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Report No. IRL99440.01




     NETWORK
RELIABILITY AND FIRM
  POWER CAPACITY
     WORKSHOP

       HELD AT INDUSTRIAL RESEARCH LIMITED,
       GRACEFIELD, FRIDAY 16TH DECEMBER 2005



      ISSUES, NEEDS, CONCLUSIONS AND ACTION
                      POINTS




                  Prepared by: Dr. Iain Sanders,
             Sustainable Innovative Solutions Ltd.
                (for Industrial Research Limited)
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




Table of Contents
1.     Introduction                                                            Page 3

         1.1 Summary                                                           Page 3

         1.2 Background                                                        Page 3

         1.3 What is Firm Power Capacity?                                      Page 4

         1.4 Why is Network Reliability an                                     Page 4
             Issue for New Zealand?

         1.5 Overview of the Rest of this Report                               Page 4

2.     Key Conclusions                                                         Page 5

3.     Action Points Raised                                                    Page 12

4.     Workshop Summary                                                        Page 15

5.     Supplementary Feedback from Participants                                Page 41

6.     Appendices                                                              Page 42

         6.1 Workshop Agenda                                                   Page 42

         6.2 List of Attendees                                                 Page 43

         6.3 Alternative Policy Frameworks for DG                              Page 45

         6.4 Capacity Metering for General Customers                           Page 59


Editorial Statement: We have attempted to faithfully report and draw
conclusions from the presentations and discussions at the workshop. Neither
Industrial Research Limited nor Sustainable Innovative Solutions Limited
necessarily endorse these findings.
Alister Gardiner, Industrial Research Limited.
Iain Sanders, Sustainable Innovative Solutions Limited.


Disclaimer: The Commerce Commission does not comment on policy
matters. The Commission has participated only to explain its approach to
assessing breaches of quality thresholds by electricity lines businesses where
caused by extreme events, and has not participated in discussions on nor
makes any comment in regard to other technical matters or industry design
matters.
Paolo Ryan, Manager, Network Performance Group.


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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



1. Introduction
1.1 Summary
On Friday December 16th, Industrial Research Limited held a workshop in
Gracefield, Lower Hutt, Wellington, on “Network Reliability Requirements” to
which electricity industry stakeholders contributed.

The purpose of this workshop was to provide an industry forum to discuss key
reliability issues facing network operators in relation to the growing interest in
connection of distributed generation plant.

The workshop presenters in order of appearance were:

• Alan Jenkins, Chief Executive, Electricity Networks Association
• Rodney Doyle, Chief Advisor, Network Performance Group, Commerce
  Commission
• Gareth Wilson, Manager of the Electricity Group, Ministry of Economic
  Development (MED)
• Robert Reilly, Senior Advisor Retail, Electricity Commission
• Duncan Head, Divisional Manager Business Development, Vector Networks
• Brent Noriss, Engineering Manager, The Lines Company
• Matt Todd, CEO, Eastland Networks Limited
• Robert Reilly (speaking on behalf of Roy Hemmingway, Chair, Electricity
  Commission
• Todd Mead, Generation Development Manager, MainPower
• Iain Sanders, CEO, Sustainable Innovative Solutions Limited (formerly of
  Industrial Research Limited)
• Alister Gardiner, Hydrogen and Distributed Energy Platform Manager,
  Industrial Research Limited

These presenters discussed regulations, policies, technical issues, business
development and research opportunities and challenges associated with
delivering firm power capacity in Distribution networks from conventional
network infrastructure assets (e.g. lines and poles and underground cables)
and alternatives options, including: load management, embedded distributed
generation and storage systems.


1.2 Background
Network reliability is essential to the safe and secure operation of New
Zealand’s electricity delivery infrastructure. Distributed generation adds a new
level of complexity for operating networks. This workshop explored some of
the needs for reliable firm power capacity in New Zealand’s electricity network
infrastructure. Reliability issues were examined from conventional network
delivery and alternative energy generation perspectives.

This workshop was the first in a series of two workshops. The second
workshop (to be held around the middle of 2006) will report on and
demonstrate models and techniques developed by Industrial Research for


                                                                              Page 3 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



evaluating the impact of distributed energy resources on network reliability, to
providing a means for objective comparison of different distributed energy
resources against network capacity costs.


1.3 What is Firm Power Capacity?
Firm power capacity is defined as “the provision of power capacity when and
where it is required, with a high degree of certainty” (Industrial Research
Limited). This constitutes firm power capacity as described in this report and
as discussed during the workshop.


1.4 Why is Network Reliability an Issue for New Zealand?
Network reliability is affected by the age and cost of maintaining infrastructure
assets. Alternative energy supply options such as distributed energy
resources may in some circumstances provide more reliable and affordable
energy delivery solutions.

Ageing infrastructure assets can cost too much to maintain – there just isn’t
enough revenue generated from the service provided.

In other places, network delivery capacities are exceeded because growth in
peak demand cannot be met by existing infrastructure capacity.

Complimentary localized dispersed generation can address some of the
network reliability issues mentioned. This is only possible if affordable
distributed generation resources can match the network reliability
requirements of the energy demand needs they address.


1.5 Overview of the Rest of this Report
In the next section (2. Key Conclusions), a summary of the main conclusions
derived from the workshop are presented under appropriate headings that
best define the key points raised.

Following the “Key Conclusions”, is a section that presents a series of action
points (3. Action Points Raised) or recommendations towards helping to
address some of the issues identified as needing urgent attention.

After section three, there is a summary of the entire workshop (4. Workshop
Summary), outlining the main points raised, issues addressed and specific
needs identified by each speaker and the audience in the Q&A sessions
following each formal presentation.

The final section (5. Appendices), provides the workshop agenda (5.1), and a
list of attendees (5.2). A couple of appendices (5.3 and 5.4) describe in further
detail some of the conclusions from a technical, commercial and regulatory
perspective.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



2. Key Conclusions
The following conclusions were derived from the forum discussion and the
question and answer sessions held after each presentation.

These high level conclusions indicate concern about governance in the
industry affecting future reliability through an uncertain investment climate, of
which the future for distributed generation is only one component.

“Sustainable development” was frequently used in the workshop as the
primary need for the industry and government to address. No attempt is made
to define the meaning intended by participants, although network “reliability” is
clearly an important contributor to this concept.


Ref.     Key Conclusions


C1       Long-term needs not addressed by short-term political agendas.

         a. The energy industry of New Zealand is the economic engine critical
         to the nation’s survival and prosperity over the next 25 years.

         b. Therefore we need to do a lot more evaluation about what the way
         forward for the electricity supply sector ought to be.

         c. There are major concerns about the overall lack of integration and
         mismatch of issues in the energy sector regarding possible energy
         futures and mapping out a suitable path forward.

         d. The central generation electricity market model needs to be
         supported with reinforcement. We have a bureaucratic structure for
         energy policy in New Zealand that is: “confused and has a great deal
         of difficulty making decisions” (forum participant).

         e. Many reports are being written, submissions made, requests for
         information given etc., but no decisions are being made that address
         the issues and concerns raised.

         f. New Zealand needs an energy strategy to address mid- to long-term
         needs.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




Ref.     Key Conclusions


C2       Untapped potential for sustainable development due to
         fragmented markets.

         a. Sustainable development is possible if there is the political will to
         succeed, backed by a commitment to make the hard decisions and
         consistently pursue policies and directives critical to achieving this
         outcome.

         b. Sustainable development includes the significant adoption of
         distributed energy resources, energy efficient design and utilization,
         load management, and energy conservation in buildings, industrial
         processes etc.

         c. With respect to sustainable development, the question is: what is
         technically possible if we have the will to achieve it? What is technically
         possible within the timeframes required? Considering grid-
         interconnection guidelines, the Resource Management Act (RMA),
         Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) etc.?

         d. Credibility is a key issue for policymakers to address if progress is
         going to be made. If it is desirable and doable, then why aren’t we
         making it happen? I.e. putting structures and policies and standards
         and regulations etc. in place that will facilitate the uptake and
         establishment of a more sustainable energy market in New Zealand for
         our long-term growth and prosperity?




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




Ref.     Key Conclusions


C3       Many opportunities missed or lost due to lack of coordinated
         planning between Government and industry stakeholders.

         a. If barriers to investment in distributed energy resources were
         effectively reduced and removed, the New Zealand electricity industry
         could experience a transformation, through competition driving
         innovation, technology advances, business process and practice
         improvements, new product developments and practical contractual,
         regulatory and policy design.

         b. The electricity market only accounts for about 9% of New Zealand’s
         CO2 emissions. Farming is responsible for half the country’s
         emissions, and transport takes care of most of the rest. Industrial
         transformation would be possible if the electricity industry could help
         substantially to reduce farming and transport greenhouse gas
         emissions, by focusing on security of supply without increasing CO2
         emissions from the energy resources required to achieve it. How much
         more can the electricity grid be used to supply the energy demands
         that are currently being met by non-electrical thermal conversion
         processes? E.g. fuel substitution and methane gas conversion.

         c. Poorly thought out strategies for banning wood burning for
         environmental reasons is placing an increasing strain on already
         capacity-constrained peak loading of networks (and doesn’t account
         for peak generation fossil fuel CO2 emissions). Here we have
         disincentives for better load management and conservation of energy
         resources. How do we create incentives for more efficient and effective
         energy management and delivery solutions?

         d. There is a major lack of coordination between new generation
         planning and network infrastructure utilization for delivering it.
         Consequently, many new generation and network infrastructure
         investments are suboptimal. Long-term needs are not addressed
         through lack of coordinated optimal design of solutions because they
         involve competing electricity market stakeholders. Short-term vested
         financial interests take priority over long-term sustainable security of
         supply.

         e. There are great opportunities for New Zealand to implement
         sustainable renewable energy options, but it only takes one barrier e.g.
         the Resource Management Act to bring an entire project to a halt
         indefinitely.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




Ref.     Key Conclusions


C4       Short-term micro-management drives decision-making process
         because of distrust between Government and industry.

         a. How do we reconcile: assurance from Government to industry: for
         Government to implement consistent long-term policies that work,
         versus assurance from industry to Government: that industry will
         deliver solutions that work? Unless we are really clear about
         reconciling and balancing the need for the former with the need for the
         latter, we will not know what we can technically do if we have the will to
         achieve it.

         b. How do we build a market system that starts to account for and
         incorporate external costs and benefits as part of the total value
         equation; and, furthermore, Government must take responsibility for
         leading the sustainable development of New Zealand’s energy future.

         c. How well do we manage and utilize our energy resources, and how
         can we do it better? What do investors need for sustainable energy
         development to become a practical reality?




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




Ref.     Key Conclusions


C5       Current decision-making framework is inadequate for developing
         a consensus amongst Government and industry stakeholders to
         take appropriate action to address sustainable development of
         the electricity sector.

         a. Government agencies want views and opinions of energy market /
         industry stakeholders to be expressed and presented with concrete
         evidence-based facts and case studies for proposals for making
         changes, taking action etc. It is evident that the existing processes
         used to collect this information are not achieving the desired results to
         address present Government needs.

         b. Proper discussion and consideration of individual submissions from
         members of the public and industrial organizations is not possible
         because Government agencies do not have the expertise or the
         resources to properly consider and assess all the options put forward.

         c. Submissions are not coordinated and expressed in such a way as to
         effectively address integrated industrial and public concerns of different
         electricity market shareholders: responses are fragmented and
         contradict one another – confusing the primary concerns and needs
         addressed from lesser secondary concerns and interests.

         d. Lack of coordination amongst various ministries and government
         agencies has made it difficult to move forward with a cohesive strategy
         for tackling current electricity market needs. There are no clearly
         defined boundaries or guidelines for linking the various responsibilities,
         interests and policy objectives of separate agencies and ministries into
         a unified cohesive framework or plan that links New Zealand’s
         sustainable economic growth and prosperity with its security of energy
         supply.

         e. Government needs policies that are: “long(-term), loud and legal”.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




Ref.     Key Conclusions


C6       Insufficient vision and uncoordinated focus, fragmented scientific
         and technological research, and inadequate human and financial
         resources are preventing significant economic benefits being
         derived from sustainable energy.

         a. “Think Global, Act Local”. New Zealand Inc. needs a clear vision:
         e.g. “New Zealand completely self-sustainable in energy resources by
         ____?”. If you provide a stable infrastructure environment that people
         are confident in remaining stable, reliable and dependable for a long
         period of time, with long-term hedge-type products with reliable
         investment and pricing indicators that people can start banking against,
         then the other stuff will follow. E.g. the Orion Networks pricing model
         for investing in distributed generation. The same thing is observed with
         transport infrastructure investments. We must have a stable long-term
         focus.

         b. Universities, Crown Research Institutes and other academic
         institutions need to work much more closely with industry to facilitate
         more effective commercialization of research, and ensure research
         funding / investments are relevant to developing and improving the
         industrial capabilities required to realize the market benefits possible.

         c. The group of shareholders using and benefiting from distributed and
         other sustainable energy resources do not necessarily represent the
         same group of investors needed to facilitate their adoption. This
         problem can be resolved if the distribution networks are given /
         possess the technical capability, the financial capacity, the cooperation
         and support of the public at large and local communities (beneficiaries
         / recipients of the services provided), and most importantly of all: the
         will and clout of the political establishment to support: business
         investment, R&D funding, long-term incentives, efficient and effective
         rules and regulations etc. to make it all work.

         d. In order to work out these issues, a research institute that addresses
         the technological, political, commercial and legal issues should be set
         up to facilitate and coordinate the reliable and useful adoption of
         sustainable distributed energy resources through the lines companies,
         and plot the smooth transition of New Zealand’s energy industry
         towards delivering a long-term sustainable, secure and competitively
         priced energy infrastructure that meets the needs of New Zealand Inc.
         for generations to come.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




Ref.     Key Conclusions


C7       Government needs to establish a Leadership Task Force of
         people who know how the whole electricity system works and
         how to effectively incorporate distributed energy resources for
         optimum operating efficiency, reliability and security of supply.

          a. Government policymaking for the electricity industry is a rudderless
         affair. There are too many disparate parties attempting to steer
         electricity policy in different directions. Lack of coordination is
         responsible for much confusion.

         b. There is significant overlap and hence confusion regarding the roles
         of different yet similar political / governmental agencies competing for
         influence and resources.

         c. Government and industry must take a more hands-on approach
         towards maintaining and developing New Zealand’s energy
         infrastructure and untapped energy resources – including new /
         improved load management strategies, smart metering and distributed
         renewable energy resources.

         d. Government and industry must take a more hands-on approach
         towards improving the reliability and security of delivering New
         Zealand’s energy requirements today and for future generations.

         e. Greater integration and proactive coordination of industrial and
         economic development policy with energy security policy and
         environmental protection policy required.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




3. Action Points Raised
From the key conclusions (C1 to C7) and issues raised / specific needs
identified by participants, a list of action points are proposed. A1 to A4 are
derived from C1 to C7 and A5 to A6 have been drawn from the workshop
proceedings.

                                                                            Proposed
Ref. Issues                              Action Points
                                                                            Participation

A1      Support long-term                • Long-term contracts for          Energy
        planning.                        energy supply and demand           Minister;
                                         required.                          Electricity
        a. Long-term needs not                                              Commission;
        addressed by short-term          • Pricing arrangements             MED;
        political agendas. (C1)          should deliver long-term           Commerce
                                         contractual arrangements           Commission;
                                         that help new investors get        Energy Users;
                                         established and give               Generators;
                                         consumers who put a                Retailers;
                                         premium on security,               T&D
                                         contractual certainty.             Networks.


A2      Constructive stakeholder         • Views and opinions of            Energy
        cooperation.                     energy market / industry           Minister;
                                         stakeholders need to be            Electricity
                                         documented and presented to
        a. Untapped potential for                                           Commission;
                                         the MED, Electricity
        sustainable development          Commission, Commerce               MED; MfE;
        due to fragmented markets.       Commission and other               NZTE;
        (C2)                             Government ministries and          Climate
                                         agencies.                          Change
        b. Many opportunities                                               Office;
        missed or lost due to lack of    • Responses to Government          Office of the
        coordinated planning             Requests for Information           Parliamentary
        between Government and           (RFIs) should provide              Commissioner
        industry stakeholders. (C3)      concrete, evidence-based           for the
                                         information; and, specific
                                                                            Environment;
                                         proposals for making
        c. Short-term micro-             changes, taking action etc.        Commerce
        management drives                should be given where              Commission;
        decision-making process          possible.                          Energy Users;
        because of distrust between                                         Generators;
        Government and industry.         • Government needs to be           Retailers;
        (C4)                             informed by stakeholders           T&D
                                         about problems associated          Networks.
                                         with regulations and policies
                                         affecting the operation,
                                         efficiency and effectiveness of
                                         the electricity and energy
                                         markets.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                            Proposed
Ref. Issues                             Action Points
                                                                            Participation


A3      Effective decision-             • Chains of command,                Energy
        making framework.               accountability and                  Minister;
                                        communication need to be            Electricity
        a. Current decision-making      improved within and amongst
                                                                            Commission;
        framework is inadequate         Government structures.
                                                                            MED;
        for developing a                                                    Commerce
                                        • A more robust, transparent
        consensus amongst               and technically-qualified           Commission;
        Government and industry         decision making process is          Energy Users;
        stakeholders to take            necessary.                          Generators;
        appropriate action to                                               Retailers;
        address sustainable             • Industrial stakeholders must      T&D
        development of the              be engaged collectively by          Networks.
        electricity sector. (C5)        Government in such a way that
                                        interaction amongst different
        b. Government needs to          organizations is supported and
        establish a Leadership          enhanced to achieve better
                                        results.
        Task Force of people who
        know how the whole              • Acquire timely information,
        electricity system works        and the management of that
        and how to effectively          information, with appropriate
        incorporate distributed         smart metering technology.
        energy resources for
        optimum operating               • Adopt Area and Time Specific
        efficiency, reliability and     Marginal Capacity [ATSMC]
        security of supply. (C7)        cost programmes.



A4      Concentrate resources to • Restructure R&D investment               Energy
        achieve a specific       so that it supports NZ Inc., and           Minister;
        outcome.                 a common long-term vision for              Electricity
                                        New Zealand’s sustainable           Commission;
        a. Insufficient vision and      economic growth and
                                                                            MED; MfE;
                                        prosperity.
        uncoordinated focus,                                                NZTE; R&D
        fragmented scientific and       • Create a guiding industrial-      organizations;
        technological research,         Governmental coalition with         Academia;
        and inadequate human            the resources needed to             Climate
        and financial resources are     achieve the vision developed.       Change
        preventing significant                                              Office;
        economic benefits being         • Empower broad-based action,       Parliamentary
        derived from sustainable        by getting rid of the obstacles     Commissioner
        energy. (C6)                    and structures that undermine       for Environ.;
                                        the vision created.
                                                                            Local govt.;
                                        • Encourage risk taking and         Chambers of
                                        innovation by visibly               Commerce;
                                        recognizing and rewarding the       Commerce
                                        organizations that make a           Commission;
                                        difference towards progressing      Energy Users;
                                        the vision’s outcomes for New       Generators;
                                        Zealand.                            Retailers;
                                                                            T&D Networks



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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                            Proposed
Ref. Issues                             Action Points
                                                                            Participation

A5      Encourage greater               • Support the development           Energy
        diversity of supply and         of distributed energy               minister;
        demand to reduce risks.         resource portfolio business         Banks and
                                        investment tools and                other lending
        a. A well-structured,           models.                             institutions;
        diverse portfolio of                                                Business
        distributed energy (supply-     • Encourage banks and               investors and
        & demand-side) resources,       other lending institutions to       owners;
        that can balance                provide the equivalent of           R&D orgs.;
        fluctuating loads with          revolving home loan                 MfE; Climate
        fluctuating weather             accounts for distributed            Change
        patterns, is needed for         energy resource project             Office;
        long-term investment.           finance.                            Electricity
                                                                            Commission;
                                        • Support collaboration             MED; NZTE;
                                        between business / project          Generators;
                                        investors and load /                Retailers;
                                        renewable energy                    T&D
                                        forecasters to develop              Networks.
                                        acceptable & reliable
                                        financial risk management
                                        metrics.

                                        • Ensure coordination of
                                        energy investment signals
                                        with energy and capacity
                                        pricing signals, and energy
                                        and capacity usage.


A6      Ensure multi-stakeholder        • Government intervention is        Energy
        benefits derived from           required to reconcile               Minister;
        new energy investments          benefits derived from               Electricity
        cover their costs.              investing in energy supply-         Commission;
                                        and demand-side products,           MED; Project
        a. Economic and other           processes and services,             Investors;
        benefits derived from           with the costs borne by             Commerce
        investing in distributed        project investors. This             Commission;
        generation and demand           means energy and capacity           Energy Users;
        side management are not         benefits obtained by energy         Generators;
        readily realized by the         wholesalers, retailers, T&D         Retailers;
        project sponsor or system       networks, insurance firms           T&D
        operator.                       etc., recompense part of the        Networks.
                                        investor’s project capital
                                        and operating expenditure,
                                        as applicable, by law.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




4. Workshop Summary

                                                                                                                       ISSUES          SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                                 MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                                       RAISED           NEEDS


                   • Historically, the ‘Planning Division’ definition of ‘reliability’: enough plant and fuel        • Long-term      • Can the
                   available to meet 7% more than normal load in a winter where lake inflows had been                contracts for    industry
                   85% of the mean.                                                                                  energy supply    provide the
                                                                                                                     required.        reliability NZ
                   • Historically the ‘Electricity Division’ definition of ‘reliability’: based around maintaining                    needs?
                   frequency and voltage through a centrally coordinated generation and transmission                 • Pricing
Alan Jenkins       system operated to defined engineering standards.                                                 arrangements     • Who pays for
                                                                                                                     should give      R&D?
(Electricity       • The new market structure has created the view: ‘the market will provide’, overlooking           local
Networks           the need to plan ahead. Consequently, focus is on creating an environment for                     generation as    • Can CPI-X
Association)       competition to flourish, not on delivering reliability.                                           well as more     deliver an
                                                                                                                     remote           economically
Presentation:      • In the interests of creating a flat commercial playing field, NZ has tended to have a           generation       sustainable
                   transmission-centric system.                                                                      options a        network
What is Reliable                                                                                                     reasonable       infrastructure
Firm Power         • Transmission nodal pricing is one manifestation of possessing a transmission-centric            chance of        for NZ’s future
Capacity? Why      system.                                                                                           succeeding.      energy delivery
Do We Need it?                                                                                                                        reliability
                   • People don’t like building power stations near a local node, because even a relatively          • Pricing        requirements?
                   small volume of new generation there will mean that the price of power from remote                arrangements
                   competing stations plummets. The net result: no significant investment, either in plant or        should keep
                   long-term contracts.                                                                              old, back-up
                                                                                                                     power stations
                   • NZ’s deregulated electricity market is operationally-focused on generation and nodally-         in reserve for
                   driven by trans-mission.                                                                          when things go
                                                                                                                     wrong, or
                   • It is not clear how much customers are willing to pay for reliability, and who should pay       demand gets




                                                                                                                                                       Page 15 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




for what within the mix of customers.                                                        ahead of
                                                                                             supply.
• Between 1992 and 1998, network companies were very focused on supply security,
and providing two-thirds of the new capacity being built at that time. The state was no      • Pricing
longer carrying the responsibility for building power stations, and new stations were        arrangements
actually being built close to loads.                                                         should ensure
                                                                                             that the parties
• The Bradford reforms of 1998 brought an end to this era, heavily influenced by a belief    selling
that the networks’ involvement in generation was occurring because local monopolies          electricity are
were imprudently building generation capacity that the country didn’t need – leaving         selling a
local consumers to carry the cost through inflated lines charges.                            package that
                                                                                             includes
•The Bradford Electricity Reform Act of 1998 was driven by the belief that it would          defined,
‘ensure that costs and prices in the electricity industry are subjected to sustained         minimum
downward pressure”.                                                                          reliability levels.

• Since 1998: distribution and transmission prices have decreased by: 10%.                   • Pricing
                                                                                             arrangements
• Since 1998: energy wholesale prices have increased by: 45%.                                should give the
                                                                                             parties who are
• Since 1998: total energy retail prices have increased by: 18%.                             best equipped
                                                                                             to put
• As a result of the 1998 reforms: there is a ban on networks trading in energy hedges.      commercial
                                                                                             pressure on
• As a result of the 1998 reforms: there is a ban on exercising any sort of influence over   transporters
a generation subsidiary, which must be managed through its own officers, with its own        responsibility
board.                                                                                       for paying
                                                                                             transmission
• The Electricity Commission was established to address problems of:                         and
    - security of supply;                                                                    distribution.
    - transmission losses;
    - grid capacity constraints;                                                             • Pricing
    - no liquidity or transparency in forward wholesale electricity prices; and,             arrangements
    - limited competition emerging / occurring in generation and retail.                     should
                                                                                             incentivise
• If network companies were investing in generation it would help Government and the         consumers to




                                                                                                                   Page 16 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




Electricity Commission achieve their objectives.                                               make a
                                                                                               contribution to
• After the 1992 crisis, electricity system operations were working around a hydro             reliability.
‘minizone’ (storage availability) to decide when, and if, back-up capacity is needed. Do
we need to revert to these centrally imposed security arrangements?                            • Pricing
                                                                                               arrangements
• There are not effective contingency plans in place to keep old, back-up plant available,     should deliver
as a consequence of constructing the electricity market in the mid-1990s around spot           long-term
nodal prices without any imposed longer term pricing arrangements such as loss of load         contractual
probability payments.                                                                          arrangements
                                                                                               that help new
• Existing network-level regulatory signals are very poor at dealing with supply reliability   investors get
problems. The Commerce Commission’s price control formula linking volumes                      established and
distributed and allowed income deters: a. energy conservation and b. uptake of                 give consumers
distributed generation options that take load off parts of their systems (source of            who put a
revenue).                                                                                      premium on
                                                                                               security
• Bad signals from the regulatory regime also disincentivise spending on research and          contractual
development. The CPI-X thresholds only allow R&D expenditure to come out of profits            certainty.
and under no circumstances be passed through to consumers.

• The annual minus-X adjustment erodes network profits and gives them the same
immediate, operational focus that dogs the wholesale electricity market.

• Does New Zealand need a major power crisis resulting in a substantial economic
recession to get reliability back firmly on the policy agenda?




                                                                                                                 Page 17 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                                 ISSUES           SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                              MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                                 RAISED            NEEDS


                 • For Lines Companies to comply with Part 4a of the Commerce Act defining thresholds                            • If a subjective
                 for declaration of control of lines businesses: they must demonstrate no material                               process is used
                 deterioration in reliability                                                                                    to define an
                                                                                                                                 “extreme
                 • SAIDI/SAIFI thresholds screening mechanism – are used to identify breaches that may                           event”, why use
                 warrant further investigation.                                                                                  an objective
                                                                                                                                 mathematical
                 • Businesses may avoid post-breach inquiry if they demonstrate: Breach due to an                                process to
                 extreme event.                                                                                                  analyze it?
                                                                                                               • Views and
                 • What is an extreme event? Definition from the Assessment and Inquiry Guidelines:            opinions of       • The existing
Rodney Doyle
                 “Where one or a small number of rare but high impact events has a significant and             energy market /   process
                 material impact on a business’ reliability performance”.                                      industry          proposed for
(Commerce
                                                                                                               stakeholders to   handling
Commission)
                 • Difficult to use meteorological definitions of extreme events. Extreme weather limits are   be expressed      extreme events
                 location specific, open to argument, and Extreme events may not be meteorological.            and presented     cannot make
Presentation:
                                                                                                               to the            decisions fast
                 • Extreme events are self-defining. Key requirements for defining a measure                   Commerce          enough to
Extreme Events
                 to identify extreme events:                                                                   Commission.       address the
                                                                                                                                 needs raised.
                 Consistency – Applicable to all networks large or small, urban or rural.
                                                                                                                                 • Priority is to
                 Efficiency – Clear classification of normal and extreme data.                                                   encourage best
                                                                                                                                 practice in
                 Practicality – Should facilitate metric setting.                                                                outage
                                                                                                                                 mitigation,
                 Suitability – Should use readily available data.                                                                supply
                                                                                                                                 restoration and
                 Simplicity – Easy to understand and apply.                                                                      network design.




                                                                                                                                                Page 18 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                        There-fore
• Steps to identifying an extreme event:                                                                proposal aimed
                                                                                                        at improving
    1. Collect up to five years of historical outage data                                               existing
                                                                                                        practices more
    2. Calculate natural log of daily SAIDI figures.                                                    than providing
                                                                                                        an effective
    3. Calculate alpha (α) (mean of the log values).                                                    method for
                                                                                                        dealing with
    4. Calculate beta (β) (standard deviation of the log values).                                       real-time
                                                                                                        operational
    5. Formula for an extreme event day boundary:                                                       requirements.
                                                                                                        Focus is on
        e(α + 2.5 β).                                                                                   reducing
                                                                                                        problems and /
• If an extreme event is identified:                                                                    or improving
                                                                                                        responsiveness
        Exclude data for extreme event days from SAIDI records.                                         to current
                                                                                                        problems.
        Calculate average daily SAIDI of residual (last 5 years).
                                                                                                        • Extreme
        Substitute extreme event days SAIDI figures with average.                                       weather events
                                                                                                        are very difficult
        Calculate new annual SAIDI figure.                                                              to anticipate
                                                                                                        from historical
        Test if threshold is exceeded.                                                                  data, weather
                                                                                                        patterns and
        Decide on action.                                                                               the shear
                                                                                                        complexity of
• Need consistent reporting practices from lines businesses; Standardised reporting                     the statistical
information for those in breach; Issues in reporting of “Step” restoration type                         models (and
interruptions;                                                                                          hence their
Appropriate allocation of outage cause; Evidence of extreme events to be notified to                    reliability)
Commission a.s.a.p. to facilitate investigation and decision.                                           involved.

• The Commerce Commission recognise the geographic diversity;                                           • Conclusion:




                                                                                                                        Page 19 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




Distribution businesses should still identify best practice: outage mitigation,                        industry is very
supply restoration procedures, and network design; Aim of improving overall service                    nervous and
reliability.                                                                                           wants to be
                                                                                                       heard over the
                                                                                                       Commerce
                                                                                                       Commission’s
                                                                                                       proposed
                                                                                                       thresholds
                                                                                                       regime.




                                                                                                                     Page 20 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                               ISSUES       SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                               MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                               RAISED        NEEDS


                    • Electricity Commission (EC) responsible primarily for:                                               • Wide range of
                                                                                                                           possible
                        -   overseeing electricity industry and markets.                                                   options and
                        -   ensuring dry-year reserve.                                                                     alternatives to
                        -   Conducting electricity efficiency programmes; and                                              transmission
                        -   regulating Transpower.                                                                         upgrade in the
                                                                                                                           Akld region
                    • Transpower proposes Grid Upgrade Plans (GUPs) to EC. Focus: 400kV Whakamaru-                         have been
                    Otahuhu transmission upgrade.                                                                          considered.
Robert Reilly
                                                                                                                           Options
(on behalf of Roy
                    • EC involved because:                                                                                 favoured
Hemmingway)
                                                                                                                           include:
                        -   Load in Auckland is growing.                                                                   building surplus
(Electricity
                        -   A solution needed to meet demand at peak times by about 2010.                                  capacity into
Commission)
                        -   Transpower requires EC approval to be able to pass costs of investment on to                   existing
                            its customers.                                                                                 proposed
Presentation:
                        -   EC must decide if Transpower’s proposal is best solution. Assessment includes                  solutions to
                            application of GIT.                                                                            address future
Alternatives to
                        -   EC must ensure other options have been analysed, including generation and                      needs and
Transmission
                            demand-side alternatives.                                                                      reduce overall
                                                                                                                           costs, and
                    • Generation options considered:                                                                       incorporate
                                                                                                                           small
                        -   G1: Baseload co-generation (84MW co-generation at Marsden by 2010.)                            intermediate
                        -   G2: Baseload coal generation (320MW coal generation at Marsden by 2010 and                     investments to
                            320MW additional coal generation at Marsden by 2016.)                                          buy time (defer
                        -   G3: Baseload gas generation (385MW CCGT at either Rodney or Otahuhu by                         investments)
                            2010 and 2 x 200MW gas generators in Auckland by 2010, and 400MW CCGT
                            at either Otahuhu or Rodney by 2015, and 400MW CCGT in South Auckland by




                                                                                                                                         Page 21 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




        2025.)
    -   G4: Wind generation (75-150MW of wind generation in Auckland region by
        2015.)
    -   G5: Relocation of Whirinaki (155MW Whirinaki re-located to Auckland by 2010.)
    -   G6: Peaking plant (Peaking diesel generation in Auckland by 2010.)
    -   G7: Alternative technologies (200-250MW of emerging generation technologies
        from 2015.)

• Demand-side alternatives considered:

    -   D1: Interruptible load (IL) (Up to 200MW of IL by 2010.)
    -   D2: Distribution Network Load Management (DNLM) (130-245MW DNLM by
        2015 and 15MW ripple control replacement by 2010.)
    -   D3: Energy substitution (70MW gas substitution in Auckland by 2015 and 1-
        22MW solar water heating from 2015.)
    -   D4: Energy efficiency measures (Range of measures including 25MW
        residential lighting by 2010, 17-63MW residential heating by 2015, and 25MW
        commercial measures by 2015.)

• Transmission alternatives:

    -   T1: duplex the WKM-OTA 220kV A and B lines, then install 400kV between
        WKM and OTA in 2021.
    -   T2: install 220kV between WKM and OTA in 2017.
    -   T3: install HVDC between WKM and OTA in 2017.
    -   T4: install 400kV between WKM and OTA in 2017.

• Next steps:

    -   Assessment of ‘short short-list’ of alternatives (generation, demand-side, and
        transmission) by applying GIT (now underway).
    -   Comparison of short-listed alternatives and Transpower’s proposal (Jan 2006)
    -   Draft decision on Transpower’s proposed 400kV project (Feb/Mar 06)
    -   Consultation (Mar/Apr/May 06).
    -   Final decision (Jun 06).




                                                                                                        Page 22 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                               ISSUES           SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                            MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                               RAISED            NEEDS


                • Lines companies can own: Non renewable generation up to 50 MW or 20% of lines                                • Advanced
                capacity.                                                                                                      metering
                                                                                                                               provides value
                • Lines companies can own: Unlimited new renewable generation (e.g. wind).                                     for managing
                                                                                                                               existing and
                • Lines companies can own: Reserve generation contracted to Electricity Commission.                            new energy
                                                                                                                               options more
                • Capacity above 5MW or 2% is subject to arms length restrictions.                                             effectively –
                                                                                                             Submissions
                                                                                                                               who is
Gareth Wilson                                                                                                should provide
                • Lines companies also prevented from trading in electricity generally and buying and                          investigating
                                                                                                             concrete,
                selling hedges.                                                                                                these
(MED)                                                                                                        evidence-
                                                                                                                               opportunities?
                                                                                                             based
                • Exemptions from some or all of the restrictions may be granted on a case by case                             Where is the
Presentation:                                                                                                information;
                basis.                                                                                                         funding to
                                                                                                             and, specific
                                                                                                                               research how
Facilitating                                                                                                 proposals for
                • Restrictions in place to minimise the opportunity and incentive for lines businesses to:                     new
Investment in                                                                                                making
                inhibit competition; and/or                                                                                    technologies
Generation by                                                                                                changes, taking
                cross-subsidise generation and retail activities.                                                              can improve
Lines                                                                                                        action etc.
                                                                                                                               the operation of
Companies                                                                                                    should be given
                • Should arms length rules be relaxed?                                                                         the electricity
                                                                                                             where possible.
                                                                                                                               market?
                    -   Should the capacity threshold be raised?
                    -   What rules should apply to generation connected to another line owner’s                                • No research
                        network?                                                                                               has been done
                                                                                                                               on whether the
                • Should the legislation explicitly set out criteria for exemptions?                                           market
                                                                                                                               structure we
                • Should lines companies be able to trade in hedges? If so, to what level?                                     now have is
                                                                                                                               appropriate.




                                                                                                                                             Page 23 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




• How could legislative uncertainty be reduced?
                                                                                                       • It is not clear
• Discussion paper to be released March 2006 for comment from relevant stakeholders.                   how the various
                                                                                                       government
                                                                                                       departments
                                                                                                       and agencies
                                                                                                       are
                                                                                                       coordinating
                                                                                                       their activities,
                                                                                                       let alone
                                                                                                       cooperating to
                                                                                                       achieve an
                                                                                                       integrated
                                                                                                       cohesive
                                                                                                       electricity
                                                                                                       market
                                                                                                       development
                                                                                                       and
                                                                                                       management
                                                                                                       strategy.




                                                                                                                      Page 24 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                                  ISSUES            SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                              MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                                  RAISED             NEEDS


                  • The EC is responsible for: ensuring that electricity is produced and delivered to all                          • Small scale
                  classes of consumers in an efficient, fair, reliable, and environmentally sustainable                            generation only
                  manner; and, promoting and facilitating efficient use of electricity.                                            gets value for
                                                                                                                                   capacity from
                  • Key outcomes:                                                                                                  separate
                                                                                                                                   agreements
                      -   Investment in (distributed) generation, transmission, energy efficiency and                              with distribution
Robert Reilly             demand-side management.                                                                                  networks –
                                                                                                                • Electricity      retailers do not
(Electricity                                                                                                    Commission         value capacity
                      -   Remove barriers to distributed generation.
Commission)                                                                                                     wishes to be       delivered.
                                                                                                                informed about
                      -   Access to lines for distributed generation.
Presentation:                                                                                                   problems           • The cost of
                                                                                                                associated with    installing export
                      -   Arrangements for the sale of surplus small scale generation.
The Electricity                                                                                                 the model          meters could
Commission’s                                                                                                    arrangements       be a barrier to
Role and              -   Switching and reconciliation of small scale distributed generation.                   for the sale and   DG uptake.
Distributed                                                                                                     purchase of
Generation        • The Government proposes to introduce regulations prescribing reasonable terms and           surplus
                  conditions on which line owners and electricity distributors must enable generators to be                        • Separate
                                                                                                                electricity.       agreements are
                  connected to distribution lines.
                                                                                                                                   needed with
                  • The objective is to facilitate the use of distributed generation by ensuring that it does                      the retailer and
                  not face undue barriers in connecting to lines.                                                                  the distributor
                                                                                                                                   to gain full
                                                                                                                                   value from
                  • The Electricity Commission will have responsibility for administering the regulations
                                                                                                                                   operating DG.
                  and for proposing amendments as required.

                  • The Electricity Act 1992 provides powers to regulate terms and conditions for the




                                                                                                                                                  Page 25 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




purchase by retailers of small surpluses of electricity from generating units owned or
operated by consumers.

• It can be difficult for owners of distributed generation units to negotiate terms and
conditions with local retailers to purchase small surpluses of electricity generation.

• The Government would like to see this barrier to the development and uptake of
distributed generation reduced by setting appropriate terms and conditions for purchase
of small electricity surpluses by local retailers.

• The Government envisages that this policy should apply to consumers with generation
units capable of generating up to 40,000kWh over a year.

• A key principle however is that retailers should not incur ongoing financial losses by
the requirement to purchase such electricity.

• The Commission should seek to develop non-regulatory arrangements to achieve
these objectives, but should recommend regulations or rules if voluntary arrangements
are unsuccessful in achieving the policy outcomes the Government seeks.

• The Commission has a role in facilitating Distributed Generation.

• Model Retail contracts have provision for the sale and purchase of surplus electricity
from small scale generation.

• Existing rules do not prevent retailers from trading small scale generation.

• Proposed rules will facilitate trading and switching of the output from small scale
generation.




                                                                                                        Page 26 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                                   ISSUES          SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                               MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                                   RAISED           NEEDS


                   • Load management is useful when aggregated – due to scale and diversity.                                      • Purchase of
                                                                                                                                  cheap
                   • Demand-side is the ability for customers to effect an outcome on the electricity system                      controllable
                   / market.                                                                                                      load (from
                                                                                                                                  customers) is a
                   • Load management involves an agreement with a customer to turn off a nominated                                big opportunity
                   appliance or replace dependence on the network for an agreed duration.                                         for lines
                                                                                                                                  companies to
                   • There are a variety of historical technologies in place. Future ability and scope is                         increase
Duncan Head        growing with convergence of communications and energy infrastructures.                                         network asset
                                                                                                                                  management
(Vector Networks   • Demand-side participation is not a “public good”, and it depends on the consumer’s          • Coordination   efficiency and
Ltd.)              choice between price and quality. It is left to value-seekers to incentivise uptake.          of energy        economic value
                                                                                                                 investment       – but load
Presentation:      • Demand-side has many valuing-adding applications:                                           signals with     management
                                                                                                                 energy usage     solutions must
Mass Market            -   Transmission: congestion relief, alternatives, emergency management.                  required.        provide value
Load Control           -   Distribution: capital deferment, asset utilization.                                                    to all
Issues                 -   Customer: transmission pricing, load management (under time of use pricing).                           stakeholders in
                       -   Retail/Generation: energy hedging, portfolio & risk management.                                        the value chain.
                       -   Other: energy hedging, spot market influence, compliance management,
                           ancillary energy market services (e.g. voltage, under frequency).                                      • Issues for
                                                                                                                                  effective load
                   • It is doubtful whether any real long-term benefit is provided by the Transmission Pricing                    management
                   Methodology (‘TPM’).                                                                                           include: gaining
                                                                                                                                  benefit from the
                   • Controlling to TPM targets can bring forward investment in distribution network without                      transmission
                   minimizing Transmission build.                                                                                 pricing
                                                                                                                                  methodology




                                                                                                                                                Page 27 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




• Ability to reconcile actual benefits to third parties limiting demand-side application to             including
non-distribution users.                                                                                 reconciling
                                                                                                        peak load
• Alignment of basic building blocks will enable value of demand-side to be realized.                   reductions with
                                                                                                        GXP price
• Load management needs to create value for those involved.                                             reductions
                                                                                                        (current
• An integrated system is required to gain network benefits from load management.                       difficult).

• Specific outcomes for network distribution load management are: network                               • An integrated
management, asset deferral, and satisfactory customer price-quality trade offs.                         system is
                                                                                                        required to gain
• Focus on reducing numbers of customers on traditional controlled appliances through                   network
fuel substitution and personal choice.                                                                  benefits using
                                                                                                        SCADA
• Technology will change the current network load management paradigm.                                  technology.

• Vector Networks is currently embarking on a significant rethink of load management.                   • Vector is
                                                                                                        looking to
• Vector Networks is looking to review incentives for customers to participate in demand-               review
side management, and how they participate.                                                              incentives for
                                                                                                        customers to
• Vector Networks is looking at reducing free riders, so that demand-side benefits go                   participate in
where they are created.                                                                                 load
                                                                                                        management
• It is essential to be able to recognize value (created by demand-side participation etc.)             options.
and to be able to pass it on.
                                                                                                        • Load
• Change in technology creates opportunities to establish next generation demand-side                   management
systems and strategies, so that ripple plant’s days and historical ownership structures                 needs to create
may be numbered.                                                                                        more value for
                                                                                                        those involved.

                                                                                                        • Ripple-relay
                                                                                                        control systems
                                                                                                        act like a




                                                                                                                         Page 28 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                        ‘sledge
                                                                                        hammer’ – no
                                                                                        longer
                                                                                        appropriate for
                                                                                        managing
                                                                                        loads
                                                                                        effectively.

                                                                                        • Transmission
                                                                                        pricing does
                                                                                        not reflect
                                                                                        system peaks.




                                                                                                      Page 29 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                                  ISSUES           SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                              MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                                  RAISED            NEEDS


                  • Technical issues associated with installing network-embedded DG include: Connection
                  Arrangements; Protection;
                  Over and Under-voltages;
                  Stability; Auto Re-closing;
                                                                                                                                  • The option of
                  Ferro-resonance; Metering; Islanding; Current Flows; Power factor; Under Frequency
                                                                                                                                  separating
                  Protection; Harmonics.
                                                                                                                                  electricity
Brent Noriss
                                                                                                                                  generators and
                  • Commercial issues associated with installing network-embedded DG include:                   • Market rules
                                                                                                                                  retailers in the
(The Lines        Recovery of Costs including Engineering; Transpower Avoidance Calculations; Loss              required to
                                                                                                                                  NZ electricity
Company)          Factor Calculations; Power factor;                                                            support the
                                                                                                                                  market might
                  Dedicated Assets; Connection Contracts.                                                       complexity
                                                                                                                                  make it harder
Presentation:                                                                                                   associated with
                                                                                                                                  to address the
                  • Industry issues associated with installing network-embedded DG include: Electricity         connecting
                                                                                                                                  technical
The               Market ability to handle complex Distributed Generation Situations; Innovative Network        distributed
                                                                                                                                  issues
Experiences of    Solutions; and, Plant Reliability.                                                            generation to
                                                                                                                                  associated with
a Network                                                                                                       networks in
                                                                                                                                  installing and
Engineer in The   • DG is exciting but involves a lot more engineering than most people realize.                reality.
                                                                                                                                  operating
King Country
                                                                                                                                  network-
                  • There is significant difficulty in getting the various stakeholders to understand the
                                                                                                                                  embedded
                  issues (let alone work together to address them!)
                                                                                                                                  generation.
                  • It is not clear who is going to pay for what with DG installations and operations, let
                  alone ensure that sufficient benefit is concentrated in few enough hands to justify project
                  commencement.




                                                                                                                                                Page 30 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                               ISSUES        SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                           MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                               RAISED         NEEDS


                • Eastland Networks Limited (ENL) has commercial and operational motivations for                            • Transpower’s
                investigating DG.                                                                                           plans to
                                                                                                                            upgrade
                • ENL network characteristics include: low consumer density, low average consumer                           existing circuits
                consumption, fed by a long radial transmission line with high nodal energy prices.                          is limited
                                                                                                                            considering
                • Capacity is a key issue with 47MW uncontrolled and 39MW+ controlled. There is a                           forestry trends
                single line, double circuit 110kV line, running through rugged erosion prone back-                          and the growth
                country.                                                                                                    in regional
Matt Todd
                                                                                                                            processing and
                                                                                                             • A well-
                • The transmission assets are becoming n-1 constrained.                                                     log exports.
(Eastland                                                                                                    structured,
Networks)                                                                                                    diverse
                • 38MW per circuit during the summer.                                                                       • ENL needs
                                                                                                             portfolio of
                                                                                                                            non-
Presentation:                                                                                                distributed
                • Peak consumption could grow to 80MW by 2011.                                                              transmission
                                                                                                             generation
                                                                                                                            solutions that
Maximising                                                                                                   required to
                • Price is a key issue affecting the network: large customers have been paying 4 to 7                       will address
Value from                                                                                                   make it (DG)
                c/kWh, new contracts (3 years) are being offered at 10 c/kWh.                                               energy delivery
Distributed                                                                                                  work.
                                                                                                                            prices and
Generation
                • For forestry processing energy is a top 3 input cost.                                                     capacity
                                                                                                                            constraints.
                • Investors in the region planning new developments need certainty around energy:
                price, supply (capacity) and contract terms (of supply / price).                                            • The current
                                                                                                                            electricity
                • Typical problem / challenge involves: investing in a forestry processing plant with a 25                  regulatory
                year $100m investment to make, where energy is one of its top 3 input costs, and                            environment
                energy has risen 30% over the last 3 years, with a maximum forward (hedge) term of 3                        does not
                to 5 years.                                                                                                 provide
                                                                                                                            incentives for




                                                                                                                                             Page 31 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




• Investors need forward certainty to invest.                                                           lines
                                                                                                        companies to
• Possible solutions include: upgrading the transmission line and adding a third circuit                get involved
and a new GXP, but increased transmission capacity does not address the price.                          with energy
                                                                                                        efficiency and
• Non-transmission solutions can address both the capacity and the price: e.g.                          demand side
                                                                                                        management.
    -   Increased demand side management and energy efficiency measures.
    -   Installation of Distributed Generation.                                                         • Forest residue
    -   Distributed Generation is seen as a portfolio of relatively small scale generation              is a potential
        (sub 50MW) that provides surety of supply through diversity.                                    source of
    -   DG can address the capacity issue.                                                              energy,
    -   DG can address the price issue.                                                                 capable of
    -   DG can help facilitate greater investor confidence.                                             deferring lines
                                                                                                        upgrades, but
• Demand side management provides better use of controllable load, and load shifting                    needs a large
from on-peak to off-peak.                                                                               heat load to
                                                                                                        justify
• It is not possible to recover lost revenue from greater efficiency due to demand side                 financially.
management.

• There are opportunities for larger industrial customers to shift load.

• Significant network constraint on the Mahia Peninsula 2 two months of the year over
the summer when a 1MW diesel generator is operated. At the moment there are 800
ICPs, and another 500 ICPs are on the WDC plan.

• DG provides capital deferral, reduces transmission requirements, improves network
performance, and provides a sustainable local supply.

• Biomass forestry residues provide hundreds of thousands of tonnes of wood waste per
year of potential fuel.

• Waste gas is available in Gisborne as a low cost fuel.

• Co-generation gas is very attractive for process heat applications if long-term




                                                                                                                         Page 32 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




ownership and contract issues can be resolved.

• Hydro has huge appeal if supply variability, soil erosion, resource consents and large
front-end capital investments can be handled.

• 6 x 1MW diesel generators are installed to reduce Transpower connection charges,
defer capital expenditure, improve network performance, sell energy output, and gain
value from improved network performance (e.g. CPI-X). The downside is that running
times are increasing and so are fuel costs.

• Coal has major environ-mental and economic costs to consider. It also needs o be
large scale (150MW+ to make it worthwhile). Also carbon tax penalties to consider.
Furthermore, transmission capacity is not able to cope with this scale.

• Wind energy has several benefits: it is environmentally friendly, unlimited invest-ment
in wind by lines companies is allowed, its economic value is increasing all the time with
scale of production, technology improvements and escalating energy costs etc. There is
a large potential on the east coast. Several sites are currently being monitored.

• Several issues with wind involve: finding suitable wind resource, dealing with low
capacity factors, unpredictable operating cycles, sale of wind energy output, economics,
visual and noise concerns, proximity of small sites to other infrastructure for delivery
purposes and consumption.

• The key to successful utilization of DG by ENL involves investing in a balanced
portfolio of DG: where key attributes of each type are utilized. E.g. a portfolio of hydro,
diesel, wind and biomass.

• Evaluation of current DG options for ENL reveal:
    - Wind provides an immediate option.
    - Hydro suffers from a lack of geography and hydrology to support sustained
        storage limits.
    - Biomass is a very viable option but difficult to coordinate
    - Waste gas generation has limited potential.
    - Coal is expensive, has scale issues and serious environmental concerns.
    - Gas has an uncertain supply, high cost and lack of capacity is an issue.




                                                                                                        Page 33 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




    -   Diesel is too expensive due to (increasingly) long running cycles.

• The Electricity Industry Reform Act restricts lines companies from managing an optimal
DG portfolio.

• Regulation makes it not possible to purchase hedges.

• Regulation is responsible for ‘arms length ruling’ and ‘corporate separation ruling’
limiting lines companies from selling their own electricity generation retail.

• Small scale DG will not be economic unless the EIRA is relaxed.

• Lines companies are by their very nature geographically located, asset owners with
strong balance sheets and low cost of capital. They are a logical and appropriate
investor in new generation.




                                                                                                        Page 34 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                               ISSUES      SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                              MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                               RAISED       NEEDS


                  • MainPower’s interest in DG is purely community-focus-ed. They are owned by their                      • MainPower
                  customers, and profits returned are distributed as rebates on the power bills.                          aims to be a
                                                                                                                          leading energy
                  • MainPower’s vision is to be a leading electricity and energy services business,                       services
                  committed to customer value and to the region’s prosperity.                                             provider for the
                                                                                                                          region which
                  • MainPower wants to proactively respond to the energy issues facing their region.                      has a very high
                                                                                                                          growth rate, no
                  • No electricity is generated in the region, and $1 million leaves the region each week to              current
Todd Mead         pay for supply from generation elsewhere.                                                               generation, and
                                                                                                                          a wealth
(MainPower)       • MainPower can use local wind, water and solar resources to generate energy.                           transfer of over
                                                                                                                          $1m per week
Presentation:     • Hydro power is a perfect complement to wind, and MainPower is currently investigating                 out of the
                  small scale, minimal impact projects.                                                                   region.
Renewable
Energy in North   • MainPower has a number of pilot projects underway for micro-generation for homes                      • Community
Canterbury and    and businesses, and is currently installing solar power and energy-conserving shading.                  support is vital
Kaikoura                                                                                                                  to support
                  • Using local resources to generate electricity will bring real benefits to the North                   existing and
                  Canterbury and Kaikoura communities, including:                                                         new alternative
                                                                                                                          energy supply
                      -   a secure and reliable supply of electricity                                                     initiatives. Most
                      -   regional economic prosperity                                                                    support comes
                      -   a better lines business (financial and operational management)                                  from local
                                                                                                                          companies
                  • Significant benefits to the country as a whole include:                                               motivated by
                                                                                                                          community
                      -   a more diverse network and energy independence                                                  ownership and




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




    -   environmental gains from saved emissions                                                       sharing of
                                                                                                       benefits.
• Next steps for MainPower include: wind monitoring, hydro feasibility studies, and solar
energy projects. Community support is considered vital to success.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                              ISSUES      SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                             MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                              RAISED       NEEDS


                  • The pace of technological change usually precedes the pace of business innovation                    • Economic
                  required to accommodate the new (technologically-enabled) opportunities realised.                      benefits from
                                                                                                                         DG are
                  • Furthermore, the commercial market derived from the prevailing regulatory / legislative              greatest when
                  environment is usually even slower to respond to the new business requirements                         lines
                  identified (to make the new opportunities work).                                                       companies are
                                                                                                                         involved. In
                  • Some businesses may encounter minimal resistance to creating new markets, simply                     fact, financial
Iain Sanders
                  because appropriate legislation has not been developed yet and regulations do not                      incentives from
                  exist: for example, the internet in its early days.                                                    distribution
(Sustainable
                                                                                                                         networks for
Innovative
                  • Other businesses however, may encounter stiff resistance to proposed market                          delivering DG
Solutions)
                  changes, especially if entrenched market positions of market incumbents are                            capacity can tip
                  threatened: for example, telecommunications and electricity.                                           the balance so
Presentation:
                                                                                                                         that DG is
                  • There are several benefits from implementing better policies for managing electricity                commercially
Energy &
                  assets:                                                                                                attractive if the
Capacity
                                                                                                                         technical and
Valuation for
                      -   Improved stewardship and accountability                                                        regulatory
Three Different
                      -   Improved communication and relationships with service users                                    issues can be
Networks
                      -   Improved risk management                                                                       managed
                      -   Improved financial efficiency                                                                  effectively. Key
                                                                                                                         network
                  • Improved stewardship and                                                                             benefits
                  accountability is achieved by:                                                                         include: lines
                                                                                                                         upgrade
                      1. Demonstrating to owners, customers and stakeholders that services are being                     deferral, T&D
                         delivered effectively and efficiently.                                                          peak load
                      2. Providing the basis for evaluating and balancing service / price / quality trade-               reduction, and




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




       offs.                                                                                            standalone
    3. Improving accountability for use of resources through published performance                      system
       and financial measures.                                                                          replacement of
    4. Providing the ability to benchmark results against similar organizations                         stranded /
                                                                                                        underutilized
• Improved communication                                                                                network assets.
and relationships with service users is achieved by:
                                                                                                        • Main
    1. Improving understanding of service requirements and options.                                     conclusion
    2. Formal consultation / agreement with users on the service levels.                                drawn from IRL
    3. More holistic approach to asset management within the organisation, through                      research into
       multi-disciplinary management teams.                                                             economic
    4. Improved customer satisfaction and organisation image.                                           viability of
                                                                                                        small-scale
• Improved risk management is achieved by:                                                              network-
                                                                                                        embedded
    1. Assessing probability and consequences of asset failure.                                         generation: full
    2. Addressing continuity of service.                                                                economic
    3. Addressing the inter-relationships between networks (the chain is only as good                   benefit will only
       as its weakest link) and risk management strategies.                                             be achieved if
    4. Influencing decisions on non-asset solutions through demand management.                          firm capacity
                                                                                                        from network
• Improved financial efficiency is achieved by:                                                         alternatives can
                                                                                                        be guaranteed.
    1. Improved decision-making based on costs and benefits of alternatives.                            This is a major
    2. Justification of all costs of owning / operating assets over the lifecycle of the                technical issue
       assets.                                                                                          for research to
                                                                                                        address: e.g.
                                                                                                        storage
                                                                                                        alternatives,
                                                                                                        fuel dispatch
                                                                                                        strategies,
                                                                                                        control systems
                                                                                                        for DSM,
                                                                                                        energy
                                                                                                        efficiency etc.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




                                                                                                                  ISSUES   SPECIFIC
PRESENTER                                               MAIN POINTS
                                                                                                                  RAISED    NEEDS


                   • High network reliability is expected, essential, and must be maintained during load
                   growth, load stability and load decline.

                   • DG affects reliability in different ways: under load growth, load stability and load
                   decline; and through the intermittent availability of DG and the need / use of fuel-based
                   DG and CHP DG / fuel substitution.

                   • Distributed energy can reduce peak load demand by: load shifting and storage; energy
Alister Gardiner
                   efficiency; fuel / source switching; managing the local site demand, and/or export to the
                   distribution network.
(Industrial
Research)
                   • Other network-embedded generation issues include:
                   power quality, safety, stability, uncertain avail-ability, large numbers of small generators
Presentation:
                   difficult to control, may worsen the load factor, reduce grid energy delivered - worsening
                   supply economics.
Network
Reliability and
                   • Micro-scale distributed energy represents a vast untapped mass market of 1.7 million
Distributed
                   dwellings in NZ, plus a large number of small commercial users.
Energy –
Technical
                   • Micro-scale systems can be used: to supply residential and commercial general
Issues
                   customers (101PJ), be user-managed to generate “behind the meter”, deliver
                   intermittent or “dispatchable” (firm capacity), provide combined heat and power (CHP)
                   from delivered fuel.

                   • Micro distributed energy provides a higher source-to-service efficiency via combined
                   heat and power from fuels, and avoided transmission and distribution losses.

                   • Micro distributed energy provides increased energy supply resilience via distributed
                   “self-healing” systems, and micro-grids.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




• Micro distributed energy provides unobtrusive growth by: capturing renewable energy
(where minimal RMA issues), using small generators located on the premises –
including the use of existing built environment (rooftops), enabling incremental growth,
and facilitating network load expansion without (deferring) upgrading T&D.

• Micro distributed energy provides advanced opportunities for SMEs, e.g. opportunities
to develop and sell: SHW systems, inverters, fuel cell systems, storage and other
conversion technologies, and, control and communication systems / components.




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




5. Supplementary Feedback from Participants
   Participants                                                 FURTHER POINTS RAISED
                      • Today, investment decisions [generation, transmission, distribution, metering, and load management] are being made
                      on short run marginal costing [SRMC] which lack, as a consequence, integrated planning.

                      • Both kW and kWh distribution losses should be valued at various time periods, and at the long run marginal cost
                      [LRMC] of supply from the bulk supply system. Many analysts undervalue these losses. Any reduction in transmission
                      and distribution kW losses during system peaks will lead to savings in generation and transmission capacity. Due to
                      poor metering, losses and customer loads are indistinguishable. It is much less costly to save kilowatts in transmission
                      capacity and kilowatt hours in energy by reducing distribution losses, than by other means. Reduced electricity costs
Brian Tolley          can be achieved by improving consumer load factors coupled with improving network component and operational
                      performance.
Brian Tolley
Corporation Limited   • Measurement and management of the whole electricity system needs to be undertaken. The key requirement is timely
                      information, and the management of that information, with a revision of back office software. Loss reduction can be
                      achieved and capacity needs decided with timely and accurate information.

                      • Debate on central versus distributed generation is the wrong way to analyse such major issues. Both forms of
                      generation are needed. Solutions will emerge when an ATSMC-type analysis involving transmission, distribution
                      network capacity, the age profile of assets and resource assessments, such as river and tidal flows, have been
                      analysed and are collectively considered. Included in this is the fundamental issue of using smart metering and
                      communications to undertake the correct research and analysis.


Brian Tolley
(see above)           • T&D network, network component, metering and information supply performance evaluation research is required. To
                      continue with deemed profiling using inefficient and ancient metering (providing poor information quality), will, as
Alister Gardiner      proposed by the Retail Market Advisory Group (RMAG) of the Electricity Commission, cause unnecessary costs,
Industrial Research   incorrect investment, incorrect pricing and inefficiency. Area and Time Specific Marginal Capacity [ATSMC] cost
                      programmes proposed by EPRI, Industrial Research (submission to Ministry for Economic Development on “Facilitating
Iain Sanders          Distributed Generation”) and other organizations provide the necessary tools. (See Appendix 6.3 and 6.4).
S.I.S. Limited




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




6. Appendices
6.1 Workshop Agenda

08:30           REGISTRATION

08:45-09:00     WELCOME ADDRESS, TONY PRICE, ACTING CEO, INDUSTRIAL RESEARCH LIMITED

SESSION 1:      ELECTRICITY NETWORKS RELIABILITY ISSUES

09:00-09:30     What Is Reliable Firm Power Capacity?       Alan Jenkins       Chief Executive
                Why Do We Need It?                                             Electricity Networks Assoc.

09:30-10:00     System Reliability: Recommendations For     Rodney Doyle       Chief Advisor
                Extreme Events                                                 Network Performance Group
                                                                               Commerce Commission


10:00-10:30     Alternatives to Conventional Transmission   Roy Hemmingway     Chair, Electricity Commission
                Upgrades

10:30-11:00     MORNING TEA

SESSION 2:      LOAD MANAGEMENT OPTIONS FOR THE NETWORK

11:00-11:30     Facilitating Investment in Generation by    Gareth Wilson      Manager of the Electricity Gp.
                Lines Companies                                                Ministry of Economic
Develop.

11:30-12:00     Electricity Commission’s Role and           Robert Reilly      Senior Advisor, Retail
                Distributed Generation                                         Electricity Commission

12:00-12:30     Mass Market Load Control Issues             Duncan Head        Divisional Manager, Business
                                                                               Development,Vector
Networks

12:30-13:30     LUNCH GUEST SPEAKER, BRENT NORISS, ENGINEERING MANAGER, THE LINES COMPANY

SESSION 3:      DISTRIBUTED ENERGY IMPACTS ON THE NETWORK

13:30-14:00     Maximising Value from Distributed           Matt Todd          CEO, Eastland Networks Ltd.
                Generation

14:00-14:30     Benefits Derived from Distributed           Todd Mead          Generation Development
                Generation                                                     Manager, MainPower

14:30-15:00     Incentives for Embedded Distributed         Iain Sanders       CEO, Sustainable Innovative
                Generation – Three Different Perspectives                      Solutions Ltd. (formerly of
                For Three Different Networks                                   Industrial Research Ltd.)

15:00-15:30     AFTERNOON TEA

SESSION 4:      FORUM FOR DISCUSSING ISSUES AND ANSWERING QUESTIONS

15:30-16:30     Policy and Technical Issues Associated      Iain Sanders       Facilitator, Panel of Experts
                with Distributed Energy Resources, the
                Electricity Market reforms, and network
                Reliability

16:30-17:00     Summing up, conclusions and close           Alister Gardiner   H&DE Platform Manager, IRL
                                                            and Iain Sanders   CEO, Sustainable Innovative
                                                                               Solutions Ltd.

17:00           CLOSE




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6.2 List of Attendees


First Name            Surname                 Position                Organisation

Alan                  Jenkins                 Chief Executive         Electricity Network
                                                                      Association
Alister               Gardiner                H&DE Platform           Industrial Research
                                              Manager
Ben                   McQueen                 Project Manager         Industrial Research
Brendon               Quinn                   Network Manager         Electricity
                                                                      Ashburton
Brent                 Norriss                 Engineering             The Lines
                                              Manager                 Company
Brian                 Cox                     Director                East Harbour
                                                                      Services Ltd
Brian                 Tapp                                            Marlborough Lines
                                                                      Ltd
Brian                 Tolley
Bruce                 Geddes                                          Power On
Cameron               Parker                  Spot Trader             Genesis Energy
Carmen                Blackler                Transmission            Contact Energy
                                              Manager
Chris                 Freear                  CEO                 NZ Windfarms Ltd
Dene                  Biddlecomb              Chief Executive     Horizon Energy
                                                                  Distribution Ltd
Dennis                Jones                                       Orion New Zealand
                                                                  Ltd
Don                   Lewell                  Engineering         Horizon Energy
                                              Manager             Distribution Ltd
Doug                  Clover                  Environmental       Parliamentary
                                              Investigator        Commissioner for
                                                                  the Environment
Duncan                Head                    Divisional Manager, Vector Networks
                                              Business
                                              Development
Erick                 Coenen                  Technical Support   Genesis Energy
                                              Manager
Gareth                Wilson                  Manager of the      Ministry of
                                              Electricity Group   Economic
                                                                  Development
Gavin                 Bonnett                 Distributed         Orion New Zealand
                                              Generation          Ltd
Gerry                 Te Kapa Coates          Managing Director   Wise Analysis Ltd
                                                                  (wants info sent to
                                                                  him)
Glen                  Thomson                 Manager Grid        Transpower Ltd
                                              Economics
Greg                  Skelton                                     Alpine Energy
Iain                  Sanders                 CEO                 Sustainable
                                                                  Innovative
                                                                  Solutions




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




First Name               Surname                 Position                Organisation

Ian                      Shearer                                         The Sustainable
                                                                         Energy Forum Inc
John                     Huckerby                                        Power Projects Ltd
Jon                      Morris                                          Industrial Research
Kerian                   Byrne                                           Marlborough Lines
                                                                         Ltd
Kevin                    Stevens                                         Industrial Research
Matt                     Todd                    CEO                     Eastland Networks
Mark                     Gatland                                         Northpower Ltd
Michael                  Callandar                                       Energy Efficiency
                                                                         and Conservation
                                                                         Authority
Mike                     Hearn                                           Electra
Mike                     Parker                  Grid Economics          Transpower Ltd
                                                 Lead Analyst
Mike                     Staines                                         Industrial Research
Molly                    Melhuish
Murray                   Milsom                  Senior Project          Rockgas Ltd
                                                 Engineer
Nalin                    Pahalawatha             Team Leader Grid        Transpower Ltd
                                                 Planning
Paolo                    Ryan                                            Commerce
                                                                         Commission
Ralph                    Sims                    Dir, Energy Centre      Massey University
Robert                   Reilly                  Senior Advisor,         Electricity
                                                 Retail                  Commission
Rodney                   Doyle                   Chief Advisor,          Commerce
                                                 Network                 Commission
                                                 Performance Group
Roger                    Paterson                                        PowerNet Ltd
Stephen                  Ward                    Strategic Energy        East Harbour
                                                 Advisor                 Services Ltd
Todd                     Mead                    Generation              MainPower
                                                 Development
                                                 Manager
Tony                     Price                   Acting CEO              Industrial Research
Tristan                  Wallbank                                        Suzlon Energy




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




6.3 Alternative Policy Frameworks for DG
(By Iain Sanders)

(Originally included as part of a submission by Industrial
Research to the Ministry for Economic Development on:
“Facilitating Distributed Generation”)
Introduction
The policy approach presented by Government in its DG Discussion Paper
[1], represents a rather reactive approach to DG facilitation by electricity
market incumbents. The justification for imposing DG regulations is that: “it
continues to be difficult to determine what are the likely requirements for
connection to the lines network, how costs are going to be shared, the nature
of the connection contract and the expected timeframe to conclude a contract”
[2]. Government can instead build on existing best-practice employed by
various stakeholders in the NZ electricity market, and develop this knowledge
base further – but as a result of taking the policy approach espoused in the
discussion document, a limited customer-driven, utility-response view of DG
facilitation has been created. There are three underpinning facts why this
approach is limited and will stifle both competition, and the growth of DG in
New Zealand.

Fact One: Greater direction (and hence control) of the application process for
issuing Resource Consents has been granted to local Councils [3]. Each local
Council has its own criteria and prejudices for assessing individual resource
consents. When the business interests and political agendas of Councils and
DG-operators/owners clash: e.g. in the case of Environment Canterbury
(ECAN) versus Orion Networks over fuel-driven DG emissions restricted to
peak demand periods, lengthy delays may result. Project Aqua is a classic
case of resource consent delays increasing project costs and delaying
revenue streams vital to its financial viability [4].

Fact Two: “Difficulties in obtaining long-term agreements to sell electricity to a
retailer or major customers have also impeded investment” [5]. Industrial
Research can attest to this fact through contact with various prospective and
existing non-retailer DG operators/owners. As a result, Industrial Research
knows of at least three vertically integrated generator-retailers in New Zealand
who resist / complicate attempts by independent DG producers to sell
electricity to them at a reasonable price [6]. Industrial Research described this
problem three years ago to the Ministerial Board of Inquiry into the Electricity
Market [7]. The problem still remains and in its present form, represents a
major impediment to DG facilitation in New Zealand. EECA has also
described “the lack of standard agreements for electricity retailers to purchase
surplus electricity” [8] as a barrier to developing the DG market in New
Zealand. At the moment, energy retailers favour power purchase agreements
with major customers whose business retention is worth more than any




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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



inconvenience caused by accommodating the purchase of DG electricity
exports [9].

Fact Three: “Transmission and lines businesses are not obliged by necessity
to include the impact of network embedded and distributed generation assets,
or energy management and conservation measures on their network
infrastructures” [7]. As a consequence, personnel responsible for
infrastructure asset valuation, management and planning do not consider
outsourcing network capacity options. This is the main reason why a
customer-driven, utility-response will not create the market environment for
the DG industry to develop significantly in New Zealand. “Renewal accounting
of infrastructure assets for performance measurement derivation in
transmission and lines businesses, should clearly stipulate that energy
management and conservation measures, and network embedded and
distributed generators, must be valued on an equal basis with other
infrastructure assets. Equal status and financial weighting should be granted
to these other options in order to maximise the economic and environmental
sustainability and efficiency and reliability of new infrastructure asset
management plans, taking into account the latest technologies and
techniques” [7]. Until this is done, there will be very little incentive for lines
networks to support (let alone encourage) grid-connected DG delivering
capacity-support. For justification of this statement, take a look at the
alternative tactics adopted by different lines companies for hooking-up and
costing the interconnection of a Windflow wind generator to their networks
[10].

In order to promote effectively the connection of distributed generation (DG) to
distribution networks, appropriate standards, regulations and fair business
practices must be applied. The effectiveness of these procedures will
determine DG penetration in the New Zealand Electricity Market. Different
regulatory strategies will have a greater or lesser chance of succeeding,
depending on the legislative framework adopted for facilitating DG in New
Zealand. This paper looks at different legislative frameworks for tackling this
issue and how much impact they might potentially have on facilitating DG in
New Zealand.


Legislative Frameworks for Facilitating Distributed Generation
There are four successive legislative frameworks that can be adopted for
facilitating DG in New Zealand under the prevailing de-regulated electricity
market environment that exists. These frameworks in order of progression
are:

   A.   Customer-Driven, Utility-Response Framework;
   B.   Least-Cost Utility Asset Management Framework;
   C.   Utility-Driven, Customer Response Framework; and,
   D.   Temporal-Locational Market-Driven Framework.

Each legislative framework will be discussed briefly in order of progression,
building on the arguments presented in the framework preceding it.


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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)




A. Customer-Driven, Utility-Response Framework
The market incumbents permit DG facilitation on their terms. Prevailing
energy supply and energy delivery rules dominate new regulatory
arrangements. The Status Quo is more or less defended / protected.

The Customer-Driven, Utility-Response framework follows the philosophy
underpinning the suggestions proposed in the Government Discussion Paper
(GDP) for facilitating DG in New Zealand [1]. The underlying assumption is
“that the (New Zealand) investment environment is one of flexibility which
should encourage investment in distributed generation that is seen as
commercially attractive” [11]. From our experience at Industrial Research, if
this were true, there should be a greater number of commercially viable DG
systems operating in the New Zealand market today. This is not the case
because of the lack of adequate disclosure of locational network capacity
costs. There are no technical or commercial reasons why many more DG
systems could not operate profitably in New Zealand today. This fact is borne
out by numerous publications that have been written on this topic by Industrial
Research over the past five years [12].

The primary focus of the Customer-Driven, Utility-Response framework in
facilitating DG, involves preserving the vested interests of electricity market
incumbents while minimising the risks associated with opening up the market
to new entrants. The responsibility lies almost entirely with new DG market
entrants to create and exploit opportunities that will lead to the establishment
of sustainable DG businesses / projects. This process involves the
prospective DG-owner / -operator initiating project proposals with various
market- / regulatory-stakeholders in order to secure DG-interconnection rights,
resource consents and power purchase agreements etc. The time-frame and
budget allowed for this process, must be sufficient to ensure that the financial
viability of the DG proposal is not compromised, if and when permission has
been granted for the proposal to proceed (and provided no additional costs or
time delays have been incurred).

No business worth its salt would bother to investigate DG investment
opportunities under this legislative framework unless they had prior knowledge
of the overall impact on their bottom line of potentially costly and lengthy
consultations with utilities and regulators – including arguments regarding the
technical and economic impact of DG on the lines network (and providing
adequate compensation to satisfy the parties involved). This represents a hit
and miss affair regarding the technical and financial feasibility of DG
proposals from a prospective investor’s perspective, and depends heavily
upon prior knowledge of the strengths and weaknesses of the electricity
supply and delivery infrastructure in the locality of the sites proposed. In many
cases, this information is not known, resulting in additional time and expense
for the lines network company to furnish the prospective DG investor with the
information to decide whether a business proposal is worth preparing (yet
alone pursuing).




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Under this arrangement for facilitating DG, utilities will have to identify
potential DG interconnection sites for base, intermediate or peak generation.
Most likely the utilities will not have conducted interconnection studies for
these sites, but based upon current knowledge of general system conditions,
will at least select sites that are less likely to cause severe system impacts
and expensive network upgrades. Interested DG-operators will still need to
independently evaluate each site and assume all the risks should they decide
to install DG at one or more sites. Furthermore, any or all of the identified sites
may require appreciable network upgrades or may be otherwise unsuitable for
a variety of reasons. Accordingly, the utilities will not warrant or otherwise
guarantee the suitability of these sites for the DG-operator to locate new
generation on their systems. This represents considerable extra cost to any
prospective DG investor, on a project whose financial viability may be
marginal at best. This process alone could eat up any profit an investor stands
to make by proceeding with a ‘commercially viable’ project.

The complex nature of modern electricity planning, which must satisfy multiple
economic, technical, social and environmental objectives, requires the
application of a regulatory planning process that integrates these often-
conflicting objectives and considers the widest possible range of traditional
and alternative energy resources. The availability of timely and accurate
information on temporal-locational energy-capacity requirements is a
prerequisite to informed investor decision-making for facilitating DG – and the
basis for developing the three legislative frameworks described next.


B. Least-Cost Utility Asset Management Framework
Utilities are required to adopt and apply procedures that regularly consider
and compare DG opportunities as a valid least-cost alternative to conventional
wires and cables business operations. Information disclosure of these asset
management practices is required.

In New Zealand today, “Least-Cost Utility Asset Management” is not required
for planning lines network company operations or for managing their assets.
Basic Asset Management (BAM) practices – defined as the initial level
designed to meet minimum legislative and organisational requirements for
financial planning and reporting – are applied. BAM requires basic technical
management outputs such as: statements on current levels of service, forward
replacement programs and associated cashflow projections. BAM will not
optimise supply and demand-side investments and returns at the distribution
level, nor encourage a cohesive policy and business framework for including
distributed generation-demand response measures in utility asset valuations.

Advanced Asset Management (AAM) practices on the other hand, will achieve
“Least-Cost Utility Asset Management”, by optimising the activities and
programs required to meet optimum (agreed) service standards at minimised
lifecycle costs. The objective is to look at the lowest long-term cost (rather
than short-term savings) when making AAM decisions. AAM requires the
development of management tactics based on collection, analysis and
dissemination of key information on asset condition, performance, lifecycle


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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



costs, risk costs and treatment options. Selecting appropriate AAM
requirements and standards for utility asset valuations will depend upon the
following criteria:

     (1) Costs and benefits to the utility;
     (2) Size, condition and complexity of the assets;
     (3) Risk associated with failures;
     (4) Skills and resources available to the utility;
     (5) Customer expectations; and,
     (6) Legislative requirements.

Legislative requirements is the most important criterion, defining the
parameters affecting the scope of all the other criteria. Appropriate legislative
requirements will benefit utility accountability, service management, risk
management and financial efficiency. These benefits are summarised in table
one below.

Table 1: Benefits from Better Legislation of Infrastructure Asset Management Practices

                                              1.   Demonstrating to owners, customers
A. Improved stewardship and                        and stakeholders that services are
accountability by:                                 being delivered effectively and
                                                   efficiently.
                                              2.   Providing the basis for evaluating and
                                                   balancing service / price / quality
                                                   tradeoffs.
                                              3.   Improving accountability for use of
                                                   resources through published
                                                   performance and financial measures.
                                              4.   Providing the ability to benchmark
                                                   results against similar organisations.
                                              1.   Improving understanding of service
B. Improved communication and                      requirements and options.
relationships with service users by:          2.   Formal consultation / agreement with
                                                   users on the service levels.
                                              3.   More holistic approach to asset
                                                   management within the organisation,
                                                   through multi-disciplinary
                                                   management teams.
                                              4.   Improved customer satisfaction and
                                                   organisation image.
                                              1.   Assessing probability and
C. Improved risk management by:                    consequences of asset failure.
                                              2.   Addressing continuity of service.
                                              3.   Addressing the inter-relationships
                                                   between networks (the chain is only
                                                   as good as its weakest link) and risk
                                                   management strategies.
                                              4.   Influencing decisions on non-asset
                                                   solutions through demand
                                                   management.
                                              1.   Improved decision-making based on
D. Improved financial efficiency by:               costs and benefits of alternatives.
                                              2.   Justification of all costs of owning /
                                                   operating assets over the lifecycle of
                                                   the assets.



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A formal approach to the management of infrastructure assets is necessary to
provide services in the most cost-effective and technically efficient manner,
and to demonstrate this to customers, investors and other stakeholders. The
key to achieving major change in the emerging deregulated electricity market,
is to develop a cohesive policy and business framework for including
distributed generation-demand response measures in utility asset valuations.
The goal of appropriately legislated utility infrastructure asset management is
to meet a required level of service in the most cost-effective way through the
creation, acquisition, maintenance, operation rehabilitation and disposal of
assets to provide for present and future customers. The key is to develop a
cohesive legislative framework for including distributed generation-demand
response measures in utility asset valuations.

Infrastructure asset management and valuation issues influence DG
investments, through the creation, acquisition, maintenance, operation,
rehabilitation and disposal of assets to meet a required level of service. These
issues include: adopting lifecycle costing, developing cost-effective
management strategies for the long-term, providing a defined level of service
and monitoring performance, managing risks.


C. Utility-Driven, Customer Response Framework
Utilities develop the necessary tools to provide a consistent and thorough
assessment of DG load management and capacity-support benefits as part of
their regular business operations, and publicly disclose all the relevant
information, in a timely and accurate manner for independent prospective DG
investors / operators to respond.

The “Utility-Driven, Customer Response Framework” develops further the
concepts introduced for the “Least-Cost Utility Asset Management
Framework”. Distribution costs vary significantly between utilities and between
locations within utilities. Marginal costs also vary significantly by time of day
and year. Where, and when, marginal distribution costs are high, there are
often cost-effective opportunities for local DG to delay or eliminate the need
for distribution system investments. Utilities vary significantly in the degree to
which their existing data, planning processes, and analytical methods are
suitable for considering DG alternatives. Few utilities have a well developed
process for considering DG. Government legislation can significantly improve
this situation by taking appropriate measures to develop objectives and
strategies that oblige all utilities to adopt improved costing methods. Utilities
should be in a position to identify the best opportunities for implementing DG
projects, and encourage / discourage (as appropriate) independent DG
investments via incentives / disincentives derived from the underlying drivers
influencing the value or cost to the utility (table two).

The underlying drivers of value / cost described in table two, could be used to
inform prospective DG-owners / investors via appropriate information
disclosure and dissemination, of the temporal-locational costs or benefits
associated with any particular DG investment. In other words, sufficient
information should be supplied by the utility in order for the prospective


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investor to make an informed choice about whether a DG prefeasibility study
for a particular site should proceed. Appropriate utility information disclosure
would have to be based upon improved costing methodology for electric
distribution planning [13]. The most important objectives and strategies for
improved costing methodology are summarised in table three.
Table 2: Underlying Drivers of Value / Cost

Driver                Description
                      Many drivers of cost can be characterised broadly by
Location              distinctions such as Remote vs. Urban, Constrained vs.
                      Unconstrained, and Mild vs. Extreme Climate.
                      The magnitude of the growth relative to capacity sets both the
Load Growth           timing and the magnitude of action required, and with it scales
                      the magnitude and timing of investment. Customer-sited
                      generation growth will impact the load seen by the utility as well,
                      and may become an important element to consider in load
                      forecasting.
                      Distribution project alternatives that have time varying load
Load Shape            carrying capability must correlate with the peak periods in order
                      to provide any value, so the load factor and peak timing have an
                      impact on net cost.
                      The vintage, performance, and specifications of the equipment
Equipment             already in place represent both opportunities and constraints for
Characteristics       feasible solutions.
                      The availability, cost, maintenance and service requirements,
Operational Details   spare parts issues, and reliability features of new equipment
                      alternatives determine the technical and economic capabilities
                      for possible solutions.
                      Available incentives, the possible methods of financing, taxes,
Financial             and budget constraints set or alter some costs and benefits, and
Parameters            may dictate some of the project priorities. Higher discount rates
                      favour least first-cost solutions, and the net benefit or cost-
                      benefit ratio can be very sensitive to the discount rate - slight
                      adjustments can in many cases flip the ranking of two
                      alternatives.
                      If there are interactions between two projects such that two
Synergies             projects together are more valuable than the individual projects
                      considered separately, then looking only at individual projects
                      alone will miss possibly important cost savings opportunities.
                      Direct costs can depend significantly on the attainment or non-
Environmental         attainment area status of the location and local permitting
Considerations        regulations and fees.
                      Quality and reliability levels in the area depend not only on
Power Quality and     equipment (above) but also vegetation and climate. The realized
Reliability           customer outage costs further depends on the local customer
                      value of service and customer demographics.
                      Uncertainty in data, forecasting, regulatory climate, and cost
Uncertainty           estimates drive risk and strategic value, but also lead to risk
                      averse behaviour by planners due to fear of being wrong (e.g.
                      slightly overbuilding or overforecasting as a slight overcapacity
                      has fewer repercussions than slight under-capacity).
                      Are there opportunities or requirements related to public
Intangibles           relations, goodwill, learning, political necessity, etc.?




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Table 3: Objectives and Strategies for Improved Costing Methods

Objective                                     Strategy
1. Know where costs are high.                 Differentiate distribution costs by
                                              location.
2. Know when costs are high.                  Differentiate distribution costs by time of
                                              day and year.
3. Formalise the evaluation process.          Formally compare distribution system
                                              improvements to the most promising DG
                                              alternatives at the most important
                                              locations.
4. Increase effective lead time.              Consider DG alternatives as early as
                                              possible in the planning process.
5. Ensure effective buy-in.                   Consider the financial interests of other
                                              parties in calculating the net costs to
                                              distribution utilities. Consider
                                              mechanisms to cost-share with other
                                              parties, and reflect these in estimates of
                                              distribution company costs.
6. Get started with established costs.        Consider the role of societal benefits a
                                              lower priority issue.
7. Include all costs.                         Consider factors that are difficult to
                                              quantify in making decisions.

The objectives in table three contain the key elements for developing a
distribution costing methodology [13] that will provide relevant and timely
temporal-locational pricing signals for prospective DG owners to decide
whether or not to invest in a particular site-specific DG project. This
information could be incorporated within current information disclosure
practices for lines network companies. Lines network companies for example,
using the information provided in table three [13], might be regulated to:

1. Differentiate marginal distribution costs by location.
This helps identify areas where DG options are most likely to be beneficial. In
doing this, utilities should consider both costs for distribution system
enhancements, and revenues by location. Revenues can vary due to
customer mix (and resulting differences in rate level and structure) and load
profile. Utilities will discover that the financial impacts of load reduction will
vary from site to site based on both costs of service and marginal revenues.

2. Differentiate marginal distribution costs by time of day and
   year.
To select an appropriate DG solution, it is particularly important to understand
both when the peak loads that drive distribution improvements are occurring,
and what is causing those loads.

3. Formally compare distribution system improvements to the
   most promising DG alternatives at the most important locations.
DG planning is a significant investment of time and money, and should be
pursued where it is most likely to bear fruit. If there are questions about
applicability, it is important that DG planners take the time to understand the
alternatives, and conduct screening analysis to identify potentially beneficial
DG applications. Where it is applied, distribution planning should be an


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iterative process that identifies and compares the costs of several potential
options, including DG, to meet distribution system requirements.

4. Consider DG alternatives as early as possible in the planning
   process.
Some DG alternatives have a longer lead time than typical distribution
improvements, which are often planned and installed in less than two years.
Efficiency programs, in particular, can take several years to reach maximum
benefit. To effectively implement long lead-time programs, utilities may need
to use alternative methods to their classical planning tools to “look ahead”. For
example, utilities can evaluate load trends at adjacent substations, and focus
efficiency programs in areas where there are potential capacity limits several
years out. While these long-range planning methods cannot predict the need
for capital improvements with certainty, this type of preventative action can
reduce the risk of needing “quick solution” capital improvements.

5. Consider the financial interests of other parties in calculating
   the net costs to distribution utilities.
Other parties, including utility customers, energy service providers, and
generators, may gain financial benefits from DG implementation. Where
customers are willing to coinvest in efficiency and generation, this reduces the
costs of DG alternatives to the utility. Distribution companies should explore
these areas of mutual financial interest, but distribution planning should reflect
them only as they become practical options.

6. Consider the role of societal benefits a lower priority issue.
Benefits can occur to the public at large, including economic development,
less pollution, impacts on land use and visual aesthetics, etc. Many US states
have in the past created regulatory and rate mechanisms to encourage
utilities to pursue energy efficiency to achieve these goals. In some cases
multipliers or adders have been established to reflect these values in least-
cost planning. Commensurate provisions have also been made in many US
states to assure that, where utilities fund initiatives that are rendered cost
effective by these adjustments against their own economic self-interest, they
have mechanisms to recover costs and (in some states) achieve additional
profit.

7. Consider factors that are difficult to quantify.
It is neither practical nor economical to quantify everything that is important for
every proposed capital investment. Progress is likely to be faster if distribution
planners and their managers use a decision-making process that explicitly
considers both quantifiable factors and “intangibles”. The “intangibles” could
include political and public relations issues, financial risks that are not formally
modeled, environmental and broad economic benefits, and so on as
appropriate.

For most if not all utilities in New Zealand, the practices proposed in the
“Utility-Driven, Customer Response Framework” differ substantially from
existing regulatory requirements and business operating practices. There are


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however, concrete steps that Government and utilities can take to adopt a
more practical, proactive approach to optimum DG facilitation in New Zealand.
“These initial steps consist primarily of evaluating current status and
developing a vision and roadmap for improving costing practices” [13]. This
concept is developed further in the next section, under the “Temporal-
Locational Market-Driven” legislative Framework for facilitating DG.


D. Temporal-Locational Market-Driven Framework
Complete cost transparency of temporal-locational market-driven prices
should be site specific and publicly disclosed. The greater the number of sites
listed, the greater the probability that prospective DG operators will identify
economically viable time- and location-specific DG investment opportunities.
This is necessary for sustainable DG facilitation in New Zealand.

“The key concept of de-regulation in nearly every nation is that no one
company should have a monopoly on either the production, the wholesale
sale, or the retail sale of electricity and electricity-related services” [14]. Under
this arrangement, DG-operators should be able to competitively negotiate the
supply of electricity to energy retailers or customers at temporal wholesale
prices (i.e. a Time-of-Use wholesale market price) or at a pricing-schedule
equivalent to the existing energy pricing contract between a typical energy
retailer and the DG-operator functioning as an energy consumer (minus a
reasonable administration fee of say 5-10% of the energy price). Introducing
alternative arrangements outside the wholesale market for transacting DG
energy, and matching regional distribution network-specific demand with
network-embedded DG, could help facilitate temporal wholesale pricing of
DG.

The New Zealand electricity wholesale market does not support localised or
regional trading of DG under the existing regulatory environment. Significant
steps towards rectifying this situation can be taken however, by introducing
appropriate policy mechanisms and market incentives encouraging market
participants to develop innovative, reliable, and less risky methods of meeting
the nation’ s demand for electricity (e.g. a reserve-market for dry-year
contingencies). Policies considered or planned include: demand-side bidding
and multi-settlements; demand response (participation of load management in
spot markets); opening the ancillary services market to DG (e.g. outsourcing
network capacity planning); resource aggregation and management;
increasing market liquidity; more economically efficient transmission and
distribution rate design; and, public benefits programs, including funding
mechanisms, in support of investment in long-term end-use energy efficiency
[15].

The distinction between the Temporal-Locational Market-Driven framework
proposed in this paper and the traditional central utility structure employed in
New Zealand, is exhibited in figure one below. In the left side of figure one,
the central hub generation and spoke transmission and distribution has been
the typical pattern adopted by utilities to generate and supply electric energy.
On the right side, a schematic of the possible structure of a future utility is


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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



presented. The schematic indicates that central station power plants will be
integrated with distributed generation and storage devices. In certain cases,
utility owned or operated modular generation technologies can serve remote
loads that are too expensive to connect to the utility grid.



                  T o d a y 's                                      T o m o r r o w 's
              C e n tr a l U tility                            D istr ib u te d U tility ?
                                                                 is tr
                       C e n tr a l G e n e r a tio n                C e n tr a l G e n e r a tio n



                                                                                                                             W in d

                                                                                                         R e m o te
                                                                G e n se t                                L oads




                                                                                                                                 PV
                                                            F u e l C e ll
                                                                                                      B a tte r y
                                                        C u s to m e r
                       C u sto m e r s                  E ff ic ie n c y
                                                                                                          M ic r o tu r b in e
                                                                                                                                  1
     Can Costly Upgrades Be Prevented?
 © 2 0 0 2 D i strib uted U tility A ss ocia te s


Figure 1: The Distributed Utility [16]

Locationally Based Marginal Costing (LBMC), is “a method of transmission
pricing in which the actual (technical) cost of power at every location in the
power grid is computed using some mutually agreed upon method, and the
price for power transmission between any two points in the grid is then
defined as the difference in the computed local prices” [14]. These prices are
determined from electricity transmission losses and transmission limits
(network constraints). These physical impediments to electricity trading cause
competitive prices to differ, the difference being the price of congestion [17].
As a result, if the transmission line between two locations is inadequate to
handle the desired trade between those two locations, the downstream
location will be forced to buy power from more expensive local generators.
This will raise the local price of power relative to the remote price, which is a
standard competitive result and has nothing to do with centralised
computation. This standard procedure is used by Transpower to charge
distribution networks for delivering capacity to the Grid Exit Points (GXPs)
where electricity transmission ends, and local / regional electricity distribution
begins. Locationally Based Marginal Costing is used by Orion Networks to
determine the temporal-locational value of DG capacity within its electricity
distribution region [18,19].

At the moment, Orion Networks provides a single temporal-locational value for
DG capacity contributions, alleviating annual electricity distribution constraints
impacting its GXP locational fees to Transpower (the national transmission
network operator). If the utility-driven, customer-response costing


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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



methodology was adopted universally by distribution networks throughout
New Zealand, temporal-locational values for DG capacity contributions could
be calculated individually for every GXP and every feeder station as well. The
consequence of such a move would be to create a realistic picture of the net-
worth of DG capacity contributions throughout the distribution networks. Such
a move would create the “ultimate” secondary temporal-locational energy-
capacity market for facilitating DG in New Zealand.

  In c r e a s in g V a lu e C r e a tio n fo r N Z M a r k e t (P r o a c tiv e )



                                                                                                A c c e le r a te d G r o w th & E x p a n s io n
                                                                                                                               o f D G M a rk e t


                                          In c r e a s e d C o n tr o l
   Govt & Utility Constrained DG Market




                                                                                                                                                          Govt & Utility Sustained DG Market
                                          & C o n ta in m e n t o f D G    M a rk e t



                                                    A                          B                            C                            D


                                             C u s to m e r-           L e a s t-c o s t           U tility -d r iv e n ,      T e m     p o   r a l-
                                                d r iv e n                  a s s e t                c u s to m e r-            lo c a   tio   n a l
                                                u tility -            m a n a g e m e n t             re s p o n s e         m a rk e    t d   r iv e n
                                              re s p o n s e           fr a m e w o rk               fra m e w o rk            fr a m    e w    o rk
                                             fra m e w o rk


                                          S O E ’s r e ta in m a r k e t s h a r e o f N Z ’s
                                          g e n e r a tin g c a p a c ity


                                                                                   L in e s c o m p a n ie s & IP P ’s in c r e a s e m a r k e t
                                                                                               s h a r e o f N Z ’s g e n e r a tin g c a p a c ity



                                                                      In c r e a s e d R is k M itig a tio n F o r E le c tr ic ity M a r k e t (R e a c tiv e )




Figure 2:                                 Impact on New Zealand of Adopting Different Legislative Frameworks for
                                          Facilitating DG



Summary
The impact these different frameworks are likely to have on the New Zealand
electricity market, are summarised in figure two. It is interesting to note that
the pace of technological change usually precedes the pace of business
innovation required to accommodate the new (technologically-enabled)
opportunities realised. Furthermore, the commercial market derived from the
prevailing regulatory / legislative environment is usually even slower to
respond to the new business requirements identified (to make the new
opportunities work). Some businesses may encounter minimal resistance to
creating new markets, simply because appropriate legislation has not been
developed yet and regulations do not exist: for example, the internet in its
early days. Other businesses however, may encounter stiff resistance to
proposed market changes, especially if entrenched market positions of market
incumbents are threatened: for example, telecommunications and electricity.


Conclusion
According to a recently released report by the US Congressional Budget
Office [20], “If the new rules and prices are well designed, the cost of


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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



providing highly reliable electricity service to customers who desire it and the
total cost of serving all customers will probably fall as distributed generation
becomes more widely used.” This paper describes four progressive
frameworks for facilitating this new rule- and price-making process (see figure
two).


References
[1] Government Discussion Paper (GDP), “Facilitating Distributed Generation”,
Ministry for Economic Development, September 2003.
[2] GDP Paragraph 44.
[3] GDP Paragraph 34.
[4] The Press, “Project defended” (Perspective, page A11), October 30th
2003.
[5] GDP Paragraph 39.
[6] Refer to Pupu Springs Hydro’s submission to the Electricity Inquiry in 2000
on Energy Retailer Power Purchase Agreements, entitled: “Submission #3:
Pupu Hydro Society”.
[7] Refer to Industrial Research’s submission to the Electricity Inquiry in 2000
on DG impacts of the existing NZ Electricity Market, entitled: “Submission
#343: IRL Electrotec Group”.
[8] GDP Paragraph 43.
[9] This was the case when Christchurch City Council wanted Meridian to
supply 3% of its electricity demand from Windflow’s 500kW wind turbine on
the Banks Peninsula. Only when Christchurch City Council threatened to
switch energy retailers did Meridian Energy comply with their request.
[10] Refer to the Orion Networks website for information regarding alternative
approaches taken by lines companies for rewarding / penalizing capacity-
support from customer-driven DG (http://www.oriongroup.co.nz).
[11] GDP Paragraph 33.
[12] Refer to Industrial Research’s DG website at: http://www.irl.cri.nz/
[13] This methodology is discussed in a report of the same title found at
http://www.energyfoundation.org/documents/CostMethod.pdf
[14] Philipson, Lorrin. and Willis, H. Lee, “Understanding Electric Utilities and
De-Regulation” , Marcel Dekker, Inc., New York, 1999.
[15] Weston, F. et al., Accommodating Distributed Resources in Wholesale
Markets, The Regulatory Assistance Project, Montpelier, Vermont, September
2001.
[16] Chapel, S et al., Distributed Utility Valuation Project Monograph, EPRI
Report TR-102807, Final Report, June 2000.
[17] Stoft, S., Power System Economics: Designing Markets for Electricity,
IEEE Press, Wiley-Interscience, New Jersey, 2002.
[18] The Economics of Grid Connected Hybrid Distributed Generation, I A
Sanders, A I Gardiner, Electricity Engineers Association of NZ, Christchurch,
20-21 June 2003.
[19] Full 57-page report (of the EEA paper described in [2]) entitled: “Wind-
Diesel Hybrid Potential” may be downloaded from: http://www.irl.cri.nz/
[20] Prospects for Distributed Electricity Generation, The Congress of the
United States, Congressional Budget Office, September 2003.



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[21] Grid 2030, A National Vision for Electricity’ s Second 100 Years:
Transforming the Grid to Revolutionize Electric Power in North America,
United States Department of Energy, Office of Electric Transmission and
Distribution, July 2003.




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6.4 Capacity Metering for General Customers - Rewarding the
Demand Side Delivery of Distributed Generation Capacity
Provided by Large Numbers of Very Small Systems

(By Alister Gardiner)

(Originally included as part of a submission by Industrial
Research to the Ministry for Economic Development on:
“Facilitating Distributed Generation”)


Definitions

General customer-generator: an electricity customer whose energy
consumption is metered by a totalising kWh meter, is subjected to deemed
profiling, and who generates behind the revenue meter, primarily for own
consumption. Distribution Company: the organisation that is responsible for
power distribution in a specific region, which normally owns and operates the
electrical distribution system. Micro-DG: Distributed generation of capacity
less than 100kW per site, and generally less than 10kW.


Summary

There is strong justification for metering very small scale DG capacity

Micro-scale distributed generation (micro-DG), i.e. very small-scale distributed
generation generally connected behind (on the load side) of a revenue meter,
offers a substantial opportunity for environmentally sustainable alternatives to
the expansion of centralised supply side generation, transmission and
distribution infrastructure. At present the electricity market has no mechanism
for valuing the capacity that micro-DG can offer. Indeed, the industry is just
getting to grips with how to value and transact the energy associated with DG
connections. New Zealand currently has an excellent opportunity to lead the
world in setting up a regulatory framework to provide fair access to the
network for micro-DG. This paper shows how standard kilowatt-hour metering
technology can be used to value and reward the capacity that any micro-scale
own generation plant contributes to the network, down to the smallest size.
This metering approach is low cost and economically efficient, and if adopted
will simplify the currently propose regulations as applying to small general
customers [1].

The basic premise of this proposal is that all generators, no matter how small,
are entitled to use of the network, and that they should be rewarded for the
capacity, as well as the energy that they deliver to the network.

This proposal is the main conclusion from several years research into the
reasons for lack of uptake of very small scale distributed generation. Without


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the introduction rules that provide for payment of capacity supplied by these
generators, an opportunity for better alternatives to supply side expansion will
be lost, and consumer choice will be curtailed.


Introduction

The market structure must allow efficient choice of delivery

Efficient and cost effective delivery of electricity services is fundamental to
New Zealanders’ economic and social well-being. The environmental impact
of providing these energy supplies is significant and of increasing concern,
and should be minimized wherever possible. It is imperative that an electricity
market regulatory framework is put in place to fully value any energy resource
that can be utilized in an environmentally sustainable way.

Timely delivery of electricity services requires an energy production
component, and a delivery infrastructure. Both the energy component and the
infrastructure capacity must be available when required by the customer. The
cost of infrastructure capacity can be many times the cost of energy.
Distributed generation (DG) that can provide both of these components should
be rewarded for both, even if the generation is connected behind a
consumer’s energy meter. For very small-scale distributed generation, new
metering is needed to measure its contribution to capacity.


Micro-Scale Distributed Generation

Research studies

IRL has been evaluating the economics of various micro-scale distributed
energy technologies for over five years. Many reports and papers predicting
technology performance and system economics have been published over
this time, notably in Energy Wise News and at the annual New Zealand
Electricity Engineers Association Conference, e.g., [4], [5], [6]. This work has
shown that based purely on energy sales, very few of these technologies are
economic, nor likely to be in the next decade. More recently, we have turned
our attention to examining and developing combinations of small-scale DG
that will improve the level of firm capacity provided in support of the
distribution system. This focus came from the realisation that the electricity
supply industry in-general currently views small-scale DG as a problem rather
than a possible solution to load growth. We have shown that if the time of use
capacity support that small-scale distributed generation technologies can
provide is fairly valued [2], some of these technologies are already viable, and
will become increasingly more economic within the next few years. This is at
present particularly relevant to rural and remote parts of the system, because
of the higher cost associated with electricity delivery to these regions. As DG
costs drop and central power costs rise, the economics will improve in wider
scale applications [4]. Overall, micro-DG could provide an economically and
environmentally attractive alternative to supply side upgrades in generation,


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transmission and distribution infrastructure in many areas, but only if market
access regulations are in place to allow it to occur. The current proposals [1]
are inadequate in this regard.


Valuing small-scale generation capacity

Typical own-generation micro-DG technologies are photovoltaic, wind, micro-
hydro, and small fuelled generators. In this proposal, we make no distinction
between renewable and fossil resources. Our research shows that
combinations of technology such as wind-diesel hybrid generation can provide
reduced risk (i.e., more consistent capacity) and improved returns to the
owner [2]. The capacity payment received by an owner of these systems
should be valued on the basis of the statistical capacity support that they
provide during times of peak demand. To support load growth, new
centralised and medium-scale distributed generation power plants require
associated upgrades to transmission and distribution infrastructure.
Depending on the location of the load, this T&D infrastructure can cost $1,500
to $5,000 per kW (e.g. $10,000 to $50,000 per km for LV and MV lines) or
even more in remote areas, and is ultimately paid for by all electricity
customers. Since micro-DG can avoid most of the incremental transmission
and distribution infrastructure costs, measured micro-DG capacity support
should be assessed and paid for in the context of these avoided costs, and as
above, the cost passed on to electricity customers as line charges.


Potential positive impact of micro-DG

It is important to note that while many of the technologies have been available
for some decades, the level of uptake of micro-DG is practically non-existent.
This results from discouragement of private generation in pre-deregulation
days, a current absence of uniform access regulations of any sort, and poor
economics for the more widely applicable technologies (e.g. PV). However,
this should not serve as a reason to draft regulations that close off the
opportunity for these technologies to fairly compete and contribute to the
generation mix. There are approximately 1.25 million dwellings in New
Zealand. It would take an average of 5kW peak generation capacity
associated with only 10% of these households to avoid 600MW growth in
central generation and delivery infrastructure. Since micro-DG capacity will
normally be provided in conjunction with load growth, the cost/kW average is
not increased. In fact, through appropriate payment signals, load factor can be
encouraged to improve and the overall cost/kW average will reduce, i.e. the
system will be operating more efficiently. The potential for wealth creation
through an active domestic market in these small-scale energy technologies
should also not be overlooked.




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Technical Background

It is generally recognized that individual micro-DG plants of only a few
kilowatts have little impact on the distribution system, providing that basic
technical standards are complied with. There is still some concern within the
supply industry that significant levels of DG penetration in an area may cause
network problems to surface, but 20% to 40% of the connected load supplied
locally is unlikely to require special management practices. DG distributed
across a large number of sites will almost always be technically preferable to
a single injection point [7] (e.g. reduced voltage fluctuation), so this provides
ample scope for distributed micro-DG to make a substantial positive difference
to network loading.

An arbitrary maximum is often decided in treatment of very small own
generation connected behind the revenue meter. The proposed regulations [1]
recommend a maximum generator capacity of 10kW. We find no technical
reason why the DG capacity at any site should be limited to a particular low
value. It is highly unlikely that every customer on a distribution feeder will want
to connect DG, let alone up to a designated limit. Our contention is that
general customer DG connections should be allowed up to the individual
customer of the service mains capacity. This maximizes the opportunity for
network support. For a three phase 100A, 400V ICP, up to 69kVA could be
connected (3 x 23 kVA). The distribution company should have the right to
restrict new additional connections if it can be shown that the performance of
the network is at risk.


Market Background

MARIA allows energy supplied to general customers with mains of less than
100A capacity to be metered with totalising kilowatt-hour meters. This is
usually billed monthly, often by estimate every alternate month. The individual
profile of these customers is not known. A collective profile is used. These
customers represent the vast majority of electricity connections to the
distribution system, and present an ideal base for low cost connection of
embedded generation. Our view is that the energy from any distributed
generation provided by these customers, when connected behind the energy
meter should be treated in the same manner, i.e. any surplus exported energy
is simply treated as negative load. A small handling charge to manage the
energy reconciliation would be acceptable.

The capacity supplied by the generator should be treated in a similar
collective manner. There is no need to treat this collective capacity any
differently than other individual contributions delivered by larger scale DG
plants. All that is required is a metering technique to record the contributions
with adequate precision, so that the capacity value attributed to each
generator can be calculated and reconciled. A solution is described below.




                                                                             Page 62 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



The Metering Proposal for Small-Scale General Customer-
Generator Capacity

The approach is very simple, as indicated in fig 1. A two register kilowatt-hour
export meter is placed in series with the distributed generator connection on
the load side of the revenue meter. This is simply a standard two register
import meter with reverse stop fitted (i.e. backwards energy flow is not
recorded). It is connected in reverse, i.e. to record export kWh. The two
register meter records on-peak and off-peak kilowatt-hours of generation in
the different registers. The meter register is switched by distribution company,
at the distribution company’ s discretion. This provides a means to determine
the average kW capacity provided over any peak control period season, which
is the measure used by Orion for DG capacity payments. At least 1 charge
period (1/2hr) must be designated by the lines company for capacity payment
in each season/year, to ensure that payments will always be made to capacity
providers. An external signal for customer use must be provided. Means of
signalling this register change would be up to the distribution company, but
could include:

   •   Ripple control
   •   Radio paging
   •   Time clock
   •   Telephone modem
   •   Or a more specific control signal based for example on the local system
       voltage level.




This capacity payment approach is in principle already implemented by Orion
Networks for larger customers. Our proposal is to standardize the application
of this principle down to any capacity level offered by a general customer-
generator. At the current Orion offer of $100/ average kW/year, this can
deliver a substantial return for a distributed generator (at present only larger


                                                                             Page 63 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



half hour TOU metered generators are allowed to access this payment. In
remote regions with network constraints, a case for much higher payments
can easily be made [8]. Our case study analysis for mini-scale wind-diesel
hybrid systems [2] shows that based on Orion payments, typical annual
revenue is shared 50:50 between energy production and network peak period
demand receipts.


Obligations on the Customer-Generator

This class of customer generator should not pay additional costs for this
connection since in general, there will be no incurred network upgrade costs
accruing. Indeed, if a use of system charge was made, this would
disadvantage DG against central generation, which pays no such charge.
Standard technical connection requirements appropriate for this size of
system would need to be complied with. The cost of the capacity metering and
installation should be borne by the customer-generator (preferably having the
right to own the capacity meter if desired), plus any dedicated plant necessary
to deliver the generated power to the ICP.


Obligations on the distribution company

The distribution company would be required to provide a capacity payment
schedule that, at a minimum, offered a fair payment for the on-peak kWh
exported each year, or season. The capacity payment schedule offered would
be subject to appropriate disclosure regulations, to ensure that a payment
which represents avoided T&D costs is offered, less reasonable incurred
transaction costs. Other more innovative products could be offered by the
distribution company in different regions to promote desirable load-generation
patterns. For instance, a premium could be offered for generation exhibiting a
high onpeak/ off-peak differential in regions with poor load factor to encourage
improvements. In times of national energy supply constraint, for example dry
year events, promotions could be run to encourage high total generation
levels.

The distribution company would be responsible for reading the capacity
meters and making the capacity payments to the general customer-generator.
These would be required on at least a 12 monthly basis, with terminal
payments made on request. The distribution company could appoint an agent,
who may be a retailer or other third party (such as a meter reading company)
to transact these operations. A reasonable handling charge of 5-10% for the
meter reading and data processing services would be acceptable.

Net metering

This capacity metering proposal is very pertinent to the issue of net metering
for small consumer-generators, and inherently provides for the proposed
metering of exported energy. In this discussion, we take no position for or



                                                                             Page 64 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



against net metering, but merely point out that the inclusion of capacity
metering will also provide total export energy.

If the existing revenue meter contains a reverse stop, the imported energy is
as recorded, and the exported energy is simply the sum of the registers on the
new capacity meter. If the existing revenue meter nets import and export, then
the total import energy is this reading plus the sum of the registers on the new
capacity meter. Export energy is the sum of the registers on the capacity
meter, as before. If it is decided under the regulations that total energy export
metering is required, the distribution company and relevant retailer would
need to enter an agreement regarding collection and sharing of this data.


Summary

This metering approach provides a simple, cost effective way to record and
reward capacity support from micro-DG.

   •   Statistically accurate capacity pricing signals for the customer-
       generator to respond to
   •   Capacity needs managed by distribution companies in a similar way to
       load control, but not directly controlled
   •   Generation equipment owned, operated and maintained by customer,
       so minimum administrative overhead
   •   Flexible options for encouraging efficient load profiles in response to
       local needs

We strongly recommend that this or a similar approach to value the capacity
supplied by micro-DG be adopted by the Electricity Commission under the
new distributed generation rules.


References

[1] Facilitating Distributed Generation – A discussion paper, Resources and
Networks Branch, MED, September 2003, ISBN 0-478 26350-3
[2] The Economics of Grid Connected Hybrid Distributed Generation, I
Sanders and A I Gardiner, 2003 Annual EEA Conference, Christchurch; and,
The Economics of Mini-Scale Embedded Wind-Diesel Generation,
(elaborating on the EEA publication)
[3] Orion Distributed Generation Information Pack, obtainable from Orion New
Zealand Limited, PO Box 13896, Christchurch, New Zealand
[4] Possible Impact of Micro-Scale Distributed Energy Technologies on
Existing Supply, A I Gardiner, I A Sanders, Industrial Research Limited, NZ
Energy Conference 2002, Wellington, NZ, 7-8 October 2002
[5] Are Microgrids the Answer for Post 2013?, A I Gardiner and I A Sanders,
Electrical Engineers Association of NZ Conference, Christchurch New
Zealand, 21-22 June 2002
[6] A Renewable Resource Assessment Atlas of New Zealand, I A Sanders
and A I Gardiner, EnergyWise News, EECA, June 2000, Issue 66, pp28-30


                                                                             Page 65 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



[7] Deferment of Upgrades to Weak Lines Through New Technology, R D
Brough and A I Gardiner, Electrical Engineers Association of NZ Conference,
Christchurch New Zealand, 21-22 June 2002
[8] http://www.energyfoundation.org/documents/costmethod.pdf




                                                                            Page 66 of 67
Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington)



This report was prepared by:

Dr. Iain Sanders
Managing Director
Sustainable Innovative Solutions Ltd.
P.O. Box 20-452
Bishopdale
Christchurch 8030
New Zealand

Tel / Fax: +64 3 359 2151

Email: sis.limited@gmail.com




                                                                             Page 67 of 67

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Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity with Distributed Energy

  • 1. Report No. IRL99440.01 NETWORK RELIABILITY AND FIRM POWER CAPACITY WORKSHOP HELD AT INDUSTRIAL RESEARCH LIMITED, GRACEFIELD, FRIDAY 16TH DECEMBER 2005 ISSUES, NEEDS, CONCLUSIONS AND ACTION POINTS Prepared by: Dr. Iain Sanders, Sustainable Innovative Solutions Ltd. (for Industrial Research Limited)
  • 2. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Table of Contents 1. Introduction Page 3 1.1 Summary Page 3 1.2 Background Page 3 1.3 What is Firm Power Capacity? Page 4 1.4 Why is Network Reliability an Page 4 Issue for New Zealand? 1.5 Overview of the Rest of this Report Page 4 2. Key Conclusions Page 5 3. Action Points Raised Page 12 4. Workshop Summary Page 15 5. Supplementary Feedback from Participants Page 41 6. Appendices Page 42 6.1 Workshop Agenda Page 42 6.2 List of Attendees Page 43 6.3 Alternative Policy Frameworks for DG Page 45 6.4 Capacity Metering for General Customers Page 59 Editorial Statement: We have attempted to faithfully report and draw conclusions from the presentations and discussions at the workshop. Neither Industrial Research Limited nor Sustainable Innovative Solutions Limited necessarily endorse these findings. Alister Gardiner, Industrial Research Limited. Iain Sanders, Sustainable Innovative Solutions Limited. Disclaimer: The Commerce Commission does not comment on policy matters. The Commission has participated only to explain its approach to assessing breaches of quality thresholds by electricity lines businesses where caused by extreme events, and has not participated in discussions on nor makes any comment in regard to other technical matters or industry design matters. Paolo Ryan, Manager, Network Performance Group. Page 2 of 67
  • 3. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) 1. Introduction 1.1 Summary On Friday December 16th, Industrial Research Limited held a workshop in Gracefield, Lower Hutt, Wellington, on “Network Reliability Requirements” to which electricity industry stakeholders contributed. The purpose of this workshop was to provide an industry forum to discuss key reliability issues facing network operators in relation to the growing interest in connection of distributed generation plant. The workshop presenters in order of appearance were: • Alan Jenkins, Chief Executive, Electricity Networks Association • Rodney Doyle, Chief Advisor, Network Performance Group, Commerce Commission • Gareth Wilson, Manager of the Electricity Group, Ministry of Economic Development (MED) • Robert Reilly, Senior Advisor Retail, Electricity Commission • Duncan Head, Divisional Manager Business Development, Vector Networks • Brent Noriss, Engineering Manager, The Lines Company • Matt Todd, CEO, Eastland Networks Limited • Robert Reilly (speaking on behalf of Roy Hemmingway, Chair, Electricity Commission • Todd Mead, Generation Development Manager, MainPower • Iain Sanders, CEO, Sustainable Innovative Solutions Limited (formerly of Industrial Research Limited) • Alister Gardiner, Hydrogen and Distributed Energy Platform Manager, Industrial Research Limited These presenters discussed regulations, policies, technical issues, business development and research opportunities and challenges associated with delivering firm power capacity in Distribution networks from conventional network infrastructure assets (e.g. lines and poles and underground cables) and alternatives options, including: load management, embedded distributed generation and storage systems. 1.2 Background Network reliability is essential to the safe and secure operation of New Zealand’s electricity delivery infrastructure. Distributed generation adds a new level of complexity for operating networks. This workshop explored some of the needs for reliable firm power capacity in New Zealand’s electricity network infrastructure. Reliability issues were examined from conventional network delivery and alternative energy generation perspectives. This workshop was the first in a series of two workshops. The second workshop (to be held around the middle of 2006) will report on and demonstrate models and techniques developed by Industrial Research for Page 3 of 67
  • 4. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) evaluating the impact of distributed energy resources on network reliability, to providing a means for objective comparison of different distributed energy resources against network capacity costs. 1.3 What is Firm Power Capacity? Firm power capacity is defined as “the provision of power capacity when and where it is required, with a high degree of certainty” (Industrial Research Limited). This constitutes firm power capacity as described in this report and as discussed during the workshop. 1.4 Why is Network Reliability an Issue for New Zealand? Network reliability is affected by the age and cost of maintaining infrastructure assets. Alternative energy supply options such as distributed energy resources may in some circumstances provide more reliable and affordable energy delivery solutions. Ageing infrastructure assets can cost too much to maintain – there just isn’t enough revenue generated from the service provided. In other places, network delivery capacities are exceeded because growth in peak demand cannot be met by existing infrastructure capacity. Complimentary localized dispersed generation can address some of the network reliability issues mentioned. This is only possible if affordable distributed generation resources can match the network reliability requirements of the energy demand needs they address. 1.5 Overview of the Rest of this Report In the next section (2. Key Conclusions), a summary of the main conclusions derived from the workshop are presented under appropriate headings that best define the key points raised. Following the “Key Conclusions”, is a section that presents a series of action points (3. Action Points Raised) or recommendations towards helping to address some of the issues identified as needing urgent attention. After section three, there is a summary of the entire workshop (4. Workshop Summary), outlining the main points raised, issues addressed and specific needs identified by each speaker and the audience in the Q&A sessions following each formal presentation. The final section (5. Appendices), provides the workshop agenda (5.1), and a list of attendees (5.2). A couple of appendices (5.3 and 5.4) describe in further detail some of the conclusions from a technical, commercial and regulatory perspective. Page 4 of 67
  • 5. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) 2. Key Conclusions The following conclusions were derived from the forum discussion and the question and answer sessions held after each presentation. These high level conclusions indicate concern about governance in the industry affecting future reliability through an uncertain investment climate, of which the future for distributed generation is only one component. “Sustainable development” was frequently used in the workshop as the primary need for the industry and government to address. No attempt is made to define the meaning intended by participants, although network “reliability” is clearly an important contributor to this concept. Ref. Key Conclusions C1 Long-term needs not addressed by short-term political agendas. a. The energy industry of New Zealand is the economic engine critical to the nation’s survival and prosperity over the next 25 years. b. Therefore we need to do a lot more evaluation about what the way forward for the electricity supply sector ought to be. c. There are major concerns about the overall lack of integration and mismatch of issues in the energy sector regarding possible energy futures and mapping out a suitable path forward. d. The central generation electricity market model needs to be supported with reinforcement. We have a bureaucratic structure for energy policy in New Zealand that is: “confused and has a great deal of difficulty making decisions” (forum participant). e. Many reports are being written, submissions made, requests for information given etc., but no decisions are being made that address the issues and concerns raised. f. New Zealand needs an energy strategy to address mid- to long-term needs. Page 5 of 67
  • 6. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Ref. Key Conclusions C2 Untapped potential for sustainable development due to fragmented markets. a. Sustainable development is possible if there is the political will to succeed, backed by a commitment to make the hard decisions and consistently pursue policies and directives critical to achieving this outcome. b. Sustainable development includes the significant adoption of distributed energy resources, energy efficient design and utilization, load management, and energy conservation in buildings, industrial processes etc. c. With respect to sustainable development, the question is: what is technically possible if we have the will to achieve it? What is technically possible within the timeframes required? Considering grid- interconnection guidelines, the Resource Management Act (RMA), Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) etc.? d. Credibility is a key issue for policymakers to address if progress is going to be made. If it is desirable and doable, then why aren’t we making it happen? I.e. putting structures and policies and standards and regulations etc. in place that will facilitate the uptake and establishment of a more sustainable energy market in New Zealand for our long-term growth and prosperity? Page 6 of 67
  • 7. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Ref. Key Conclusions C3 Many opportunities missed or lost due to lack of coordinated planning between Government and industry stakeholders. a. If barriers to investment in distributed energy resources were effectively reduced and removed, the New Zealand electricity industry could experience a transformation, through competition driving innovation, technology advances, business process and practice improvements, new product developments and practical contractual, regulatory and policy design. b. The electricity market only accounts for about 9% of New Zealand’s CO2 emissions. Farming is responsible for half the country’s emissions, and transport takes care of most of the rest. Industrial transformation would be possible if the electricity industry could help substantially to reduce farming and transport greenhouse gas emissions, by focusing on security of supply without increasing CO2 emissions from the energy resources required to achieve it. How much more can the electricity grid be used to supply the energy demands that are currently being met by non-electrical thermal conversion processes? E.g. fuel substitution and methane gas conversion. c. Poorly thought out strategies for banning wood burning for environmental reasons is placing an increasing strain on already capacity-constrained peak loading of networks (and doesn’t account for peak generation fossil fuel CO2 emissions). Here we have disincentives for better load management and conservation of energy resources. How do we create incentives for more efficient and effective energy management and delivery solutions? d. There is a major lack of coordination between new generation planning and network infrastructure utilization for delivering it. Consequently, many new generation and network infrastructure investments are suboptimal. Long-term needs are not addressed through lack of coordinated optimal design of solutions because they involve competing electricity market stakeholders. Short-term vested financial interests take priority over long-term sustainable security of supply. e. There are great opportunities for New Zealand to implement sustainable renewable energy options, but it only takes one barrier e.g. the Resource Management Act to bring an entire project to a halt indefinitely. Page 7 of 67
  • 8. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Ref. Key Conclusions C4 Short-term micro-management drives decision-making process because of distrust between Government and industry. a. How do we reconcile: assurance from Government to industry: for Government to implement consistent long-term policies that work, versus assurance from industry to Government: that industry will deliver solutions that work? Unless we are really clear about reconciling and balancing the need for the former with the need for the latter, we will not know what we can technically do if we have the will to achieve it. b. How do we build a market system that starts to account for and incorporate external costs and benefits as part of the total value equation; and, furthermore, Government must take responsibility for leading the sustainable development of New Zealand’s energy future. c. How well do we manage and utilize our energy resources, and how can we do it better? What do investors need for sustainable energy development to become a practical reality? Page 8 of 67
  • 9. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Ref. Key Conclusions C5 Current decision-making framework is inadequate for developing a consensus amongst Government and industry stakeholders to take appropriate action to address sustainable development of the electricity sector. a. Government agencies want views and opinions of energy market / industry stakeholders to be expressed and presented with concrete evidence-based facts and case studies for proposals for making changes, taking action etc. It is evident that the existing processes used to collect this information are not achieving the desired results to address present Government needs. b. Proper discussion and consideration of individual submissions from members of the public and industrial organizations is not possible because Government agencies do not have the expertise or the resources to properly consider and assess all the options put forward. c. Submissions are not coordinated and expressed in such a way as to effectively address integrated industrial and public concerns of different electricity market shareholders: responses are fragmented and contradict one another – confusing the primary concerns and needs addressed from lesser secondary concerns and interests. d. Lack of coordination amongst various ministries and government agencies has made it difficult to move forward with a cohesive strategy for tackling current electricity market needs. There are no clearly defined boundaries or guidelines for linking the various responsibilities, interests and policy objectives of separate agencies and ministries into a unified cohesive framework or plan that links New Zealand’s sustainable economic growth and prosperity with its security of energy supply. e. Government needs policies that are: “long(-term), loud and legal”. Page 9 of 67
  • 10. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Ref. Key Conclusions C6 Insufficient vision and uncoordinated focus, fragmented scientific and technological research, and inadequate human and financial resources are preventing significant economic benefits being derived from sustainable energy. a. “Think Global, Act Local”. New Zealand Inc. needs a clear vision: e.g. “New Zealand completely self-sustainable in energy resources by ____?”. If you provide a stable infrastructure environment that people are confident in remaining stable, reliable and dependable for a long period of time, with long-term hedge-type products with reliable investment and pricing indicators that people can start banking against, then the other stuff will follow. E.g. the Orion Networks pricing model for investing in distributed generation. The same thing is observed with transport infrastructure investments. We must have a stable long-term focus. b. Universities, Crown Research Institutes and other academic institutions need to work much more closely with industry to facilitate more effective commercialization of research, and ensure research funding / investments are relevant to developing and improving the industrial capabilities required to realize the market benefits possible. c. The group of shareholders using and benefiting from distributed and other sustainable energy resources do not necessarily represent the same group of investors needed to facilitate their adoption. This problem can be resolved if the distribution networks are given / possess the technical capability, the financial capacity, the cooperation and support of the public at large and local communities (beneficiaries / recipients of the services provided), and most importantly of all: the will and clout of the political establishment to support: business investment, R&D funding, long-term incentives, efficient and effective rules and regulations etc. to make it all work. d. In order to work out these issues, a research institute that addresses the technological, political, commercial and legal issues should be set up to facilitate and coordinate the reliable and useful adoption of sustainable distributed energy resources through the lines companies, and plot the smooth transition of New Zealand’s energy industry towards delivering a long-term sustainable, secure and competitively priced energy infrastructure that meets the needs of New Zealand Inc. for generations to come. Page 10 of 67
  • 11. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Ref. Key Conclusions C7 Government needs to establish a Leadership Task Force of people who know how the whole electricity system works and how to effectively incorporate distributed energy resources for optimum operating efficiency, reliability and security of supply. a. Government policymaking for the electricity industry is a rudderless affair. There are too many disparate parties attempting to steer electricity policy in different directions. Lack of coordination is responsible for much confusion. b. There is significant overlap and hence confusion regarding the roles of different yet similar political / governmental agencies competing for influence and resources. c. Government and industry must take a more hands-on approach towards maintaining and developing New Zealand’s energy infrastructure and untapped energy resources – including new / improved load management strategies, smart metering and distributed renewable energy resources. d. Government and industry must take a more hands-on approach towards improving the reliability and security of delivering New Zealand’s energy requirements today and for future generations. e. Greater integration and proactive coordination of industrial and economic development policy with energy security policy and environmental protection policy required. Page 11 of 67
  • 12. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) 3. Action Points Raised From the key conclusions (C1 to C7) and issues raised / specific needs identified by participants, a list of action points are proposed. A1 to A4 are derived from C1 to C7 and A5 to A6 have been drawn from the workshop proceedings. Proposed Ref. Issues Action Points Participation A1 Support long-term • Long-term contracts for Energy planning. energy supply and demand Minister; required. Electricity a. Long-term needs not Commission; addressed by short-term • Pricing arrangements MED; political agendas. (C1) should deliver long-term Commerce contractual arrangements Commission; that help new investors get Energy Users; established and give Generators; consumers who put a Retailers; premium on security, T&D contractual certainty. Networks. A2 Constructive stakeholder • Views and opinions of Energy cooperation. energy market / industry Minister; stakeholders need to be Electricity documented and presented to a. Untapped potential for Commission; the MED, Electricity sustainable development Commission, Commerce MED; MfE; due to fragmented markets. Commission and other NZTE; (C2) Government ministries and Climate agencies. Change b. Many opportunities Office; missed or lost due to lack of • Responses to Government Office of the coordinated planning Requests for Information Parliamentary between Government and (RFIs) should provide Commissioner industry stakeholders. (C3) concrete, evidence-based for the information; and, specific Environment; proposals for making c. Short-term micro- changes, taking action etc. Commerce management drives should be given where Commission; decision-making process possible. Energy Users; because of distrust between Generators; Government and industry. • Government needs to be Retailers; (C4) informed by stakeholders T&D about problems associated Networks. with regulations and policies affecting the operation, efficiency and effectiveness of the electricity and energy markets. Page 12 of 67
  • 13. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Proposed Ref. Issues Action Points Participation A3 Effective decision- • Chains of command, Energy making framework. accountability and Minister; communication need to be Electricity a. Current decision-making improved within and amongst Commission; framework is inadequate Government structures. MED; for developing a Commerce • A more robust, transparent consensus amongst and technically-qualified Commission; Government and industry decision making process is Energy Users; stakeholders to take necessary. Generators; appropriate action to Retailers; address sustainable • Industrial stakeholders must T&D development of the be engaged collectively by Networks. electricity sector. (C5) Government in such a way that interaction amongst different b. Government needs to organizations is supported and establish a Leadership enhanced to achieve better results. Task Force of people who know how the whole • Acquire timely information, electricity system works and the management of that and how to effectively information, with appropriate incorporate distributed smart metering technology. energy resources for optimum operating • Adopt Area and Time Specific efficiency, reliability and Marginal Capacity [ATSMC] security of supply. (C7) cost programmes. A4 Concentrate resources to • Restructure R&D investment Energy achieve a specific so that it supports NZ Inc., and Minister; outcome. a common long-term vision for Electricity New Zealand’s sustainable Commission; a. Insufficient vision and economic growth and MED; MfE; prosperity. uncoordinated focus, NZTE; R&D fragmented scientific and • Create a guiding industrial- organizations; technological research, Governmental coalition with Academia; and inadequate human the resources needed to Climate and financial resources are achieve the vision developed. Change preventing significant Office; economic benefits being • Empower broad-based action, Parliamentary derived from sustainable by getting rid of the obstacles Commissioner energy. (C6) and structures that undermine for Environ.; the vision created. Local govt.; • Encourage risk taking and Chambers of innovation by visibly Commerce; recognizing and rewarding the Commerce organizations that make a Commission; difference towards progressing Energy Users; the vision’s outcomes for New Generators; Zealand. Retailers; T&D Networks Page 13 of 67
  • 14. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Proposed Ref. Issues Action Points Participation A5 Encourage greater • Support the development Energy diversity of supply and of distributed energy minister; demand to reduce risks. resource portfolio business Banks and investment tools and other lending a. A well-structured, models. institutions; diverse portfolio of Business distributed energy (supply- • Encourage banks and investors and & demand-side) resources, other lending institutions to owners; that can balance provide the equivalent of R&D orgs.; fluctuating loads with revolving home loan MfE; Climate fluctuating weather accounts for distributed Change patterns, is needed for energy resource project Office; long-term investment. finance. Electricity Commission; • Support collaboration MED; NZTE; between business / project Generators; investors and load / Retailers; renewable energy T&D forecasters to develop Networks. acceptable & reliable financial risk management metrics. • Ensure coordination of energy investment signals with energy and capacity pricing signals, and energy and capacity usage. A6 Ensure multi-stakeholder • Government intervention is Energy benefits derived from required to reconcile Minister; new energy investments benefits derived from Electricity cover their costs. investing in energy supply- Commission; and demand-side products, MED; Project a. Economic and other processes and services, Investors; benefits derived from with the costs borne by Commerce investing in distributed project investors. This Commission; generation and demand means energy and capacity Energy Users; side management are not benefits obtained by energy Generators; readily realized by the wholesalers, retailers, T&D Retailers; project sponsor or system networks, insurance firms T&D operator. etc., recompense part of the Networks. investor’s project capital and operating expenditure, as applicable, by law. Page 14 of 67
  • 15. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) 4. Workshop Summary ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • Historically, the ‘Planning Division’ definition of ‘reliability’: enough plant and fuel • Long-term • Can the available to meet 7% more than normal load in a winter where lake inflows had been contracts for industry 85% of the mean. energy supply provide the required. reliability NZ • Historically the ‘Electricity Division’ definition of ‘reliability’: based around maintaining needs? frequency and voltage through a centrally coordinated generation and transmission • Pricing Alan Jenkins system operated to defined engineering standards. arrangements • Who pays for should give R&D? (Electricity • The new market structure has created the view: ‘the market will provide’, overlooking local Networks the need to plan ahead. Consequently, focus is on creating an environment for generation as • Can CPI-X Association) competition to flourish, not on delivering reliability. well as more deliver an remote economically Presentation: • In the interests of creating a flat commercial playing field, NZ has tended to have a generation sustainable transmission-centric system. options a network What is Reliable reasonable infrastructure Firm Power • Transmission nodal pricing is one manifestation of possessing a transmission-centric chance of for NZ’s future Capacity? Why system. succeeding. energy delivery Do We Need it? reliability • People don’t like building power stations near a local node, because even a relatively • Pricing requirements? small volume of new generation there will mean that the price of power from remote arrangements competing stations plummets. The net result: no significant investment, either in plant or should keep long-term contracts. old, back-up power stations • NZ’s deregulated electricity market is operationally-focused on generation and nodally- in reserve for driven by trans-mission. when things go wrong, or • It is not clear how much customers are willing to pay for reliability, and who should pay demand gets Page 15 of 67
  • 16. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) for what within the mix of customers. ahead of supply. • Between 1992 and 1998, network companies were very focused on supply security, and providing two-thirds of the new capacity being built at that time. The state was no • Pricing longer carrying the responsibility for building power stations, and new stations were arrangements actually being built close to loads. should ensure that the parties • The Bradford reforms of 1998 brought an end to this era, heavily influenced by a belief selling that the networks’ involvement in generation was occurring because local monopolies electricity are were imprudently building generation capacity that the country didn’t need – leaving selling a local consumers to carry the cost through inflated lines charges. package that includes •The Bradford Electricity Reform Act of 1998 was driven by the belief that it would defined, ‘ensure that costs and prices in the electricity industry are subjected to sustained minimum downward pressure”. reliability levels. • Since 1998: distribution and transmission prices have decreased by: 10%. • Pricing arrangements • Since 1998: energy wholesale prices have increased by: 45%. should give the parties who are • Since 1998: total energy retail prices have increased by: 18%. best equipped to put • As a result of the 1998 reforms: there is a ban on networks trading in energy hedges. commercial pressure on • As a result of the 1998 reforms: there is a ban on exercising any sort of influence over transporters a generation subsidiary, which must be managed through its own officers, with its own responsibility board. for paying transmission • The Electricity Commission was established to address problems of: and - security of supply; distribution. - transmission losses; - grid capacity constraints; • Pricing - no liquidity or transparency in forward wholesale electricity prices; and, arrangements - limited competition emerging / occurring in generation and retail. should incentivise • If network companies were investing in generation it would help Government and the consumers to Page 16 of 67
  • 17. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Electricity Commission achieve their objectives. make a contribution to • After the 1992 crisis, electricity system operations were working around a hydro reliability. ‘minizone’ (storage availability) to decide when, and if, back-up capacity is needed. Do we need to revert to these centrally imposed security arrangements? • Pricing arrangements • There are not effective contingency plans in place to keep old, back-up plant available, should deliver as a consequence of constructing the electricity market in the mid-1990s around spot long-term nodal prices without any imposed longer term pricing arrangements such as loss of load contractual probability payments. arrangements that help new • Existing network-level regulatory signals are very poor at dealing with supply reliability investors get problems. The Commerce Commission’s price control formula linking volumes established and distributed and allowed income deters: a. energy conservation and b. uptake of give consumers distributed generation options that take load off parts of their systems (source of who put a revenue). premium on security • Bad signals from the regulatory regime also disincentivise spending on research and contractual development. The CPI-X thresholds only allow R&D expenditure to come out of profits certainty. and under no circumstances be passed through to consumers. • The annual minus-X adjustment erodes network profits and gives them the same immediate, operational focus that dogs the wholesale electricity market. • Does New Zealand need a major power crisis resulting in a substantial economic recession to get reliability back firmly on the policy agenda? Page 17 of 67
  • 18. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • For Lines Companies to comply with Part 4a of the Commerce Act defining thresholds • If a subjective for declaration of control of lines businesses: they must demonstrate no material process is used deterioration in reliability to define an “extreme • SAIDI/SAIFI thresholds screening mechanism – are used to identify breaches that may event”, why use warrant further investigation. an objective mathematical • Businesses may avoid post-breach inquiry if they demonstrate: Breach due to an process to extreme event. analyze it? • Views and • What is an extreme event? Definition from the Assessment and Inquiry Guidelines: opinions of • The existing Rodney Doyle “Where one or a small number of rare but high impact events has a significant and energy market / process material impact on a business’ reliability performance”. industry proposed for (Commerce stakeholders to handling Commission) • Difficult to use meteorological definitions of extreme events. Extreme weather limits are be expressed extreme events location specific, open to argument, and Extreme events may not be meteorological. and presented cannot make Presentation: to the decisions fast • Extreme events are self-defining. Key requirements for defining a measure Commerce enough to Extreme Events to identify extreme events: Commission. address the needs raised. Consistency – Applicable to all networks large or small, urban or rural. • Priority is to Efficiency – Clear classification of normal and extreme data. encourage best practice in Practicality – Should facilitate metric setting. outage mitigation, Suitability – Should use readily available data. supply restoration and Simplicity – Easy to understand and apply. network design. Page 18 of 67
  • 19. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) There-fore • Steps to identifying an extreme event: proposal aimed at improving 1. Collect up to five years of historical outage data existing practices more 2. Calculate natural log of daily SAIDI figures. than providing an effective 3. Calculate alpha (α) (mean of the log values). method for dealing with 4. Calculate beta (β) (standard deviation of the log values). real-time operational 5. Formula for an extreme event day boundary: requirements. Focus is on e(α + 2.5 β). reducing problems and / • If an extreme event is identified: or improving responsiveness Exclude data for extreme event days from SAIDI records. to current problems. Calculate average daily SAIDI of residual (last 5 years). • Extreme Substitute extreme event days SAIDI figures with average. weather events are very difficult Calculate new annual SAIDI figure. to anticipate from historical Test if threshold is exceeded. data, weather patterns and Decide on action. the shear complexity of • Need consistent reporting practices from lines businesses; Standardised reporting the statistical information for those in breach; Issues in reporting of “Step” restoration type models (and interruptions; hence their Appropriate allocation of outage cause; Evidence of extreme events to be notified to reliability) Commission a.s.a.p. to facilitate investigation and decision. involved. • The Commerce Commission recognise the geographic diversity; • Conclusion: Page 19 of 67
  • 20. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Distribution businesses should still identify best practice: outage mitigation, industry is very supply restoration procedures, and network design; Aim of improving overall service nervous and reliability. wants to be heard over the Commerce Commission’s proposed thresholds regime. Page 20 of 67
  • 21. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • Electricity Commission (EC) responsible primarily for: • Wide range of possible - overseeing electricity industry and markets. options and - ensuring dry-year reserve. alternatives to - Conducting electricity efficiency programmes; and transmission - regulating Transpower. upgrade in the Akld region • Transpower proposes Grid Upgrade Plans (GUPs) to EC. Focus: 400kV Whakamaru- have been Otahuhu transmission upgrade. considered. Robert Reilly Options (on behalf of Roy • EC involved because: favoured Hemmingway) include: - Load in Auckland is growing. building surplus (Electricity - A solution needed to meet demand at peak times by about 2010. capacity into Commission) - Transpower requires EC approval to be able to pass costs of investment on to existing its customers. proposed Presentation: - EC must decide if Transpower’s proposal is best solution. Assessment includes solutions to application of GIT. address future Alternatives to - EC must ensure other options have been analysed, including generation and needs and Transmission demand-side alternatives. reduce overall costs, and • Generation options considered: incorporate small - G1: Baseload co-generation (84MW co-generation at Marsden by 2010.) intermediate - G2: Baseload coal generation (320MW coal generation at Marsden by 2010 and investments to 320MW additional coal generation at Marsden by 2016.) buy time (defer - G3: Baseload gas generation (385MW CCGT at either Rodney or Otahuhu by investments) 2010 and 2 x 200MW gas generators in Auckland by 2010, and 400MW CCGT at either Otahuhu or Rodney by 2015, and 400MW CCGT in South Auckland by Page 21 of 67
  • 22. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) 2025.) - G4: Wind generation (75-150MW of wind generation in Auckland region by 2015.) - G5: Relocation of Whirinaki (155MW Whirinaki re-located to Auckland by 2010.) - G6: Peaking plant (Peaking diesel generation in Auckland by 2010.) - G7: Alternative technologies (200-250MW of emerging generation technologies from 2015.) • Demand-side alternatives considered: - D1: Interruptible load (IL) (Up to 200MW of IL by 2010.) - D2: Distribution Network Load Management (DNLM) (130-245MW DNLM by 2015 and 15MW ripple control replacement by 2010.) - D3: Energy substitution (70MW gas substitution in Auckland by 2015 and 1- 22MW solar water heating from 2015.) - D4: Energy efficiency measures (Range of measures including 25MW residential lighting by 2010, 17-63MW residential heating by 2015, and 25MW commercial measures by 2015.) • Transmission alternatives: - T1: duplex the WKM-OTA 220kV A and B lines, then install 400kV between WKM and OTA in 2021. - T2: install 220kV between WKM and OTA in 2017. - T3: install HVDC between WKM and OTA in 2017. - T4: install 400kV between WKM and OTA in 2017. • Next steps: - Assessment of ‘short short-list’ of alternatives (generation, demand-side, and transmission) by applying GIT (now underway). - Comparison of short-listed alternatives and Transpower’s proposal (Jan 2006) - Draft decision on Transpower’s proposed 400kV project (Feb/Mar 06) - Consultation (Mar/Apr/May 06). - Final decision (Jun 06). Page 22 of 67
  • 23. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • Lines companies can own: Non renewable generation up to 50 MW or 20% of lines • Advanced capacity. metering provides value • Lines companies can own: Unlimited new renewable generation (e.g. wind). for managing existing and • Lines companies can own: Reserve generation contracted to Electricity Commission. new energy options more • Capacity above 5MW or 2% is subject to arms length restrictions. effectively – Submissions who is Gareth Wilson should provide • Lines companies also prevented from trading in electricity generally and buying and investigating concrete, selling hedges. these (MED) evidence- opportunities? based • Exemptions from some or all of the restrictions may be granted on a case by case Where is the Presentation: information; basis. funding to and, specific research how Facilitating proposals for • Restrictions in place to minimise the opportunity and incentive for lines businesses to: new Investment in making inhibit competition; and/or technologies Generation by changes, taking cross-subsidise generation and retail activities. can improve Lines action etc. the operation of Companies should be given • Should arms length rules be relaxed? the electricity where possible. market? - Should the capacity threshold be raised? - What rules should apply to generation connected to another line owner’s • No research network? has been done on whether the • Should the legislation explicitly set out criteria for exemptions? market structure we • Should lines companies be able to trade in hedges? If so, to what level? now have is appropriate. Page 23 of 67
  • 24. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) • How could legislative uncertainty be reduced? • It is not clear • Discussion paper to be released March 2006 for comment from relevant stakeholders. how the various government departments and agencies are coordinating their activities, let alone cooperating to achieve an integrated cohesive electricity market development and management strategy. Page 24 of 67
  • 25. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • The EC is responsible for: ensuring that electricity is produced and delivered to all • Small scale classes of consumers in an efficient, fair, reliable, and environmentally sustainable generation only manner; and, promoting and facilitating efficient use of electricity. gets value for capacity from • Key outcomes: separate agreements - Investment in (distributed) generation, transmission, energy efficiency and with distribution Robert Reilly demand-side management. networks – • Electricity retailers do not (Electricity Commission value capacity - Remove barriers to distributed generation. Commission) wishes to be delivered. informed about - Access to lines for distributed generation. Presentation: problems • The cost of associated with installing export - Arrangements for the sale of surplus small scale generation. The Electricity the model meters could Commission’s arrangements be a barrier to Role and - Switching and reconciliation of small scale distributed generation. for the sale and DG uptake. Distributed purchase of Generation • The Government proposes to introduce regulations prescribing reasonable terms and surplus conditions on which line owners and electricity distributors must enable generators to be • Separate electricity. agreements are connected to distribution lines. needed with • The objective is to facilitate the use of distributed generation by ensuring that it does the retailer and not face undue barriers in connecting to lines. the distributor to gain full value from • The Electricity Commission will have responsibility for administering the regulations operating DG. and for proposing amendments as required. • The Electricity Act 1992 provides powers to regulate terms and conditions for the Page 25 of 67
  • 26. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) purchase by retailers of small surpluses of electricity from generating units owned or operated by consumers. • It can be difficult for owners of distributed generation units to negotiate terms and conditions with local retailers to purchase small surpluses of electricity generation. • The Government would like to see this barrier to the development and uptake of distributed generation reduced by setting appropriate terms and conditions for purchase of small electricity surpluses by local retailers. • The Government envisages that this policy should apply to consumers with generation units capable of generating up to 40,000kWh over a year. • A key principle however is that retailers should not incur ongoing financial losses by the requirement to purchase such electricity. • The Commission should seek to develop non-regulatory arrangements to achieve these objectives, but should recommend regulations or rules if voluntary arrangements are unsuccessful in achieving the policy outcomes the Government seeks. • The Commission has a role in facilitating Distributed Generation. • Model Retail contracts have provision for the sale and purchase of surplus electricity from small scale generation. • Existing rules do not prevent retailers from trading small scale generation. • Proposed rules will facilitate trading and switching of the output from small scale generation. Page 26 of 67
  • 27. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • Load management is useful when aggregated – due to scale and diversity. • Purchase of cheap • Demand-side is the ability for customers to effect an outcome on the electricity system controllable / market. load (from customers) is a • Load management involves an agreement with a customer to turn off a nominated big opportunity appliance or replace dependence on the network for an agreed duration. for lines companies to • There are a variety of historical technologies in place. Future ability and scope is increase Duncan Head growing with convergence of communications and energy infrastructures. network asset management (Vector Networks • Demand-side participation is not a “public good”, and it depends on the consumer’s • Coordination efficiency and Ltd.) choice between price and quality. It is left to value-seekers to incentivise uptake. of energy economic value investment – but load Presentation: • Demand-side has many valuing-adding applications: signals with management energy usage solutions must Mass Market - Transmission: congestion relief, alternatives, emergency management. required. provide value Load Control - Distribution: capital deferment, asset utilization. to all Issues - Customer: transmission pricing, load management (under time of use pricing). stakeholders in - Retail/Generation: energy hedging, portfolio & risk management. the value chain. - Other: energy hedging, spot market influence, compliance management, ancillary energy market services (e.g. voltage, under frequency). • Issues for effective load • It is doubtful whether any real long-term benefit is provided by the Transmission Pricing management Methodology (‘TPM’). include: gaining benefit from the • Controlling to TPM targets can bring forward investment in distribution network without transmission minimizing Transmission build. pricing methodology Page 27 of 67
  • 28. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) • Ability to reconcile actual benefits to third parties limiting demand-side application to including non-distribution users. reconciling peak load • Alignment of basic building blocks will enable value of demand-side to be realized. reductions with GXP price • Load management needs to create value for those involved. reductions (current • An integrated system is required to gain network benefits from load management. difficult). • Specific outcomes for network distribution load management are: network • An integrated management, asset deferral, and satisfactory customer price-quality trade offs. system is required to gain • Focus on reducing numbers of customers on traditional controlled appliances through network fuel substitution and personal choice. benefits using SCADA • Technology will change the current network load management paradigm. technology. • Vector Networks is currently embarking on a significant rethink of load management. • Vector is looking to • Vector Networks is looking to review incentives for customers to participate in demand- review side management, and how they participate. incentives for customers to • Vector Networks is looking at reducing free riders, so that demand-side benefits go participate in where they are created. load management • It is essential to be able to recognize value (created by demand-side participation etc.) options. and to be able to pass it on. • Load • Change in technology creates opportunities to establish next generation demand-side management systems and strategies, so that ripple plant’s days and historical ownership structures needs to create may be numbered. more value for those involved. • Ripple-relay control systems act like a Page 28 of 67
  • 29. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ‘sledge hammer’ – no longer appropriate for managing loads effectively. • Transmission pricing does not reflect system peaks. Page 29 of 67
  • 30. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • Technical issues associated with installing network-embedded DG include: Connection Arrangements; Protection; Over and Under-voltages; Stability; Auto Re-closing; • The option of Ferro-resonance; Metering; Islanding; Current Flows; Power factor; Under Frequency separating Protection; Harmonics. electricity Brent Noriss generators and • Commercial issues associated with installing network-embedded DG include: • Market rules retailers in the (The Lines Recovery of Costs including Engineering; Transpower Avoidance Calculations; Loss required to NZ electricity Company) Factor Calculations; Power factor; support the market might Dedicated Assets; Connection Contracts. complexity make it harder Presentation: associated with to address the • Industry issues associated with installing network-embedded DG include: Electricity connecting technical The Market ability to handle complex Distributed Generation Situations; Innovative Network distributed issues Experiences of Solutions; and, Plant Reliability. generation to associated with a Network networks in installing and Engineer in The • DG is exciting but involves a lot more engineering than most people realize. reality. operating King Country network- • There is significant difficulty in getting the various stakeholders to understand the embedded issues (let alone work together to address them!) generation. • It is not clear who is going to pay for what with DG installations and operations, let alone ensure that sufficient benefit is concentrated in few enough hands to justify project commencement. Page 30 of 67
  • 31. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • Eastland Networks Limited (ENL) has commercial and operational motivations for • Transpower’s investigating DG. plans to upgrade • ENL network characteristics include: low consumer density, low average consumer existing circuits consumption, fed by a long radial transmission line with high nodal energy prices. is limited considering • Capacity is a key issue with 47MW uncontrolled and 39MW+ controlled. There is a forestry trends single line, double circuit 110kV line, running through rugged erosion prone back- and the growth country. in regional Matt Todd processing and • A well- • The transmission assets are becoming n-1 constrained. log exports. (Eastland structured, Networks) diverse • 38MW per circuit during the summer. • ENL needs portfolio of non- Presentation: distributed • Peak consumption could grow to 80MW by 2011. transmission generation solutions that Maximising required to • Price is a key issue affecting the network: large customers have been paying 4 to 7 will address Value from make it (DG) c/kWh, new contracts (3 years) are being offered at 10 c/kWh. energy delivery Distributed work. prices and Generation • For forestry processing energy is a top 3 input cost. capacity constraints. • Investors in the region planning new developments need certainty around energy: price, supply (capacity) and contract terms (of supply / price). • The current electricity • Typical problem / challenge involves: investing in a forestry processing plant with a 25 regulatory year $100m investment to make, where energy is one of its top 3 input costs, and environment energy has risen 30% over the last 3 years, with a maximum forward (hedge) term of 3 does not to 5 years. provide incentives for Page 31 of 67
  • 32. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) • Investors need forward certainty to invest. lines companies to • Possible solutions include: upgrading the transmission line and adding a third circuit get involved and a new GXP, but increased transmission capacity does not address the price. with energy efficiency and • Non-transmission solutions can address both the capacity and the price: e.g. demand side management. - Increased demand side management and energy efficiency measures. - Installation of Distributed Generation. • Forest residue - Distributed Generation is seen as a portfolio of relatively small scale generation is a potential (sub 50MW) that provides surety of supply through diversity. source of - DG can address the capacity issue. energy, - DG can address the price issue. capable of - DG can help facilitate greater investor confidence. deferring lines upgrades, but • Demand side management provides better use of controllable load, and load shifting needs a large from on-peak to off-peak. heat load to justify • It is not possible to recover lost revenue from greater efficiency due to demand side financially. management. • There are opportunities for larger industrial customers to shift load. • Significant network constraint on the Mahia Peninsula 2 two months of the year over the summer when a 1MW diesel generator is operated. At the moment there are 800 ICPs, and another 500 ICPs are on the WDC plan. • DG provides capital deferral, reduces transmission requirements, improves network performance, and provides a sustainable local supply. • Biomass forestry residues provide hundreds of thousands of tonnes of wood waste per year of potential fuel. • Waste gas is available in Gisborne as a low cost fuel. • Co-generation gas is very attractive for process heat applications if long-term Page 32 of 67
  • 33. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ownership and contract issues can be resolved. • Hydro has huge appeal if supply variability, soil erosion, resource consents and large front-end capital investments can be handled. • 6 x 1MW diesel generators are installed to reduce Transpower connection charges, defer capital expenditure, improve network performance, sell energy output, and gain value from improved network performance (e.g. CPI-X). The downside is that running times are increasing and so are fuel costs. • Coal has major environ-mental and economic costs to consider. It also needs o be large scale (150MW+ to make it worthwhile). Also carbon tax penalties to consider. Furthermore, transmission capacity is not able to cope with this scale. • Wind energy has several benefits: it is environmentally friendly, unlimited invest-ment in wind by lines companies is allowed, its economic value is increasing all the time with scale of production, technology improvements and escalating energy costs etc. There is a large potential on the east coast. Several sites are currently being monitored. • Several issues with wind involve: finding suitable wind resource, dealing with low capacity factors, unpredictable operating cycles, sale of wind energy output, economics, visual and noise concerns, proximity of small sites to other infrastructure for delivery purposes and consumption. • The key to successful utilization of DG by ENL involves investing in a balanced portfolio of DG: where key attributes of each type are utilized. E.g. a portfolio of hydro, diesel, wind and biomass. • Evaluation of current DG options for ENL reveal: - Wind provides an immediate option. - Hydro suffers from a lack of geography and hydrology to support sustained storage limits. - Biomass is a very viable option but difficult to coordinate - Waste gas generation has limited potential. - Coal is expensive, has scale issues and serious environmental concerns. - Gas has an uncertain supply, high cost and lack of capacity is an issue. Page 33 of 67
  • 34. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) - Diesel is too expensive due to (increasingly) long running cycles. • The Electricity Industry Reform Act restricts lines companies from managing an optimal DG portfolio. • Regulation makes it not possible to purchase hedges. • Regulation is responsible for ‘arms length ruling’ and ‘corporate separation ruling’ limiting lines companies from selling their own electricity generation retail. • Small scale DG will not be economic unless the EIRA is relaxed. • Lines companies are by their very nature geographically located, asset owners with strong balance sheets and low cost of capital. They are a logical and appropriate investor in new generation. Page 34 of 67
  • 35. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • MainPower’s interest in DG is purely community-focus-ed. They are owned by their • MainPower customers, and profits returned are distributed as rebates on the power bills. aims to be a leading energy • MainPower’s vision is to be a leading electricity and energy services business, services committed to customer value and to the region’s prosperity. provider for the region which • MainPower wants to proactively respond to the energy issues facing their region. has a very high growth rate, no • No electricity is generated in the region, and $1 million leaves the region each week to current Todd Mead pay for supply from generation elsewhere. generation, and a wealth (MainPower) • MainPower can use local wind, water and solar resources to generate energy. transfer of over $1m per week Presentation: • Hydro power is a perfect complement to wind, and MainPower is currently investigating out of the small scale, minimal impact projects. region. Renewable Energy in North • MainPower has a number of pilot projects underway for micro-generation for homes • Community Canterbury and and businesses, and is currently installing solar power and energy-conserving shading. support is vital Kaikoura to support • Using local resources to generate electricity will bring real benefits to the North existing and Canterbury and Kaikoura communities, including: new alternative energy supply - a secure and reliable supply of electricity initiatives. Most - regional economic prosperity support comes - a better lines business (financial and operational management) from local companies • Significant benefits to the country as a whole include: motivated by community - a more diverse network and energy independence ownership and Page 35 of 67
  • 36. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) - environmental gains from saved emissions sharing of benefits. • Next steps for MainPower include: wind monitoring, hydro feasibility studies, and solar energy projects. Community support is considered vital to success. Page 36 of 67
  • 37. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • The pace of technological change usually precedes the pace of business innovation • Economic required to accommodate the new (technologically-enabled) opportunities realised. benefits from DG are • Furthermore, the commercial market derived from the prevailing regulatory / legislative greatest when environment is usually even slower to respond to the new business requirements lines identified (to make the new opportunities work). companies are involved. In • Some businesses may encounter minimal resistance to creating new markets, simply fact, financial Iain Sanders because appropriate legislation has not been developed yet and regulations do not incentives from exist: for example, the internet in its early days. distribution (Sustainable networks for Innovative • Other businesses however, may encounter stiff resistance to proposed market delivering DG Solutions) changes, especially if entrenched market positions of market incumbents are capacity can tip threatened: for example, telecommunications and electricity. the balance so Presentation: that DG is • There are several benefits from implementing better policies for managing electricity commercially Energy & assets: attractive if the Capacity technical and Valuation for - Improved stewardship and accountability regulatory Three Different - Improved communication and relationships with service users issues can be Networks - Improved risk management managed - Improved financial efficiency effectively. Key network • Improved stewardship and benefits accountability is achieved by: include: lines upgrade 1. Demonstrating to owners, customers and stakeholders that services are being deferral, T&D delivered effectively and efficiently. peak load 2. Providing the basis for evaluating and balancing service / price / quality trade- reduction, and Page 37 of 67
  • 38. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) offs. standalone 3. Improving accountability for use of resources through published performance system and financial measures. replacement of 4. Providing the ability to benchmark results against similar organizations stranded / underutilized • Improved communication network assets. and relationships with service users is achieved by: • Main 1. Improving understanding of service requirements and options. conclusion 2. Formal consultation / agreement with users on the service levels. drawn from IRL 3. More holistic approach to asset management within the organisation, through research into multi-disciplinary management teams. economic 4. Improved customer satisfaction and organisation image. viability of small-scale • Improved risk management is achieved by: network- embedded 1. Assessing probability and consequences of asset failure. generation: full 2. Addressing continuity of service. economic 3. Addressing the inter-relationships between networks (the chain is only as good benefit will only as its weakest link) and risk management strategies. be achieved if 4. Influencing decisions on non-asset solutions through demand management. firm capacity from network • Improved financial efficiency is achieved by: alternatives can be guaranteed. 1. Improved decision-making based on costs and benefits of alternatives. This is a major 2. Justification of all costs of owning / operating assets over the lifecycle of the technical issue assets. for research to address: e.g. storage alternatives, fuel dispatch strategies, control systems for DSM, energy efficiency etc. Page 38 of 67
  • 39. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) ISSUES SPECIFIC PRESENTER MAIN POINTS RAISED NEEDS • High network reliability is expected, essential, and must be maintained during load growth, load stability and load decline. • DG affects reliability in different ways: under load growth, load stability and load decline; and through the intermittent availability of DG and the need / use of fuel-based DG and CHP DG / fuel substitution. • Distributed energy can reduce peak load demand by: load shifting and storage; energy Alister Gardiner efficiency; fuel / source switching; managing the local site demand, and/or export to the distribution network. (Industrial Research) • Other network-embedded generation issues include: power quality, safety, stability, uncertain avail-ability, large numbers of small generators Presentation: difficult to control, may worsen the load factor, reduce grid energy delivered - worsening supply economics. Network Reliability and • Micro-scale distributed energy represents a vast untapped mass market of 1.7 million Distributed dwellings in NZ, plus a large number of small commercial users. Energy – Technical • Micro-scale systems can be used: to supply residential and commercial general Issues customers (101PJ), be user-managed to generate “behind the meter”, deliver intermittent or “dispatchable” (firm capacity), provide combined heat and power (CHP) from delivered fuel. • Micro distributed energy provides a higher source-to-service efficiency via combined heat and power from fuels, and avoided transmission and distribution losses. • Micro distributed energy provides increased energy supply resilience via distributed “self-healing” systems, and micro-grids. Page 39 of 67
  • 40. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) • Micro distributed energy provides unobtrusive growth by: capturing renewable energy (where minimal RMA issues), using small generators located on the premises – including the use of existing built environment (rooftops), enabling incremental growth, and facilitating network load expansion without (deferring) upgrading T&D. • Micro distributed energy provides advanced opportunities for SMEs, e.g. opportunities to develop and sell: SHW systems, inverters, fuel cell systems, storage and other conversion technologies, and, control and communication systems / components. Page 40 of 67
  • 41. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) 5. Supplementary Feedback from Participants Participants FURTHER POINTS RAISED • Today, investment decisions [generation, transmission, distribution, metering, and load management] are being made on short run marginal costing [SRMC] which lack, as a consequence, integrated planning. • Both kW and kWh distribution losses should be valued at various time periods, and at the long run marginal cost [LRMC] of supply from the bulk supply system. Many analysts undervalue these losses. Any reduction in transmission and distribution kW losses during system peaks will lead to savings in generation and transmission capacity. Due to poor metering, losses and customer loads are indistinguishable. It is much less costly to save kilowatts in transmission capacity and kilowatt hours in energy by reducing distribution losses, than by other means. Reduced electricity costs Brian Tolley can be achieved by improving consumer load factors coupled with improving network component and operational performance. Brian Tolley Corporation Limited • Measurement and management of the whole electricity system needs to be undertaken. The key requirement is timely information, and the management of that information, with a revision of back office software. Loss reduction can be achieved and capacity needs decided with timely and accurate information. • Debate on central versus distributed generation is the wrong way to analyse such major issues. Both forms of generation are needed. Solutions will emerge when an ATSMC-type analysis involving transmission, distribution network capacity, the age profile of assets and resource assessments, such as river and tidal flows, have been analysed and are collectively considered. Included in this is the fundamental issue of using smart metering and communications to undertake the correct research and analysis. Brian Tolley (see above) • T&D network, network component, metering and information supply performance evaluation research is required. To continue with deemed profiling using inefficient and ancient metering (providing poor information quality), will, as Alister Gardiner proposed by the Retail Market Advisory Group (RMAG) of the Electricity Commission, cause unnecessary costs, Industrial Research incorrect investment, incorrect pricing and inefficiency. Area and Time Specific Marginal Capacity [ATSMC] cost programmes proposed by EPRI, Industrial Research (submission to Ministry for Economic Development on “Facilitating Iain Sanders Distributed Generation”) and other organizations provide the necessary tools. (See Appendix 6.3 and 6.4). S.I.S. Limited Page 41 of 67
  • 42. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) 6. Appendices 6.1 Workshop Agenda 08:30 REGISTRATION 08:45-09:00 WELCOME ADDRESS, TONY PRICE, ACTING CEO, INDUSTRIAL RESEARCH LIMITED SESSION 1: ELECTRICITY NETWORKS RELIABILITY ISSUES 09:00-09:30 What Is Reliable Firm Power Capacity? Alan Jenkins Chief Executive Why Do We Need It? Electricity Networks Assoc. 09:30-10:00 System Reliability: Recommendations For Rodney Doyle Chief Advisor Extreme Events Network Performance Group Commerce Commission 10:00-10:30 Alternatives to Conventional Transmission Roy Hemmingway Chair, Electricity Commission Upgrades 10:30-11:00 MORNING TEA SESSION 2: LOAD MANAGEMENT OPTIONS FOR THE NETWORK 11:00-11:30 Facilitating Investment in Generation by Gareth Wilson Manager of the Electricity Gp. Lines Companies Ministry of Economic Develop. 11:30-12:00 Electricity Commission’s Role and Robert Reilly Senior Advisor, Retail Distributed Generation Electricity Commission 12:00-12:30 Mass Market Load Control Issues Duncan Head Divisional Manager, Business Development,Vector Networks 12:30-13:30 LUNCH GUEST SPEAKER, BRENT NORISS, ENGINEERING MANAGER, THE LINES COMPANY SESSION 3: DISTRIBUTED ENERGY IMPACTS ON THE NETWORK 13:30-14:00 Maximising Value from Distributed Matt Todd CEO, Eastland Networks Ltd. Generation 14:00-14:30 Benefits Derived from Distributed Todd Mead Generation Development Generation Manager, MainPower 14:30-15:00 Incentives for Embedded Distributed Iain Sanders CEO, Sustainable Innovative Generation – Three Different Perspectives Solutions Ltd. (formerly of For Three Different Networks Industrial Research Ltd.) 15:00-15:30 AFTERNOON TEA SESSION 4: FORUM FOR DISCUSSING ISSUES AND ANSWERING QUESTIONS 15:30-16:30 Policy and Technical Issues Associated Iain Sanders Facilitator, Panel of Experts with Distributed Energy Resources, the Electricity Market reforms, and network Reliability 16:30-17:00 Summing up, conclusions and close Alister Gardiner H&DE Platform Manager, IRL and Iain Sanders CEO, Sustainable Innovative Solutions Ltd. 17:00 CLOSE Page 42 of 67
  • 43. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) 6.2 List of Attendees First Name Surname Position Organisation Alan Jenkins Chief Executive Electricity Network Association Alister Gardiner H&DE Platform Industrial Research Manager Ben McQueen Project Manager Industrial Research Brendon Quinn Network Manager Electricity Ashburton Brent Norriss Engineering The Lines Manager Company Brian Cox Director East Harbour Services Ltd Brian Tapp Marlborough Lines Ltd Brian Tolley Bruce Geddes Power On Cameron Parker Spot Trader Genesis Energy Carmen Blackler Transmission Contact Energy Manager Chris Freear CEO NZ Windfarms Ltd Dene Biddlecomb Chief Executive Horizon Energy Distribution Ltd Dennis Jones Orion New Zealand Ltd Don Lewell Engineering Horizon Energy Manager Distribution Ltd Doug Clover Environmental Parliamentary Investigator Commissioner for the Environment Duncan Head Divisional Manager, Vector Networks Business Development Erick Coenen Technical Support Genesis Energy Manager Gareth Wilson Manager of the Ministry of Electricity Group Economic Development Gavin Bonnett Distributed Orion New Zealand Generation Ltd Gerry Te Kapa Coates Managing Director Wise Analysis Ltd (wants info sent to him) Glen Thomson Manager Grid Transpower Ltd Economics Greg Skelton Alpine Energy Iain Sanders CEO Sustainable Innovative Solutions Page 43 of 67
  • 44. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) First Name Surname Position Organisation Ian Shearer The Sustainable Energy Forum Inc John Huckerby Power Projects Ltd Jon Morris Industrial Research Kerian Byrne Marlborough Lines Ltd Kevin Stevens Industrial Research Matt Todd CEO Eastland Networks Mark Gatland Northpower Ltd Michael Callandar Energy Efficiency and Conservation Authority Mike Hearn Electra Mike Parker Grid Economics Transpower Ltd Lead Analyst Mike Staines Industrial Research Molly Melhuish Murray Milsom Senior Project Rockgas Ltd Engineer Nalin Pahalawatha Team Leader Grid Transpower Ltd Planning Paolo Ryan Commerce Commission Ralph Sims Dir, Energy Centre Massey University Robert Reilly Senior Advisor, Electricity Retail Commission Rodney Doyle Chief Advisor, Commerce Network Commission Performance Group Roger Paterson PowerNet Ltd Stephen Ward Strategic Energy East Harbour Advisor Services Ltd Todd Mead Generation MainPower Development Manager Tony Price Acting CEO Industrial Research Tristan Wallbank Suzlon Energy Page 44 of 67
  • 45. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) 6.3 Alternative Policy Frameworks for DG (By Iain Sanders) (Originally included as part of a submission by Industrial Research to the Ministry for Economic Development on: “Facilitating Distributed Generation”) Introduction The policy approach presented by Government in its DG Discussion Paper [1], represents a rather reactive approach to DG facilitation by electricity market incumbents. The justification for imposing DG regulations is that: “it continues to be difficult to determine what are the likely requirements for connection to the lines network, how costs are going to be shared, the nature of the connection contract and the expected timeframe to conclude a contract” [2]. Government can instead build on existing best-practice employed by various stakeholders in the NZ electricity market, and develop this knowledge base further – but as a result of taking the policy approach espoused in the discussion document, a limited customer-driven, utility-response view of DG facilitation has been created. There are three underpinning facts why this approach is limited and will stifle both competition, and the growth of DG in New Zealand. Fact One: Greater direction (and hence control) of the application process for issuing Resource Consents has been granted to local Councils [3]. Each local Council has its own criteria and prejudices for assessing individual resource consents. When the business interests and political agendas of Councils and DG-operators/owners clash: e.g. in the case of Environment Canterbury (ECAN) versus Orion Networks over fuel-driven DG emissions restricted to peak demand periods, lengthy delays may result. Project Aqua is a classic case of resource consent delays increasing project costs and delaying revenue streams vital to its financial viability [4]. Fact Two: “Difficulties in obtaining long-term agreements to sell electricity to a retailer or major customers have also impeded investment” [5]. Industrial Research can attest to this fact through contact with various prospective and existing non-retailer DG operators/owners. As a result, Industrial Research knows of at least three vertically integrated generator-retailers in New Zealand who resist / complicate attempts by independent DG producers to sell electricity to them at a reasonable price [6]. Industrial Research described this problem three years ago to the Ministerial Board of Inquiry into the Electricity Market [7]. The problem still remains and in its present form, represents a major impediment to DG facilitation in New Zealand. EECA has also described “the lack of standard agreements for electricity retailers to purchase surplus electricity” [8] as a barrier to developing the DG market in New Zealand. At the moment, energy retailers favour power purchase agreements with major customers whose business retention is worth more than any Page 45 of 67
  • 46. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) inconvenience caused by accommodating the purchase of DG electricity exports [9]. Fact Three: “Transmission and lines businesses are not obliged by necessity to include the impact of network embedded and distributed generation assets, or energy management and conservation measures on their network infrastructures” [7]. As a consequence, personnel responsible for infrastructure asset valuation, management and planning do not consider outsourcing network capacity options. This is the main reason why a customer-driven, utility-response will not create the market environment for the DG industry to develop significantly in New Zealand. “Renewal accounting of infrastructure assets for performance measurement derivation in transmission and lines businesses, should clearly stipulate that energy management and conservation measures, and network embedded and distributed generators, must be valued on an equal basis with other infrastructure assets. Equal status and financial weighting should be granted to these other options in order to maximise the economic and environmental sustainability and efficiency and reliability of new infrastructure asset management plans, taking into account the latest technologies and techniques” [7]. Until this is done, there will be very little incentive for lines networks to support (let alone encourage) grid-connected DG delivering capacity-support. For justification of this statement, take a look at the alternative tactics adopted by different lines companies for hooking-up and costing the interconnection of a Windflow wind generator to their networks [10]. In order to promote effectively the connection of distributed generation (DG) to distribution networks, appropriate standards, regulations and fair business practices must be applied. The effectiveness of these procedures will determine DG penetration in the New Zealand Electricity Market. Different regulatory strategies will have a greater or lesser chance of succeeding, depending on the legislative framework adopted for facilitating DG in New Zealand. This paper looks at different legislative frameworks for tackling this issue and how much impact they might potentially have on facilitating DG in New Zealand. Legislative Frameworks for Facilitating Distributed Generation There are four successive legislative frameworks that can be adopted for facilitating DG in New Zealand under the prevailing de-regulated electricity market environment that exists. These frameworks in order of progression are: A. Customer-Driven, Utility-Response Framework; B. Least-Cost Utility Asset Management Framework; C. Utility-Driven, Customer Response Framework; and, D. Temporal-Locational Market-Driven Framework. Each legislative framework will be discussed briefly in order of progression, building on the arguments presented in the framework preceding it. Page 46 of 67
  • 47. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) A. Customer-Driven, Utility-Response Framework The market incumbents permit DG facilitation on their terms. Prevailing energy supply and energy delivery rules dominate new regulatory arrangements. The Status Quo is more or less defended / protected. The Customer-Driven, Utility-Response framework follows the philosophy underpinning the suggestions proposed in the Government Discussion Paper (GDP) for facilitating DG in New Zealand [1]. The underlying assumption is “that the (New Zealand) investment environment is one of flexibility which should encourage investment in distributed generation that is seen as commercially attractive” [11]. From our experience at Industrial Research, if this were true, there should be a greater number of commercially viable DG systems operating in the New Zealand market today. This is not the case because of the lack of adequate disclosure of locational network capacity costs. There are no technical or commercial reasons why many more DG systems could not operate profitably in New Zealand today. This fact is borne out by numerous publications that have been written on this topic by Industrial Research over the past five years [12]. The primary focus of the Customer-Driven, Utility-Response framework in facilitating DG, involves preserving the vested interests of electricity market incumbents while minimising the risks associated with opening up the market to new entrants. The responsibility lies almost entirely with new DG market entrants to create and exploit opportunities that will lead to the establishment of sustainable DG businesses / projects. This process involves the prospective DG-owner / -operator initiating project proposals with various market- / regulatory-stakeholders in order to secure DG-interconnection rights, resource consents and power purchase agreements etc. The time-frame and budget allowed for this process, must be sufficient to ensure that the financial viability of the DG proposal is not compromised, if and when permission has been granted for the proposal to proceed (and provided no additional costs or time delays have been incurred). No business worth its salt would bother to investigate DG investment opportunities under this legislative framework unless they had prior knowledge of the overall impact on their bottom line of potentially costly and lengthy consultations with utilities and regulators – including arguments regarding the technical and economic impact of DG on the lines network (and providing adequate compensation to satisfy the parties involved). This represents a hit and miss affair regarding the technical and financial feasibility of DG proposals from a prospective investor’s perspective, and depends heavily upon prior knowledge of the strengths and weaknesses of the electricity supply and delivery infrastructure in the locality of the sites proposed. In many cases, this information is not known, resulting in additional time and expense for the lines network company to furnish the prospective DG investor with the information to decide whether a business proposal is worth preparing (yet alone pursuing). Page 47 of 67
  • 48. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Under this arrangement for facilitating DG, utilities will have to identify potential DG interconnection sites for base, intermediate or peak generation. Most likely the utilities will not have conducted interconnection studies for these sites, but based upon current knowledge of general system conditions, will at least select sites that are less likely to cause severe system impacts and expensive network upgrades. Interested DG-operators will still need to independently evaluate each site and assume all the risks should they decide to install DG at one or more sites. Furthermore, any or all of the identified sites may require appreciable network upgrades or may be otherwise unsuitable for a variety of reasons. Accordingly, the utilities will not warrant or otherwise guarantee the suitability of these sites for the DG-operator to locate new generation on their systems. This represents considerable extra cost to any prospective DG investor, on a project whose financial viability may be marginal at best. This process alone could eat up any profit an investor stands to make by proceeding with a ‘commercially viable’ project. The complex nature of modern electricity planning, which must satisfy multiple economic, technical, social and environmental objectives, requires the application of a regulatory planning process that integrates these often- conflicting objectives and considers the widest possible range of traditional and alternative energy resources. The availability of timely and accurate information on temporal-locational energy-capacity requirements is a prerequisite to informed investor decision-making for facilitating DG – and the basis for developing the three legislative frameworks described next. B. Least-Cost Utility Asset Management Framework Utilities are required to adopt and apply procedures that regularly consider and compare DG opportunities as a valid least-cost alternative to conventional wires and cables business operations. Information disclosure of these asset management practices is required. In New Zealand today, “Least-Cost Utility Asset Management” is not required for planning lines network company operations or for managing their assets. Basic Asset Management (BAM) practices – defined as the initial level designed to meet minimum legislative and organisational requirements for financial planning and reporting – are applied. BAM requires basic technical management outputs such as: statements on current levels of service, forward replacement programs and associated cashflow projections. BAM will not optimise supply and demand-side investments and returns at the distribution level, nor encourage a cohesive policy and business framework for including distributed generation-demand response measures in utility asset valuations. Advanced Asset Management (AAM) practices on the other hand, will achieve “Least-Cost Utility Asset Management”, by optimising the activities and programs required to meet optimum (agreed) service standards at minimised lifecycle costs. The objective is to look at the lowest long-term cost (rather than short-term savings) when making AAM decisions. AAM requires the development of management tactics based on collection, analysis and dissemination of key information on asset condition, performance, lifecycle Page 48 of 67
  • 49. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) costs, risk costs and treatment options. Selecting appropriate AAM requirements and standards for utility asset valuations will depend upon the following criteria: (1) Costs and benefits to the utility; (2) Size, condition and complexity of the assets; (3) Risk associated with failures; (4) Skills and resources available to the utility; (5) Customer expectations; and, (6) Legislative requirements. Legislative requirements is the most important criterion, defining the parameters affecting the scope of all the other criteria. Appropriate legislative requirements will benefit utility accountability, service management, risk management and financial efficiency. These benefits are summarised in table one below. Table 1: Benefits from Better Legislation of Infrastructure Asset Management Practices 1. Demonstrating to owners, customers A. Improved stewardship and and stakeholders that services are accountability by: being delivered effectively and efficiently. 2. Providing the basis for evaluating and balancing service / price / quality tradeoffs. 3. Improving accountability for use of resources through published performance and financial measures. 4. Providing the ability to benchmark results against similar organisations. 1. Improving understanding of service B. Improved communication and requirements and options. relationships with service users by: 2. Formal consultation / agreement with users on the service levels. 3. More holistic approach to asset management within the organisation, through multi-disciplinary management teams. 4. Improved customer satisfaction and organisation image. 1. Assessing probability and C. Improved risk management by: consequences of asset failure. 2. Addressing continuity of service. 3. Addressing the inter-relationships between networks (the chain is only as good as its weakest link) and risk management strategies. 4. Influencing decisions on non-asset solutions through demand management. 1. Improved decision-making based on D. Improved financial efficiency by: costs and benefits of alternatives. 2. Justification of all costs of owning / operating assets over the lifecycle of the assets. Page 49 of 67
  • 50. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) A formal approach to the management of infrastructure assets is necessary to provide services in the most cost-effective and technically efficient manner, and to demonstrate this to customers, investors and other stakeholders. The key to achieving major change in the emerging deregulated electricity market, is to develop a cohesive policy and business framework for including distributed generation-demand response measures in utility asset valuations. The goal of appropriately legislated utility infrastructure asset management is to meet a required level of service in the most cost-effective way through the creation, acquisition, maintenance, operation rehabilitation and disposal of assets to provide for present and future customers. The key is to develop a cohesive legislative framework for including distributed generation-demand response measures in utility asset valuations. Infrastructure asset management and valuation issues influence DG investments, through the creation, acquisition, maintenance, operation, rehabilitation and disposal of assets to meet a required level of service. These issues include: adopting lifecycle costing, developing cost-effective management strategies for the long-term, providing a defined level of service and monitoring performance, managing risks. C. Utility-Driven, Customer Response Framework Utilities develop the necessary tools to provide a consistent and thorough assessment of DG load management and capacity-support benefits as part of their regular business operations, and publicly disclose all the relevant information, in a timely and accurate manner for independent prospective DG investors / operators to respond. The “Utility-Driven, Customer Response Framework” develops further the concepts introduced for the “Least-Cost Utility Asset Management Framework”. Distribution costs vary significantly between utilities and between locations within utilities. Marginal costs also vary significantly by time of day and year. Where, and when, marginal distribution costs are high, there are often cost-effective opportunities for local DG to delay or eliminate the need for distribution system investments. Utilities vary significantly in the degree to which their existing data, planning processes, and analytical methods are suitable for considering DG alternatives. Few utilities have a well developed process for considering DG. Government legislation can significantly improve this situation by taking appropriate measures to develop objectives and strategies that oblige all utilities to adopt improved costing methods. Utilities should be in a position to identify the best opportunities for implementing DG projects, and encourage / discourage (as appropriate) independent DG investments via incentives / disincentives derived from the underlying drivers influencing the value or cost to the utility (table two). The underlying drivers of value / cost described in table two, could be used to inform prospective DG-owners / investors via appropriate information disclosure and dissemination, of the temporal-locational costs or benefits associated with any particular DG investment. In other words, sufficient information should be supplied by the utility in order for the prospective Page 50 of 67
  • 51. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) investor to make an informed choice about whether a DG prefeasibility study for a particular site should proceed. Appropriate utility information disclosure would have to be based upon improved costing methodology for electric distribution planning [13]. The most important objectives and strategies for improved costing methodology are summarised in table three. Table 2: Underlying Drivers of Value / Cost Driver Description Many drivers of cost can be characterised broadly by Location distinctions such as Remote vs. Urban, Constrained vs. Unconstrained, and Mild vs. Extreme Climate. The magnitude of the growth relative to capacity sets both the Load Growth timing and the magnitude of action required, and with it scales the magnitude and timing of investment. Customer-sited generation growth will impact the load seen by the utility as well, and may become an important element to consider in load forecasting. Distribution project alternatives that have time varying load Load Shape carrying capability must correlate with the peak periods in order to provide any value, so the load factor and peak timing have an impact on net cost. The vintage, performance, and specifications of the equipment Equipment already in place represent both opportunities and constraints for Characteristics feasible solutions. The availability, cost, maintenance and service requirements, Operational Details spare parts issues, and reliability features of new equipment alternatives determine the technical and economic capabilities for possible solutions. Available incentives, the possible methods of financing, taxes, Financial and budget constraints set or alter some costs and benefits, and Parameters may dictate some of the project priorities. Higher discount rates favour least first-cost solutions, and the net benefit or cost- benefit ratio can be very sensitive to the discount rate - slight adjustments can in many cases flip the ranking of two alternatives. If there are interactions between two projects such that two Synergies projects together are more valuable than the individual projects considered separately, then looking only at individual projects alone will miss possibly important cost savings opportunities. Direct costs can depend significantly on the attainment or non- Environmental attainment area status of the location and local permitting Considerations regulations and fees. Quality and reliability levels in the area depend not only on Power Quality and equipment (above) but also vegetation and climate. The realized Reliability customer outage costs further depends on the local customer value of service and customer demographics. Uncertainty in data, forecasting, regulatory climate, and cost Uncertainty estimates drive risk and strategic value, but also lead to risk averse behaviour by planners due to fear of being wrong (e.g. slightly overbuilding or overforecasting as a slight overcapacity has fewer repercussions than slight under-capacity). Are there opportunities or requirements related to public Intangibles relations, goodwill, learning, political necessity, etc.? Page 51 of 67
  • 52. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Table 3: Objectives and Strategies for Improved Costing Methods Objective Strategy 1. Know where costs are high. Differentiate distribution costs by location. 2. Know when costs are high. Differentiate distribution costs by time of day and year. 3. Formalise the evaluation process. Formally compare distribution system improvements to the most promising DG alternatives at the most important locations. 4. Increase effective lead time. Consider DG alternatives as early as possible in the planning process. 5. Ensure effective buy-in. Consider the financial interests of other parties in calculating the net costs to distribution utilities. Consider mechanisms to cost-share with other parties, and reflect these in estimates of distribution company costs. 6. Get started with established costs. Consider the role of societal benefits a lower priority issue. 7. Include all costs. Consider factors that are difficult to quantify in making decisions. The objectives in table three contain the key elements for developing a distribution costing methodology [13] that will provide relevant and timely temporal-locational pricing signals for prospective DG owners to decide whether or not to invest in a particular site-specific DG project. This information could be incorporated within current information disclosure practices for lines network companies. Lines network companies for example, using the information provided in table three [13], might be regulated to: 1. Differentiate marginal distribution costs by location. This helps identify areas where DG options are most likely to be beneficial. In doing this, utilities should consider both costs for distribution system enhancements, and revenues by location. Revenues can vary due to customer mix (and resulting differences in rate level and structure) and load profile. Utilities will discover that the financial impacts of load reduction will vary from site to site based on both costs of service and marginal revenues. 2. Differentiate marginal distribution costs by time of day and year. To select an appropriate DG solution, it is particularly important to understand both when the peak loads that drive distribution improvements are occurring, and what is causing those loads. 3. Formally compare distribution system improvements to the most promising DG alternatives at the most important locations. DG planning is a significant investment of time and money, and should be pursued where it is most likely to bear fruit. If there are questions about applicability, it is important that DG planners take the time to understand the alternatives, and conduct screening analysis to identify potentially beneficial DG applications. Where it is applied, distribution planning should be an Page 52 of 67
  • 53. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) iterative process that identifies and compares the costs of several potential options, including DG, to meet distribution system requirements. 4. Consider DG alternatives as early as possible in the planning process. Some DG alternatives have a longer lead time than typical distribution improvements, which are often planned and installed in less than two years. Efficiency programs, in particular, can take several years to reach maximum benefit. To effectively implement long lead-time programs, utilities may need to use alternative methods to their classical planning tools to “look ahead”. For example, utilities can evaluate load trends at adjacent substations, and focus efficiency programs in areas where there are potential capacity limits several years out. While these long-range planning methods cannot predict the need for capital improvements with certainty, this type of preventative action can reduce the risk of needing “quick solution” capital improvements. 5. Consider the financial interests of other parties in calculating the net costs to distribution utilities. Other parties, including utility customers, energy service providers, and generators, may gain financial benefits from DG implementation. Where customers are willing to coinvest in efficiency and generation, this reduces the costs of DG alternatives to the utility. Distribution companies should explore these areas of mutual financial interest, but distribution planning should reflect them only as they become practical options. 6. Consider the role of societal benefits a lower priority issue. Benefits can occur to the public at large, including economic development, less pollution, impacts on land use and visual aesthetics, etc. Many US states have in the past created regulatory and rate mechanisms to encourage utilities to pursue energy efficiency to achieve these goals. In some cases multipliers or adders have been established to reflect these values in least- cost planning. Commensurate provisions have also been made in many US states to assure that, where utilities fund initiatives that are rendered cost effective by these adjustments against their own economic self-interest, they have mechanisms to recover costs and (in some states) achieve additional profit. 7. Consider factors that are difficult to quantify. It is neither practical nor economical to quantify everything that is important for every proposed capital investment. Progress is likely to be faster if distribution planners and their managers use a decision-making process that explicitly considers both quantifiable factors and “intangibles”. The “intangibles” could include political and public relations issues, financial risks that are not formally modeled, environmental and broad economic benefits, and so on as appropriate. For most if not all utilities in New Zealand, the practices proposed in the “Utility-Driven, Customer Response Framework” differ substantially from existing regulatory requirements and business operating practices. There are Page 53 of 67
  • 54. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) however, concrete steps that Government and utilities can take to adopt a more practical, proactive approach to optimum DG facilitation in New Zealand. “These initial steps consist primarily of evaluating current status and developing a vision and roadmap for improving costing practices” [13]. This concept is developed further in the next section, under the “Temporal- Locational Market-Driven” legislative Framework for facilitating DG. D. Temporal-Locational Market-Driven Framework Complete cost transparency of temporal-locational market-driven prices should be site specific and publicly disclosed. The greater the number of sites listed, the greater the probability that prospective DG operators will identify economically viable time- and location-specific DG investment opportunities. This is necessary for sustainable DG facilitation in New Zealand. “The key concept of de-regulation in nearly every nation is that no one company should have a monopoly on either the production, the wholesale sale, or the retail sale of electricity and electricity-related services” [14]. Under this arrangement, DG-operators should be able to competitively negotiate the supply of electricity to energy retailers or customers at temporal wholesale prices (i.e. a Time-of-Use wholesale market price) or at a pricing-schedule equivalent to the existing energy pricing contract between a typical energy retailer and the DG-operator functioning as an energy consumer (minus a reasonable administration fee of say 5-10% of the energy price). Introducing alternative arrangements outside the wholesale market for transacting DG energy, and matching regional distribution network-specific demand with network-embedded DG, could help facilitate temporal wholesale pricing of DG. The New Zealand electricity wholesale market does not support localised or regional trading of DG under the existing regulatory environment. Significant steps towards rectifying this situation can be taken however, by introducing appropriate policy mechanisms and market incentives encouraging market participants to develop innovative, reliable, and less risky methods of meeting the nation’ s demand for electricity (e.g. a reserve-market for dry-year contingencies). Policies considered or planned include: demand-side bidding and multi-settlements; demand response (participation of load management in spot markets); opening the ancillary services market to DG (e.g. outsourcing network capacity planning); resource aggregation and management; increasing market liquidity; more economically efficient transmission and distribution rate design; and, public benefits programs, including funding mechanisms, in support of investment in long-term end-use energy efficiency [15]. The distinction between the Temporal-Locational Market-Driven framework proposed in this paper and the traditional central utility structure employed in New Zealand, is exhibited in figure one below. In the left side of figure one, the central hub generation and spoke transmission and distribution has been the typical pattern adopted by utilities to generate and supply electric energy. On the right side, a schematic of the possible structure of a future utility is Page 54 of 67
  • 55. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) presented. The schematic indicates that central station power plants will be integrated with distributed generation and storage devices. In certain cases, utility owned or operated modular generation technologies can serve remote loads that are too expensive to connect to the utility grid. T o d a y 's T o m o r r o w 's C e n tr a l U tility D istr ib u te d U tility ? is tr C e n tr a l G e n e r a tio n C e n tr a l G e n e r a tio n W in d R e m o te G e n se t L oads PV F u e l C e ll B a tte r y C u s to m e r C u sto m e r s E ff ic ie n c y M ic r o tu r b in e 1 Can Costly Upgrades Be Prevented? © 2 0 0 2 D i strib uted U tility A ss ocia te s Figure 1: The Distributed Utility [16] Locationally Based Marginal Costing (LBMC), is “a method of transmission pricing in which the actual (technical) cost of power at every location in the power grid is computed using some mutually agreed upon method, and the price for power transmission between any two points in the grid is then defined as the difference in the computed local prices” [14]. These prices are determined from electricity transmission losses and transmission limits (network constraints). These physical impediments to electricity trading cause competitive prices to differ, the difference being the price of congestion [17]. As a result, if the transmission line between two locations is inadequate to handle the desired trade between those two locations, the downstream location will be forced to buy power from more expensive local generators. This will raise the local price of power relative to the remote price, which is a standard competitive result and has nothing to do with centralised computation. This standard procedure is used by Transpower to charge distribution networks for delivering capacity to the Grid Exit Points (GXPs) where electricity transmission ends, and local / regional electricity distribution begins. Locationally Based Marginal Costing is used by Orion Networks to determine the temporal-locational value of DG capacity within its electricity distribution region [18,19]. At the moment, Orion Networks provides a single temporal-locational value for DG capacity contributions, alleviating annual electricity distribution constraints impacting its GXP locational fees to Transpower (the national transmission network operator). If the utility-driven, customer-response costing Page 55 of 67
  • 56. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) methodology was adopted universally by distribution networks throughout New Zealand, temporal-locational values for DG capacity contributions could be calculated individually for every GXP and every feeder station as well. The consequence of such a move would be to create a realistic picture of the net- worth of DG capacity contributions throughout the distribution networks. Such a move would create the “ultimate” secondary temporal-locational energy- capacity market for facilitating DG in New Zealand. In c r e a s in g V a lu e C r e a tio n fo r N Z M a r k e t (P r o a c tiv e ) A c c e le r a te d G r o w th & E x p a n s io n o f D G M a rk e t In c r e a s e d C o n tr o l Govt & Utility Constrained DG Market Govt & Utility Sustained DG Market & C o n ta in m e n t o f D G M a rk e t A B C D C u s to m e r- L e a s t-c o s t U tility -d r iv e n , T e m p o r a l- d r iv e n a s s e t c u s to m e r- lo c a tio n a l u tility - m a n a g e m e n t re s p o n s e m a rk e t d r iv e n re s p o n s e fr a m e w o rk fra m e w o rk fr a m e w o rk fra m e w o rk S O E ’s r e ta in m a r k e t s h a r e o f N Z ’s g e n e r a tin g c a p a c ity L in e s c o m p a n ie s & IP P ’s in c r e a s e m a r k e t s h a r e o f N Z ’s g e n e r a tin g c a p a c ity In c r e a s e d R is k M itig a tio n F o r E le c tr ic ity M a r k e t (R e a c tiv e ) Figure 2: Impact on New Zealand of Adopting Different Legislative Frameworks for Facilitating DG Summary The impact these different frameworks are likely to have on the New Zealand electricity market, are summarised in figure two. It is interesting to note that the pace of technological change usually precedes the pace of business innovation required to accommodate the new (technologically-enabled) opportunities realised. Furthermore, the commercial market derived from the prevailing regulatory / legislative environment is usually even slower to respond to the new business requirements identified (to make the new opportunities work). Some businesses may encounter minimal resistance to creating new markets, simply because appropriate legislation has not been developed yet and regulations do not exist: for example, the internet in its early days. Other businesses however, may encounter stiff resistance to proposed market changes, especially if entrenched market positions of market incumbents are threatened: for example, telecommunications and electricity. Conclusion According to a recently released report by the US Congressional Budget Office [20], “If the new rules and prices are well designed, the cost of Page 56 of 67
  • 57. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) providing highly reliable electricity service to customers who desire it and the total cost of serving all customers will probably fall as distributed generation becomes more widely used.” This paper describes four progressive frameworks for facilitating this new rule- and price-making process (see figure two). References [1] Government Discussion Paper (GDP), “Facilitating Distributed Generation”, Ministry for Economic Development, September 2003. [2] GDP Paragraph 44. [3] GDP Paragraph 34. [4] The Press, “Project defended” (Perspective, page A11), October 30th 2003. [5] GDP Paragraph 39. [6] Refer to Pupu Springs Hydro’s submission to the Electricity Inquiry in 2000 on Energy Retailer Power Purchase Agreements, entitled: “Submission #3: Pupu Hydro Society”. [7] Refer to Industrial Research’s submission to the Electricity Inquiry in 2000 on DG impacts of the existing NZ Electricity Market, entitled: “Submission #343: IRL Electrotec Group”. [8] GDP Paragraph 43. [9] This was the case when Christchurch City Council wanted Meridian to supply 3% of its electricity demand from Windflow’s 500kW wind turbine on the Banks Peninsula. Only when Christchurch City Council threatened to switch energy retailers did Meridian Energy comply with their request. [10] Refer to the Orion Networks website for information regarding alternative approaches taken by lines companies for rewarding / penalizing capacity- support from customer-driven DG (http://www.oriongroup.co.nz). [11] GDP Paragraph 33. [12] Refer to Industrial Research’s DG website at: http://www.irl.cri.nz/ [13] This methodology is discussed in a report of the same title found at http://www.energyfoundation.org/documents/CostMethod.pdf [14] Philipson, Lorrin. and Willis, H. Lee, “Understanding Electric Utilities and De-Regulation” , Marcel Dekker, Inc., New York, 1999. [15] Weston, F. et al., Accommodating Distributed Resources in Wholesale Markets, The Regulatory Assistance Project, Montpelier, Vermont, September 2001. [16] Chapel, S et al., Distributed Utility Valuation Project Monograph, EPRI Report TR-102807, Final Report, June 2000. [17] Stoft, S., Power System Economics: Designing Markets for Electricity, IEEE Press, Wiley-Interscience, New Jersey, 2002. [18] The Economics of Grid Connected Hybrid Distributed Generation, I A Sanders, A I Gardiner, Electricity Engineers Association of NZ, Christchurch, 20-21 June 2003. [19] Full 57-page report (of the EEA paper described in [2]) entitled: “Wind- Diesel Hybrid Potential” may be downloaded from: http://www.irl.cri.nz/ [20] Prospects for Distributed Electricity Generation, The Congress of the United States, Congressional Budget Office, September 2003. Page 57 of 67
  • 58. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) [21] Grid 2030, A National Vision for Electricity’ s Second 100 Years: Transforming the Grid to Revolutionize Electric Power in North America, United States Department of Energy, Office of Electric Transmission and Distribution, July 2003. Page 58 of 67
  • 59. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) 6.4 Capacity Metering for General Customers - Rewarding the Demand Side Delivery of Distributed Generation Capacity Provided by Large Numbers of Very Small Systems (By Alister Gardiner) (Originally included as part of a submission by Industrial Research to the Ministry for Economic Development on: “Facilitating Distributed Generation”) Definitions General customer-generator: an electricity customer whose energy consumption is metered by a totalising kWh meter, is subjected to deemed profiling, and who generates behind the revenue meter, primarily for own consumption. Distribution Company: the organisation that is responsible for power distribution in a specific region, which normally owns and operates the electrical distribution system. Micro-DG: Distributed generation of capacity less than 100kW per site, and generally less than 10kW. Summary There is strong justification for metering very small scale DG capacity Micro-scale distributed generation (micro-DG), i.e. very small-scale distributed generation generally connected behind (on the load side) of a revenue meter, offers a substantial opportunity for environmentally sustainable alternatives to the expansion of centralised supply side generation, transmission and distribution infrastructure. At present the electricity market has no mechanism for valuing the capacity that micro-DG can offer. Indeed, the industry is just getting to grips with how to value and transact the energy associated with DG connections. New Zealand currently has an excellent opportunity to lead the world in setting up a regulatory framework to provide fair access to the network for micro-DG. This paper shows how standard kilowatt-hour metering technology can be used to value and reward the capacity that any micro-scale own generation plant contributes to the network, down to the smallest size. This metering approach is low cost and economically efficient, and if adopted will simplify the currently propose regulations as applying to small general customers [1]. The basic premise of this proposal is that all generators, no matter how small, are entitled to use of the network, and that they should be rewarded for the capacity, as well as the energy that they deliver to the network. This proposal is the main conclusion from several years research into the reasons for lack of uptake of very small scale distributed generation. Without Page 59 of 67
  • 60. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) the introduction rules that provide for payment of capacity supplied by these generators, an opportunity for better alternatives to supply side expansion will be lost, and consumer choice will be curtailed. Introduction The market structure must allow efficient choice of delivery Efficient and cost effective delivery of electricity services is fundamental to New Zealanders’ economic and social well-being. The environmental impact of providing these energy supplies is significant and of increasing concern, and should be minimized wherever possible. It is imperative that an electricity market regulatory framework is put in place to fully value any energy resource that can be utilized in an environmentally sustainable way. Timely delivery of electricity services requires an energy production component, and a delivery infrastructure. Both the energy component and the infrastructure capacity must be available when required by the customer. The cost of infrastructure capacity can be many times the cost of energy. Distributed generation (DG) that can provide both of these components should be rewarded for both, even if the generation is connected behind a consumer’s energy meter. For very small-scale distributed generation, new metering is needed to measure its contribution to capacity. Micro-Scale Distributed Generation Research studies IRL has been evaluating the economics of various micro-scale distributed energy technologies for over five years. Many reports and papers predicting technology performance and system economics have been published over this time, notably in Energy Wise News and at the annual New Zealand Electricity Engineers Association Conference, e.g., [4], [5], [6]. This work has shown that based purely on energy sales, very few of these technologies are economic, nor likely to be in the next decade. More recently, we have turned our attention to examining and developing combinations of small-scale DG that will improve the level of firm capacity provided in support of the distribution system. This focus came from the realisation that the electricity supply industry in-general currently views small-scale DG as a problem rather than a possible solution to load growth. We have shown that if the time of use capacity support that small-scale distributed generation technologies can provide is fairly valued [2], some of these technologies are already viable, and will become increasingly more economic within the next few years. This is at present particularly relevant to rural and remote parts of the system, because of the higher cost associated with electricity delivery to these regions. As DG costs drop and central power costs rise, the economics will improve in wider scale applications [4]. Overall, micro-DG could provide an economically and environmentally attractive alternative to supply side upgrades in generation, Page 60 of 67
  • 61. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) transmission and distribution infrastructure in many areas, but only if market access regulations are in place to allow it to occur. The current proposals [1] are inadequate in this regard. Valuing small-scale generation capacity Typical own-generation micro-DG technologies are photovoltaic, wind, micro- hydro, and small fuelled generators. In this proposal, we make no distinction between renewable and fossil resources. Our research shows that combinations of technology such as wind-diesel hybrid generation can provide reduced risk (i.e., more consistent capacity) and improved returns to the owner [2]. The capacity payment received by an owner of these systems should be valued on the basis of the statistical capacity support that they provide during times of peak demand. To support load growth, new centralised and medium-scale distributed generation power plants require associated upgrades to transmission and distribution infrastructure. Depending on the location of the load, this T&D infrastructure can cost $1,500 to $5,000 per kW (e.g. $10,000 to $50,000 per km for LV and MV lines) or even more in remote areas, and is ultimately paid for by all electricity customers. Since micro-DG can avoid most of the incremental transmission and distribution infrastructure costs, measured micro-DG capacity support should be assessed and paid for in the context of these avoided costs, and as above, the cost passed on to electricity customers as line charges. Potential positive impact of micro-DG It is important to note that while many of the technologies have been available for some decades, the level of uptake of micro-DG is practically non-existent. This results from discouragement of private generation in pre-deregulation days, a current absence of uniform access regulations of any sort, and poor economics for the more widely applicable technologies (e.g. PV). However, this should not serve as a reason to draft regulations that close off the opportunity for these technologies to fairly compete and contribute to the generation mix. There are approximately 1.25 million dwellings in New Zealand. It would take an average of 5kW peak generation capacity associated with only 10% of these households to avoid 600MW growth in central generation and delivery infrastructure. Since micro-DG capacity will normally be provided in conjunction with load growth, the cost/kW average is not increased. In fact, through appropriate payment signals, load factor can be encouraged to improve and the overall cost/kW average will reduce, i.e. the system will be operating more efficiently. The potential for wealth creation through an active domestic market in these small-scale energy technologies should also not be overlooked. Page 61 of 67
  • 62. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) Technical Background It is generally recognized that individual micro-DG plants of only a few kilowatts have little impact on the distribution system, providing that basic technical standards are complied with. There is still some concern within the supply industry that significant levels of DG penetration in an area may cause network problems to surface, but 20% to 40% of the connected load supplied locally is unlikely to require special management practices. DG distributed across a large number of sites will almost always be technically preferable to a single injection point [7] (e.g. reduced voltage fluctuation), so this provides ample scope for distributed micro-DG to make a substantial positive difference to network loading. An arbitrary maximum is often decided in treatment of very small own generation connected behind the revenue meter. The proposed regulations [1] recommend a maximum generator capacity of 10kW. We find no technical reason why the DG capacity at any site should be limited to a particular low value. It is highly unlikely that every customer on a distribution feeder will want to connect DG, let alone up to a designated limit. Our contention is that general customer DG connections should be allowed up to the individual customer of the service mains capacity. This maximizes the opportunity for network support. For a three phase 100A, 400V ICP, up to 69kVA could be connected (3 x 23 kVA). The distribution company should have the right to restrict new additional connections if it can be shown that the performance of the network is at risk. Market Background MARIA allows energy supplied to general customers with mains of less than 100A capacity to be metered with totalising kilowatt-hour meters. This is usually billed monthly, often by estimate every alternate month. The individual profile of these customers is not known. A collective profile is used. These customers represent the vast majority of electricity connections to the distribution system, and present an ideal base for low cost connection of embedded generation. Our view is that the energy from any distributed generation provided by these customers, when connected behind the energy meter should be treated in the same manner, i.e. any surplus exported energy is simply treated as negative load. A small handling charge to manage the energy reconciliation would be acceptable. The capacity supplied by the generator should be treated in a similar collective manner. There is no need to treat this collective capacity any differently than other individual contributions delivered by larger scale DG plants. All that is required is a metering technique to record the contributions with adequate precision, so that the capacity value attributed to each generator can be calculated and reconciled. A solution is described below. Page 62 of 67
  • 63. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) The Metering Proposal for Small-Scale General Customer- Generator Capacity The approach is very simple, as indicated in fig 1. A two register kilowatt-hour export meter is placed in series with the distributed generator connection on the load side of the revenue meter. This is simply a standard two register import meter with reverse stop fitted (i.e. backwards energy flow is not recorded). It is connected in reverse, i.e. to record export kWh. The two register meter records on-peak and off-peak kilowatt-hours of generation in the different registers. The meter register is switched by distribution company, at the distribution company’ s discretion. This provides a means to determine the average kW capacity provided over any peak control period season, which is the measure used by Orion for DG capacity payments. At least 1 charge period (1/2hr) must be designated by the lines company for capacity payment in each season/year, to ensure that payments will always be made to capacity providers. An external signal for customer use must be provided. Means of signalling this register change would be up to the distribution company, but could include: • Ripple control • Radio paging • Time clock • Telephone modem • Or a more specific control signal based for example on the local system voltage level. This capacity payment approach is in principle already implemented by Orion Networks for larger customers. Our proposal is to standardize the application of this principle down to any capacity level offered by a general customer- generator. At the current Orion offer of $100/ average kW/year, this can deliver a substantial return for a distributed generator (at present only larger Page 63 of 67
  • 64. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) half hour TOU metered generators are allowed to access this payment. In remote regions with network constraints, a case for much higher payments can easily be made [8]. Our case study analysis for mini-scale wind-diesel hybrid systems [2] shows that based on Orion payments, typical annual revenue is shared 50:50 between energy production and network peak period demand receipts. Obligations on the Customer-Generator This class of customer generator should not pay additional costs for this connection since in general, there will be no incurred network upgrade costs accruing. Indeed, if a use of system charge was made, this would disadvantage DG against central generation, which pays no such charge. Standard technical connection requirements appropriate for this size of system would need to be complied with. The cost of the capacity metering and installation should be borne by the customer-generator (preferably having the right to own the capacity meter if desired), plus any dedicated plant necessary to deliver the generated power to the ICP. Obligations on the distribution company The distribution company would be required to provide a capacity payment schedule that, at a minimum, offered a fair payment for the on-peak kWh exported each year, or season. The capacity payment schedule offered would be subject to appropriate disclosure regulations, to ensure that a payment which represents avoided T&D costs is offered, less reasonable incurred transaction costs. Other more innovative products could be offered by the distribution company in different regions to promote desirable load-generation patterns. For instance, a premium could be offered for generation exhibiting a high onpeak/ off-peak differential in regions with poor load factor to encourage improvements. In times of national energy supply constraint, for example dry year events, promotions could be run to encourage high total generation levels. The distribution company would be responsible for reading the capacity meters and making the capacity payments to the general customer-generator. These would be required on at least a 12 monthly basis, with terminal payments made on request. The distribution company could appoint an agent, who may be a retailer or other third party (such as a meter reading company) to transact these operations. A reasonable handling charge of 5-10% for the meter reading and data processing services would be acceptable. Net metering This capacity metering proposal is very pertinent to the issue of net metering for small consumer-generators, and inherently provides for the proposed metering of exported energy. In this discussion, we take no position for or Page 64 of 67
  • 65. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) against net metering, but merely point out that the inclusion of capacity metering will also provide total export energy. If the existing revenue meter contains a reverse stop, the imported energy is as recorded, and the exported energy is simply the sum of the registers on the new capacity meter. If the existing revenue meter nets import and export, then the total import energy is this reading plus the sum of the registers on the new capacity meter. Export energy is the sum of the registers on the capacity meter, as before. If it is decided under the regulations that total energy export metering is required, the distribution company and relevant retailer would need to enter an agreement regarding collection and sharing of this data. Summary This metering approach provides a simple, cost effective way to record and reward capacity support from micro-DG. • Statistically accurate capacity pricing signals for the customer- generator to respond to • Capacity needs managed by distribution companies in a similar way to load control, but not directly controlled • Generation equipment owned, operated and maintained by customer, so minimum administrative overhead • Flexible options for encouraging efficient load profiles in response to local needs We strongly recommend that this or a similar approach to value the capacity supplied by micro-DG be adopted by the Electricity Commission under the new distributed generation rules. References [1] Facilitating Distributed Generation – A discussion paper, Resources and Networks Branch, MED, September 2003, ISBN 0-478 26350-3 [2] The Economics of Grid Connected Hybrid Distributed Generation, I Sanders and A I Gardiner, 2003 Annual EEA Conference, Christchurch; and, The Economics of Mini-Scale Embedded Wind-Diesel Generation, (elaborating on the EEA publication) [3] Orion Distributed Generation Information Pack, obtainable from Orion New Zealand Limited, PO Box 13896, Christchurch, New Zealand [4] Possible Impact of Micro-Scale Distributed Energy Technologies on Existing Supply, A I Gardiner, I A Sanders, Industrial Research Limited, NZ Energy Conference 2002, Wellington, NZ, 7-8 October 2002 [5] Are Microgrids the Answer for Post 2013?, A I Gardiner and I A Sanders, Electrical Engineers Association of NZ Conference, Christchurch New Zealand, 21-22 June 2002 [6] A Renewable Resource Assessment Atlas of New Zealand, I A Sanders and A I Gardiner, EnergyWise News, EECA, June 2000, Issue 66, pp28-30 Page 65 of 67
  • 66. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) [7] Deferment of Upgrades to Weak Lines Through New Technology, R D Brough and A I Gardiner, Electrical Engineers Association of NZ Conference, Christchurch New Zealand, 21-22 June 2002 [8] http://www.energyfoundation.org/documents/costmethod.pdf Page 66 of 67
  • 67. Network Reliability and Firm Power Capacity Workshop: December 2005 (IRL, Wellington) This report was prepared by: Dr. Iain Sanders Managing Director Sustainable Innovative Solutions Ltd. P.O. Box 20-452 Bishopdale Christchurch 8030 New Zealand Tel / Fax: +64 3 359 2151 Email: sis.limited@gmail.com Page 67 of 67