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Modeling
It’s not Just for Calendars and Energy


                                              Nathan Kegel
                                             ASHRAE Member, LEED AP BD+C
                                                        Project Manager
                                         Business Development Manager
                                               Nathan.kegel@iesve.com

                                                        www.iesve.com
Learning Objectives:
• Understand What a Model Is
• Understand Different Types of Models for
  Buildings
• Understand the difference between BIM and
  BAM and how to use them in practice
• Understand traditional, current, and potential
  future best practices for building modeling
• Understand the value of a model for new and
  existing buildings
• Introduce alternatives to ASHRAE 90.1
What’s a Model?
A MODEL is a device or structure that helps us:
• Understand the world around us
• Understand a piece of the world around us
• A simplified representation of our surroundings
   in order that we may pursue understanding
Modeling Mindset




       “… we must pursue understanding.
        Not answers but understanding.”
  Bellinger G. (2004) “Simulation is not the Answer”
Modeling Mindset



   “Everything should be made as simple
        as possible, but not simpler.”
Modeling Mindset

 “Obstacles are those frightening things you
   see when you take your eyes off goals.”

   “Whether you think you can or think you
             can’t, you’re right.”
Modeling, It's Not Just For Calendars and Energy
Building Modeling: BIM and BAM

BIM: Building Information Model
• Building Information
• Uses include construction documents, clash detection &
  constructability, cost estimating, scheduling, etc.


BAM: Building Analytical Model
• Building Analysis
• Uses include climate modeling, thermal loads modeling,
  structural loads modeling, daylight modeling, thermal
  comfort modeling, airflow modeling, temperature
  modeling, energy modeling, solar modeling, performance
  optimization, life cycle cost assesment, etc.
Building Analytical Modeling – Beyond Energy




    Daylight Model




 Airflow (CFD) Model       Thermal Loads Model
BAM: Some more examples




Solar penetration                                                                                                Daylight levels            Natural Ventilation




  Results color coded on model                                                                             Daylight Metrics        Climate Understanding




  J   F    M           A          M          J           J           A          S              O   N   D
          Cop yright © 2008 Integrated Environmental So lutions Limited. All rights reserved




Monthly Energy Output*                                                                                     Daylight contours       Annual Energy Output*
Models for Buildings – Traditional Practice

Multiple Models for Multiple Purposes
CAD/BIM for construction; HVAC loads, energy,
daylight, solar, rendering, airflow, etc.



 Thermal Loads     Solar       Airflow (CFD)    Energy      Ventilation




   Daylight      Rendering   Artificial Light   LEED     Code Compliance
Traditional Practice - Benefits
1. It’s “familiar”
   • Meaning Comfortable
   • “What we’ve always done”
 Traditional Practice - Drawbacks
1. It’s “familiar”
   • Meaning Limited & Inefficient
2. Lots (and lots) of repeated work
   • AKA - Inefficient
3. Lots (and lots) of loopbacks
4. Lack of Data Integrity
   • Accuracy and QA can easily suffer leading to
       higher chance for GIGO or incomparable
       results
Models for Buildings
Possible in Today’s Practice:
Fewer Models serving Multiple Purposes:
CAD/BIM for construction plus an Analytical
Model studying thermal, energy, daylight, solar,
airflow, comfort, etc.


                  Building Analytical Model
Today’s Best Practice - Benefits
1. It’s not familiar
   • Meaning innovative
2. Less data entry
   • More time finding best solutions
3. Fewer loopbacks
   • More efficient
4. Lower chance for GIGO
   • Fewer datasets to manage and QC
 Today’s Best Practice - Drawbacks
1. It’s not familiar
   • Meaning there is a learning curve
   • Innovation might be frightening to some
   • Initial investment period before efficiency is
       realized
Today’s Best Practice – Truly Informed Design




              Analysis Informs Design
Models for Buildings
Ideal Practice?: 1 Building, 1 Model
Ideal Practice? - Benefits
1. Minimal re-work
   • Best efficiency
2. Potential for minimal GIGO
   • More time finding best solutions
3. Fewer loopbacks
   • More efficient
4. Parametric
   • When one thing changes, other related items
      automatically update
Ideal Practice? - Drawbacks
1. Karoshi
2. Who manages what?
   • For example, is the architect now responsible for the
       quality of the thermal model?
   • GIGO potentially bigger problem if not caught early
       on and managed properly
3. Too much detail – leads to instability and uncertainty in
    analysis
4. Parametric – Is it now just a “black box”?
Measures of Quantity – BIM
Measures of Quantity – Project Delivery
Measures of Quality – Daylight Analysis
Understanding Visual Quality - Glazing Options
            Daylighting Quality    Exterior Tint



SC = 0.6
VLT = 75%




SC = 0.2
VLT = 35%
Understanding Quality - Glare & Solar Shades

                                         • Will glare be problematic late in
                                           the day?


   Lighting & Daylighting


            No Solar Shading




   • How Effective is the External (or
   Internal) Shade at reducing Glare?
                                                   With Solar Shading
Understanding Solar Analysis
 Building self-shading              Building self-shading through brise soleil




                                Summer sun     Winter
                                                 sun




Unexpected mid-evening peak
                                     Shading from adjacent buildings
 cooling load on east façade?
Understanding Quality of Envelope - Dynamic Infiltration

                 Heating Load (Btu/h)

                 Fabric Loss



      Infiltration Loss


  0      2000   4000   6000   8000   10000   12000   14000




                                                             Infiltration heat loss can account for
                                                             up to 40-50% of a building’s Heating
                                                             Load....
                                                                     ...Building Pressure Tests
Understanding Quality - Airflow (CFD)
Understanding Quality - Building Performance
Compliance With Codes & Rating Systems
BAM: Value to Existing Buildings

• Predict energy use, costs during operation
• Calibrate energy model per
  utility bills or building performance
• Sensitivity Factors
   •   Calibration methods, tools
   •   Data collection
   •   Utility rates
The Future: Smart Buildings
• Continuous Calibration to
  Optimize Performance
• Anticipate problems on the
  fly using trended data
• Reduce Total Cost of
  Energy and Improve
  Occupant Comfort
• Detailed Analysis Models
  will be the heart
   – Note: +/- 10% is NOT good
     enough
   – Note: “Fudging factors” will
     not work for Smart Buildings
Current Challenges
•   Cost of calibrated models
•   Construction QA practices lacking
•   Cheap Energy & Current Financial Metrics
•   Lack of accurate data
•   Lack of enough detailed data
•   “Fudge Factors” are still common practice
•   ASHRAE 90.1 Mindset
ASHRAE 90.1 – 2010
• Prescriptive Path
   – Prescriptive Path encourages building the worst possible “legal” building; it
     does not encourage building the best possible building
   – There are no requirements for testing or QA during construction and
     occupancy
• Performance Path (Appendix G “Baseline”)
   – There is no actual baseline in Appendix G
   – Appendix G does not allow for certain measures to be included
       • For example, reduction in OA by using a system type which delivers OA more efficiently
   – There are no requirements for testing or QA during construction and
     occupancy
• Benchmark versus Goal
   – Benchmarks measure against current state; not against desired state
   – Goals identify desired state; current state is less important
• Incredibly Complex
   – Creates confusion in the marketplace
   – Practitioners often spend more time on the baseline than on improving the
     proposed building
• “Fudge Factors” are allowed – some even specified in Appendix G
ASHRAE 90.1 – 2010
  New Appendix G requirements
• Accounting for Site Conditions
   – Theory: Buildings aren’t built in a vacuum and site conditions do matter
   – Practice: Poor implementation of this theory leads to more confusion & inaccuracies
       •   90.1-2010 allows for site impacts that are physically impossible
       •   90.1-2010 has exceptions which allow some software modeling tools to easily fake results
• Minimum requirements for HVAC efficiencies improved
   – Baselines are (theoretically) more efficient
   – Proposed case does not require modeling tools to accurately model actual HVAC
     systems
       •   Convoluted (and frequently inaccurate) workarounds are still permitted
• Envelope requirements require more insulation for certain climate zones
   – Meaning theoretical worst possible building is theoretically slightly better
   – Mass factors still allowed – meaning detailed accounting of thermal mass impacts is
     NOT REQUIRED
• Incredibly Complex
   – 2010 version got more complex, not less
   – Practitioners often spend more time on the baseline than on improving the proposed
     building – this will probably get worse instead of better
• “Fudge Factors” are allowed – some even specified in Appendix G
ASHRAE 90.1 – 2010
  Detailed Solar for the Appendix G Baseline & Proposed Cases




• Some obvious questions here:
   – If the simulation program cannot simulate shading by adjacent structures,
     how can it tell you which surfaces are shaded “most of the time”? Hence,
     how can you determine which surfaces should be modeled as north-
     facing?
   – What about urban areas? Rotation of baseline and proposed with site will
     cause physical impossibilities.
Self Shading Still not Required in 90.1

                Building self-shading
Problems with Building Only Rotation
ASHRAE 90.1 – 2010
0-degree Solar for the Appendix G Baseline & Proposed Cases
ASHRAE 90.1 – 2010
180-degree Solar for the Appendix G Baseline & Proposed Cases
Alternatives: Moving Beyond Benchmarks
• A new paradigm:
  – Require design and construction teams build and design the best
    possible building
  – What is the best possible building?
     • Net Zero Energy




                                                           • Wisconsin


• New York



                                                          • Hawaii
Net Zero Energy is the Index
•   Projects already constructed which achieve this standard
•   Penalizes waste and encourages best possible building
•   Simplifies the modeling process
•   Encourages teams to seek best possible solutions, not just minimums
•   More time available to explore best alternatives rather than spending
    excessive amounts of time struggling with theoretical baselines
•   Promotes understanding
•   Promotes changes to occupant behavior
•   Changes the financial model for implementing renewables
•   Grows several segments in the economy
     –   Energy Modeling
     –   Renewable Energy
     –   Construction (renovation and new)
     –   Generates a revenue source for new research
          • Funded by the biggest energy users
• More efficient use of resources
     – Human
     – Renewable
     – Non-renewable
Modeling, It's Not Just For Calendars and Energy

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Modeling, It's Not Just For Calendars and Energy

  • 1. Modeling It’s not Just for Calendars and Energy Nathan Kegel ASHRAE Member, LEED AP BD+C Project Manager Business Development Manager Nathan.kegel@iesve.com www.iesve.com
  • 2. Learning Objectives: • Understand What a Model Is • Understand Different Types of Models for Buildings • Understand the difference between BIM and BAM and how to use them in practice • Understand traditional, current, and potential future best practices for building modeling • Understand the value of a model for new and existing buildings • Introduce alternatives to ASHRAE 90.1
  • 4. A MODEL is a device or structure that helps us: • Understand the world around us • Understand a piece of the world around us • A simplified representation of our surroundings in order that we may pursue understanding
  • 5. Modeling Mindset “… we must pursue understanding. Not answers but understanding.” Bellinger G. (2004) “Simulation is not the Answer”
  • 6. Modeling Mindset “Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler.”
  • 7. Modeling Mindset “Obstacles are those frightening things you see when you take your eyes off goals.” “Whether you think you can or think you can’t, you’re right.”
  • 9. Building Modeling: BIM and BAM BIM: Building Information Model • Building Information • Uses include construction documents, clash detection & constructability, cost estimating, scheduling, etc. BAM: Building Analytical Model • Building Analysis • Uses include climate modeling, thermal loads modeling, structural loads modeling, daylight modeling, thermal comfort modeling, airflow modeling, temperature modeling, energy modeling, solar modeling, performance optimization, life cycle cost assesment, etc.
  • 10. Building Analytical Modeling – Beyond Energy Daylight Model Airflow (CFD) Model Thermal Loads Model
  • 11. BAM: Some more examples Solar penetration Daylight levels Natural Ventilation Results color coded on model Daylight Metrics Climate Understanding J F M A M J J A S O N D Cop yright © 2008 Integrated Environmental So lutions Limited. All rights reserved Monthly Energy Output* Daylight contours Annual Energy Output*
  • 12. Models for Buildings – Traditional Practice Multiple Models for Multiple Purposes CAD/BIM for construction; HVAC loads, energy, daylight, solar, rendering, airflow, etc. Thermal Loads Solar Airflow (CFD) Energy Ventilation Daylight Rendering Artificial Light LEED Code Compliance
  • 13. Traditional Practice - Benefits 1. It’s “familiar” • Meaning Comfortable • “What we’ve always done” Traditional Practice - Drawbacks 1. It’s “familiar” • Meaning Limited & Inefficient 2. Lots (and lots) of repeated work • AKA - Inefficient 3. Lots (and lots) of loopbacks 4. Lack of Data Integrity • Accuracy and QA can easily suffer leading to higher chance for GIGO or incomparable results
  • 14. Models for Buildings Possible in Today’s Practice: Fewer Models serving Multiple Purposes: CAD/BIM for construction plus an Analytical Model studying thermal, energy, daylight, solar, airflow, comfort, etc. Building Analytical Model
  • 15. Today’s Best Practice - Benefits 1. It’s not familiar • Meaning innovative 2. Less data entry • More time finding best solutions 3. Fewer loopbacks • More efficient 4. Lower chance for GIGO • Fewer datasets to manage and QC Today’s Best Practice - Drawbacks 1. It’s not familiar • Meaning there is a learning curve • Innovation might be frightening to some • Initial investment period before efficiency is realized
  • 16. Today’s Best Practice – Truly Informed Design Analysis Informs Design
  • 17. Models for Buildings Ideal Practice?: 1 Building, 1 Model
  • 18. Ideal Practice? - Benefits 1. Minimal re-work • Best efficiency 2. Potential for minimal GIGO • More time finding best solutions 3. Fewer loopbacks • More efficient 4. Parametric • When one thing changes, other related items automatically update Ideal Practice? - Drawbacks 1. Karoshi 2. Who manages what? • For example, is the architect now responsible for the quality of the thermal model? • GIGO potentially bigger problem if not caught early on and managed properly 3. Too much detail – leads to instability and uncertainty in analysis 4. Parametric – Is it now just a “black box”?
  • 20. Measures of Quantity – Project Delivery
  • 21. Measures of Quality – Daylight Analysis
  • 22. Understanding Visual Quality - Glazing Options Daylighting Quality Exterior Tint SC = 0.6 VLT = 75% SC = 0.2 VLT = 35%
  • 23. Understanding Quality - Glare & Solar Shades • Will glare be problematic late in the day? Lighting & Daylighting No Solar Shading • How Effective is the External (or Internal) Shade at reducing Glare? With Solar Shading
  • 24. Understanding Solar Analysis Building self-shading Building self-shading through brise soleil Summer sun Winter sun Unexpected mid-evening peak Shading from adjacent buildings cooling load on east façade?
  • 25. Understanding Quality of Envelope - Dynamic Infiltration Heating Load (Btu/h) Fabric Loss Infiltration Loss 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 Infiltration heat loss can account for up to 40-50% of a building’s Heating Load.... ...Building Pressure Tests
  • 26. Understanding Quality - Airflow (CFD)
  • 27. Understanding Quality - Building Performance
  • 28. Compliance With Codes & Rating Systems
  • 29. BAM: Value to Existing Buildings • Predict energy use, costs during operation • Calibrate energy model per utility bills or building performance • Sensitivity Factors • Calibration methods, tools • Data collection • Utility rates
  • 30. The Future: Smart Buildings • Continuous Calibration to Optimize Performance • Anticipate problems on the fly using trended data • Reduce Total Cost of Energy and Improve Occupant Comfort • Detailed Analysis Models will be the heart – Note: +/- 10% is NOT good enough – Note: “Fudging factors” will not work for Smart Buildings
  • 31. Current Challenges • Cost of calibrated models • Construction QA practices lacking • Cheap Energy & Current Financial Metrics • Lack of accurate data • Lack of enough detailed data • “Fudge Factors” are still common practice • ASHRAE 90.1 Mindset
  • 32. ASHRAE 90.1 – 2010 • Prescriptive Path – Prescriptive Path encourages building the worst possible “legal” building; it does not encourage building the best possible building – There are no requirements for testing or QA during construction and occupancy • Performance Path (Appendix G “Baseline”) – There is no actual baseline in Appendix G – Appendix G does not allow for certain measures to be included • For example, reduction in OA by using a system type which delivers OA more efficiently – There are no requirements for testing or QA during construction and occupancy • Benchmark versus Goal – Benchmarks measure against current state; not against desired state – Goals identify desired state; current state is less important • Incredibly Complex – Creates confusion in the marketplace – Practitioners often spend more time on the baseline than on improving the proposed building • “Fudge Factors” are allowed – some even specified in Appendix G
  • 33. ASHRAE 90.1 – 2010 New Appendix G requirements • Accounting for Site Conditions – Theory: Buildings aren’t built in a vacuum and site conditions do matter – Practice: Poor implementation of this theory leads to more confusion & inaccuracies • 90.1-2010 allows for site impacts that are physically impossible • 90.1-2010 has exceptions which allow some software modeling tools to easily fake results • Minimum requirements for HVAC efficiencies improved – Baselines are (theoretically) more efficient – Proposed case does not require modeling tools to accurately model actual HVAC systems • Convoluted (and frequently inaccurate) workarounds are still permitted • Envelope requirements require more insulation for certain climate zones – Meaning theoretical worst possible building is theoretically slightly better – Mass factors still allowed – meaning detailed accounting of thermal mass impacts is NOT REQUIRED • Incredibly Complex – 2010 version got more complex, not less – Practitioners often spend more time on the baseline than on improving the proposed building – this will probably get worse instead of better • “Fudge Factors” are allowed – some even specified in Appendix G
  • 34. ASHRAE 90.1 – 2010 Detailed Solar for the Appendix G Baseline & Proposed Cases • Some obvious questions here: – If the simulation program cannot simulate shading by adjacent structures, how can it tell you which surfaces are shaded “most of the time”? Hence, how can you determine which surfaces should be modeled as north- facing? – What about urban areas? Rotation of baseline and proposed with site will cause physical impossibilities.
  • 35. Self Shading Still not Required in 90.1 Building self-shading
  • 36. Problems with Building Only Rotation
  • 37. ASHRAE 90.1 – 2010 0-degree Solar for the Appendix G Baseline & Proposed Cases
  • 38. ASHRAE 90.1 – 2010 180-degree Solar for the Appendix G Baseline & Proposed Cases
  • 39. Alternatives: Moving Beyond Benchmarks • A new paradigm: – Require design and construction teams build and design the best possible building – What is the best possible building? • Net Zero Energy • Wisconsin • New York • Hawaii
  • 40. Net Zero Energy is the Index • Projects already constructed which achieve this standard • Penalizes waste and encourages best possible building • Simplifies the modeling process • Encourages teams to seek best possible solutions, not just minimums • More time available to explore best alternatives rather than spending excessive amounts of time struggling with theoretical baselines • Promotes understanding • Promotes changes to occupant behavior • Changes the financial model for implementing renewables • Grows several segments in the economy – Energy Modeling – Renewable Energy – Construction (renovation and new) – Generates a revenue source for new research • Funded by the biggest energy users • More efficient use of resources – Human – Renewable – Non-renewable