VACCINE BANKS: Policy options evaluated
EUFMD conference 2018
Ron Bergevoet
Ron.Bergevoet@wur.nl
Outline
 Background
 Evaluation framework
 Approach
 Conclusions
2
Background
 EU animal health law
● Vaccination strategy should be part of MS’s
contingency plan
 Increased interested in vaccine banks (e.g. USA)
 Policy options: vaccination in increasing number of
MS considered as part of the eradication strategy
 Vaccine bank options:
● Intergovernmental: EU vaccine bank
● MS vaccine banks
● Larger networks of collaborating vaccine banks
3
Evaluation framework
 EU developed evaluation framework for ex ante and ex
post policy evaluation
 The evaluation will use five evaluation criteria specified
for evaluation of EU-funded programmes:
● Relevance
● Effectiveness
● Efficiency
● Value added
● Coherence
4
Relevance
Effectiveness
EfficiencyValue added
Coherence
Relevance
 Q1: Is vaccination needed as part of the control strategy for FMD?
 Policy options: EU min or EU min + additional measures (preemptive culling or
vaccination)
 Factors that contribute to decision to vaccinate: e.g. farm density and
structure in the infected area, multifocal introduction, high risk of
uncontrollable spread of infection, inadequate capacity or resources for control
by non-vaccination, or measures economically, socially or ethically
unacceptable (ref SANCO/7070/2010)  epi-eco modelling
 Answer: vaccination and access to vaccine banks is/is not relevant for an
effective control of FMD outbreaks in my MS.
 But only access to EU vaccine bank or also own vaccine bank?
5
The extent to which an intervention's
objectives are pertinent to needs, problems
and issues.
Effectiveness
 Q: is having an own vaccine bank
more effective than having access to
the EU vaccine bank?
6
The extent to which objectives
pursued by an intervention are
achieved.
# doses Moment of
availability
of vaccine
European Union
Vaccine Bank
36 million doses, all 7
serotypes, 16 strains
4- 14 days
Individual MS
5 EU MS; 3 non-EU
MS
37,8 million doses 6
serotypes and 18
antigens
?
Amount of vaccine available / time to prepare
for vaccination
Epidemiologic and economic consequences
Efficiency
 Q: What is the cost effectiveness of the two options?
 In case of an outbreak to evaluate difference between alternatives:
● Outbreak costs/ probability of extreme costly outbreaks
● Frequency of outbreaks
 In period without outbreaks:
● Peace time costs (contracts)  annual costs per year with no
outbreaks
● Different forms of existing and future contracts
● Alternative use of vaccine/ Availability for others
● Stocks need to be replaced every 2-5 years
7
Best relationship between resources employed
and results achieved in pursuing a given
objective through an intervention.
Value added
 Q: What is the added value of having a own vaccine bank
 Factors that contribute to decision:
● The risk of having an outbreak
● # doses available from different sources
● Situation in other participants in vaccine bank
  previous steps shows whether having an own vaccine back has benefits for
a your MS.
8
The value resulting from applying policy
measures at the different levels, the value that
would have resulted from applying similar
measures at regional or national level or EU by
public authorities or the private sector.
Coherence
 Vaccination strategy and having access to vaccine banks is:
● part of the new Animal health law (Regulation (EU) 2016/429)
● has legal base for vaccine bank is Council Decision 91/666 and
Council Directive 2003/85/EC
● in line with OIE recommendations
● in line with new insights on the control of FMD (vaccination to
live strategies)
9
The extent to which the intervention does
have synergy and does not contradict other
interventions with similar objectives
Other alternatives
 A ‘global’ and interactive vaccine bank association:
agreeing a system of resource sharing that could
orchestrate additional emergency cover with vaccine or
antigen from the reserves of network members. (Barnett
et a, 2010)
● Team-up with neighbor or with partners further away
● The probability that you need your vaccine bank is decreasing
with the success of our FMD eradication and control strategy:
challenge to maintain funding
 Assured Emergency Supply OPtions(AESOP) -for FMD
vaccines (EUFMD 2018)
10
Conclusions
 The presented evaluation
framework can support the
decision making process by
structuring the evaluation.
 Optimal decision can differ
between MS
 Are there other options to
maintain access to vaccine
stocks?
11
Thank for your
attention
Questions?
12

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OS18 - 3.a.1 Vaccine banks: policy options evaluated using the EU evaluation Framework - R. Bergevoet

  • 1. VACCINE BANKS: Policy options evaluated EUFMD conference 2018 Ron Bergevoet Ron.Bergevoet@wur.nl
  • 2. Outline  Background  Evaluation framework  Approach  Conclusions 2
  • 3. Background  EU animal health law ● Vaccination strategy should be part of MS’s contingency plan  Increased interested in vaccine banks (e.g. USA)  Policy options: vaccination in increasing number of MS considered as part of the eradication strategy  Vaccine bank options: ● Intergovernmental: EU vaccine bank ● MS vaccine banks ● Larger networks of collaborating vaccine banks 3
  • 4. Evaluation framework  EU developed evaluation framework for ex ante and ex post policy evaluation  The evaluation will use five evaluation criteria specified for evaluation of EU-funded programmes: ● Relevance ● Effectiveness ● Efficiency ● Value added ● Coherence 4 Relevance Effectiveness EfficiencyValue added Coherence
  • 5. Relevance  Q1: Is vaccination needed as part of the control strategy for FMD?  Policy options: EU min or EU min + additional measures (preemptive culling or vaccination)  Factors that contribute to decision to vaccinate: e.g. farm density and structure in the infected area, multifocal introduction, high risk of uncontrollable spread of infection, inadequate capacity or resources for control by non-vaccination, or measures economically, socially or ethically unacceptable (ref SANCO/7070/2010)  epi-eco modelling  Answer: vaccination and access to vaccine banks is/is not relevant for an effective control of FMD outbreaks in my MS.  But only access to EU vaccine bank or also own vaccine bank? 5 The extent to which an intervention's objectives are pertinent to needs, problems and issues.
  • 6. Effectiveness  Q: is having an own vaccine bank more effective than having access to the EU vaccine bank? 6 The extent to which objectives pursued by an intervention are achieved. # doses Moment of availability of vaccine European Union Vaccine Bank 36 million doses, all 7 serotypes, 16 strains 4- 14 days Individual MS 5 EU MS; 3 non-EU MS 37,8 million doses 6 serotypes and 18 antigens ? Amount of vaccine available / time to prepare for vaccination Epidemiologic and economic consequences
  • 7. Efficiency  Q: What is the cost effectiveness of the two options?  In case of an outbreak to evaluate difference between alternatives: ● Outbreak costs/ probability of extreme costly outbreaks ● Frequency of outbreaks  In period without outbreaks: ● Peace time costs (contracts)  annual costs per year with no outbreaks ● Different forms of existing and future contracts ● Alternative use of vaccine/ Availability for others ● Stocks need to be replaced every 2-5 years 7 Best relationship between resources employed and results achieved in pursuing a given objective through an intervention.
  • 8. Value added  Q: What is the added value of having a own vaccine bank  Factors that contribute to decision: ● The risk of having an outbreak ● # doses available from different sources ● Situation in other participants in vaccine bank   previous steps shows whether having an own vaccine back has benefits for a your MS. 8 The value resulting from applying policy measures at the different levels, the value that would have resulted from applying similar measures at regional or national level or EU by public authorities or the private sector.
  • 9. Coherence  Vaccination strategy and having access to vaccine banks is: ● part of the new Animal health law (Regulation (EU) 2016/429) ● has legal base for vaccine bank is Council Decision 91/666 and Council Directive 2003/85/EC ● in line with OIE recommendations ● in line with new insights on the control of FMD (vaccination to live strategies) 9 The extent to which the intervention does have synergy and does not contradict other interventions with similar objectives
  • 10. Other alternatives  A ‘global’ and interactive vaccine bank association: agreeing a system of resource sharing that could orchestrate additional emergency cover with vaccine or antigen from the reserves of network members. (Barnett et a, 2010) ● Team-up with neighbor or with partners further away ● The probability that you need your vaccine bank is decreasing with the success of our FMD eradication and control strategy: challenge to maintain funding  Assured Emergency Supply OPtions(AESOP) -for FMD vaccines (EUFMD 2018) 10
  • 11. Conclusions  The presented evaluation framework can support the decision making process by structuring the evaluation.  Optimal decision can differ between MS  Are there other options to maintain access to vaccine stocks? 11