Adaptation 2
This document outlines a conceptual framework and proposed methodology for investigating the adequacy of adaptation strategies to climate impacts like sea level rise, drought, and flooding. It involves: 1) Analyzing factors that influence climate impacts and the effectiveness of adaptation strategies through a literature review and meta-analysis. 2) Conducting pilot studies in select communities across regions to develop and test methods for assessing coping strategies and their outcomes on food security, livelihoods, and the environment. 3) Developing climate-resilient policy recommendations based on evidence from evaluating current adaptation strategies and their societal consequences. The goal is to generate generally applicable methods for assessing rural producers' strategies under climate change.
Adaptation 2
- 1. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK for INVESTIGATING ADEQUACY OF ADAPTATION STRATEGIESCLIMATE DRIVER (SLR, Drought, Flood)Factors that buffer/accelerate impacts (Matrix at each geographical timescale: global, nat, sub-nat, local)Biophysical (eg: mangrove being decimated)
- 2. Institutional (no land tenure system)
- 4. Economic (market in place)
- 5. Social (AIDS? Safety nets?)
- 6. Policy
- 7. Culture
- 8. …Effects of Climate Impacts & resulting Adaptation strategies on:Governance
- 10. Gender relations and social equity
- 12. Biogeochemical cycles (feedback loops)Which strategies enhance or retard resilience of small-scale rural producers to climate change?Develop/test methodologies for assessing coping and adaptation strategies and their multiple outcomes for food security, environment and livelihoods at the community levelEvidence-based assessment of coping/adaptation strategies to assess effectiveness of interventions
- 13. How to do it?Step 1 (by Sept end): Meta-analysis of:CCAFS baseline surveys of 5000 hhs literature of factors associated with coping/adaptation strategies gap analysis of methodsStep 2 (early 2012): Workshop to identify pilot studies in CCAFS regions and refine methodology based on meta-analysisStep 3 (mid 2012): Pilot study of communities to develop methodologies (small number)Step 4 (end of project): Methods and policy recommendations
- 14. Criteria for selecting pilot communities (small number as function of $$$)Cover 3 CCAF regionsUse communities/villages where baseline CCAFS has surveyed social capitalDon’t duplicate other studiesCover range of production systems and climate shocksCommunities where history of adaptation….
- 15. Pilot study communitiesDisciplines include:Climate, adaptation, land use/land cover, institutional/governance, anthropologyDevelopment, agriculture applicationsMethods include:Community vulnerability and capacity assessments (participatory community, focus groups, vulnerability capacity assessment, household surveys)Landscape changes (remote sensing) climate historical data changes in yield/cultivars/traitstrade-off and synergy analysis
- 16. What is novel about this proposal?Empirical testing of methods to evaluate multiple consequences of coping/adaptation strategies on food security, environment, and livelihoods, including:societal consequences of current adaptation strategies, including on food security, gender relations/social equity, local governancefeedbacks to biogeochemical cycles and land useDevelopment of climate-resilient and climate-smart policy recommendations to enhance adaptation at the local levelGeneralizable methods to assess rural producer strategies and their viability with changing climate
- 18. Volunteers for meta-analysisOverall: Arame Tall, Ruth DeFriesBaseline surveys:Florence Kyazze, HeznomMogake (Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania), Bharat P. Upadhyay (Nepal)Literature review:AriellaHelfgott, AhsanUddin Ahmed, CheikhMbow (Senegal)Methods gap analysis:SharmindNeelormi, AhsanUddin Ahmed, AriellaHelfgott, Ruth DeFries (RS)
- 19. UnresolvedPartners?Research community (PECS?)Community-level partners and stakeholdersFunders??