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Added value of simulation in the
                       design of terminals




                                                                                    Vincent de Gast &
                                                                                     Alessandro Nati

                                                                                          Hosted by:

November 8, 2011         Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   1
Contents

  •    Introduction
  •    Liquid Bulk Terminals
  •    Complexities in liquid bulk terminal design
  •    Design process & simulation
  •    Case studies
  •    Conclusions




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November 8, 2011              Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   2
Systems Navigator

  Our references in simulating liquid bulk terminals




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November 8, 2011            Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   3
Liquid bulk terminals

  Industrial facility that offers a package of activities
         – to handle, store and control liquid bulk (Oil,
           Chemicals, LNG)
         – To and from transportation modes (Ships, trucks,
           trains and pipelines)




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November 8, 2011             Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   4
Liquid bulk terminal functions

  • Primary functions:
         – Connect different modalities to maintain logistic
           flow in supply chain
         – To store product temporarily (buffer for differences
           in supply and demand, scheduling or for strategic
           reasons)
         – Change the product flow size
  • Secondary functions:
         – Value added logistics (e.g. Blending)


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November 8, 2011             Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   5
Types of liquid bulk terminals

  Type                        Use                                     Tank turnover                            Fit for purpose
                                                                      rate                                                Designed for a specific
                                                                                                                           application or for a
                                                                                                                            broader scope of
                                                                                                                          products and services
  Buffer storage              Production plants                       High                                     High
  terminal

  Independent                 Misc. mid long                          Low                                      Medium
  storage terminal            term (strategic
                              storage)

  Trading terminal            Short term                              Very high                                Low
                              storage

                        Source: The added value of simulation during liquid bulk terminal design R. van Duijn, H.P.M. Veeke, T.N. Brans, G. Lodewijks




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November 8, 2011                     Added value of simulation in the design of terminals                       6
Design of terminals is complex..


                                                                                                                          Tank selection
       Access channel



                                                                  Rail and Truck loading
                                                                                                                                                                                           Blending processes
                                                                                                        Personnel requirements
                                             Dedicated infrastructure




                                                                                                       Complex terminal infrastructure:
                                                                                                                                                                   Berth selection rules
                                                                                                       - Headers
                                                                                                       - Pumps
                                                        Board to board                                 - Jetty lines
            Bunkering
                                                        operations                                     - Tanks
                                                                                                       - Jetties
                                                                                                       - Loading arms
                                                                                                       - Pumping platform

                                                                                                                          Different vessel
                                                                                                                          mix per customer
                                                                                                                                                                                            Vessel
                                                                                                                                                                                            characteristics


                                                                                                       Multiple parcels

                                Changing customer profiles                                                                                                                           Vessel priorities
                                                                                                                                             Berthing processes:
                                                                                                                                             - Paperwork
                                                                                                                                             - Prepump
Limited number of tugs                                                                                                                       - Pump
                                                                                                                                             - Postpump

                                                                           Uncertain vessel arrivals
Uncertain weather conditions




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   November 8, 2011                                            Added value of simulation in the design of terminals                                                7
Simulation and the terminal lifecycle


                                                                                                 Greenfield terminal:
                                                                                                - simulation modeling
                                    Replace                       Design




                         Improve                                                    Build




                                   Maintain                      Operate



                                                                                                          Hosted by:

November 8, 2011             Added value of simulation in the design of terminals           8
Terminal design questions..

    Different users with different questions, which are hard to quantify

            Can the envisioned
          terminal layout handle                              How many jetties
          expected throughput?                                  do we need?                           What are the optimal
                                                                                                           pump rate
                                                                                                      requirements for our
                                                                                                         new terminal?




                                                                                          What is the effect of
           What is the expected                                                            having a different
           waiting time for our                                                            vessel mix at the
               customers?                                                                      terminal?


                                                              What is the best design
                                                              for our new terminal?



Terminal manager          Business developers Sales managers                     Operational excellence                        Planners
                                                                                                                  Hosted by:

  November 8, 2011                 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals           9
Simulation and the terminal lifecycle



                                    Replace                       Design




                         Improve                                                    Build




                                                                                               Brownfield terminal:
                                   Maintain                      Operate                     - scheduling/planning -
                                                                                                - serious gaming -




                                                                                                         Hosted by:

November 8, 2011             Added value of simulation in the design of terminals           10
Operating existing terminals…

    Different users with different questions, which are hard to quantify

           When can we schedule                                                       Can we handle new
           maintenance with least                                                      customer X to the
                 impact?                                                                   terminal?




                                                                                             Vessel Y is delayed by 6hrs,
    What is the effect of a new                                                             can we still accept and what
      product group to the                                                                     are the consequences?
             terminal?




                                                                                    If we receive this spot
                                                                                       vessel, what is the
                                                                                   impact on our terminal?



Terminal manager            Business developers         Sales managers             Operational excellence                         Planners
                                                                                                                     Hosted by:

  November 8, 2011                   Added value of simulation in the design of terminals             11
Simulation and the terminal lifecycle



                                     Replace                       Design

   Brownfield terminal:
  - simulation modeling




                          Improve                                                    Build




                                    Maintain                      Operate



                                                                                                  Hosted by:

November 8, 2011              Added value of simulation in the design of terminals           12
Improving existing terminals…

    Different users with different questions, which are hard to quantify

          Can the current terminal                                         Can the expenses of a
            layout handle future                                           new jetty be justified?
                throughput?



    What is the impact on my
    berth occupancy when we
        add new jetty-pit
          connections?                                                              What is the impact when
                                                                                     adding (an) additional
                                                                                  customer(s) to the terminal?




                                                                              What is the effect of
                                                                             having a different vessel
                                                                               mix at the terminal?




Terminal manager           Business developers Sales managers                      Operational excellence Planners
                                                                                                                 Hosted by:

  November 8, 2011                   Added value of simulation in the design of terminals            13
Design process

                        Design timeline… from idea to reality
                        Basic design                              Detailed design
                                        Site
                                   characteristics                        Detailed equipment
                                                                             specification
                                     Basic
                              Storage/throughput
                                   demands
                               Client                                 Dimensioning of
                               input                                      tanks
Alternative designs




                        A
                                                                                                                            Decision
                        B
                                                     Decision
                        C




                                                                    Data availability increases
                                                                                                                                  Hosted by:

                      November 8, 2011                          Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   14
How to apply simulation…

                                 Objective (Throughput, Customers)
                                Constraints (Ship types, Port, Products)
                                                                                                This number changes
                                              Alternatives                                        when more data
                                                                                                 becomes available
               Throughput     3 different variants
               # Customers    2 different variants
               Ships          3 different vessel mix                     108 possible combinations
               Port           2 different variants
               Products       3 different variants



                             Now run the simulation and get the results….

          Alternative 1                Alternative 2                    Alternative 3              Alternative n
        Berth Occupancy              Berth Occupancy                  Berth Occupancy            Berth Occupancy
          Waiting time                 Waiting time                     Waiting time               Waiting time




                   The simulation results provide insight in the performance over time

                                                                                                          Hosted by:

November 8, 2011                    Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   15
Now apply variability…

          Alternative 1           Alternative 2                     Alternative 3               Alternative n
        Berth Occupancy         Berth Occupancy                   Berth Occupancy             Berth Occupancy
          Waiting time            Waiting time                      Waiting time                Waiting time




                   Weather scenario’s              Failures                    Arrival patterns

                             Now make a better informed decision




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November 8, 2011                Added value of simulation in the design of terminals     16
Added value of simulation


                                                                                                            4 or 5 berths?
                                                                                                       Enough connection lines?

                                         Replace                       Design

    What if we change our
    berth/tank allocation?                                                                                Lower CAPEX
   Should we add more ....?




                              Improve                                                    Build
Higher efficiency

                                                                                                       12.45 pm – Santa Clara – Berth 4
                                                                                                      14.30 pm – Liz Krogsund – Berth 1
                                                                                                      -------------------------------
                                                                                                       (How) Can we handle this
                                                                                                           new customer?
                                         Maintain                     Operate
                                                                                                          Better service

                                                                                                                     Hosted by:

November 8, 2011                  Added value of simulation in the design of terminals           17
Case studies

  3 Cases show examples of design decisions that
    were made using simulation models
        – Terminal layout selection
        – Improving throughput of refinery
        – Expansion of an existing terminal




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November 8, 2011            Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   18
Case 1: Terminal layout selection
  Background information:
  • Greenfield project > 40,000,000 M3 annual throughput

  • Products stored:
        – Crude
        – Middle distillates
        – Fuel Oil

  • Modalities served:
        – Ships (Barges, Handy, Handymax, Aframax, Suezmax, VLCC)
        – Pipelines

  •     Objective: Evaluate 2 proposed terminal layouts
        – Required number of berths
        – Determine individual berth requirements
        – Determine infrastructure requirements

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November 8, 2011             Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   19
Layout options
Layout 1                                                    Layout 2
•Each finger pier has 1 jetty to handle all                 •Each finger pier has 3 jetty.
vessel types                                                •If VLCC is at jetty the whole finger pier is
•“South Dock” can handle MD (Middle                         seized
distillate) and FO (Fuel Oil) Aframax,                      •No “South Dock”
Handymax , Handy)


                                                                                            Your company logo




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 November 8, 2011              Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   20
Case 1: Results




                                                                           Layout 1 performs better because:
                                                                           •VLCC and Suezmax are no longer blocked
               Berth occupancy layout 2 (%)                                from Handymax/Handy vessels at finger
 100
                                                                           piers and therefore their waiting time is
  90

  80
                                                                           reduced
  70                                                                       •Handymax and Handy vessels benefit
  60

                                                           Blocked
                                                                           from “South dock” because they can be
  50

  40
                                                           Occupied        served when 2 big vessels are moored at
  30                                                                       the finger pier at the same time
  20

  10

   0
       FP W1   FP W2    FP W3   FP E1   FP E2     FP E3

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November 8, 2011                                Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   21
Case 2: Refinery throughput increase

  Background information:
  • Simulation study for the waterfront of a refinery

  • Refinery has 1 MBM berth to import crude and
    feedstock
                                                                                              AS IS:              TO BE:               TO BE:
                                                                                         147 KBD CRUDE        157 KBD CRUDE        167 KBD CRUDE



  • Relation between berth occupancy
    & demurrage:
        • While increasing production rates                                          TO BE                                                TO BE
                                                                               + 2 MR FO VESSEL                                       + 1 MR CLEAN
          from 147 KBD to 167 KBD                                                 PER MONTH                                         VESSEL PER MONTH


        • Optional use of dedicated or new
          loading line for:
               • Fuel oil vessel
               • Clean vessels                                                                                            TO BE
                                                                                                                   USE OF NEW LINE FO
                                                                                                    AS IS:
                                                                                             32" LINE FOR CRUDE
                                                                                                                                            TO BE
                                                                                                                                    USE OF NEW CLEAN LINE
                                                                                                   TO BE:
                                                                                            32" LINE ALSO FOR FO



                                                                                                                               Hosted by:

November 8, 2011                   Added value of simulation in the design of terminals                  22
Case 2: Main scenarios and results

                                                          Berth  Cycle time Number of Demurrage
Scenario Name                                                                                   Investment
                                                        Occupancy (in hrs)    ships     (in K$)

140 KBD as is                                              50,45%          39.12           127         253            NO
147 KBD                                                    49,54%          41.54           120         401            NO
157 KBD                                                    54,07%          45.23           135         512            NO
167 KBD                                                    56,81%          47.14           144         429            NO
147 KBD + 2 FO MR 32' MBM line for FO                      66,23%          62.23           146        3,669           NO
147 KBD + 2 FO MR Existing dedicated line for FO           66,38%          54.38           146        3,648           $
147 KBD + 2 FO MR New line for FO                          59,35%          50.35           146        1,432           $$
147 KBD + 2 FO MR +1 CLEAN MR - New line for FO -
new line for CLEAN                                         64,73%          59.73           158        2,383           $$$

Conclusions:
•Addition of 2 FO MR vessels per month has relevant impact on demurrage cost
•Use of existing line for FO makes no difference (no change overs but it has a slow rate)
•Use of new dedicated FO line reduces the berth occupancy below 60% (faster pump rate
and no changeover)
•Handling 1 CLEAN MR vessel per month requires use of dedicated infrastructure and has
relevant impact on berth occupancy and demurrage cost.

                                                                                                         Hosted by:

November 8, 2011                    Added value of simulation in the design of terminals         23
Case 2: Occupancy vs demurrage

                         Annual Demurrage Cost in K$ vs Berth Occupancy                   Results from further scenarios
12,000
                                                                                          with different refinery rates, fleet
                                                                                          composition, pump rates:

10,000
                                                                                          •Berth occupancy and demurrage
                                                                                          cost have an exponential
 8,000                                                                                    correlation
                                                                                          •For Berth occupancy higher than
 6,000
                                                                                          65% the demurrage cost
                                                                                          dramatically increases
                                                                                          •This chart suggests that handling
 4,000
                                                                                          CLEAN MR vessels (berth
                                                                                          occupancy to 64%) is risky as the
 2,000                                                                                    demurrage cost might easily be
                                                                                          higher than expected
    0
         50         55               60                  65               70      75
                                           BERTH OCCUPANCY (%)



         Scenarios with berth outages                     Scenarios with longer lay-can period
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November 8, 2011                                  Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   24
Case 3: Expansion existing terminal

Background information:                               VESSEL 4             ALL SHIPS


•Terminal expects an increase of
                                                      BARGE 3              BARGES ONLY
tonnage handled with vessels
                                                      VESSEL 3             VESSELS ONLY
•Current bathymetry allows ships to
be handled on “Vessel 1, 2, 3”.                       VESSEL 2             VESSELS ONLY

Barge “1, 2, 3” can only serve barges
                                                      VESSEL 1             ALL SHIPS
•Vessels have priority over barges

•Investment decisions:                                                     BARGES ONLY
     •Dredge and renew “Barge 3”
     to accommodate vessels

                                                                 BARGE 1
                                                                               BARGES ONLY
     (cheaper, risk of further delays
     on barges)
     •Build “Vessel 4” but use jetty
     lines and headers from “Barge
     3”
                                                                                                  Hosted by:

November 8, 2011              Added value of simulation in the design of terminals           25
Case 3: Results




                                                              Conclusions:
                                                              •As expected addition of a new jetty that
                                                              can handle both vessels and barges gives
                                                              higher flexibility to the terminal.
                                                              •Dredging jetty “Barge 3” increases waiting
                                                              time for barges (because of the reduction
                                                              of barge-dedicated jetties)


                                                                                          Hosted by:

November 8, 2011             Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   26
Conclusions

  • Close integration of simulation during the entire
    design phase helps to raise questions that
    otherwise are unnoticed
  • Simulation helps to quantify design decisions
  • Simulation provides important insight into the
    behavior of a liquid bulk terminal under varying
    conditions (peak load, bad weather, failures)
  • Scenario comparisons, and quick response to
    new data are key to successful terminal design

                                                                                        Hosted by:

November 8, 2011            Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   27
Thanks for your attention…
    Visit our website: www.systemsnavigator.com
    Systems Navigator B.V.
    Delftechpark 38
    2628 XH Delft
    The Netherlands




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November 8, 2011                 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals   28

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Systems Navigator - Added value of simulation in the design of terminals

  • 1. Added value of simulation in the design of terminals Vincent de Gast & Alessandro Nati Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 1
  • 2. Contents • Introduction • Liquid Bulk Terminals • Complexities in liquid bulk terminal design • Design process & simulation • Case studies • Conclusions Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 2
  • 3. Systems Navigator Our references in simulating liquid bulk terminals Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 3
  • 4. Liquid bulk terminals Industrial facility that offers a package of activities – to handle, store and control liquid bulk (Oil, Chemicals, LNG) – To and from transportation modes (Ships, trucks, trains and pipelines) Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 4
  • 5. Liquid bulk terminal functions • Primary functions: – Connect different modalities to maintain logistic flow in supply chain – To store product temporarily (buffer for differences in supply and demand, scheduling or for strategic reasons) – Change the product flow size • Secondary functions: – Value added logistics (e.g. Blending) Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 5
  • 6. Types of liquid bulk terminals Type Use Tank turnover Fit for purpose rate Designed for a specific application or for a broader scope of products and services Buffer storage Production plants High High terminal Independent Misc. mid long Low Medium storage terminal term (strategic storage) Trading terminal Short term Very high Low storage Source: The added value of simulation during liquid bulk terminal design R. van Duijn, H.P.M. Veeke, T.N. Brans, G. Lodewijks Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 6
  • 7. Design of terminals is complex.. Tank selection Access channel Rail and Truck loading Blending processes Personnel requirements Dedicated infrastructure Complex terminal infrastructure: Berth selection rules - Headers - Pumps Board to board - Jetty lines Bunkering operations - Tanks - Jetties - Loading arms - Pumping platform Different vessel mix per customer Vessel characteristics Multiple parcels Changing customer profiles Vessel priorities Berthing processes: - Paperwork - Prepump Limited number of tugs - Pump - Postpump Uncertain vessel arrivals Uncertain weather conditions Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 7
  • 8. Simulation and the terminal lifecycle Greenfield terminal: - simulation modeling Replace Design Improve Build Maintain Operate Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 8
  • 9. Terminal design questions.. Different users with different questions, which are hard to quantify Can the envisioned terminal layout handle How many jetties expected throughput? do we need? What are the optimal pump rate requirements for our new terminal? What is the effect of What is the expected having a different waiting time for our vessel mix at the customers? terminal? What is the best design for our new terminal? Terminal manager Business developers Sales managers Operational excellence Planners Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 9
  • 10. Simulation and the terminal lifecycle Replace Design Improve Build Brownfield terminal: Maintain Operate - scheduling/planning - - serious gaming - Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 10
  • 11. Operating existing terminals… Different users with different questions, which are hard to quantify When can we schedule Can we handle new maintenance with least customer X to the impact? terminal? Vessel Y is delayed by 6hrs, What is the effect of a new can we still accept and what product group to the are the consequences? terminal? If we receive this spot vessel, what is the impact on our terminal? Terminal manager Business developers Sales managers Operational excellence Planners Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 11
  • 12. Simulation and the terminal lifecycle Replace Design Brownfield terminal: - simulation modeling Improve Build Maintain Operate Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 12
  • 13. Improving existing terminals… Different users with different questions, which are hard to quantify Can the current terminal Can the expenses of a layout handle future new jetty be justified? throughput? What is the impact on my berth occupancy when we add new jetty-pit connections? What is the impact when adding (an) additional customer(s) to the terminal? What is the effect of having a different vessel mix at the terminal? Terminal manager Business developers Sales managers Operational excellence Planners Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 13
  • 14. Design process Design timeline… from idea to reality Basic design Detailed design Site characteristics Detailed equipment specification Basic Storage/throughput demands Client Dimensioning of input tanks Alternative designs A Decision B Decision C Data availability increases Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 14
  • 15. How to apply simulation… Objective (Throughput, Customers) Constraints (Ship types, Port, Products) This number changes Alternatives when more data becomes available Throughput 3 different variants # Customers 2 different variants Ships 3 different vessel mix 108 possible combinations Port 2 different variants Products 3 different variants Now run the simulation and get the results…. Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Alternative n Berth Occupancy Berth Occupancy Berth Occupancy Berth Occupancy Waiting time Waiting time Waiting time Waiting time The simulation results provide insight in the performance over time Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 15
  • 16. Now apply variability… Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Alternative n Berth Occupancy Berth Occupancy Berth Occupancy Berth Occupancy Waiting time Waiting time Waiting time Waiting time Weather scenario’s Failures Arrival patterns Now make a better informed decision Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 16
  • 17. Added value of simulation 4 or 5 berths? Enough connection lines? Replace Design What if we change our berth/tank allocation? Lower CAPEX Should we add more ....? Improve Build Higher efficiency 12.45 pm – Santa Clara – Berth 4 14.30 pm – Liz Krogsund – Berth 1 ------------------------------- (How) Can we handle this new customer? Maintain Operate Better service Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 17
  • 18. Case studies 3 Cases show examples of design decisions that were made using simulation models – Terminal layout selection – Improving throughput of refinery – Expansion of an existing terminal Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 18
  • 19. Case 1: Terminal layout selection Background information: • Greenfield project > 40,000,000 M3 annual throughput • Products stored: – Crude – Middle distillates – Fuel Oil • Modalities served: – Ships (Barges, Handy, Handymax, Aframax, Suezmax, VLCC) – Pipelines • Objective: Evaluate 2 proposed terminal layouts – Required number of berths – Determine individual berth requirements – Determine infrastructure requirements Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 19
  • 20. Layout options Layout 1 Layout 2 •Each finger pier has 1 jetty to handle all •Each finger pier has 3 jetty. vessel types •If VLCC is at jetty the whole finger pier is •“South Dock” can handle MD (Middle seized distillate) and FO (Fuel Oil) Aframax, •No “South Dock” Handymax , Handy) Your company logo Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 20
  • 21. Case 1: Results Layout 1 performs better because: •VLCC and Suezmax are no longer blocked Berth occupancy layout 2 (%) from Handymax/Handy vessels at finger 100 piers and therefore their waiting time is 90 80 reduced 70 •Handymax and Handy vessels benefit 60 Blocked from “South dock” because they can be 50 40 Occupied served when 2 big vessels are moored at 30 the finger pier at the same time 20 10 0 FP W1 FP W2 FP W3 FP E1 FP E2 FP E3 Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 21
  • 22. Case 2: Refinery throughput increase Background information: • Simulation study for the waterfront of a refinery • Refinery has 1 MBM berth to import crude and feedstock AS IS: TO BE: TO BE: 147 KBD CRUDE 157 KBD CRUDE 167 KBD CRUDE • Relation between berth occupancy & demurrage: • While increasing production rates TO BE TO BE + 2 MR FO VESSEL + 1 MR CLEAN from 147 KBD to 167 KBD PER MONTH VESSEL PER MONTH • Optional use of dedicated or new loading line for: • Fuel oil vessel • Clean vessels TO BE USE OF NEW LINE FO AS IS: 32" LINE FOR CRUDE TO BE USE OF NEW CLEAN LINE TO BE: 32" LINE ALSO FOR FO Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 22
  • 23. Case 2: Main scenarios and results Berth Cycle time Number of Demurrage Scenario Name Investment Occupancy (in hrs) ships (in K$) 140 KBD as is 50,45% 39.12 127 253 NO 147 KBD 49,54% 41.54 120 401 NO 157 KBD 54,07% 45.23 135 512 NO 167 KBD 56,81% 47.14 144 429 NO 147 KBD + 2 FO MR 32' MBM line for FO 66,23% 62.23 146 3,669 NO 147 KBD + 2 FO MR Existing dedicated line for FO 66,38% 54.38 146 3,648 $ 147 KBD + 2 FO MR New line for FO 59,35% 50.35 146 1,432 $$ 147 KBD + 2 FO MR +1 CLEAN MR - New line for FO - new line for CLEAN 64,73% 59.73 158 2,383 $$$ Conclusions: •Addition of 2 FO MR vessels per month has relevant impact on demurrage cost •Use of existing line for FO makes no difference (no change overs but it has a slow rate) •Use of new dedicated FO line reduces the berth occupancy below 60% (faster pump rate and no changeover) •Handling 1 CLEAN MR vessel per month requires use of dedicated infrastructure and has relevant impact on berth occupancy and demurrage cost. Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 23
  • 24. Case 2: Occupancy vs demurrage Annual Demurrage Cost in K$ vs Berth Occupancy Results from further scenarios 12,000 with different refinery rates, fleet composition, pump rates: 10,000 •Berth occupancy and demurrage cost have an exponential 8,000 correlation •For Berth occupancy higher than 6,000 65% the demurrage cost dramatically increases •This chart suggests that handling 4,000 CLEAN MR vessels (berth occupancy to 64%) is risky as the 2,000 demurrage cost might easily be higher than expected 0 50 55 60 65 70 75 BERTH OCCUPANCY (%) Scenarios with berth outages Scenarios with longer lay-can period Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 24
  • 25. Case 3: Expansion existing terminal Background information: VESSEL 4 ALL SHIPS •Terminal expects an increase of BARGE 3 BARGES ONLY tonnage handled with vessels VESSEL 3 VESSELS ONLY •Current bathymetry allows ships to be handled on “Vessel 1, 2, 3”. VESSEL 2 VESSELS ONLY Barge “1, 2, 3” can only serve barges VESSEL 1 ALL SHIPS •Vessels have priority over barges •Investment decisions: BARGES ONLY •Dredge and renew “Barge 3” to accommodate vessels BARGE 1 BARGES ONLY (cheaper, risk of further delays on barges) •Build “Vessel 4” but use jetty lines and headers from “Barge 3” Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 25
  • 26. Case 3: Results Conclusions: •As expected addition of a new jetty that can handle both vessels and barges gives higher flexibility to the terminal. •Dredging jetty “Barge 3” increases waiting time for barges (because of the reduction of barge-dedicated jetties) Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 26
  • 27. Conclusions • Close integration of simulation during the entire design phase helps to raise questions that otherwise are unnoticed • Simulation helps to quantify design decisions • Simulation provides important insight into the behavior of a liquid bulk terminal under varying conditions (peak load, bad weather, failures) • Scenario comparisons, and quick response to new data are key to successful terminal design Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 27
  • 28. Thanks for your attention… Visit our website: www.systemsnavigator.com Systems Navigator B.V. Delftechpark 38 2628 XH Delft The Netherlands Hosted by: November 8, 2011 Added value of simulation in the design of terminals 28