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UNIT – III
VARIANCE COVARIANCE
PROPAGATION
VARIANCE COVARIANCE PROPAGATION
 Random events and probability
 Random variables
 continuous probability distributions
 normal distribution
 Expectation
 measures of precision and accuracy
 covariance and correlation
 covariance, cofactor and weight matrices
 Introduction to sampling
 Derivation of the propagation laws - Examples
 stepwise propagation
Random Variables
• In an experiment, a measurement is usually denoted by a
variable such as X.
• In a random experiment, a variable whose measured value can
change (from one replicate of the experiment to another) is
referred to as a random variable.
•A random variable (also called random quantity, aleatory
variable, or stochastic variable) is a mathematical formalization of
a quantity or object which depends on random events. It is a
mapping or a function from possible outcomes in a sample space
to a measurable space, often the real numbers.
Random Variables
Random Variables
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Probability
• Used to quantify likelihood or chance
• Used to represent risk or uncertainty in engineering applications
•Can be interpreted as our degree of belief or relative frequency
•Probability statements describe the likelihood that particular
values occur.
• The likelihood is quantified by assigning a number from the interval
[0, 1] to the set of values (or a percentage from 0 to 100%).
• Higher numbers indicate that the set of values is more likely.
Probability
• A probability is usually expressed in terms of a random variable.
• For the part length example, X denotes the part length and the
probability statement can be written in either of the following forms
• Both equations state that the probability that the random
variable X assumes a value in [10.8, 11.2] is 0.25.
Probability
Complement of an Event
• Given a set E, the complement of E is the set of elements that are
not in E. The complement is denoted as E’.
Mutually Exclusive Events
• The sets E1 , E2 ,...,Ek are mutually exclusive if the intersection of
any pair is empty. That is, each element is in one and only one of
the sets E1 , E2 ,...,Ek .
Probability Properties
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Probability of an Event E.
Suppose that the sample space S = {o1, o2, o3, … oN} has a finite
number, N, of outcomes.
Also each of the outcomes is equally likely (because of symmetry).
Then for any event E
 
( )
( )
( ) no. of outcomes in
=
total no. of outcomes
n E n E E
P E
n S N
= =
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Discrete Random Variables
Probability Mass Function
Discrete Random Variables
Cumulative Distribution Function
Discrete Random Variables
Cumulative Distribution Function
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
p(x) is Probability function
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
F(x) is Probability Distribution function
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
F(x) is Probability Distribution function f(x) is Probability Density function
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Continuous Random Variables
Probability Density Function
• The probability distribution or simply distribution of a
random variable X is a description of the set of the
probabilities associated with the possible values for X.
Continuous Random Variables
Probability Density Function
Continuous Random Variables
Probability Density Function
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Normal Distribution
Undoubtedly, the most widely used model for the distribution of a random
variable is a normal distribution.
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Normal Distribution
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Random Samples, Statistics, and The Central Limit Theorem
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
Unit – III Spatial data Ajustment.pdf
EXPECTATION
EXPECTATION
EXPECTATION
Expectation for Continuous Probability Distribution
Expectation for Continuous Probability Distribution
Expectation for Continuous Probability Distribution
Expectation for Continuous Probability Distribution
Expectation for Continuous Probability Distribution
Measures of Precision and Accuracy
Measures of Precision and Accuracy
Measures of Precision and Accuracy
Measures of Precision and Accuracy
Measures of Precision and Accuracy
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance and correlation are two terms that are exactly opposite to each other.
However, they both are used in statistics and regression analysis. Covariance shows us
how the two variables vary, whereas correlation shows us the relationship and how they
are related.
Correlation and covariance are two statistical concepts used to determine the
relationship between two random variables. Correlation defines how a change in one
variable will impact the other, while covariance defines how two items vary together.
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance, Cofactor and Weight Matrices
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance and Correlation
Covariance, Cofactor and Weight Matrices
Covariance, Cofactor and Weight Matrices
Covariance, Cofactor and Weight Matrices
Covariance, Cofactor and Weight Matrices
Covariance, Cofactor and Weight Matrices
Covariance, Cofactor and Weight Matrices
Covariance, Cofactor and Weight Matrices
Covariance, Cofactor and Weight Matrices
Introduction to sampling
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation laws
Propagation
Propagation
Propagation
Stepwise Propagation
Stepwise Propagation
Stepwise Propagation
Stepwise Propagation
Stepwise Propagation

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