Rebuilding evolution 20170106 v4

Rebuilding evolution:
A service science perspective
Spohrer J, Siddike MAK, Kohda Y (2017) Rebuilding evolution: a service science perspective. HICSS-50,
Hawaii, USA. January 6, 2017
http://www.slideshare.net/spohrer/rebuilding-evolution-20170106-v4

Rewinding
Evolution
• Spohrer J, Giuiusa A,
Demirkan H, Ing D (2013)
Service science:
reframing progress with
universities. Systems
Research and Behavioral
Science. 30(5):561-569.

Why rebuilding evolution? Better Education
• If there be an order in which
the human race has mastered
its various kinds of
knowledge, there will arise in
every child an aptitude to
acquire these kinds of
knowledge in the same
order.... Education is a
repetition of civilization in
little.[28]
• — Herbert Spencer
http://www.slideshare.net/spohrer/spohrer-icer-20150810-v1

Presentation Outline
• Background of Evolution
• Natural Systems
• Cognitive Systems
• Service systems
• Smart service systems
• Wise service systems
• Re-building evolution

Evolution: Natural to service system (1)
• Does evolution have a speed limit?
• In biology, Darwin’s theory of evolution proposed the mechanism of
natural selection to explain the way that essentially random processes
could give rise to the diversity and complexity of species.
• Kaufman proposed autocatalysis as an additional mechanism to
explain the chemical foundations of certain biological processes in
networks that underlie the complexity and diversity of biological
species.

• Beyond biology and chemistry, what about others types of systems that
evolve – are there different speed limits?
• Boulding, in a short essay entitled ‘General Systems Theory—The Skeleton
of Science’, suggests two possible approaches to organize general systems
theory…….at least two roads each of which is worth exploring.
• The first is to identify general phenomena, such as population, individual,
growth and information and communications, which might be called an
ecological approach.
• The second is to arrange… a hierarchy of complexity of organization, such
as statics, dynamics, control, self-maintenance, genetic-societal,
teleological, symbolic-communication.

• People and their ideas are an interesting physical-symbol system, since
both biological and non-biological processes are at work, driving change in
the system.
• Human evolution is driven by adaptation of people to their environment,
and that environment includes both physical and symbolic resources.
• Simon [7] further developed the notion of hierarchical complexity in his
work on ‘sciences of the artificial’.
• Arthur [8] more recently developed a further theory of the nature of
technology as ever more complex recombination of prior technologies, and
Auerswald [9] talks about ‘production recipes’ in economics as
recombination of prior recipes including both technologies and rules, as
ingredients that can be combined to form new, more complex technologies
and rules.

• However, perhaps the most profound elaboration of combined
ecological and evolutionary approaches can be found in Deacon [10],
a work which carefully builds from thermodynamics to life to
consciousness to societal systems, step by step with all the rigour of a
philosopher’s logical toolkit.
• Spohrer et al. [2] provide a far less rigorous but nevertheless useful
broad brush perspective of the same territory by using a combined
ecological and evolutionary view of physical systems, chemical
systems, biological systems and service systems.

Motivation of the paper
• Darwinian evolution alone is too slow (to explain the world) and
Kauffman evolution, while faster is perhaps still too slow to explain
the rate of change in complex, dynamic, evolving systems.
• Is it possible to say more about the speed limits of change and
evolution in different types of systems?
• Discuss the evolution of multiple types of systems from a service
science perspective, looking for clues about the nature of speed limits
in evolving systems with populations of entities and interactions.

Natural Systems (1)
• Almost 14 billion years ago, our universe started with a ‘big bang’.
• And through a process known as fusion, stars turned populations of
lighter atoms.
• Eventually, after about five billion years, a very important star formed
- our Sun.
• From large quantities of iron, nickel, and other atoms the Earth
formed about 4.3 Billion years ago.
• In less than a billion years, the early Earth evolved a remarkable
ecology of complex molecules, including amino acids, and after less
than a billion years, an ecology of bacteria took hold on early Earth.

Natural Systems (2)
• The ecology of single cell bacteria flourished and after another million
years of interactions between the bacteria, the first multi cellular
organisms formed, and soon the ecology of sponges and other multi-
cellular entities began to spread out across the earth.
• Then after nearly two billion years, a type of division of labor
between the cells in multi cellular organism lead to entities with cells
acting as neurons in the first clams, and these neurons allowed the
clams to open and close at the right time.

Natural Systems (3)
• After only 200 million years, trilobites appeared the first organisms
with dense neural structures that could be called brains appeared.
• Then after about 300 million years, multi-cellular organisms as
complex as bees appeared, and these were social insects, with
division of labor among individuals in population, with queens,
drones, worker bees.
• So 200 million years ago, over 14.5 billion years after the big bang,
the ecology of living entities is well established on planet Earth,
including social entities with brain and division of labor between
individuals in a population.

Cognitive Systems (1)
• Cognitive computing will ultimately be able to interpret images,
numbers, voices, and sensory information.
• It will participate dialogue with human beings aimed at navigating
vast quantities of information to solve extremely complicated yet
common problems.
• In the era of cognitive systems, humans and machine will collaborate
to produce better results, each bring their own superior skills to the
partnership.
• The machine will be more rational and analytic—and, of course,
possess encyclopedic memories and tremendous computational
abilities.

Cognitive Systems (2)
• People will provide expertise, judgement,
intuition, empathy, a moral compass, and
human creativity.
• In this era of cognitive systems, humans
and machine will become more
interconnected.
• Furthermore, cognitive systems can
provide customers with high-quality
recommendations and help customers to
make better data-driven decisions.

Service Systems
• Progress can be thought of in terms of the rights
and responsibilities of entities (individuals and
institutions).
• Spohrer et al. imagined four ‘parallel time
streams’ associated with (1) phenomena (sources
of information); (2) research (knowledge
creation); (3) education (knowledge transfer); and
(4) practice (knowledge application).
• Practice could be further broken down into
commercial practice (e.g. technology) and
governance practice (e.g. rules).
• As a symbolic species, humans create new
symbols at particular points in time, and these
symbols are part of scientific theories that
provide insights into the origins of abstract
entities, interaction and outcome universals.

Smart Service Systems
• According to National Science Foundation, a smart
service system is a system capable of learning, dynamic
adaptation, and decision making based upon data
received, transmitted, and/or processed to improve its
response to a future situation.
• The system does so through self-detection, self-
diagnosing, self-correcting, self-monitoring, self-
organizing, self-replicating, or self-controlled functions.
• These capabilities are the result of the incorporation of
technologies for sensing, actuation, coordination,
communication, control, etc.
• The system may exhibit a sequence of features such as
detection, classification, and localization that lead to an
outcome occurring within a reasonable time.
• The resulting system requires an understanding of human
interaction with technology and a human-centered
design to assure the desirability and the effectiveness of
the proposed service system” (p. 5).

Wise Service Systems (1)
• Wise service system as socio-technical systems in which the cognitive
mediators interact with people to augment human capabilities
through providing precise recommendations by actuating the context
and situation that help them to take right decisions to solve complex
problems more efficiently and perfectly.
• In the wise service system, cognitive mediators provide
recommendations to human and human use the recommendations
based on their experiences, knowledge and skills to solve complex
problems. Through this way, human and machine will collaborate
harmoniously and generate win-win value co-creation for the human.

How about artificial wisdom for wisdom
service systems?

Process of Wisdom Service System

Emergent Properties in Multiple Service
Systems
Types of systems Emergent ecologies of entities
Natural systems Emergence of atoms (stars), molecules (planets), life (biosphere/ecology)
Cognitive systems Emergence of intelligence, tacit knowledge (rapid learning) in people
Service systems Emergence of rights and responsibilities (institutions)
Smart service systems
Emergence of smart technologies and better rules/governance to avoid
waste
Wise service systems Emergence of multi-generational human values (smart across generations)

Conclusion
• We have only scratched the surface in this paper, but our explorations
suggest this is an important research question and direction, especially as
we enter the cognitive era of smart and wise service systems.
• Service science is the study of the evolving ecology of service system
entities, complex socio-technical systems with rights and responsibilities –
such as people, businesses, and nations.
• As the building blocks get better, we are able to imagine (re)building things
that would have taken nations in earlier years to accomplish (putting a
satellite in orbit) as a high school science project for a small team of
students.
• Or machine learning algorithms and data sets that allow simulated
cognitive entities to learn simple languages and social interactions skills in
a fraction of the time required for these skills in human evolution.

Future Research Directions
• A future research direction is to begin to make the rough ideas
sketched in this paper more quantitative.
• For example, people provide an existence proof for the amount time,
data, and processing to learn language.
• How can we begin to reframe the idea of rebuilding evolution in a
more quantitative manner?

Rebuilding evolution 20170106 v4

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Rebuilding evolution 20170106 v4