Incentives and Contracts) 21
  • 22. Course Requirements Class Participation (10%) Case Memoranda (30%) Teams up to four people Hand in all write-ups except two write-ups of your choice A professional memo to the decision maker Midterm (30%) Final (30%) 22
  • 23. The Case of the Unidentified Industries 23
  • 24. Advertising Agency Airline Commercial Bank Computer Software Developer Department Store Chain Electric & Gas Utility Health Maintenance Org. Meat Packer Pharmaceutical Manufacturer Retail Drug Chain Retail Grocery Chain A B C D E F G H I J K Line Balance Sheet Percentages #1 Cash and marketable securities 5 12 2 1 4 4 3 77 9 67 19 2 Account receivables 85 55 4 15 7 6 4 7 28 9 13 3 Inventories 0 0 1 24 43 0 22 0 13 2 12 4 Other current assets 1 4 2 2 4 6 2 3 3 2 6 5 Plant and equipment (net) 2 7 77 55 37 71 41 9 35 17 48 6 Other assets 7 23 15 3 5 13 29 4 13 2 1 7 Total assets 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 8 Notes payable 62 3 0 2 0 4 2 0 0 0 7 9 Accounts payable 18 63 3 17 18 5 13 32 15 6 5 10 Accrued taxes 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 3 6 6 2 11 Other current liabilities 0 0 4 9 17 17 12 2 13 5 8 12 Long-term debt 7 6 29 38 0 40 29 0 19 0 15 13 Preferred stock 4 8 21 5 10 17 14 1 6 0 1 14 Other liabilities 2 0 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 Capital stock and capital surplus 2 10 11 1 3 12 5 11 24 28 16 16 Retained earnings 4 7 28 23 51 5 24 51 18 55 46 17 Total liabilities and stockholder equity 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Selected Financial Data 18 Current assets/current liabilities 1.11 1.03 1.31 1.46 1.59 0.63 1.1 2.35 1.58 4.72 2.31 19 Cash, marketable securities and accounts receivable/current liabilities 1.1 0.97 0.98 1.4 1.49 0.4 1.04 2.28 1.5 4.59 2.03 20 Inventory turnover (X) NA NA 16.7 5.6 5.2 NA 8.6 NA 47.6 7.5 2 21 Receivables collection period 3,278 381 30 31 8 27 6 13 16 37 74 22 Total debt/total assets 0.69 0.10 0.29 0.40 0.00 0.44 0.31 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.22 23 Long-term debt/capitalization 0.09 0.24 0.40 0.57 0.00 0.66 0.48 0.00 0.32 0.00 0.18 24 Net sales/total assets 0.10 0.52 0.46 1.82 3.18 0.83 2.61 2.03 6.47 0.87 0.64 25 Net profit/net sales 0.14 0.05 0.12 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.13 0.02 0.25 0.11 26 Net profit/total assets 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.10 0.01 0.05 0.27 0.10 0.21 0.07 27 Total assets/net worth 14.10 5.84 2.31 3.61 1.85 5.77 3.43 1.62 2.39 1.21 1.61 28 Net profit/net worth 0.19 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.18 0.07 0.17 0.43 0.23 0.26 0.11 24
  • 25. Industry Groups Zero inventories A, B, F, H Service providers Advertising agency Airline Commercial bank HMO 25
  • 26. A B F H Line Balance Sheet Percentages #1 Cash and marketable securities 5 12 4 77 2 Account receivables 85 55 6 7 3 Inventories 0 0 0 0 4 Other current assets 1 4 6 3 5 Plant and equipment (net) 2 7 71 9 6 Other assets 7 23 13 4 7 Total assets 100 100 100 100 8 Notes payable 62 3 4 0 9 Accounts payable 18 63 5 32 10 Accrued taxes 2 2 0 3 11 Other current liabilities 0 0 17 2 12 Long-term debt 7 6 40 0 13 Preferred stock 4 8 17 1 14 Other liabilities 2 0 0 0 15 Capital stock and capital surplus 2 10 12 11 16 Retained earnings 4 7 5 51 17 Total liabilities and stockholder equity 100 100 100 100 Selected Financial Data 18 Current assets/current liabilities 1.11 1.03 0.63 2.35 19 Cash, marketable securities and accounts receivable/current liabilities 1.1 0.97 0.4 2.28 20 Inventory turnover (X) NA NA NA NA 21 Receivables collection period 3,278 381 27 13 22 Total debt/total assets 0.69 0.10 0.44 0.00 23 Long-term debt/capitalization 0.09 0.24 0.66 0.00 24 Net sales/total assets 0.10 0.52 0.83 2.03 25 Net profit/net sales 0.14 0.05 0.01 0.13 26 Net profit/total assets 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.27 27 Total assets/net worth 14.10 5.84 5.77 1.62 Group 1: Advertising Agency Airline Commercial Bank HMO 26
  • 27. Identified Industries in Group 1 A Commercial Bank B Advertising Agency F Airline H Health Maintenance Organization (H.M.O.) 27
  • 28. Group 2 Computer software dev. Dept. store Electric & gas utility Meat packer Pharmaceutical manufacturer Retail drug Retail grocery C D E G I J Line Balance Sheet Percentages #1 Cash and marketable securities 2 1 4 3 9 67 2 Account receivables 4 15 7 4 28 9 3 Inventories 1 24 43 22 13 2 4 Other current assets 2 2 4 2 3 2 5 Plant and equipment (net) 77 55 37 41 35 17 6 Other assets 15 3 5 29 13 2 7 Total assets 100 100 100 100 100 100 8 Notes payable 0 2 0 2 0 0 9 Accounts payable 3 17 18 13 15 6 10 Accrued taxes 0 1 1 1 6 6 11 Other current liabilities 4 9 17 12 13 5 12 Long-term debt 29 38 0 29 19 0 13 Preferred stock 21 5 10 14 6 0 14 Other liabilities 5 3 0 0 0 0 15 Capital stock and capital surplus 11 1 3 5 24 28 16 Retained earnings 28 23 51 24 18 55 17 Total liabilities and stockholder equity 100 100 100 100 100 100 Selected Financial Data 18 Current assets/current liabilities 1.31 1.46 1.59 1.1 1.58 4.72 19 Cash, marketable securities and accounts receivable/current liabilities 0.98 1.4 1.49 1.04 1.5 4.59 20 Inventory turnover (X) 16.7 5.6 5.2 8.6 47.6 7.5 21 Receivables collection period 30 31 8 6 16 37 22 Total debt/total assets 0.29 0.40 0.00 0.31 0.19 0.00 23 Long-term debt/capitalization 0.40 0.57 0.00 0.48 0.32 0.00 24 Net sales/total assets 0.46 1.82 3.18 2.61 6.47 0.87 25 Net profit/net sales 0.12 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.25 26 Net profit/total assets 0.05 0.04 0.10 0.05 0.10 0.21 27 Total assets/net worth 2.31 3.61 1.85 3.43 2.39 1.21 28 Net profit/net worth 0.12 0.13 0.18 0.17 0.23 0.26 28
  • 29. Group 2: Inventory turnover Computer software dev. Dept. store Electric & gas utility Meat packer Pharmaceutical manufacturer Retail drug Retail grocery Industry Inventory turnover I 47.6 C 16.7 G 8.6 J 7.5 D 5.6 E 5.2 K 2.0 29
  • 30. Group 2: Receivables collection period Computer software dev. Dept. store Pharmaceutical manufacturer Retail drug Retail grocery Industry Collection period K 74 J 37 D 31 E 8 G 6 30
  • 31. Group 2: Inventory & PPE Industry INV (%) PPE (%) D 24 55 K 12 48 J 2 17 Computer software dev. Dept. store Pharmaceutical manufacturer 31
  • 32. The Identified Industries A Commercial Bank Citicorp B Advertising Agency Interpublic C Electric & Gas Utility Consolidated Edison D Department Store Chain Dayton-Hudson E Retail Drug Chain Walgreen F Airline AMR Corp. G Retail Grocery Chain American Stores H H.M.O. U.S. Healthcare I Meat Packers IBP, Inc. J Software Developer Microsoft K Pharmaceutical Manuf. Novo Nordisk 32
  • 33. Any Comments? Bank Advertising Agency E & G Utility Dpt Store Chain Drug Chain Airline Grocery Chain HMO Meat Packers Software Developer Phama. Manuf. Line Balance Sheet Percentages #1 Cash and marketable securities 5 12 2 1 4 4 3 77 9 67 19 2 Account receivables 85 55 4 15 7 6 4 7 28 9 13 3 Inventories 0 0 1 24 43 0 22 0 13 2 12 4 Other current assets 1 4 2 2 4 6 2 3 3 2 6 5 Plant and equipment (net) 2 7 77 55 37 71 41 9 35 17 48 6 Other assets 7 23 15 3 5 13 29 4 13 2 1 7 Total assets 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 8 Notes payable 62 3 0 2 0 4 2 0 0 0 7 9 Accounts payable 18 63 3 17 18 5 13 32 15 6 5 10 Accrued taxes 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 3 6 6 2 11 Other current liabilities 0 0 4 9 17 17 12 2 13 5 8 12 Long-term debt 7 6 29 38 0 40 29 0 19 0 15 13 Preferred stock 4 8 21 5 10 17 14 1 6 0 1 14 Other liabilities 2 0 5 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 Capital stock and capital surplus 2 10 11 1 3 12 5 11 24 28 16 16 Retained earnings 4 7 28 23 51 5 24 51 18 55 46 17 Total liabilities and stockholder 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Selected Financial Data 18 Current assets/current liabilities 1.11 1.03 1.31 1.46 1.59 0.63 1.1 2.35 1.58 4.72 2.31 19 Cash, marketable securities and accounts receivable/current liabilities 1.1 0.97 0.98 1.4 1.49 0.4 1.04 2.28 1.5 4.59 2.03 20 Inventory turnover (X) NA NA 16.7 5.6 5.2 NA 8.6 NA 47.6 7.5 2 21 Receivables collection period 3278 381 30 31 8 27 6 13 16 37 74 22 Total debt/total assets 0.69 0.1 0.29 0.4 0 0.44 0.31 0 0.19 0 0.22 23 Long-term debt/capitalization 0.09 0.24 0.4 0.57 0 0.66 0.48 0 0.32 0 0.18 24 Net sales/total assets 0.095 0.523 0.464 1.822 3.175 0.828 2.61 2.032 6.473 0.867 0.643 33
  • 34. Leverage Industry Firm Industry Mean Industry Std Dev Industry Median American Airlines Airlines 0.44 0.32 0.20 0.31 Dayton Hudson Department Stores 0.40 0.29 0.17 0.30 American Stores Grocery Stores 0.31 0.35 0.20 0.32 Consolidated Edison Combination Utility Services 0.29 0.35 0.05 0.35 Novo Nordisk Pharmaceuticals 0.22 0.24 0.92 0.08 IBP Meat Products 0.19 0.31 0.24 0.30 Interpublic Advertising Agencies 0.10 0.08 0.06 0.09 Walgreens Drug Stores 0.00 0.24 0.18 0.27 Microsoft Prepackaged Software 0.00 0.07 0.19 0.01 US Healthcare HMOs 0.00 0.09 0.11 0.04 Total Debt/Total Asset 34
  • 35. Firm A Firm B Balance Sheet % % Cash and marketable securities 58 2 Accounts receivable 0 3 Inventories 5 52 Other current assets 3 3 Plant and equipment (net) 5 28 Other assets 30 12 Total assets 100 100 Notes payable 0 0 Accounts payable 17 28 Accrued taxes 0 2 Other current liabilities 7 15 Long-term debt 54 14 Other liabilities 0 4 Preferred stock 0 0 Capital stock and capital surplus 47 29 Retained earnings (25) 9 Total liabilities and stockholder equity 100 100 35