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An Overview of Segmentation:
  Why You Should Consider It
And a Thumbnail of Its Dynamics

                  Prepared by:
               Edward J. Hass, Ph.D.
    Vice President – Advanced Research Methods
The Motivation to Segment

The ultimate outcome of    We all understand that consumers are not all alike. This provides a
        segmentation is    challenge for the development and marketing of profitable products and
   superior satisfaction   services. Not every offering will be right for every customer, nor will
          with what you    every customer be equally responsive to your efforts to bring your
                provide.
                           offering to their awareness. Success in these regards requires a
                           targeted approach to ensure bottom-line efficient use of product
                           development and promotional resources.

                           Segmentation is an informed means to organize customers into groups
                           that allow such targeting. The ultimate goal of segmentation for you is
                           the pragmatism of superior deployment and utilization of corporate
                           performance capabilities in meeting the needs and expectations of the
                           customer population. The ultimate outcome of segmentation for the
                           customer is superior satisfaction with what you provide.

                           Segmentation touches on matters that directly impact, and derive from,
                           your business strategy. On what type of customers should you focus
                           your efforts? How broad or narrow should your focus be? In which
                           competitive space is it most profitable for you to operate? Getting the
                           answers to these types of questions by means of a segmentation
                           analysis increases the chance for you to establish, maintain, and grow
                           a loyal customer base.


                           What Segmentation Does

                           Segmentation partitions a general population with the goal of tailoring
                           actions toward specific subgroups. It is a way of organizing customers
                           into groups with similar traits, performance characteristics or
                           expectations. These similarities can be obvious and simple at one
                           extreme or subtle and complex at the other. Information requirements
                           and the “organizing tools” used to create the segments vary greatly as
                           the nature and purpose of segmentation changes.

                           Consider a very simple segmentation exercise, one in which segments
                           were predetermined. Such an a priori scheme might begin with dividing
                           a customer base by zip code, with the eventual goal of regionally-based
                           promotions. Such data could then be crossed with sales data to see
                           which zip codes are heavier or lighter users of the product or service.
                           The output from that analysis would then be weighed against a
                           particular business strategy, such as working on maintaining loyalty
                           versus winning new customers.

                           While this approach may serve well as an exploratory attempt at
                           understanding how customers differ, it is a rather blunt instrument in
                           several regards. First, the partitioning takes place at a fairly gross
level, employing only the two variables of zip code and level of
product use. And then, it describes a situation without prescribing
the nature of an action that might be taken. Furthermore,
segmentation by its very nature assumes that all customers within a
segment are more alike than unalike – and that they are more
different from customers in other segments than similar to them.
Hence, using this very simple segmentation scheme, all customers
in a zip code would be considered alike. So any action taken
toward that zip code would be assumed to have the same response
from all customers in that zip code, clearly a very chancy
assumption.

Now consider a more complex example. Instead of starting with
completely predetermined segments, we actually search for a
segmenting rationale to infer to a population. And we do that with
variables that will inform us of customer motivations, trying to
understand the Why? behind purchase behavior. We might include
a bank of attitude statements surrounding purchase decisions in our
survey, or ask the importance of select product/service features,
lifestyle questions and demographic questions. With this we would
not only have the potential for a much more finely-tuned partitioning
of customers, but also a much more actionable partitioning.


An Example

We have a client who is planning to enter the Internet
telecommunications marketplace and needs to understand what
customers view as important from their phone service. Having
determined whether there are differences between customers in
that regard, and the nature of those differences, our client will be
able to devise a strategy to target customers most in line with their
currently planned service offerings. For future development, such a
segmentation can also point directions for new services.

We ask respondents to rate each of the following in importance
when considering the type of Internet service they would use:

       •   Conveniently available
       •   Inexpensive
       •   Is portable
       •   High speed band width
       •   Free connection
       •   Excellent security
       •   Reliable service
       •   Phone interface
       •   International access
In addition, we ask our sample to rate how well they perceive each
of several providers to perform in each of these areas.

Unless each of the 1000 respondents we survey gives identical
ratings, our data will contain variations that we can use to cluster or
group respondents together, and such clusters are the segments.
The mathematical algorithms we employ produce segments such
that:

       a) variation within the segments is minimized
       b) variation across the segments is maximized

This yields groupings of customers that are most similar to each
other if they are part of the same segment and most different from
each other if they are part of different segments. By inference,
then, actions taken toward customers in the same segment should
lead to similar responses, and actions taken toward customers in
different segments should lead to different responses.

Another way of saying this, in our telecommunications example, is
that the aspects of Internet telecommunications that are important
to any given customer in one segment will also be important to
other customers in that same segment. Furthermore, those aspects
that are important to that customer will be different from what is
important to a customer in a different segment. Here is what the
analysis in this example showed:
Segmentation


      Convenient          AT&T                                 SPRINT

                                                                              Free Connections
             Segment-                                      Segment-
                A                                                             Low Cost
                                                              B
              (52%)                                         (24%)
                                  High Speed
                                                                              Security


   Portable choice
                            MCI
                                                                          Reliable


VERIZON                    Segment-
                          Ego                   Segment-         COMCAST
       International
                               D                   C
                                                                 PacTel
       Access                (10%)               (14%)
                                                                   Phone Interface




                     Our analysis shows four distinct segments. The majority of
                     customers
                     (Segment A, 52%) want mainly convenience from their service;
                     AT&T is perceived as convenient. Another quarter of customers
                     (Segment B, 24%) seek low cost and free connections, which
                     seems to be a Sprint characteristic. Two smaller segments seek,
                     respectively, a phone interface from their Internet
                     telecommunications (Segment C, 14%) or international access
                     (Segment D, 10%); Comcast and PacTel apparently meet the first
                     need, and Verizon the second.

                     In this case, there are a number of strategic options for the client to
                     consider. There seem to be open competitive spaces for customers
                     who might want portability, or reliability. Can such a need be
                     created, drawing customers from existing segments, or drawing
                     entirely new customers who might desire such qualities? None of
                     the current suppliers tested seem to satisfy jointly the need for a
                     phone interface with international access, nor to be both convenient
                     and low cost. Could our client make a claim to either combination,
                     or to develop a service that would make such joint claims? There
                     might be opportunities there.
How The Analysis Is Accomplished

Segmentations are generally performed via cluster analysis. There
are numerous specific techniques used for cluster analysis. Some
operate by treating all respondents initially as part of the same
cluster, then splitting the sample along “natural” fracture lines based
on survey responses, much like cutting a diamond (divisive
techniques). Others start by assuming all respondents belong in
different clusters, but then build larger and larger groupings based
on comparing survey responses (agglomerative techniques).

All methods share in common the computation of a measure of
similarity among respondents. Some techniques define similarity
on the basis of feature comparison, others employ the physical
metaphor of distance. In any case, the analysis takes the data
we’ve collected (behaviors, geography, attitudes, beliefs, benefits
sought, etc), scores respondents in a multivariate fashion, and
using a criterion we’ve selected, clusters respondents based on
whether they meet the similarity criterion level for inclusion with
other respondents.

There are many tools at the disposal of the segmentation analyst.
You may hear such diverse techniques as single linkage, complete
linkage, Ward’s method, polythetic, k-means interative partitioning,
CHAID, latent class cluster analysis, etc, etc. In fact the choice of
technique can determine the nature of the solution, so it is
legitimate, standard practice to use multiple methods and search for
convergence. Such convergence lends assurance that a valid
solution has been found.

But even with that, the utility of a clustering solution requires an
interpretation of substance within the context of “reality” based on
the applied discipline of the research. How does the
telecommunications industry work? Does this answer make sense
in the context of my knowledge of the pharmaceutical industry?
What are the constraints of financial services that impart credibility
to this result? The statistical solution must always be filtered
through intelligence about the industry environment in order for the
result to be accepted and acted upon.

Conclusion

Marketers accept the construct that what consumers seek out in
products and services is not uniform across all potential users – we
are no longer in the age of Henry Ford, who said, “The customer
can have any color car he wants, so long as it is black.”
Segmentation analysis shares this same construct – to conduct a
segmentation is to seek out differences in customers to capitalize
upon for ensuring maximum product uptake and brand loyalty. The
sophisticated multivariate techniques we employ for segmentation
are simply the tools to reduce the massive amount of data on
customer wants and needs to a manageable form so that we can
make educated targeting decisions. Hence, strategic customer
segmentation exists in service of the goal of striving to place the
right product or service with the right customer, to the benefit of all
involved.

Next Steps

Think about the business challenge confronting you. If the
questions you ask include such words as “targeting”, “customer
differences”, or “where to focus”, the chances are very strong that
segmentation analysis will be crucial for informing your decision
making. Discuss the problem with your research consultant in light
of the background you’ve gained from this white paper.

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Segmentation white paper_final_111505

  • 1. An Overview of Segmentation: Why You Should Consider It And a Thumbnail of Its Dynamics Prepared by: Edward J. Hass, Ph.D. Vice President – Advanced Research Methods
  • 2. The Motivation to Segment The ultimate outcome of We all understand that consumers are not all alike. This provides a segmentation is challenge for the development and marketing of profitable products and superior satisfaction services. Not every offering will be right for every customer, nor will with what you every customer be equally responsive to your efforts to bring your provide. offering to their awareness. Success in these regards requires a targeted approach to ensure bottom-line efficient use of product development and promotional resources. Segmentation is an informed means to organize customers into groups that allow such targeting. The ultimate goal of segmentation for you is the pragmatism of superior deployment and utilization of corporate performance capabilities in meeting the needs and expectations of the customer population. The ultimate outcome of segmentation for the customer is superior satisfaction with what you provide. Segmentation touches on matters that directly impact, and derive from, your business strategy. On what type of customers should you focus your efforts? How broad or narrow should your focus be? In which competitive space is it most profitable for you to operate? Getting the answers to these types of questions by means of a segmentation analysis increases the chance for you to establish, maintain, and grow a loyal customer base. What Segmentation Does Segmentation partitions a general population with the goal of tailoring actions toward specific subgroups. It is a way of organizing customers into groups with similar traits, performance characteristics or expectations. These similarities can be obvious and simple at one extreme or subtle and complex at the other. Information requirements and the “organizing tools” used to create the segments vary greatly as the nature and purpose of segmentation changes. Consider a very simple segmentation exercise, one in which segments were predetermined. Such an a priori scheme might begin with dividing a customer base by zip code, with the eventual goal of regionally-based promotions. Such data could then be crossed with sales data to see which zip codes are heavier or lighter users of the product or service. The output from that analysis would then be weighed against a particular business strategy, such as working on maintaining loyalty versus winning new customers. While this approach may serve well as an exploratory attempt at understanding how customers differ, it is a rather blunt instrument in several regards. First, the partitioning takes place at a fairly gross
  • 3. level, employing only the two variables of zip code and level of product use. And then, it describes a situation without prescribing the nature of an action that might be taken. Furthermore, segmentation by its very nature assumes that all customers within a segment are more alike than unalike – and that they are more different from customers in other segments than similar to them. Hence, using this very simple segmentation scheme, all customers in a zip code would be considered alike. So any action taken toward that zip code would be assumed to have the same response from all customers in that zip code, clearly a very chancy assumption. Now consider a more complex example. Instead of starting with completely predetermined segments, we actually search for a segmenting rationale to infer to a population. And we do that with variables that will inform us of customer motivations, trying to understand the Why? behind purchase behavior. We might include a bank of attitude statements surrounding purchase decisions in our survey, or ask the importance of select product/service features, lifestyle questions and demographic questions. With this we would not only have the potential for a much more finely-tuned partitioning of customers, but also a much more actionable partitioning. An Example We have a client who is planning to enter the Internet telecommunications marketplace and needs to understand what customers view as important from their phone service. Having determined whether there are differences between customers in that regard, and the nature of those differences, our client will be able to devise a strategy to target customers most in line with their currently planned service offerings. For future development, such a segmentation can also point directions for new services. We ask respondents to rate each of the following in importance when considering the type of Internet service they would use: • Conveniently available • Inexpensive • Is portable • High speed band width • Free connection • Excellent security • Reliable service • Phone interface • International access
  • 4. In addition, we ask our sample to rate how well they perceive each of several providers to perform in each of these areas. Unless each of the 1000 respondents we survey gives identical ratings, our data will contain variations that we can use to cluster or group respondents together, and such clusters are the segments. The mathematical algorithms we employ produce segments such that: a) variation within the segments is minimized b) variation across the segments is maximized This yields groupings of customers that are most similar to each other if they are part of the same segment and most different from each other if they are part of different segments. By inference, then, actions taken toward customers in the same segment should lead to similar responses, and actions taken toward customers in different segments should lead to different responses. Another way of saying this, in our telecommunications example, is that the aspects of Internet telecommunications that are important to any given customer in one segment will also be important to other customers in that same segment. Furthermore, those aspects that are important to that customer will be different from what is important to a customer in a different segment. Here is what the analysis in this example showed:
  • 5. Segmentation Convenient AT&T SPRINT Free Connections Segment- Segment- A Low Cost B (52%) (24%) High Speed Security Portable choice MCI Reliable VERIZON Segment- Ego Segment- COMCAST International D C PacTel Access (10%) (14%) Phone Interface Our analysis shows four distinct segments. The majority of customers (Segment A, 52%) want mainly convenience from their service; AT&T is perceived as convenient. Another quarter of customers (Segment B, 24%) seek low cost and free connections, which seems to be a Sprint characteristic. Two smaller segments seek, respectively, a phone interface from their Internet telecommunications (Segment C, 14%) or international access (Segment D, 10%); Comcast and PacTel apparently meet the first need, and Verizon the second. In this case, there are a number of strategic options for the client to consider. There seem to be open competitive spaces for customers who might want portability, or reliability. Can such a need be created, drawing customers from existing segments, or drawing entirely new customers who might desire such qualities? None of the current suppliers tested seem to satisfy jointly the need for a phone interface with international access, nor to be both convenient and low cost. Could our client make a claim to either combination, or to develop a service that would make such joint claims? There might be opportunities there.
  • 6. How The Analysis Is Accomplished Segmentations are generally performed via cluster analysis. There are numerous specific techniques used for cluster analysis. Some operate by treating all respondents initially as part of the same cluster, then splitting the sample along “natural” fracture lines based on survey responses, much like cutting a diamond (divisive techniques). Others start by assuming all respondents belong in different clusters, but then build larger and larger groupings based on comparing survey responses (agglomerative techniques). All methods share in common the computation of a measure of similarity among respondents. Some techniques define similarity on the basis of feature comparison, others employ the physical metaphor of distance. In any case, the analysis takes the data we’ve collected (behaviors, geography, attitudes, beliefs, benefits sought, etc), scores respondents in a multivariate fashion, and using a criterion we’ve selected, clusters respondents based on whether they meet the similarity criterion level for inclusion with other respondents. There are many tools at the disposal of the segmentation analyst. You may hear such diverse techniques as single linkage, complete linkage, Ward’s method, polythetic, k-means interative partitioning, CHAID, latent class cluster analysis, etc, etc. In fact the choice of technique can determine the nature of the solution, so it is legitimate, standard practice to use multiple methods and search for convergence. Such convergence lends assurance that a valid solution has been found. But even with that, the utility of a clustering solution requires an interpretation of substance within the context of “reality” based on the applied discipline of the research. How does the telecommunications industry work? Does this answer make sense in the context of my knowledge of the pharmaceutical industry? What are the constraints of financial services that impart credibility to this result? The statistical solution must always be filtered through intelligence about the industry environment in order for the result to be accepted and acted upon. Conclusion Marketers accept the construct that what consumers seek out in products and services is not uniform across all potential users – we are no longer in the age of Henry Ford, who said, “The customer can have any color car he wants, so long as it is black.”
  • 7. Segmentation analysis shares this same construct – to conduct a segmentation is to seek out differences in customers to capitalize upon for ensuring maximum product uptake and brand loyalty. The sophisticated multivariate techniques we employ for segmentation are simply the tools to reduce the massive amount of data on customer wants and needs to a manageable form so that we can make educated targeting decisions. Hence, strategic customer segmentation exists in service of the goal of striving to place the right product or service with the right customer, to the benefit of all involved. Next Steps Think about the business challenge confronting you. If the questions you ask include such words as “targeting”, “customer differences”, or “where to focus”, the chances are very strong that segmentation analysis will be crucial for informing your decision making. Discuss the problem with your research consultant in light of the background you’ve gained from this white paper.