We all want to reduce waste but are we doing it wrong
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The document discusses software development waste and predictions for 2028. It notes that currently 30% of software projects never complete and 50% of others overrun budgets and timelines. Common types of waste include building the wrong products, rework, and unnecessary complexity. The document suggests that by 2028, advances in technology like robotics and artificial intelligence could help reduce waste by automating tasks and helping people focus on creativity. It also references theories about social defenses and anxiety in organizations as reasons why waste persists.
![@kirschi_
ON FREQUENT MOVES
Underestimating the effects of excessive moves indeed
manifested in psychological detachment: protect self against
threat of transfers: reduced psychological involvement. In
turn, reduced interest and sense of responsibility, and resulted
in Don’t Care attitude. Which then resulted in patients and
nurses [customer and developers] complaining bitterly.
Nurses [developers] felt guilty and anxious when they found
this in themselves; and angry hurt and disappointed when
found in others.](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/weallwanttoreducewastebutarewedoingitwrong-180628063256/85/We-all-want-to-reduce-waste-but-are-we-doing-it-wrong-30-320.jpg)
We all want to reduce waste but are we doing it wrong
- 1. Please take this short survey: @kirschi_
- 2. SW DEVELOPMENT FORECAST FOR 2028 Like us: Visit: Follow me: Tweet: CONSTANT HIGHER MORE LEARNING QUALITY FUN Ilan Kirschenbaum @kirschi_ www.facebook.com/PracticalAgile www.practical-agile.com @Linkedin @PracticalAgile1
- 3. @kirschi_ Photo licensed by Frank Schwichtenberg 2028 @kirschi_ 2018 2018
- 6. @kirschi_ SOME STATISTICS (2016) 30% of SW projects never complete 50% of the rest overrun on either time or budget or both Average overruns 190% original estimate Only 40%-80% of features delivered (Big companies deliver less than small ones) Conservative waste estimate: $160bn in the US alone! https://www.projectsmart.co.uk/white-papers/chaos-report.pdf
- 7. @kirschi_ WHAT IS WASTE IN SOFTWARE? @kirschi_
- 8. @kirschi_ 9 TYPES OF SOFTWARE WASTE Sedano et al, 2017 Based on companies already implementing some kind of agile Relating to waste resulting from agile practices Source: http://sedano.org/toddsedano/2017/05/20/software-development-wastes.html
- 12. #4 UNNECESSARILY COMPLEX SOLUTIONS #5 IRRELEVANT COGNITIVE LOAD #6 PSYCHOLOGICAL DISTRESS #7 WAITING / MULTITASKING #8 KNOWLEDGE LOSS #9 INEFFECTIVE COMMUNICATIONS
- 13. @kirschi_ 2028 SW DEVELOPMENT Technology advances help us reduce or eliminate waste Robots help us do what we’re good at - being creative Computers help us remember
- 14. TEXT BACK TO JOE @kirschi_
- 16. IN 2029, SKYNET, A MACHINE LEARNING SUPER COMPUTER WILL ATTEMPT TO DESTROY HUMANITY IN 2019, THREE ROGUE HUMANOIDS WILL SET OFF ON A MASSIVE KILLING SPREE IN 2045, MOST EARTH POPULATION WILL LIVE IN SLUMS, ESCAPING TO “OASIS”, A VR GAMING WORLD IN 2018, GOOGLE DUPLEX PASSED THE TURING TEST, PLACING A VOICE CALL WITH A HUMAN IN 2018, INTEL, VOLVO AND UBER’S AUTONOMOUS CAR ACCIDENTALLY KILLS PEDESTRIAN IN 2018, AMAZON GO GETS RID OF SUPERMARKET CASHIERS Google's "terrifying" new artificial intelligence feature has prompted concerns about the takeover of the robots and the abuse of AI. The Independent, May 2018 Arizona Tragedy Will Not Slow Autonomous Vehicles Forbes, April 2018 Amazon Go And The 2.3 Million Cashiers It Could Leave Behind Forbes, Feb, 2018
- 17. ARE HUMANS BECOMING DISPOSABLE WASTE?! @kirschi_
- 18. @kirschi_ THE WORKING HYPOTHESIS - WHY CAN’T WE GET RID OF WASTE?! A wasteful software development process is a social defense, symbolizing the fear of becoming irrelevant in a state of constant uncertainty combined with irrational pressure for clarity and speed
- 19. @kirschi_
- 20. @kirschi_ 2028 1957 Photo licensed by Frank Schwichtenberg @kirschi_ 2018
- 21. A CASE IN THE FUNCTIONING OF SOCIAL SYSTEMS AS A DEFENCE AGAINST ANXIETY Isabel Menzies Lyth, 1957 @kirschi_
- 22. @kirschi_
- 23. @kirschi_ THE WORKING HYPOTHESIS Underlying hypothesis, supported by evidence The possibility of patients not getting better, despite of care, creates unbearable anxiety
- 24. @kirschi_
- 27. WHY?@kirschi_
- 28. @kirschi_
- 29. @kirschi_
- 30. @kirschi_ ON FREQUENT MOVES Underestimating the effects of excessive moves indeed manifested in psychological detachment: protect self against threat of transfers: reduced psychological involvement. In turn, reduced interest and sense of responsibility, and resulted in Don’t Care attitude. Which then resulted in patients and nurses [customer and developers] complaining bitterly. Nurses [developers] felt guilty and anxious when they found this in themselves; and angry hurt and disappointed when found in others.
- 31. ANY ORGANIZATION THAT DESIGNS A SYSTEM (DEFINED BROADLY) WILL PRODUCE A DESIGN WHOSE STRUCTURE IS A COPY OF THE ORGANIZATION'S COMMUNICATION STRUCTURE. aka Conway’s Law, Mel Conway
- 33. @kirschi_ Photo licensed by Frank Schwichtenberg 2018 @kirschi_ 2018 2018
- 35. @kirschi_ SEARCH FOR THE BRIGHT SPOTS
- 39. It is a huge company. Each can choose what he likes. I moved to Toronto to manage this team. My specialty is optimization algorithms and troubleshooting. I love business and I am thrilled when I manage to apply Computer Science knowledge on real life problems and make real impact every day. What I do really impacts. I wish I would get a fraction of the savings I bring to the company. My kids could retire ;-) Ariel Snir, Amazon Dev Manager TEXT
- 40. THANK YOU Like us: Visit: Follow me: Tweet: CONSTANT HIGHER MORE LEARNING QUALITY FUN Ilan Kirschenbaum @kirschi_ www.facebook.com/PracticalAgile www.practical-agile.com @Linkedin @PracticalAgile1