Analytical Support for the Development of Second Generation NAIPs: Status and Progress
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This document summarizes analytical support provided to guide the design of second-generation National Agricultural Investment Plans (NAIPs 2.0) in alignment with the Malabo commitments in African countries. Over 200 local experts across various thematic areas were trained. Key deliverables included status assessment and profile reports, goals and milestones reports, and policy and program opportunities reports for various countries. The reports analyzed baseline progress, prospective scenarios of business as usual versus achieving Malabo targets, and policy requirements to meet targets for priorities like reducing poverty and hunger, increasing agricultural productivity and trade.
Analytical Support for the Development of Second Generation NAIPs: Status and Progress
- 1. ANALYTICAL SUPPORT TO GUIDE THE DESIGN OF NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL INVESTMENTS PLANS Ismael Fofana and Ousmane Badiane Africa Regional Office, IFPRI
- 2. ANALYTICAL SUPPORT TO GUIDE THE DESIGN OF NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL INVESTMENTS PLANS 1. KEY TASKS 2. TECHNICAL RESOURCES AND EXPERTISE 3. DELIVERABLES 4. SELECTED RESULTS FOR ECOWAS COUNTRIES OUTLINE
- 3. Page <#> Achieving Malabo commitments requires • Investments in priority areas • Policies to support investments • Institutions to support implementation NAIPs 2.0 have to address all three dimensions NAIPs 2.0 APPRAISL ANALYSIS AND CAPACITY BUILDING
- 4. Page <#> NAIPs 2.0 APPRAISL ANALYSIS AND CAPACITY BUILDING 1. Identify metrics, tools, methodologies to: • measure targets • define milestones • guide progress and performance tracking/ review Key Tasks
- 5. Page <#> NAIPs 2.0 APPRAISL ANALYSIS AND CAPACITY BUILDING 2. Assess country status and profile • Baselining progress and gaps wrt to individual targets and commitments - Pre-CAADP level - Changes during NAIPs 1.0 - Averages during NAIPs 1.0 Key Tasks
- 6. Page <#> NAIPs 2.0 APPRAISL ANALYSIS AND CAPACITY BUILDING 3. Prospective analysis and goal setting • Possible and desired future outcomes wrt to individual targets and commitments - Related inputs, outputs, outcomes - Policy and institutional requirements Key Tasks
- 7. Page <#> NAIPs 2.0 APPRAISL ANALYSIS AND CAPACITY BUILDING 4. Policy and Program Opportunities and Best Practices • What are key program components • What are required supporting polices • What are best practices Key Tasks
- 8. Toolkit o Clarify metrics and data needs; o define methodologies o Specify core program components Experts Group o 216 local experts identified o 55 days of training workshop implemented Task Force o 20 International experts to provide backstopping support to experts group Coordination o IFPRI/ReSAKSS/AfricaLead ReSAKSS Resources for NAIP 2.0 Evidence-Based Planning NAIPs 2.0 APPRAISL ANALYSIS AND CAPACITY BUILDING
- 9. Experts Mobilized by Area Thematic Areas Total Number of Experts Agricultural Investments and Growth, and Poverty Reduction 22 Public Expenditure Analysis 13 Intra-Africa and Regional Trade 28 Food Security and Nutrition 24 Gender 22 Climate Smart Agriculture and Resilience 18 Inclusive Growth and Value Chain Development 23 Mutual Accountability and Institutional Architecture 66 All Thematic Areas 216 Mobilization and Deployment of Local Experts NAIPs 2.0 APPRAISL ANALYSIS AND CAPACITY BUILDING
- 10. Key Deliverables per Country • Malabo Status Assessment and Profile Report (SAP) • Malabo Goals and Milestones Report (MGM) • Country Policy and Program Opportunities Report (PPO) NAIPs 2.0 APPRAISL ANALYSIS AND CAPACITY BUILDING
- 11. Experts Mobilized by Area Aug 16 SAP Reports for 6 pilot-countries Sep 16 First set of clinics, Dakar, Senegal (16 days) Dec 16 Second set of clinics, Dakar, Senegal (3 days) Feb 17 Third set of clinics, Dakar, Senegal (16 days) May 17 Fourth set of clinics, Dakar, Senegal (20 days) Jul 17 SAP Reports for 7 additional countries MGM Reports for 2 pilot-countries Aug 17 NAIP Overarching Group Webinar I (5 Days) Sep 17 NAIP Overarching Group Webinar I (5 Days) Oct 17 NAIP Overarching Group Webinar II (15 Days) Oct 17 SAP Reports for 9 additional countries MGM Reports for 13 additional countries Oct 17 Validation Workshop of ECOWAS SAP Reports and MGM Report MGM Reports for additional 4 to 7 countries Progress Timeline and Current Status
- 12. STATUS ASSESSMENT AND PROFILE REPORT GOALS AND MILESTONES REPORT POLICY AND PROGRAM OPPORTUNITIES ECOWAS 1 BENIN Yes Yes In progress 2 BURKINA FASO Yes Yes In progress 3 CABO VERDE Yes Yes In progress 4 COTE D'IVOIRE Yes Yes In progress 5 GAMBIA Yes Yes In progress 6 GHANA Yes Yes In progress 7 GUINEA Yes Yes In progress 8 GUINEA BISSAU Yes Yes In progress 9 LIBERIA Yes Yes In progress 10 MALI Yes Yes In progress 11 NIGER Yes Yes In progress 12 NIGERIA Yes Yes In progress 13 SENEGAL Yes Yes In progress 14 SIERRA LEONE Yes Yes In progress 15 TOGO Yes Yes In progress NON-ECOWAS 1 ETHIOPIA Yes In progress 2 KENYA Yes In progress 3 MALAWI Yes 4 MOZAMBIQUE Yes 5 RWANDA Yes 6 TANZANIA Yes 7 UGANDA Yes In progress
- 13. NAIPs 2.0 APPRAISL ANALYSIS AND CAPACITY BUILDING Goals and Milestones Analysis Selected Findings for ECOWAS Countries • Business as Usual (BaU) • Malabo (Achieving Malabo Poverty and Hunger Goals) • NAIP (Carried out for 6 out of 15 countries) Three Scenarios
- 14. I.1 Reduce Poverty and End Hunger Additional growth in incomes required over BAU to reach Malabo targets 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Household Total Expenditure, Annual Increase 2015-2025, BaU vs Malabo Scenarios BaU Malabo
- 15. I.1 Reduce Poverty and End Hunger Income Growth under BAU and NAIP Scenarios vs Malabo Goals 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Benin BurkinaFaso CapeVerde Coted'Ivoire Gambia Ghana Guinea GuineaBissau Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal SierraLeone Togo Household Total Expenditure, Annual Growth Rate 2015-2025, All Scenarios BaU NAIP Malabo
- 16. II.2 Improve Food Security and Nutrition Growth in Food consumption under BaU vs Malabo Targets 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Benin Burkina Faso Cote d'Ivoire Gambia Ghana Guinea Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal Togo Food Expenditure Growth, Annual Growth Rate 2015-2025 BaU Malabo
- 17. II. GOALS AND MILESTONES FOR AGRICULTURAL TRANSFORMATION ECOWAS MS MALABO GOALS AND MILESTONES REPORT
- 18. II.4 Improve Private and Public Investments in Agriculture Required Rate of Increase of agricultural expenditure Share between 2015 and 2025 to achieve Malabo targets 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Benin BurkinaFaso CapeVerde* Coted'Ivoire Gambia Ghana Guinea GuineaBissau Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria* Senegal SierraLeone Togo Agricultural Public Spending, Annual Change 2015-2025 BaU Malabo
- 19. III. 1 Increase Agricultural Production and Productivity Required Growth in Agricultural Productivity between 2015 and 2025 to Meet Malabo Targets vs BaU -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Benin BurkinaFaso CapeVerde* Coted'Ivoire Gambia Ghana Guinea GuineaBissau Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria* Senegal SierraLeone Togo Agricultural Value Added per Agricultural Worker, Annual Change 2015-2025 BaU Malabo
- 20. III. 1 Increase Agricultural Production and Productivity -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Benin BurkinaFaso CapeVerde* Coted'Ivoire Gambia Ghana Guinea GuineaBissau Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria* Senegal SierraLeone Togo Agricultural Value Added per Hectare of Agricultural Land, Annual Change 2015-2025 BaU Malabo Required Growth in Agricultural Productivity between 2015 and 2025 to Meet Malabo Targets vs BaU
- 21. II.2 Increase Intra-Africa Trade Required Increase in Role of trade to Meet Malabo Targets -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% Benin BurkinaFaso CapeVerde* Coted'Ivoire Gambia Ghana Guinea GuineaBissau Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria* Senegal SierraLeone Togo Increase in Ratio of Agricultural Exports and Imports to Agricultural Value Added, Cumulative Change 2015-2025 BaU Malabo
- 22. II.4 Improve Private and Public Investments in Agriculture Increase in private investments to achieve the Malabo targets 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Benin BurkinaFaso CapeVerde* Coted'Ivoire Gambia Ghana Guinea GuineaBissau Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria* Senegal SierraLeone Togo Agricultural Private Investments, Annual Change 2015-2025 BaU Malabo x
- 23. THANKS