MOOCs and ubiquitous computing
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This document discusses trends in technology and higher education from 2013 to 2020. It predicts that mobile phones will become the primary internet access point for most people due to increasing computing power and low prices. Tablet computers and MOOCs are expected to be adopted within one year. Jobs predicted that while personal computers will still be used, most people will not need them. Touchscreens, motion controls, and mobile apps are seen as interface transformations. The document discusses many ongoing and potential impacts of technology on higher education such as open educational resources, automation impacts, and challenges of economic and demographic changes.
MOOCs and ubiquitous computing
- 1. Summer 2013
- 2. Mark Weiser, 1988ff Example: "The Computer for the Twenty-First Century" (1991) “The most profound technologies are those that disappear. They weave themselves into the fabric of everyday life until they are indistinguishable from it.”
- 6. “The mobile phone is the primary connection tool for most people in the world. In 2020, while "one laptop per child" and other initiatives to bring networked digital communications to everyone are successful on many levels, the mobile phone—now with significant computing power—is the primary Internet connection and the only one for a majority of the people across the world, providing information in a portable, well-connected form at a relatively low price.”
- 8. "When we were an agrarian nation, all cars were trucks because that's what you needed on the farms." Cars became more popular as cities rose, and things like power steering and automatic transmission became
- 9. "PCs are going to be like trucks," Jobs said. "They are still going to be around." However, he said, only "one out of x people will need them." http://news.cnet.com/8301-13860_3-20006526-56.html ; image via Wikipedia
- 10. Gartner: end of the mouse Touch screen (iOS) Handhelds (Wii) Nothing (Kinect)
- 12. Search the world
- 14. Ecosystems
- 15. Combining devices, format, services, an d business model Kindle: Amazon store iPad: iTunes book section Android: Play
- 17. Microcontent increases Social participation increases From consumer to user to prosumer Accelerando!
- 19. No good categorical name: …which sometimes indicates the future
- 21. Time-to-Adoption Horizon: One Year or Less Massively Open Online Courses Tablet Computing
- 26. Video vs social media Container vs Weinberger Automation vs humans
- 28. Demographics Great Recession Hollowing out of middle class Globalization Automation World going online Complexity of US higher education Adjunctification K-12 reform Serials + monograph crises
- 29. Mobile apps Persistent DRM Social media’s triumph Interface transformations Global cyberwar and surveillance
- 31. Star system intensifies Adjunctification increases (rōnin model, King and Nanfito) Sticker prices drop, leading to more cuts F2f for elites
- 32. http://research.studentclearinghouse.org/files/TermEnrollmentReport-Spring2013.pdf
- 33. Post-tsunami Schools are rare and distant Information is plentiful and nearby
- 34. Open content, open access, open source • Very Web-centric
- 35. Global conversations increase, filter bubble pops More access, more information Lots of creativity
- 36. Industries collapse Authorship mysterious Some low quality tech (videoconf.) Some higher costs More malware + less privacy
- 37. Information prices drop Faculty creativity, flexibility grow IT “ “ “ Academic content unleashed on the world
- 38. Tech challenges Outsourcing and offshoring PLE beats LMS Crowdsourcing faculty work Information literacy central
- 41. MOOC provider goes bust Media buzz reverses
- 42. Economic growth returns to US (energy, medical, nanotech vs world) 17-22-year-old residential niche revitalized (K-12 failure) Full-time faculty stabilize (AAUP- ALA strike)
- 43. Higher education landscape: Supplemental rather than transformative tech Logistical instead of pedagogical tech Academics include tech in old structures (classes, publication
- 44. Bryan Alexander http://bryanalexander.org Bryan on Twitter http://twitter.com/BryanAlexander