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The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
1
GLOUCESTER TO HAW BRIDGE
This Theme area contains the Policy Units MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5, and MAI 6.
It starts at the drain from Long Brook and ends at Haw Bridge (upstream extent of Severn
Estuary SMP2).
The Key Policy Drivers in this area are:
• International nature conservation sites – Severn Estuary SAC, SPA and Ramsar sites;
• Critical infrastructure – railway line, A48, A40, electricity network and substations,
Netheridge sewage treatment works;
• Residential – Gloucester.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
2
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
3
Policy Unit: MAI 1 – the drain at Long Brook to the railway/A40 bridge
(west bank of the Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
4
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
MR
The Short Term policy for this unit is Managed Realignment.
Existing defences are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life in the
next epoch. A new realigned defence will enable new intertidal habitat to be
created and manage the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to assets
behind new defences in this and linked Policy Units (MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4,
MAI 5 and MAI 6). MR will manage the risk of impacts from flooding and
erosion to assets behind the new defences.
MR in this Policy Unit may allow short lengths of existing defence to be
maintained and a NAI policy along other undefended lengths to allow the
shoreline to evolve naturally. The precise location and type of defence
should be determined by the SEFRMS. This should also determine if the
existing defences can be allowed to erode naturally or should be breached.
Any defences allowed to erode should be monitored to ensure they do not
pose a risk to H&S. New, set back defences and other defences in the policy
unit should be maintained.
Land, nature conservation and historic environment features in front of the
new line of defences or in areas of NAI will be at increased risk of flooding
and erosion. Adaptation actions should be considered and implemented.
The habitat created in this policy unit will help compensate for areas lost
elsewhere in the estuary and help maintain/improve the condition of the
European protected sites.
MR does not guarantee funding to build or maintain new realigned defences.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
HTL
The medium term policy for this unit is Hold The Line.
New realigned defences should be maintained. HTL will manage the risk of
impacts from flooding and erosion to assets behind the new defences.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
HTL
The long term policy for this unit is Hold The Line.
New realigned defences should be maintained. HTL will manage the risk of
impacts from flooding and erosion to assets behind the new defences.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise..
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
5
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
MAI 1 HTL MR HTL HTL
£18m
(MAI1-6 total)
£5m
(MAI1-6 total)
The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5
and MAI 6. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all
linked policy units.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
6
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 1 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management
Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth Heritage,
Geology and Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The existing defence
line will not be
maintained and a new
set back defence
should be established
to allow habitat creation
and to reduce the
impact from fluvial
flooding by increasing
floodwater conveyance
A total of 349 Ha of
agricultural land will be
undefended and subject to
frequent flood risk. Erosion
in this section of the estuary
is limited. Realigned
defences will manage the
risk to properties and land
behind new defences.
Assets in front of realigned
defences will be at risk from
inundation. Impacts on
property and land, and
mitigation actions will need
to be considered in
determining realignment of
defences
A MR policy will allow the
creation of approximately
349 Ha of additional
intertidal habitat. However
there may be loss of
terrestrial habitats as
intertidal habitats roll back.
Works should take account
of possible environmental
impacts and the need for an
EIA.
The creation of intertidal
habitat will replace
existing agricultural land,
altering the landscape.
Realigned defences will
manage the risk to
historic environment
assets behind new
defences. Assets in
front of realigned
defences will be at risk
from inundation.
Impacts on property
and land and mitigation
actions will need to be
considered in
determining realignment
of defences.
Realigned defences will
manage the risk to the
amenity value or
recreational use of the
land behind new
defences. Assets in front
of realigned defences will
be at risk from inundation.
Impacts to amenity and
recreational use will need
to be considered in
determining realignment
of defences
20 – 50
years
The new defence line
should be maintained.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
properties and land in this
epoch.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to the natural
environment. Works should
take account of possible
environmental impacts and
the need for an EIA.
The creation of intertidal
habitat will replace
existing agricultural land,
altering the landscape.
Defences will manage
the risk of flooding to
the historic environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
50 – 100
years
The new defence line
should be maintained.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
properties and land in this
epoch.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to the natural
environment. Works should
take account of possible
environmental impacts and
the need for an EIA.
In the long term sea level
rise will result in more
frequent flooding of the
seaward side of the
defence line and creation
of intertidal habitat.
Defences will manage
the risk of flooding to
the historic environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
7
Policy Unit: MAI 2 – Railway/A40 bridge to Haw Bridge (west bank of
the Severn, including the River Leadon) to Wainlode Hill (east bank)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
8
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
HTL
The Short Term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy.
The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this
epoch, although maintenance and repairs may extend the life of the existing
defences. HTL recommends that defences are replaced. The position, size
and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the
SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding.
NAI is not appropriate due to areas of low lying ground in this and linked
Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6). HTL manages the risk
of impacts from flooding and erosion.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
HTL
The medium term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy.
If defences have not been replaced in the previous epoch, HTL recommends
that they are replaced during this epoch. The position, size and materials of
new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS – in some
areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding.
If defences have been replaced in the previous epoch, they should be
monitored and maintained during this epoch. Actions taken in this Policy
Unit should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 3, MAI
4, MAI 5 and MAI 6). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and
erosion.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
HTL
The long term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy.
New defences should be maintained. Actions taken in this Policy Unit should
take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and
MAI 6). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
It should be noted that this unit does not end at Haw Bridge but extends to Wainlode Hill on the left bank of
the River Severn. This is due to the large area of flood plain extending east and connected to this section
of the shoreline.
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
MAI 2 N/A HTL HTL HTL
£18m
(MAI1-6 total)
£5m
(MAI1-6 total)
The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5
and MAI 6. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all
linked policy units.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
9
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 2 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth
Heritage, Geology and
Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The current earth
embankment defences
are expected to come to
the end of their
serviceable life during this
epoch and should be
replaced, although
maintenance may extend
their life into the next
epoch.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
An HTL policy will not
impact the nature
conservation sites during
this time period. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Defences are likely to
come to the end of their
serviceable life and
require reconstruction in
this epoch. Increased
height of defences or
change in defence
construction materials will
affect local landscape -
increasing presence in
the landscape and
disrupting views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
20 – 50
years
An on-going maintenance
programme should be
established to ensure the
defences remain
operational.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
An HTL policy will not
impact the nature
conservation sites during
this time period. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
50 – 100
years
An on-going maintenance
programme should be
established including the
monitoring of shoreline
erosion as sea level rise
increases.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
A HTL policy will manage
the impact of saline
intrusion on Ashleworth
Ham (SSSI). Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
10
Policy Unit: MAI 3 - Wainlode Hill (east bank)to Upper Parting (east
bank of the Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
11
Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
NAI
The Short Term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
There is limited impact from coastal erosion or flood risk in this Policy Unit
over all three SMP2 epochs. For properties at some risk of flooding,
mitigation should be considered – this may include individual property
defences or other actions. Actions taken in this Policy Unit should take
account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI
6) and the CFMP policy (reduce flood risk management actions, accepting
that flood risk will increase over time – see Section 3.4 SMP2-CFMP
interactions). Defences should be monitored to ensure they do not pose a
risk to H&S under NAI.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
NAI
The Medium Term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
Most of the existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in
this epoch. Defences should be monitored to ensure they do not pose a risk
to H&S under NAI, impact on the linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 4,
MAI 5 and MAI 6) or affect CFMP policy actions (reduce flood risk
management actions, accepting that flood risk will increase over time – see
Section 3.4 SMP2-CFMP interactions).
The extent of the floodplain is limited by high ground. Some agricultural land
may be at risk of flooding. For properties at some risk of flooding, mitigation
should be considered – this may include individual property defences or
other actions.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
NAI
The Long Term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention.
Any remaining defences will come to the end of their serviceable life during
in this epoch and flooding will be more frequent. The extent of the floodplain
is limited by high ground. Defences should be monitored to ensure they do
not pose a risk to H&S under NAI, impact on the linked Policy Units (MAI 1,
MAI 2, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6) or affect CFMP policy actions (reduce flood
risk management actions, accepting that flood risk will increase over time –
see Section 3.4 SMP2-CFMP interactions).
The extent of the floodplain is limited by high ground. Some agricultural land
may be at risk of flooding. For properties at some risk of flooding, mitigation
should be considered – this may include individual property defences or
other actions.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
12
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
MAI 3 N/A NAI NAI NAI
£18m
(MAI1-6 total)
£5m
(MAI1-6 total)
The preferred policy has no economic impact in this Policy Unit. The preferred policy is economically
viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6. The costs of the
preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all linked policy units, not in MAI 3.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
13
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 3 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth
Heritage, Geology and
Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The existing defence line
will not be maintained and
will deteriorate with time.
The existing flood
defences will continue to
afford protection to
existing properties and
land in this epoch.
There will be limited
impact in this epoch as
the existing defence line
is expected to remain in
place reducing the risk of
flooding and erosion.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on
existing landscape and
visual amenity.
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
historic environment
Limited erosion and flood
risk will not impact on the
amenity value of the land
or recreational use.
20 – 50
years
The shoreline will
undergo limited erosion.
High ground constrains
flooding in this period. As
a result erosion and flood
risk management
activities will be limited.
Flooding will remain
constrained to a strip
along the river.
Agricultural land will
experience more frequent
flooding and become
unusable.
A NAI policy will allow
natural processes to
dominate. Wainlode Cliff
SSSI will continue to be
exposed. Freshwater and
terrestrial environments
are not expected to be
affected outside the area
of saline intrusion
constrained by high
ground.
Flooding and erosion will
only impact on landscape
and visual amenity within
the area affected by
saline flooding – limited
due to high ground.
Flooding and erosion will
only impact on historic
environment assets within
the area affected by
saline flooding – limited
due to high ground.
Flooding and erosion will
only impact on the
amenity value of the land
within the area affected
by saline flooding –
limited due to high
ground.
50 – 100
years
The shoreline will
undergo limited erosion.
High ground constrains
flooding in this period. As
a result erosion and flood
risk management
activities will be limited.
Flooding will remain
constrained to a strip
along the river.
Agricultural land will
experience more frequent
flooding and become
unusable.
A NAI policy will allow
natural processes to
dominate. Wainlode Cliff
SSSI will continue to be
exposed. Freshwater and
terrestrial environments
are not expected to be
affected outside the area
of saline intrusion
constrained by high
ground.
Flooding and erosion will
only impact on landscape
and visual amenity within
the area affected by
saline flooding – limited
due to high ground.
Flooding and erosion will
only impact on historic
environment assets within
the area affected by
saline flooding – limited
due to high ground.
Flooding and erosion will
only impact on the
amenity value of the land
within the area affected
by saline flooding –
limited due to high
ground.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
14
Policy Unit: MAI 4 – Upper Parting to Lower Parting (east bank of the
River Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
15
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
HTL
The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
Defences are expected to remain in place during this epoch. A HTL policy
would continue the current defence policy and manage the risk of impacts
from flooding to residential properties, commercial and industrial assets as
well as a significant number of historical assets. HTL will require minimal
management activities in some areas, where the impacts of tidal flood risk
are limited.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
HTL
The medium term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this
epoch, although maintenance and repairs may extend the life of the existing
defences. HTL recommends that defences are replaced and the need for
defences in currently undefended areas should be investigated. The
position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail
by the SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal
flooding. Actions should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1,
MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 5 and MAI 6). HTL manages the risk of impacts from
flooding and erosion.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
HTL
The long term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
New defences should be maintained. Actions taken in this Policy Unit should
take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 5 and
MAI 6). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
MAI 4 HTL HTL HTL HTL
£18m
(MAI1-6 total)
£5m
(MAI1-6 total)
The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5
and MAI 6. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all
linked policy units.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
16
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 4 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth
Heritage, Geology and
Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The shoreline will remain
stable and constrained
flooding in this period will
result in minimal
management activities.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
Limited coastal squeeze,
primarily north of
Gloucester, is likely,
resulting in loss of
intertidal habitats. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Limited erosion and flood
risk under a HTL policy
will not impact on existing
landscape and visual
amenity
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on
amenity or recreational
value of the land.
20 – 50
years
The current defences will
have deteriorated in this
time frame and should be
replaced.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
Coastal squeeze may
occur which will result in
loss of intertidal habitats.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Defences are likely to
come to the end of their
serviceable life and
require reconstruction in
this epoch. Increased
height of defences or
change in defence
construction materials will
affect local landscape -
increasing presence in
the landscape and
disrupting views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on
amenity or recreational
value of the land.
50 – 100
years
An on-going maintenance
programme should be
established including the
monitoring of tidal flood
risk as sea level rise
increases.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
Coastal squeeze may
occur which will result in
loss of intertidal habitats.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on
amenity or recreational
value of the land.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
17
Policy Unit: MAI 5 – Alney Island
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
18
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
HTL
The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
Defences are expected to remain in place during this epoch. A HTL policy
would continue the current defence policy and manage the risk of impacts
from flooding to residential properties, commercial and industrial assets as
well as a significant number of historical assets. HTL will require minimal
management activities in some areas, where the impacts of tidal flood risk
are limited.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
HTL
The medium term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this
epoch, although maintenance and repairs may extend the life of the existing
defences. HTL recommends that defences are replaced and the need for
defences in currently undefended areas should be investigated. The
position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail
by the SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal
flooding.
Actions should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2,
MAI 3, MAI 4 and MAI 6). HTL will manage the risk of impacts from flooding
and erosion.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
HTL
The long term policy for this unit is Hold the Line.
New defences should be maintained. Actions taken in this Policy Unit should
take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4 and
MAI 6). HTL will manage the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
MAI 5 HTL HTL HTL HTL
£18m
(MAI1-6 total)
£5m
(MAI1-6 total)
The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5
and MAI 6. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all
linked policy units.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
19
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 5 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use and
Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth
Heritage, Geology and
Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The shoreline will remain
stable and constrained
flooding in this period will
result in minimal
management activities.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
A HTL policy will prevent
saline intrusion of the
Alney Island LNR. Limited
coastal squeeze may
occur along the northern
shoreline, resulting in loss
of intertidal habitats.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
landscape and visual
amenity
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on
amenity or recreational
value of the land.
20 – 50
years
The current defences will
have deteriorated in this
time frame and should be
replaced.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
A HTL policy will prevent
saline intrusion of the
Alney Island LNR.
Coastal squeeze may
occur which will result in
loss of intertidal habitats.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Defences are likely to
come to the end of their
serviceable life and
require reconstruction in
this epoch. Increased
height of defences or
change in defence
construction materials will
affect local landscape -
increasing presence in
the landscape and
disrupting views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on
amenity or recreational
value of the land.
50 – 100
years
An on-going maintenance
programme should be
established including the
monitoring of tidal flood
risk as sea level rise
increases.
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
A HTL policy will prevent
saline intrusion of the
Alney Island LNR.
Coastal squeeze may
occur which will result in
loss of intertidal habitats.
Works should take
account of possible
environmental impacts
and the need for an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding on
amenity or recreational
value of the land.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
20
Policy Unit: MAI 6 – Lower Parting to Severn Farm (east bank of the
River Severn)
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
21
Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan:
Epoch
Preferred
Policy
Comments
0 to 20
years
(2025)
HTL
The Short Term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy.
The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this
epoch. HTL recommends that defences are replaced. In other areas,
minimal management activities will be needed as high ground limits the
impacts of tidal flood risk.
Actions should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2,
MAI 3, MAI 4 and MAI 5). HTL continues the current policy and manages the
risk of impacts from flooding to the landfill site, residential properties and
agricultural land.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
20 to 50
years
(2055)
HTL
The Medium Term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy.
Rebuilt defences should be maintained. The need for defences in currently
undefended areas should be investigated. The position, size and materials of
new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS – in some
areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding.
Actions should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2,
MAI 3, MAI 4 and MAI 5). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding to
the landfill site, residential properties and agricultural land.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
50 to 100
years
(2105)
HTL
The Long Term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy.
Rebuilt defences should be maintained. Actions should take account of
effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4 and MAI 5). HTL
manages the risk of impacts from flooding to the landfill site, residential
properties and agricultural land.
HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future
defences or to counter sea level rise.
Economics
Policy
Unit
Existing
SMP1
Policy
Time Period
(epoch)
SMP2 Assessment
0-
20
20-
50
50-
100
Preferred Plan Present Value
Damages
Preferred Plan Present Value
Defence Costs
MAI 6 HTL HTL HTL HTL
£18m
(MAI1-6 total)
£5m
(MAI1-6 total)
The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5
and MAI 6. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all
linked policy units.
The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan
document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein.
Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report
22
Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 6 Policy Unit
Time
Period
Management Activities
Property, Land Use
and Human Health
Nature Conservation –
including Earth Heritage,
Geology and Biodiversity
Landscape Character
and Visual Amenity
Historic Environment
Amenity and
Recreational Use
0 – 20
years
The current defences are
expected to come to the
end of their serviceable
life during this epoch. In
some areas only minimal
management activities
will be required due to
high ground limiting
flooding.
Defences will manage
the risk of impacts from
flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
A HTL policy will prevent
saline intrusion of
freshwater habitats. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Defences are likely to
come to the end of their
serviceable life and
require reconstruction in
this epoch. Increased
height of defences or
change in defence
construction materials
will affect local landscape
- increasing presence in
the landscape and
disrupting views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to amenity
or recreational value of
the land.
20 – 50
years
An on-going maintenance
programme should be
established including the
monitoring of tidal flood
risk as sea level rise
increases.
Defences will manage
the risk of impacts from
flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
A HTL policy will prevent
saline intrusion of
freshwater habitats Coastal
squeeze may occur which
will result in loss of
intertidal habitats. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to amenity
or recreational value of
the land.
50 – 100
years
An on-going maintenance
programme should be
established including the
monitoring of tidal flood
risk as sea level rise
increases.
Defences will manage
the risk of impacts from
flooding to existing
property, land use or
human health.
A HTL policy will prevent
saline intrusion of
freshwater habitats Coastal
squeeze may occur which
will result in loss of
intertidal habitats. Works
should take account of
possible environmental
impacts and the need for
an EIA.
Increased height of
defences or change in
defence construction
materials will affect local
landscape - increasing
presence in the
landscape and disrupting
views.
Defences will manage the
risk of impacts from
flooding to the historic
environment
Defences will manage the
risk of flooding to amenity
or recreational value of
the land.

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Smp2 part b policy statements glos-haw bridge only_final

  • 1. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 1 GLOUCESTER TO HAW BRIDGE This Theme area contains the Policy Units MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5, and MAI 6. It starts at the drain from Long Brook and ends at Haw Bridge (upstream extent of Severn Estuary SMP2). The Key Policy Drivers in this area are: • International nature conservation sites – Severn Estuary SAC, SPA and Ramsar sites; • Critical infrastructure – railway line, A48, A40, electricity network and substations, Netheridge sewage treatment works; • Residential – Gloucester.
  • 2. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 2
  • 3. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 3 Policy Unit: MAI 1 – the drain at Long Brook to the railway/A40 bridge (west bank of the Severn)
  • 4. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 4 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) MR The Short Term policy for this unit is Managed Realignment. Existing defences are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life in the next epoch. A new realigned defence will enable new intertidal habitat to be created and manage the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to assets behind new defences in this and linked Policy Units (MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6). MR will manage the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to assets behind the new defences. MR in this Policy Unit may allow short lengths of existing defence to be maintained and a NAI policy along other undefended lengths to allow the shoreline to evolve naturally. The precise location and type of defence should be determined by the SEFRMS. This should also determine if the existing defences can be allowed to erode naturally or should be breached. Any defences allowed to erode should be monitored to ensure they do not pose a risk to H&S. New, set back defences and other defences in the policy unit should be maintained. Land, nature conservation and historic environment features in front of the new line of defences or in areas of NAI will be at increased risk of flooding and erosion. Adaptation actions should be considered and implemented. The habitat created in this policy unit will help compensate for areas lost elsewhere in the estuary and help maintain/improve the condition of the European protected sites. MR does not guarantee funding to build or maintain new realigned defences. 20 to 50 years (2055) HTL The medium term policy for this unit is Hold The Line. New realigned defences should be maintained. HTL will manage the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to assets behind the new defences. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 50 to 100 years (2105) HTL The long term policy for this unit is Hold The Line. New realigned defences should be maintained. HTL will manage the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion to assets behind the new defences. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise..
  • 5. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 5 Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs MAI 1 HTL MR HTL HTL £18m (MAI1-6 total) £5m (MAI1-6 total) The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all linked policy units.
  • 6. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 6 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 1 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The existing defence line will not be maintained and a new set back defence should be established to allow habitat creation and to reduce the impact from fluvial flooding by increasing floodwater conveyance A total of 349 Ha of agricultural land will be undefended and subject to frequent flood risk. Erosion in this section of the estuary is limited. Realigned defences will manage the risk to properties and land behind new defences. Assets in front of realigned defences will be at risk from inundation. Impacts on property and land, and mitigation actions will need to be considered in determining realignment of defences A MR policy will allow the creation of approximately 349 Ha of additional intertidal habitat. However there may be loss of terrestrial habitats as intertidal habitats roll back. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. The creation of intertidal habitat will replace existing agricultural land, altering the landscape. Realigned defences will manage the risk to historic environment assets behind new defences. Assets in front of realigned defences will be at risk from inundation. Impacts on property and land and mitigation actions will need to be considered in determining realignment of defences. Realigned defences will manage the risk to the amenity value or recreational use of the land behind new defences. Assets in front of realigned defences will be at risk from inundation. Impacts to amenity and recreational use will need to be considered in determining realignment of defences 20 – 50 years The new defence line should be maintained. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing properties and land in this epoch. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to the natural environment. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. The creation of intertidal habitat will replace existing agricultural land, altering the landscape. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding to the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 50 – 100 years The new defence line should be maintained. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing properties and land in this epoch. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to the natural environment. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. In the long term sea level rise will result in more frequent flooding of the seaward side of the defence line and creation of intertidal habitat. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding to the amenity value of the land or recreational use.
  • 7. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 7 Policy Unit: MAI 2 – Railway/A40 bridge to Haw Bridge (west bank of the Severn, including the River Leadon) to Wainlode Hill (east bank)
  • 8. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 8 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) HTL The Short Term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy. The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this epoch, although maintenance and repairs may extend the life of the existing defences. HTL recommends that defences are replaced. The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding. NAI is not appropriate due to areas of low lying ground in this and linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 20 to 50 years (2055) HTL The medium term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy. If defences have not been replaced in the previous epoch, HTL recommends that they are replaced during this epoch. The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding. If defences have been replaced in the previous epoch, they should be monitored and maintained during this epoch. Actions taken in this Policy Unit should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 50 to 100 years (2105) HTL The long term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy. New defences should be maintained. Actions taken in this Policy Unit should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. It should be noted that this unit does not end at Haw Bridge but extends to Wainlode Hill on the left bank of the River Severn. This is due to the large area of flood plain extending east and connected to this section of the shoreline. Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs MAI 2 N/A HTL HTL HTL £18m (MAI1-6 total) £5m (MAI1-6 total) The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all linked policy units.
  • 9. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 9 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 2 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The current earth embankment defences are expected to come to the end of their serviceable life during this epoch and should be replaced, although maintenance may extend their life into the next epoch. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing property, land use or human health. An HTL policy will not impact the nature conservation sites during this time period. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Defences are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life and require reconstruction in this epoch. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding to the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 20 – 50 years An on-going maintenance programme should be established to ensure the defences remain operational. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing property, land use or human health. An HTL policy will not impact the nature conservation sites during this time period. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding to the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 50 – 100 years An on-going maintenance programme should be established including the monitoring of shoreline erosion as sea level rise increases. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will manage the impact of saline intrusion on Ashleworth Ham (SSSI). Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding to the amenity value of the land or recreational use.
  • 10. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 10 Policy Unit: MAI 3 - Wainlode Hill (east bank)to Upper Parting (east bank of the Severn)
  • 11. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 11 Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) NAI The Short Term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. There is limited impact from coastal erosion or flood risk in this Policy Unit over all three SMP2 epochs. For properties at some risk of flooding, mitigation should be considered – this may include individual property defences or other actions. Actions taken in this Policy Unit should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6) and the CFMP policy (reduce flood risk management actions, accepting that flood risk will increase over time – see Section 3.4 SMP2-CFMP interactions). Defences should be monitored to ensure they do not pose a risk to H&S under NAI. 20 to 50 years (2055) NAI The Medium Term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. Most of the existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this epoch. Defences should be monitored to ensure they do not pose a risk to H&S under NAI, impact on the linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6) or affect CFMP policy actions (reduce flood risk management actions, accepting that flood risk will increase over time – see Section 3.4 SMP2-CFMP interactions). The extent of the floodplain is limited by high ground. Some agricultural land may be at risk of flooding. For properties at some risk of flooding, mitigation should be considered – this may include individual property defences or other actions. 50 to 100 years (2105) NAI The Long Term policy for this unit is No Active Intervention. Any remaining defences will come to the end of their serviceable life during in this epoch and flooding will be more frequent. The extent of the floodplain is limited by high ground. Defences should be monitored to ensure they do not pose a risk to H&S under NAI, impact on the linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6) or affect CFMP policy actions (reduce flood risk management actions, accepting that flood risk will increase over time – see Section 3.4 SMP2-CFMP interactions). The extent of the floodplain is limited by high ground. Some agricultural land may be at risk of flooding. For properties at some risk of flooding, mitigation should be considered – this may include individual property defences or other actions.
  • 12. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 12 Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs MAI 3 N/A NAI NAI NAI £18m (MAI1-6 total) £5m (MAI1-6 total) The preferred policy has no economic impact in this Policy Unit. The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6. The costs of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all linked policy units, not in MAI 3.
  • 13. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 13 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 3 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The existing defence line will not be maintained and will deteriorate with time. The existing flood defences will continue to afford protection to existing properties and land in this epoch. There will be limited impact in this epoch as the existing defence line is expected to remain in place reducing the risk of flooding and erosion. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity. Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the historic environment Limited erosion and flood risk will not impact on the amenity value of the land or recreational use. 20 – 50 years The shoreline will undergo limited erosion. High ground constrains flooding in this period. As a result erosion and flood risk management activities will be limited. Flooding will remain constrained to a strip along the river. Agricultural land will experience more frequent flooding and become unusable. A NAI policy will allow natural processes to dominate. Wainlode Cliff SSSI will continue to be exposed. Freshwater and terrestrial environments are not expected to be affected outside the area of saline intrusion constrained by high ground. Flooding and erosion will only impact on landscape and visual amenity within the area affected by saline flooding – limited due to high ground. Flooding and erosion will only impact on historic environment assets within the area affected by saline flooding – limited due to high ground. Flooding and erosion will only impact on the amenity value of the land within the area affected by saline flooding – limited due to high ground. 50 – 100 years The shoreline will undergo limited erosion. High ground constrains flooding in this period. As a result erosion and flood risk management activities will be limited. Flooding will remain constrained to a strip along the river. Agricultural land will experience more frequent flooding and become unusable. A NAI policy will allow natural processes to dominate. Wainlode Cliff SSSI will continue to be exposed. Freshwater and terrestrial environments are not expected to be affected outside the area of saline intrusion constrained by high ground. Flooding and erosion will only impact on landscape and visual amenity within the area affected by saline flooding – limited due to high ground. Flooding and erosion will only impact on historic environment assets within the area affected by saline flooding – limited due to high ground. Flooding and erosion will only impact on the amenity value of the land within the area affected by saline flooding – limited due to high ground.
  • 14. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 14 Policy Unit: MAI 4 – Upper Parting to Lower Parting (east bank of the River Severn)
  • 15. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 15 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) HTL The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. Defences are expected to remain in place during this epoch. A HTL policy would continue the current defence policy and manage the risk of impacts from flooding to residential properties, commercial and industrial assets as well as a significant number of historical assets. HTL will require minimal management activities in some areas, where the impacts of tidal flood risk are limited. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 20 to 50 years (2055) HTL The medium term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this epoch, although maintenance and repairs may extend the life of the existing defences. HTL recommends that defences are replaced and the need for defences in currently undefended areas should be investigated. The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding. Actions should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 5 and MAI 6). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 50 to 100 years (2105) HTL The long term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. New defences should be maintained. Actions taken in this Policy Unit should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 5 and MAI 6). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs MAI 4 HTL HTL HTL HTL £18m (MAI1-6 total) £5m (MAI1-6 total) The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all linked policy units.
  • 16. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 16 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 4 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The shoreline will remain stable and constrained flooding in this period will result in minimal management activities. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing property, land use or human health. Limited coastal squeeze, primarily north of Gloucester, is likely, resulting in loss of intertidal habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Limited erosion and flood risk under a HTL policy will not impact on existing landscape and visual amenity Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on amenity or recreational value of the land. 20 – 50 years The current defences will have deteriorated in this time frame and should be replaced. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing property, land use or human health. Coastal squeeze may occur which will result in loss of intertidal habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Defences are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life and require reconstruction in this epoch. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on amenity or recreational value of the land. 50 – 100 years An on-going maintenance programme should be established including the monitoring of tidal flood risk as sea level rise increases. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing property, land use or human health. Coastal squeeze may occur which will result in loss of intertidal habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on amenity or recreational value of the land.
  • 17. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 17 Policy Unit: MAI 5 – Alney Island
  • 18. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 18 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) HTL The short term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. Defences are expected to remain in place during this epoch. A HTL policy would continue the current defence policy and manage the risk of impacts from flooding to residential properties, commercial and industrial assets as well as a significant number of historical assets. HTL will require minimal management activities in some areas, where the impacts of tidal flood risk are limited. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 20 to 50 years (2055) HTL The medium term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this epoch, although maintenance and repairs may extend the life of the existing defences. HTL recommends that defences are replaced and the need for defences in currently undefended areas should be investigated. The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding. Actions should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4 and MAI 6). HTL will manage the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 50 to 100 years (2105) HTL The long term policy for this unit is Hold the Line. New defences should be maintained. Actions taken in this Policy Unit should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4 and MAI 6). HTL will manage the risk of impacts from flooding and erosion. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs MAI 5 HTL HTL HTL HTL £18m (MAI1-6 total) £5m (MAI1-6 total) The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all linked policy units.
  • 19. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 19 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 5 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The shoreline will remain stable and constrained flooding in this period will result in minimal management activities. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will prevent saline intrusion of the Alney Island LNR. Limited coastal squeeze may occur along the northern shoreline, resulting in loss of intertidal habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing landscape and visual amenity Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on amenity or recreational value of the land. 20 – 50 years The current defences will have deteriorated in this time frame and should be replaced. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will prevent saline intrusion of the Alney Island LNR. Coastal squeeze may occur which will result in loss of intertidal habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Defences are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life and require reconstruction in this epoch. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on amenity or recreational value of the land. 50 – 100 years An on-going maintenance programme should be established including the monitoring of tidal flood risk as sea level rise increases. Defences will manage the risk of flooding to existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will prevent saline intrusion of the Alney Island LNR. Coastal squeeze may occur which will result in loss of intertidal habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding on amenity or recreational value of the land.
  • 20. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 20 Policy Unit: MAI 6 – Lower Parting to Severn Farm (east bank of the River Severn)
  • 21. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 21 Preferred Policies to Implement the Plan: Epoch Preferred Policy Comments 0 to 20 years (2025) HTL The Short Term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy. The existing defences will come to the end of their serviceable life in this epoch. HTL recommends that defences are replaced. In other areas, minimal management activities will be needed as high ground limits the impacts of tidal flood risk. Actions should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4 and MAI 5). HTL continues the current policy and manages the risk of impacts from flooding to the landfill site, residential properties and agricultural land. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 20 to 50 years (2055) HTL The Medium Term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy. Rebuilt defences should be maintained. The need for defences in currently undefended areas should be investigated. The position, size and materials of new defences should be considered in detail by the SEFRMS – in some areas high ground limits the risk from coastal flooding. Actions should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4 and MAI 5). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding to the landfill site, residential properties and agricultural land. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. 50 to 100 years (2105) HTL The Long Term policy for this unit is a Hold the Line policy. Rebuilt defences should be maintained. Actions should take account of effects in linked Policy Units (MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4 and MAI 5). HTL manages the risk of impacts from flooding to the landfill site, residential properties and agricultural land. HTL does not guarantee funding to build or maintain current or future defences or to counter sea level rise. Economics Policy Unit Existing SMP1 Policy Time Period (epoch) SMP2 Assessment 0- 20 20- 50 50- 100 Preferred Plan Present Value Damages Preferred Plan Present Value Defence Costs MAI 6 HTL HTL HTL HTL £18m (MAI1-6 total) £5m (MAI1-6 total) The preferred policy is economically viable for the linked Policy Units of MAI 1, MAI 2, MAI 3, MAI 4, MAI 5 and MAI 6. The costs and damages of the preferred policy in the table above relate to actions taken in all linked policy units.
  • 22. The above provides the local details in respect of the SMP-wide policy presented in the preceding sections of this Plan document. These details must be read in the context of the wider-scales issues and policy implications, as reported therein. Severn Estuary SMP2 Review – Final Report 22 Predicted Implication of the Preferred Plan for the MAI 6 Policy Unit Time Period Management Activities Property, Land Use and Human Health Nature Conservation – including Earth Heritage, Geology and Biodiversity Landscape Character and Visual Amenity Historic Environment Amenity and Recreational Use 0 – 20 years The current defences are expected to come to the end of their serviceable life during this epoch. In some areas only minimal management activities will be required due to high ground limiting flooding. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will prevent saline intrusion of freshwater habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Defences are likely to come to the end of their serviceable life and require reconstruction in this epoch. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding to amenity or recreational value of the land. 20 – 50 years An on-going maintenance programme should be established including the monitoring of tidal flood risk as sea level rise increases. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will prevent saline intrusion of freshwater habitats Coastal squeeze may occur which will result in loss of intertidal habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding to amenity or recreational value of the land. 50 – 100 years An on-going maintenance programme should be established including the monitoring of tidal flood risk as sea level rise increases. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to existing property, land use or human health. A HTL policy will prevent saline intrusion of freshwater habitats Coastal squeeze may occur which will result in loss of intertidal habitats. Works should take account of possible environmental impacts and the need for an EIA. Increased height of defences or change in defence construction materials will affect local landscape - increasing presence in the landscape and disrupting views. Defences will manage the risk of impacts from flooding to the historic environment Defences will manage the risk of flooding to amenity or recreational value of the land.